Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

UC Davis def. UC Santa Barbara 3–1

UC Davis beat UC Santa Barbara 3-1 (25-15, 18-25, 25-22, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Isabella Umpierre led UC Davis with 13 kills; UC Santa Barbara's Gabi Martinez had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
UCSB152522171
UC DAV251825253

Win probability

UC Davis above 50 · UC Santa Barbara below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.1% UC DAVrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.1% to UC Davis — set 3, UCSB 22-24 UC DAV. Gabi Martinez stuffed by Mia Starr & Ally Chandler. UC DAV win probability 75% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSB 24.1%75.9% UC DAV

UC Santa Barbara wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.2%
3-2
11.7%

UC Davis wins

3-0
27.7%
3-1
28.9%
3-2
19.2%
UCSB break %
38.6% vs this opp
UC DAV break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Gabi Martinez stuffed by Mia Starr & Ally Chandler

    Set 3 · UCSB 22-24 UC DAV · UC DAV 75% → 87%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ana Stojanovic (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 3 · UCSB 22-23 UC DAV · UC DAV 69% → 75%

  3. 03
    Brooke HibinoKill+6.3%

    Kill by Brooke Hibino (set by Mia Starr)

    Set 3 · UCSB 19-20 UC DAV · UC DAV 67% → 73%

  4. 04
    Gabi MartinezKill+6.2%

    Kill by Gabi Martinez (set by Ava Zamora)

    Set 3 · UCSB 19-17 UC DAV · UCSB 37% → 43%

  5. 05
    Emma McdermottAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Emma Mcdermott

    Set 3 · UCSB 19-19 UC DAV · UC DAV 61% → 67%

  6. 06
    UC Santa BarbaraAce+5.8%

    UC Santa Barbara ace on Rachel Dunagan

    Set 3 · UCSB 18-17 UC DAV · UCSB 31% → 37%

  7. 07

    Ximena Cordero barr stuffed by Gabi Martinez & Isabella Umpierre

    Set 3 · UCSB 22-22 UC DAV · UCSB 26% → 31%

  8. 08

    Gabi Martinez stuffed by Isabella Umpierre & Allie Caldwell

    Set 3 · UCSB 21-22 UC DAV · UC DAV 69% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414841.14611310202116
410223.34802110000012
47424.12510010111.58.5
45111.36400031031.56.5
44013.308103300215
4000–2002400000
4000–120300002
4047-.571000201011
41011.0001201300001
4026-.33300000010.50.5
4005.00000000010.50.5
4000–2001020000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–200300000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4121131.15340510525210779
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413732.18833150010.516.5
410115.6001001006313
410019.5260003002111
47011.636350210006310
47521.095000111018
47835-.02900150010.57.5
4000–523720002
41011.0005011700001
4001.000001220000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–002000000
4000–000000000
Team totals5521135.25249511515116993

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UCSB · UC DAV 4

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 UCSBUC DAV 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 UCSBUC DAV 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 UCSBUC DAV 3

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 UCSBUC DAV 3

Bars above the line = UC Davis leads, below = UC Santa Barbara leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Santa Barbara

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%2/3
25%1/4
2
40%2/5
33%1/3
3
50%2/4
33%1/3
4
67%2/3
0%0/2
5
40%2/5
33%1/3
6
50%2/4
33%1/3
All
50%12/24
28%5/18

