Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tarleton St. def. West Ga. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tarleton St. 91.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tarleton St. beat visiting West Ga. 3-1 (25-20, 30-28, 21-25, 25-15) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Alyssa Dinh and Onita Davis led Tarleton St. with 12 kills each; West Ga.'s Brooke McCall had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set1234Sets
W GA202825151
TARLET253021253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tarleton St. held West Ga. to .103 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.1 points. West Ga. peaked at 12% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Tarleton St. 91% before first serve.

West Ga.Tarleton St.
  • Break %+8.3 pts
    33.742.0

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 100 vs 30 of 89. West Ga. sided out 58.0% of the time.

  • Hitting+.093
    .103.196

    52 K / 21 E against 45 K / 29 E.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Tarleton St. scored 6 straight in the fourth set to turn a 1–3 deficit into a 7–3 lead. The set finished 25–15.

Tarleton St. above 50West Ga. belowMax swing 3.1%

West Ga.Tarleton St.

Aces
West Ga. 8·Tarleton St. 8
Serve err
West Ga. 9·Tarleton St. 12
Blocks
West Ga. 9·Tarleton St. 132 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 24 BA
Digs
West Ga. 72·Tarleton St. 74

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tarleton St. above 50 · West Ga. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.1% W GArally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.1% to West Ga. — set 2, W GA 24-23 TARLET. Kill by Grace-Blythe Cornett (set by Desha Van Veldhuizen). TARLET win probability 93% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W GA 10.8%89.2% TARLET

West Ga. wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

Tarleton St. wins

3-0
43.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%
W GA break %
40.5% vs this opp
TARLET break %
50.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Grace-Blythe Cornett (set by Desha Van Veldhuizen)

    Set 2 · W GA 24-23 TARLET · W GA 7% → 10%

  2. 02

    Kill by Breannah Peterson (set by Peyton Fadal)

    Set 2 · W GA 24-24 TARLET · TARLET 90% → 93%

  3. 03

    Kill by Grace-Blythe Cornett (set by Desha Van Veldhuizen)

    Set 2 · W GA 25-24 TARLET · W GA 7% → 10%

  4. 04
    Onita DavisKill+3.1%

    Kill by Onita Davis (set by Leddy Rae Guinn)

    Set 2 · W GA 25-25 TARLET · TARLET 90% → 93%

  5. 05

    Kill by Grace-Blythe Cornett (set by Desha Van Veldhuizen)

    Set 2 · W GA 26-25 TARLET · W GA 7% → 10%

  6. 06
    Onita DavisKill+3.1%

    Kill by Onita Davis (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 2 · W GA 26-26 TARLET · TARLET 90% → 93%

  7. 07
    Onita DavisKill+3.0%

    Kill by Onita Davis (set by Kingsley Minus)

    Set 2 · W GA 26-27 TARLET · TARLET 93% → 96%

  8. 08
    Milena CetkovicBlock+2.8%

    Alyssa Dinh stuffed by Milena Cetkovic

    Set 2 · W GA 23-22 TARLET · W GA 6% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4141350.02000201010.514.5
410534.1470017104212
47219.26301120233.511.5
46834-.05914215202111
48115.4670002004210
4003.0004221800002
4000–011910001
4000–000210000
4000–0011900000
4000–000800000
Team totals4529155.1034389728214988
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412325.36010040052.514.5
410220.40000010073.513.5
42116.06302010174.58.5
4014-.2502614900001
34314.071000600004
3228.00001040010.53.5
412638.1580000002113
4102.500190150010.51.5
4000–3112120001
35322.091034125010.58.5
2000–002210000
2000–000700000
1409.444000200004
Team totals5221158.1964981274812413101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

West Ga. vs Tarleton St.

