CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026
3:1

Portland def. Montana St. 31

(24-26, 25-15, 25-20, 25-23)
Set1234*Sets
PORT242525253
MONTST 261520231
  • * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MONTST above 50 · PORT below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100MONTST PORTBiggest swing +12.1% PORT · S4 24-23rally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.1% to Portland — set 4, PORT 24-23 MONTST . Attack error by Joelie Spelts. MONTST win probability 24%12%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PORT 59.4%40.6% MONTST

Portland wins

3-0
16.9%
3-1
22.7%
3-2
19.9%

Montana St. wins

3-0
8.9%
3-1
14.8%
3-2
16.8%
PORT break %
42.6% vs this opp
MONTST break %
40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Joelie SpeltsAttack error+12.1%

    Attack error by Joelie Spelts

    Set 4 · PORT 24-23 MONTST · PORT 76%88%

  2. 02
    Taina KaauwaiKill+11.6%

    Kill by Taina Kaauwai

    Set 4 · PORT 25-23 MONTST · PORT 88%100%

  3. 03
    Karli HeidemannKill+10.5%

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Nicolette Noble)

    Set 1 · PORT 24-26 MONTST · MONTST 50%61%

  4. 04
    Elli EskoAttack error+9.5%

    Elli Esko stuffed by Havannah Hoeft & Taina Kaauwai

    Set 4 · PORT 23-23 MONTST · PORT 67%76%

  5. 05
    Elli EskoKill+8.3%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Nicolette Noble)

    Set 4 · PORT 21-23 MONTST · MONTST 29%37%

  6. 06
    Joelie SpeltsKill+8.0%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · PORT 22-23 MONTST · MONTST 40%48%

  7. 07
    Elli EskoKill+7.4%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · PORT 20-21 MONTST · MONTST 21%28%

  8. 08
    Joelie SpeltsKill+7.2%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · PORT 23-24 MONTST · MONTST 43%50%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412424.3330003004214
411224.3750131004214
411431.226420143010.513.5
410644.09110141031.511.5
46212.3333501100010.56.5
4209.22210020052.54.5
4001.0004331210003
40000211000002
4000000000000
Team totals5218145.2344589566018999
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412428.28601116112215
412323.39100330010.512.5
46720-.050033102010.59.5
47316.25000000031.58.5
42113.0773511100010.53.5
34316.063100600004
4000011500001
4000402730000
35622-.045000412027
3000000200000
11011.000300000001
1000001000000
Team totals4927139.1584361263838784

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 PORT · MONTST 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 2

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 PORTMONTST 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 4

Set 4*

25-23

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 3

Bars above the line = Montana St. leads, below = Portland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
40%4/10
2
58%7/12
61%11/18
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
54%7/13
46%6/13
5
88%7/8
22%2/9
6
71%5/7
33%3/9
All
66%40/61
46%34/74

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
25%2/8
2
44%7/16
42%5/12
3
50%7/14
22%2/9
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
100%6/6
36%4/11
6
55%6/11
14%1/7
All
54%40/74
34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