UC Davis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%3/4
50%2/4
2
67%2/3
33%1/3
3
67%2/3
60%3/5
4
100%2/2
50%2/4
5
67%2/3
33%1/3
6
67%2/3
60%3/5
All
72%13/18
50%12/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#UCSB-UC DAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero barr+1.9
20-2UC DAVUC DAVAttack errGabi Martinez+1.8
31-2UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ava Zamora+1.3
41-3UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+1.2
52-3UC DAVUCSB×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.3
63-3UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.0
74-3UCSBUCSB×3BlockedAna Stojanovicblk Emma Mcdermott+2.2
84-4UCSBUC DAVAttack errAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+1.5
94-5UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Cortni Youngblood+2.1
105-5UC DAVUCSBKillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+1.5
11–125-7UC DAV 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.5
135-8UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errGabi Martinez+1.8
146-8UC DAVUCSBKillReilly Gouethset Milan Rex+1.2
156-9UCSBUC DAV×3KillMia Starrset Rachel Dunagan+1.3
166-10UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.6
176-11UC DAV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
187-11UC DAVUCSBBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Sophia Wendlick, Reilly Goueth+0.8
198-11UCSBUCSBBlockedIsabella Umpierreblk Auburn Tomkinson, Bella Mathis+1.4
208-12UCSBUC DAV×4KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.1
218-13UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errSophia Wendlick+1.3
228-14UC DAVUC DAV×4Attack errSophia Wendlick+1.0
238-15UC DAVUC DAV×4KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+0.7
249-15UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Milan Rex+0.3
259-16UCSBUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero barr+0.4
269-17UC DAVUC DAVAttack errEmma Mcdermott+0.4
2710-17UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ava Zamora+0.2
2810-18UCSBUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+0.3
2910-19UC DAVUC DAV×3AceUC Davisaced Gabi Martinez+0.2
3010-20UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedGabi Martinezblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+0.1
3111-20UC DAVUCSBBlockedAna Stojanovicblk Emma Mcdermott, Bella Mathis·
3211-21UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara·
3311-22UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Gabi Martinez·
3412-22UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis·
3512-23UCSBUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr·
3613-23UC DAVUCSBBlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Avery Gibbs·
3714-23UCSBUCSBKillReilly Goueth·
3814-24UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara·
3915-24UC DAVUCSBAttack errBrooke Hibino·
4015-25UCSBUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr·
Set 2
10-1UCSBUC DAV×4KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.0
20-2UC DAVUC DAV×4BlockedAvery Gibbsblk Ana Stojanovic+1.4
30-3UC DAV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
40-4UC DAVUC DAV×4KillXimena Cordero barr+1.1
51-4UC DAVUCSB×4Attack errAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+0.7
62-4UCSBUCSB×4KillDanica Rachset Ayva Ostovar+1.2
73-4UCSBUCSB×4Attack errBrooke Hibino+1.4
84-4UCSBUCSB×4KillDanica Rachset Bianca Nistor+1.6
94-5UCSBUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.1
105-5UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+1.2
115-6UCSBUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.2
125-7UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Ally Chandler+1.6
136-7UC DAVUCSBKillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+1.1
146-8UCSBUC DAVKillMia Starr+1.1
157-8UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinez+1.1
167-9UCSBUC DAVKillMia Starrset Isabella Umpierre+1.2
178-9UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.2
189-9UCSBUCSBAttack errBrooke Hibino+1.9
199-10UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovic+1.3
2010-10UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.4
2110-11UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.4
2211-11UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ayva Ostovar+1.5
2312-11UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Ana Stojanovic+2.3
2412-12UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Isabella Umpierre+1.5
2513-12UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ayva Ostovar+1.7
2613-13UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.6
2713-14UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.3
2814-14UC DAVUCSB×3KillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+1.6
2915-14UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.6
3016-14UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+2.8
3116-15UCSBUC DAVKillMia Starrset Rachel Dunagan+1.7
3216-16UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.7
3317-16UC DAVUCSB×4KillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+2.1
3418-16UCSBUCSB×4KillReilly Gouethset Ava Zamora+3.1
3519-16UCSBUCSB×4Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.0
3620-16UCSBUCSB×4BlockedBrooke Hibinoblk Reilly Goueth, Gabi Martinez+2.5
3720-17UCSBUC DAVKillMia Starrset Rachel Dunagan+1.2
3821-17UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+1.8
3921-18UCSBUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.1
4022-18UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+1.8
4123-18UCSBUCSBKillReilly Goueth+1.5
4223-19UCSBUC DAVAttack errAvery Gibbsset Ayva Ostovar+0.4
4324-19UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+1.1
