Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Portland def. Montana St. 3–1

Portland won at Montana St. 3-1 (24-26, 25-15, 25-20, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Portland's Eliot Diehl Palmer led with 12 kills, and Kalaweloilehua Chock added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
PORT242525253
MONTST 261520231

Win probability

Montana St. above 50 · Portland below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+16.1% PORTrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 16.1% to Portland — set 4, PORT 25-23 MONTST . Kill by Taina Kaauwai. MONTST win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PORT 38.2%61.8% MONTST

Portland wins

3-0
8.1%
3-1
13.8%
3-2
16.2%

Montana St. wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.7%
3-2
20.0%
PORT break %
39.5% vs this opp
MONTST break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Taina KaauwaiKill+16.1%

    Kill by Taina Kaauwai

    Set 4 · PORT 25-23 MONTST · PORT 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Joelie SpeltsAttack error+15.3%

    Attack error by Joelie Spelts

    Set 4 · PORT 24-23 MONTST · PORT 69% → 84%

  3. 03

    Elli Esko stuffed by Havannah Hoeft & Taina Kaauwai

    Set 4 · PORT 23-23 MONTST · PORT 57% → 69%

  4. 04
    Elli EskoKill+9.2%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Nicolette Noble)

    Set 4 · PORT 21-23 MONTST · MONTST 38% → 47%

  5. 05

    Kill by Karli Heidemann (set by Nicolette Noble)

    Set 1 · PORT 24-26 MONTST · MONTST 68% → 77%

  6. 06
    Elli EskoKill+8.8%

    Kill by Elli Esko (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 4 · PORT 20-21 MONTST · MONTST 28% → 37%

  7. 07
    Joelie SpeltsKill+7.8%

    Kill by Joelie Spelts (set by Teagan Jaynes)

    Set 1 · PORT 22-23 MONTST · MONTST 59% → 67%

  8. 08
    PortlandAce+7.6%

    Portland ace

    Set 4 · PORT 19-18 MONTST · PORT 69% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412424.3330003004214
411224.3750131004214
411431.226420143010.513.5
410644.09110141031.511.5
46212.3333501100010.56.5
4209.22210020052.54.5
4001.0004331210003
4000–0211000002
4000–000000000
Team totals5218145.2344589566018999
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412428.28601116112215
412323.39100330010.512.5
46720-.050033102010.59.5
47316.25000000031.58.5
42113.0773511100010.53.5
34316.063100600004
4000–011500001
4000–402730000
35622-.045000412027
3000–000200000
11011.000300000001
1000–001000000
Team totals4927139.1584361263838784

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PORT · MONTST 4

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 2

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 PORTMONTST 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 4 PORTMONTST 3

Bars above the line = Montana St. leads, below = Portland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Portland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
40%4/10
2
58%7/12
61%11/18
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
54%7/13
46%6/13
5
88%7/8
22%2/9
6
71%5/7
33%3/9
All
66%40/61
46%34/74