Season series · Tarleton St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W GA · TARLET 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 W GATARLET 5

Set 2

28-30

Longest run 3 W GATARLET 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 W GATARLET 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 W GATARLET 6

Bars above the line = Tarleton St. leads, below = West Ga. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

West Ga.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
50%6/12
2
35%7/20
33%4/12
3
100%7/7
42%5/12
4
64%7/11
22%2/9
5
50%5/10
33%3/9
6
83%5/6
17%1/6
All
55%39/71
35%21/60

Tarleton St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
56%9/16
2
54%7/13
53%8/15
3
88%7/8
46%6/13
4
75%6/8
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
50%5/10
38%3/8
All
65%39/60
45%32/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#W GA-TARLETSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TARLETTARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.8
21-1TARLETW GA×4KillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.8
32-1W GAW GA×4KillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.0
43-1W GAW GA×4KillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.2
54-1W GAW GA×4KillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.3
64-2W GATARLET×5Serve errWest Ga.+0.9
74-3TARLETTARLET×5KillAlyssa Dinh+1.1
84-4TARLETTARLET×5Attack errMilena Cetkovic+1.0
94-5TARLETTARLET×5AceTarleton St.+0.9
104-6TARLETTARLET×5BlockedBrooke McCallblk Alyssa Dinh, Breannah Peterson+0.8
115-6TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.8
125-7W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.7
136-7TARLETW GABlockedBreannah Petersonblk Milena Cetkovic, Brooke McCall+0.8
146-8W GATARLETKillLaci Schoenset Peyton Fadal+0.7
157-8TARLETW GAAttack errOnita Davis+0.8
167-9W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.8
177-10TARLETTARLETBlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk Jacqui McClain, Madison Frank+0.8
188-10TARLETW GABlockedJacqui McClainblk Grace-Blythe Cornett, Maddy Kirmer+0.7
198-11W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.7
209-11TARLETW GABlockedOnita Davisblk Valiree Schmus, Maddy Kirmer+0.7
2110-11W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Jacqui McClain+1.1
2210-12W GATARLET×4Bad setDesha Van Veldhuizen+0.9
2310-13TARLETTARLET×4KillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.9
2410-14TARLETTARLET×4KillJacqui McClain+0.7
2510-15TARLETTARLET×4Attack errBrooke McCall+0.6
2611-15TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.4
2711-16W GATARLETAttack errBrooke McCall+0.5
2811-17TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.aced Brooke McCall+0.4
2912-17TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.3
3012-18W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.3
3113-18TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.2
3214-18W GAW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
3314-19W GATARLETKillMadison Frankset Peyton Fadal+0.5
3415-19TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.4
3516-19W GAW GAAttack errOnita Davis+0.7
3616-20W GATARLETBlockedValiree Schmusblk Madison Frank, Onita Davis+0.7
3716-21TARLETTARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+0.6
3817-21TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.3
3917-22W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.4
4018-22TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.3
4119-22W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Alexa Earle+0.6
4219-23W GATARLETKillJacqui McClainset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.7
4319-24TARLETTARLETAttack errBrooke McCall+0.4
4420-24TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.1
4520-25W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.2
Set 2
11-0W GAW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
22-0W GAW GAAttack errPeyton Fadal+0.8
32-1W GATARLETBad setDesha Van Veldhuizen+0.6
43-1TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.7
54-1W GAW GAAttack errBreannah Peterson+0.9
64-2W GATARLET×3BlockedBrooke McCallblk Alyssa Dinh, Breannah Peterson+0.6
74-3TARLETTARLET×3KillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.7
84-4TARLETTARLET×3Attack errBrooke McCall+0.7
95-4TARLETW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
105-5W GATARLETKillLaci Schoenset Peyton Fadal+0.6
115-6TARLETTARLETBlockedBrooke McCallblk Madison Frank, Breannah Peterson+0.7
126-6TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.6
137-6W GAW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.8
147-7W GATARLET×4KillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.6
157-8TARLETTARLET×4BlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk Madison Frank+0.7
167-9TARLETTARLET×4Attack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.6
177-10TARLETTARLET×4KillMadison Frankset Kingsley Minus+0.5
188-10TARLETW GABlockedLaci Schoenblk Milena Cetkovic, Grace-Blythe Cornett+0.5
198-11W GATARLETAttack errGrace-Blythe Cornett+0.5
209-11TARLETW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
219-12W GATARLETBad setGiorgia Mandotti+0.5
2210-12TARLETW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
2310-13TARLET
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
2411-13TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
2511-14W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.5
2612-14TARLETW GA×3KillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
2713-14W GAW GA×3BlockedLaci Schoenblk Grace-Blythe Cornett, Milena Cetkovic+0.8