Set 3
1–21-1UCSB · UC DAV
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
31-2UCSBUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.0
41-3UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Reilly Goueth+2.7
52-3UC DAVUCSBKillReilly Gouethset Ayva Ostovar+1.9
62-4UCSBUC DAV×3KillAna Stojanovicset Ximena Cordero barr+1.9
72-5UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.5
82-6UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedDanica Rachblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+2.1
93-6UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ayva Ostovar+1.4
103-7UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.5
114-7UC DAVUCSB×3KillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+1.4
125-7UCSBUCSB×3KillGabi Martinezset Bella Mathis+2.4
136-7UCSBUCSB×3AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Rachel Dunagan+2.9
146-8UCSBUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+2.1
157-8UC DAVUCSB×3Serve errUC Davis+2.1
168-8UCSB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.4
179-8UCSBUCSB×3Attack errIsabella Umpierre+3.8
189-9UCSBUC DAVAttack errEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+2.5
1910-9UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+2.8
2010-10UCSBUC DAVAttack errGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+2.6
2110-11UC DAVUC DAVKillMia Starrset Ximena Cordero barr+3.7
2211-11UC DAVUCSBAttack errIsabella Umpierreset Ximena Cordero barr+2.7
2311-12UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+2.7
2411-13UC DAVUC DAVKillAlly Chandler+3.6
2512-13UC DAVUCSBServe errUC Davis+2.5
2613-13UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Khloe Wong+4.1
2713-14UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+2.9
2813-15UC DAVUC DAVAttack errAvery Gibbs+3.9
2914-15UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Ayva Ostovar+2.7
3014-16UCSBUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+2.8
31–3215-17UCSB · UC DAV
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.4
3316-17UCSBUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+4.0
3417-17UCSB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+5.0
3518-17UCSBUCSB×5AceUC Santa Barbaraaced Rachel Dunagan+5.8
3619-17UCSBUCSB×5KillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+6.2
3719-18UCSBUC DAV×3Serve errUC Santa Barbara+3.7
3819-19UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errEmma Mcdermott+6.1
3919-20UC DAVUC DAV×3KillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+6.3
4020-20UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Emma Mcdermott+4.5
41–4221-21UCSB · UC DAV
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
4321-22UCSBUC DAVBlockedGabi Martinezblk Isabella Umpierre, Allie Caldwell+5.5
4422-22UC DAVUCSBBlockedXimena Cordero barrblk Gabi Martinez, Isabella Umpierre+5.5
4522-23UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+6.5
4622-24UC DAVUC DAVBlockedGabi Martinezblk Mia Starr, Ally Chandler+12.1
Set 4
10-1UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.6
21-1UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.7
32-1UCSBUCSBAceUC Santa Barbaraaced Khloe Wong+2.6
42-2UCSBUC DAV×3KillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.7
52-3UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedDanica Rachblk Ally Chandler, Mia Starr+2.4
62-4UC DAVUC DAV×3BlockedAvery Gibbsblk Ally Chandler, Brooke Hibino+2.2
73-4UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.6
83-5UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.6
93-6UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Rachel Dunagan+2.1
104-6UC DAVUCSBKillDanica Rachset Cortni Youngblood+1.4
114-7UCSBUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.5
124-8UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.8
135-8UC DAVUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+1.2
146-8UCSBUCSBAttack errBrooke Hibino+2.0
156-9UCSBUC DAVKillAllie Caldwellset Rachel Dunagan+1.5
166-10UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.9
177-10UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+1.2
187-11UCSBUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierre+1.3
198-11UC DAVUCSBKillReilly Gouethset Ava Zamora+1.2
209-11UCSBUCSBAttack errAna Stojanovic+2.2
219-12UCSBUC DAVKillAlly Chandlerset Mia Starr+1.7
2210-12UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ayva Ostovar+1.6
2310-13UCSBUC DAVServe errUC Santa Barbara+1.7
2410-14UC DAVUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+2.1
2511-14UC DAVUCSBAttack errIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.3
2612-14UCSBUCSBAttack errAlly Chandler+2.3
2712-15UCSBUC DAVKillBrooke Hibinoset Mia Starr+1.8
2812-16UC DAVUC DAVKillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+2.2
2913-16UC DAVUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ayva Ostovar+1.3
3013-17UCSBUC DAVKillEmma Mcdermott+1.5
3114-17UC DAVUCSBKillBella Mathisset Ava Zamora+1.3
3214-18UCSBUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.6
3314-19UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Mia Starr+1.6
3414-20UC DAVUC DAV×3KillAna Stojanovicset Ximena Cordero barr+1.0
3515-20UC DAVUCSBKillEmma Mcdermottset Gabi Martinez+0.4
3616-20UCSBUCSBKillEmma Mcdermottset Ava Zamora+1.0
3716-21UCSBUC DAV×3KillAllie Caldwellset Mia Starr+1.0
3816-22UC DAVUC DAV×3KillIsabella Umpierreset Ava Zamora+0.8
3916-23UC DAVUC DAV×3Attack errReilly Goueth+0.3
4017-23UC DAVUCSBKillGabi Martinezset Ava Zamora+0.1
4117-24UCSBUC DAVKillAna Stojanovicset Mia Starr+0.1
4217-25UC DAVUC DAVAceUC Davisaced Cortni Youngblood·

Score shown after each rally, UC Santa Barbara first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).