183 rallies

Rally log

#PORT-MONTST SrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.4
22-0PORTPORTAttack errAlice Steman+2.4
32-1PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
43-1MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.7
53-2PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
63-3MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+2.5
74-3MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+1.8
84-4PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
95-4MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+1.9
105-5PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
115-6MONTST MONTST AceMONTST serveraced Maui Robins+2.8
126-6MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Jeryn Hildenbrand+2.0
136-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.1
146-8MONTST MONTST Bad setHavannah Hoeft+2.9
157-8MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.0
167-9PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+2.2
177-10MONTST MONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
188-10MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Maui Robins+1.9
198-11PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
209-11MONTST PORT×3Serve errMONTST server+1.9
2110-11PORTPORT×3KillMaui Robins+3.0
2211-11PORTPORT×3KillShaylee Stephen+3.2
2311-12PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
2412-12MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
2512-13PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+2.5
2613-13MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Jeryn Hildenbrand+2.5
2713-14PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Nicolette Noble+2.6
2814-14MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.6
2914-15PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+2.8
3015-15MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+2.7
3115-16PORTMONTST KillTeagan Jaynes+2.9
3216-16MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.8
3316-17PORTMONTST Attack errKalaweloilehua Chockblk Alice Steman, Karli Heidemann+3.1
3416-18MONTST MONTST AceMONTST serveraced Jeryn Hildenbrand+4.3
3517-18MONTST PORT×4Serve errMONTST server+2.7
3618-18PORTPORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+4.5
3719-18PORTPORT×4AcePORT serveraced Nicolette Noble+4.8
3820-18PORTPORT×4Attack errLauren Greenyblk Maui Robins, Shaylee Stephen+4.6
3920-19PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.8
4020-20MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+5.1
4121-20MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+4.1
4221-21PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Lauren Greeny+4.0
4322-21MONTST PORTAttack errElli Tuftoblk Taina Kaauwai, Eliot Diehl Palmer+4.6
4422-22PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+4.5
4522-23MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+8.0
4623-23MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+5.4
4723-24PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+7.2
4824-24MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+7.2
4924-25PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+7.2
5024-26MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Nicolette Noble+10.5
Set 2
11-0MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.9
22-0PORTPORTAttack errLauren Greeny+2.6
32-1PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
42-2MONTST MONTST AceMONTST serveraced Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.8
53-2MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+2.0
64-2PORTPORT×3KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+2.7
75-2PORTPORT×3AcePORT serveraced Nicolette Noble+2.6
85-3PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
96-3MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+1.9
107-3PORTPORT×3AcePORT serveraced Karli Heidemann+2.4
118-3PORTPORT×3AcePORT serveraced Karli Heidemann+2.1
128-4PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
139-4MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.5
149-5PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
1510-5MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+1.5
1610-6PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.3
1711-6MONTST PORT×3Serve errMONTST server+1.5
1812-6PORTPORT×3Attack errKarli Heidemann+1.7
1913-6PORTPORT×3Attack errKarli Heidemannblk Eliot Diehl Palmer, Shaylee Stephen+1.3
2013-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.7
2114-7MONTST PORT×5KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.9
2215-7PORTPORT×5Attack errAlice Steman+0.9
2316-7PORTPORT×5Attack errLauren Greeny+0.6
2417-7PORTPORT×5Attack errKarli Heidemannblk Maui Robins, Shaylee Stephen+0.3
2518-7PORTPORT×5Attack errKarli Heidemannblk Shaylee Stephen, Maui Robins+0.2
2618-8PORTMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Maggie Rhew+0.1
2718-9MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+0.1
2818-10MONTST MONTST ×3AceMONTST serveraced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.2
2919-10MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
3020-10PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
3120-11PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+0.1
3221-11MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3321-12PORTMONTST ×3KillMaggie Rhewset Elli Tufto+0.0
3421-13MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errHavannah Hoeft+0.1
3521-14MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Maggie Rhew+0.2
3622-14MONTST PORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.2
3723-14PORTPORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3824-14PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Jeryn Hildenbrand+0.0
3924-15PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Maggie Rhew+0.0
4025-15MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.0
Set 3
10-1PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+2.4
21-1MONTST PORTAttack errElli Tuftoblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Shaylee Stephen+2.4