Montana St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
25%2/8
2
44%7/16
42%5/12
3
50%7/14
22%2/9
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
100%6/6
36%4/11
6
55%6/11
14%1/7
All
54%40/74
34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#PORT-MONTST SrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.5
22-0PORTPORTAttack errAlice Steman+2.6
32-1PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
43-1MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+1.8
53-2PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.7
63-3MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+2.6
74-3MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+1.9
84-4PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
95-4MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+1.9
105-5PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
115-6MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Maui Robins+2.7
126-6MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Jeryn Hildenbrand+1.9
136-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.9
146-8MONTST MONTST Bad setHavannah Hoeft+2.7
157-8MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.8
167-9PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+1.9
177-10MONTST MONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
188-10MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Maui Robins+1.6
198-11PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+1.8
209-11MONTST PORT×3Serve errMontana St.+1.7
2110-11PORTPORT×3KillMaui Robins+2.8
2211-11PORTPORT×3KillShaylee Stephen+3.2
2311-12PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.2
2412-12MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+2.3
2512-13PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+2.3
2613-13MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Jeryn Hildenbrand+2.4
2713-14PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Nicolette Noble+2.4
2814-14MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.5
2914-15PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+2.6
3015-15MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+2.6
3115-16PORTMONTST KillTeagan Jaynes+2.7
3216-16MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.7
3316-17PORTMONTST BlockedKalaweloilehua Chockblk Alice Steman, Karli Heidemann+2.8
3416-18MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Jeryn Hildenbrand+4.0
3517-18MONTST PORT×4Serve errMontana St.+2.5
3618-18PORTPORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+4.4
3719-18PORTPORT×4AcePortlandaced Nicolette Noble+5.0
3820-18PORTPORT×4BlockedLauren Greenyblk Maui Robins, Shaylee Stephen+5.0
3920-19PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
4020-20MONTST MONTST KillLauren Greenyset Nicolette Noble+5.3
4121-20MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+4.2
4221-21PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Lauren Greeny+3.9
4322-21MONTST PORTBlockedElli Tuftoblk Taina Kaauwai, Eliot Diehl Palmer+4.7
4422-22PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+4.4
4522-23MONTST MONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+7.8
4623-23MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+5.1
4723-24PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+6.6
4824-24MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+6.6
4924-25PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+6.6
5024-26MONTST MONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Nicolette Noble+9.2
Set 2
11-0MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
22-0PORTPORTAttack errLauren Greeny+2.3
32-1PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
42-2MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.aced Kalaweloilehua Chock+2.3
53-2MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+1.6
64-2PORTPORT×3KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+2.4
75-2PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Nicolette Noble+2.4
85-3PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+1.5
96-3MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+1.7
107-3PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Karli Heidemann+2.3
118-3PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Karli Heidemann+2.1
128-4PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
139-4MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+1.5
149-5PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
1510-5MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+1.5
1610-6PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+1.2
1711-6MONTST PORT×3Serve errMontana St.+1.5
1812-6PORTPORT×3Attack errKarli Heidemann+1.8
1913-6PORTPORT×3BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Eliot Diehl Palmer, Shaylee Stephen+1.4
2013-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+0.7
2114-7MONTST PORT×5KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+1.0
2215-7PORTPORT×5Attack errAlice Steman+1.0
2316-7PORTPORT×5Attack errLauren Greeny+0.7
2417-7PORTPORT×5BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Maui Robins, Shaylee Stephen+0.4
2518-7PORTPORT×5BlockedKarli Heidemannblk Shaylee Stephen, Maui Robins+0.2
2618-8PORTMONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Maggie Rhew+0.1
2718-9MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+0.2
2818-10MONTST MONTST ×3AceMontana St.aced Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.3
2919-10MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.3
3020-10PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.2
3120-11PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+0.1
3221-11MONTST PORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3321-12PORTMONTST ×3KillMaggie Rhewset Elli Tufto·
3421-13MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errHavannah Hoeft+0.1
3521-14MONTST MONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Maggie Rhew+0.2
3622-14MONTST PORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Kalaweloilehua Chock+0.3
3723-14PORTPORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Havannah Hoeft+0.1
