UC Santa Barbara at UC Davis

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

UCSB 21.1%78.9% UC DAV

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.1%

3-2

10.5%

UC Davis wins

3-0

30.4%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.5%

UCSB break %: 38.8% vs this opp
UC DAV break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.