31-2PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+2.5
42-2MONTST PORT×3KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
53-2PORTPORT×3Attack errTeagan Jaynes+3.4
64-2PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Eskoblk Taina Kaauwai, Eliot Diehl Palmer+3.3
74-3PORTMONTST ×4KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
84-4MONTST MONTST ×4KillAlice Steman+3.5
94-5MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errTaina Kaauwai+3.7
104-6MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errMaui Robins+3.8
115-6MONTST PORT×3Serve errMONTST server+2.5
126-6PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Esko+3.7
137-6PORTPORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Shaylee Stephen+3.8
147-7PORTMONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+2.7
157-8MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+4.0
167-9MONTST MONTST ×3AceMONTST serveraced Kalaweloilehua Chock+4.1
178-9MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.7
188-10PORTMONTST Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+3.0
199-10MONTST PORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.8
2010-10PORTPORT×3Attack errAlice Steman+4.2
2111-10PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Tufto+4.3
2211-11PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+3.1
2312-11MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+3.1
2412-12PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.2
2512-13MONTST MONTST Attack errEliot Diehl Palmerblk Teagan Jaynes, Joelie Spelts+4.7
2613-13MONTST PORTAttack errLauren Greeny+3.3
2714-13PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+4.8
2814-14PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+3.5
2915-14MONTST PORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+3.6
3016-14PORTPORT×4AcePORT serveraced Elli Esko+4.9
3117-14PORTPORT×4Attack errJoelie Spelts+4.4
3218-14PORTPORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+3.6
3318-15PORTMONTST ×3Serve errPORT server+1.9
3418-16MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errEliot Diehl Palmerblk Elli Esko+3.7
3518-17MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+4.9
3619-17MONTST PORT×3Serve errMONTST server+4.1
3720-17PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Esko+4.9
3821-17PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+3.7
3921-18PORTMONTST Attack errTeagan Jaynes+1.7
4022-18MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+2.6
4122-19PORTMONTST Attack errTaina Kaauwaiblk Alice Steman, Lauren Greeny+1.5
4223-19MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
4324-19PORTPORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+1.5
4424-20PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+0.3
4525-20MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.6
Set 4
11-0MONTST PORTKillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+2.2
21-1PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
32-1MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+2.2
42-2PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
53-2MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+2.2
63-3PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
73-4MONTST MONTST AceMONTST serveraced Team+3.3
84-4MONTST PORTAttack errJoelie Spelts+2.3
95-4PORTPORTKillTaina Kaauwai+3.3
105-5PORTMONTST Attack errMaui Robinsblk Elli Esko+2.4
116-5MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
127-5PORTPORTAcePORT serveraced Lauren Greeny+3.3
137-6PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Havannah Hoeft+2.3
148-6MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
158-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
169-7MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+2.5
179-8PORTMONTST ×3Attack errEliot Diehl Palmerblk Lauren Greeny+2.4
189-9MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robinsblk Lauren Greeny, Alice Steman+3.7
199-10MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errEliot Diehl Palmer+3.9
2010-10MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+2.8
2111-10PORTPORT×3AcePORT serveraced Nicolette Noble+4.0
2212-10PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwai+3.8
2312-11PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
2413-11MONTST PORTServe errMONTST server+2.8
2513-12PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
2614-12MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Havannah Hoeft+2.9
2714-13PORTMONTST Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.8
2815-13MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+3.1
2915-14PORTMONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
3015-15MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errHavannah Hoeft+4.6
3115-16MONTST MONTST ×3KillTeagan Jaynesset Havannah Hoeft+5.1
3216-16MONTST PORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+3.5
3317-16PORTPORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+5.2
3417-17PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+3.7
3517-18MONTST MONTST Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+5.7
3618-18MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Jeryn Hildenbrand+4.0
3719-18PORTPORTAcePORT serveraced Team+6.0
3819-19PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+4.2
3920-19MONTST PORTAttack errElli Esko+4.6
4020-20PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+4.6
4120-21MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+7.4
4221-21MONTST PORTAttack errElli Eskoblk Eliot Diehl Palmer, Taina Kaauwai+5.1
4321-22PORTMONTST Serve errPORT server+6.1
4421-23MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Nicolette Noble+8.3
4522-23MONTST PORT×4KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+4.2
4623-23PORTPORT×4Attack errElli Eskoblk Havannah Hoeft, Taina Kaauwai+9.5
4724-23PORTPORT×4Attack errJoelie Spelts+12.1
4825-23PORTPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwai+11.6

Score shown after each rally, Portland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.