3824-14PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Jeryn Hildenbrand·
3924-15PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Maggie Rhew·
4025-15MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft·
Set 3
10-1PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+2.2
21-1MONTST PORTBlockedElli Tuftoblk Kalaweloilehua Chock, Shaylee Stephen+2.3
31-2PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+2.3
42-2MONTST PORT×3KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+2.3
53-2PORTPORT×3Attack errTeagan Jaynes+3.6
64-2PORTPORT×3BlockedElli Eskoblk Taina Kaauwai, Eliot Diehl Palmer+3.7
74-3PORTMONTST ×4KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+2.4
84-4MONTST MONTST ×4KillAlice Steman+3.6
94-5MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errTaina Kaauwai+3.6
104-6MONTST MONTST ×4Attack errMaui Robins+3.5
115-6MONTST PORT×3Serve errMontana St.+2.3
126-6PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Esko+3.7
137-6PORTPORT×3KillHavannah Hoeftset Shaylee Stephen+4.0
147-7PORTMONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+2.7
157-8MONTST MONTST ×3KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+3.9
167-9MONTST MONTST ×3AceMontana St.aced Kalaweloilehua Chock+3.8
178-9MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.5
188-10PORTMONTST Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+2.6
199-10MONTST PORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+2.6
2010-10PORTPORT×3Attack errAlice Steman+4.2
2111-10PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Tufto+4.5
2211-11PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+3.0
2312-11MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+3.2
2412-12PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.1
2512-13MONTST MONTST BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Teagan Jaynes, Joelie Spelts+4.7
2613-13MONTST PORTAttack errLauren Greeny+3.2
2714-13PORTPORTKillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+5.1
2814-14PORTMONTST KillElli Tuftoset Teagan Jaynes+3.4
2915-14MONTST PORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Havannah Hoeft+3.7
3016-14PORTPORT×4AcePortlandaced Elli Esko+5.4
3117-14PORTPORT×4Attack errJoelie Spelts+5.1
3218-14PORTPORT×4KillEliot Diehl Palmerset Kalaweloilehua Chock+4.3
3318-15PORTMONTST ×3Serve errPortland+2.2
3418-16MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Elli Esko+4.2
3518-17MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errMaui Robins+5.3
3619-17MONTST PORT×3Serve errMontana St.+4.4
3720-17PORTPORT×3Attack errElli Esko+5.7
3821-17PORTPORT×3KillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+4.5
3921-18PORTMONTST Attack errTeagan Jaynes+1.9
4022-18MONTST PORTKillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+3.0
4122-19PORTMONTST BlockedTaina Kaauwaiblk Alice Steman, Lauren Greeny+1.6
4223-19MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+2.9
4324-19PORTPORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+1.9
4424-20PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+0.3
4525-20MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+0.7
Set 4
11-0MONTST PORTKillShaylee Stephenset Havannah Hoeft+2.7
21-1PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
32-1MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+2.7
42-2PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+2.6
53-2MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+2.8
63-3PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+2.7
73-4MONTST MONTST AceMontana St.+3.9
84-4MONTST PORTAttack errJoelie Spelts+2.7
95-4PORTPORTKillTaina Kaauwai+4.2
105-5PORTMONTST BlockedMaui Robinsblk Elli Esko+2.8
116-5MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+3.0
127-5PORTPORTAcePortlandaced Lauren Greeny+4.4
137-6PORTMONTST KillJoelie Speltsset Havannah Hoeft+2.8
148-6MONTST PORTKillKalaweloilehua Chockset Havannah Hoeft+3.1
158-7PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+2.9
169-7MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+3.2
179-8PORTMONTST ×3BlockedEliot Diehl Palmerblk Lauren Greeny+3.0
189-9MONTST MONTST ×3BlockedMaui Robinsblk Lauren Greeny, Alice Steman+4.6
199-10MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errEliot Diehl Palmer+4.7
2010-10MONTST PORT×3KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+3.2
2111-10PORTPORT×3AcePortlandaced Nicolette Noble+5.0
2212-10PORTPORT×3KillTaina Kaauwai+5.1
2312-11PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.2
2413-11MONTST PORTServe errMontana St.+3.7
2513-12PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+3.3
2614-12MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Havannah Hoeft+3.8
2714-13MONTST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.5
2815-13MONTST PORTKillTaina Kaauwaiset Havannah Hoeft+4.0
2915-14PORTMONTST ×3KillJoelie Speltsset Teagan Jaynes+3.6
3015-15MONTST MONTST ×3Attack errHavannah Hoeft+5.8
3115-16MONTST MONTST ×3KillTeagan Jaynesset Havannah Hoeft+6.0
3216-16MONTST PORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+4.1
3317-16PORTPORTAttack errKarli Heidemann+6.6
3417-17PORTMONTST KillKarli Heidemannset Teagan Jaynes+4.4
3517-18MONTST MONTST Attack errKalaweloilehua Chock+6.8
3618-18MONTST PORTKillHavannah Hoeftset Jeryn Hildenbrand+4.6
3719-18PORTPORTAcePortland+7.6
3819-19PORTMONTST KillLauren Greenyset Teagan Jaynes+5.0
3920-19MONTST PORTAttack errElli Esko+5.7
4020-20PORTMONTST KillAlice Stemanset Teagan Jaynes+5.4
4120-21MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Teagan Jaynes+8.8
4221-21MONTST PORTBlockedElli Eskoblk Eliot Diehl Palmer, Taina Kaauwai+5.9
4321-22PORTMONTST Serve errPortland+6.8
4421-23MONTST MONTST KillElli Eskoset Nicolette Noble+9.2
4522-23MONTST PORT×4KillMaui Robinsset Havannah Hoeft+4.4
4623-23PORTPORT×4BlockedElli Eskoblk Havannah Hoeft, Taina Kaauwai+11.1
4724-23PORTPORT×4Attack errJoelie Spelts+15.3
4825-23PORTPORT×4KillTaina Kaauwai+16.1

Score shown after each rally, Portland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).