2814-14W GAW GA×3Attack errAlyssa Dinh+1.0
2914-15W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.8
3014-16TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.aced Grace-Blythe Cornett+0.9
3115-16TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.8
3215-17W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.8
3316-17TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.8
3417-17W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Jacqui McClain+1.2
3517-18W GATARLETKillLaci Schoenset Kingsley Minus+1.0
3618-18TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+1.1
3718-19W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.1
3819-19TARLETW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.2
3920-19W GAW GAAttack errJacqui McClain+1.8
4020-20W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+1.4
4120-21TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.+1.7
4221-21TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.5
4321-22W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+1.6
4422-22TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.7
4523-22W GAW GABlockedAlyssa Dinhblk Milena Cetkovic+2.8
4623-23W GATARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+2.2
4724-23TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+3.1
4824-24W GATARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+3.1
4925-24TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+3.1
5025-25W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Leddy Rae Guinn+3.1
5126-25TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+3.1
5226-26W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+3.1
5326-27TARLETTARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+3.0
5427-27TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Madison Frank+2.5
5527-28W GATARLETKillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+2.5
5628-28TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+2.5
5728-29W GATARLETKillKingsley Minusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+2.5
5828-30TARLETTARLETBlockedBrooke McCallblk Kingsley Minus, Alyssa Dinh+2.4
Set 3
11-0TARLETW GAAttack errJacqui McClain+0.3
21-1W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.2
31-2TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.3
42-2TARLETW GA×3BlockedAlyssa Dinhblk Milena Cetkovic+0.2
53-2W GAW GA×3Attack errLaci Schoen+0.3
64-2W GAW GA×3AceWest Ga.aced Jacqui McClain+0.4
74-3W GATARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.3
85-3TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.3
95-4W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.3
105-5TARLETTARLETAttack errValiree Schmus+0.3
116-5TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.3
126-6W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.3
137-6TARLETW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.3
148-6W GAW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.4
158-7W GATARLETAttack errValiree Schmus+0.3
169-7TARLETW GA×3BlockedOnita Davisblk Valiree Schmus, Maddy Kirmer+0.4
1710-7W GAW GA×3AceWest Ga.aced Jacqui McClain+0.5
1811-7W GAW GA×3KillBrooke McCallset Valiree Schmus+0.5
1911-8W GATARLET×4KillJacqui McClainset Kingsley Minus+0.3
2011-9TARLETTARLET×4Attack errMaddy Kirmer+0.4
2111-10TARLETTARLET×4Attack errBrooke McCall+0.4
2211-11TARLETTARLET×4BlockedBrooke McCallblk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh+0.4
2312-11TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.4
2412-12W GATARLETKillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+0.4
2512-13TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.aced Valiree Schmus+0.4
2613-13TARLETW GA×3Serve errTarleton St.+0.4
2714-13W GAW GA×3AceWest Ga.aced Jacqui McClain+0.5
2815-13W GAW GA×3KillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.6
2915-14W GATARLETKillLaci Schoenset Alyssa Dinh+0.4
3016-14TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
3116-15W GATARLETBlockedValiree Schmusblk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank+0.5
3217-15TARLETW GAAttack errMadison Frank+0.6
3317-16W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.5
3418-16TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.6
3518-17W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.5
3619-17TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
3720-17W GAW GAAttack errOnita Davis+0.8
3820-18W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.5
3921-18TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
4021-19W GATARLETAttack errMilena Cetkovic+0.5
4122-19TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.8
4223-19W GAW GABad setPeyton Fadal+0.7
4323-20W GATARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.3
4424-20TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.6
4524-21W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.2
4625-21TARLETW GAKillGrace-Blythe Cornettset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.5
Set 4
11-0W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Leddy Rae Guinn+1.4
21-1W GATARLETKillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Peyton Fadal+1.1
32-1TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+1.3
43-1W GAW GABad setPeyton Fadal+1.7
53-2W GATARLET×6KillAlyssa Dinhset Peyton Fadal+1.2
63-3TARLETTARLET×6KillLaNeah Laraset Peyton Fadal+1.4
73-4TARLETTARLET×6Attack errBrooke McCall+1.3
83-5TARLETTARLET×6KillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+1.2
93-6TARLETTARLET×6KillLaNeah Laraset Peyton Fadal+1.0
103-7TARLETTARLET×6BlockedBrooke McCallblk Breannah Peterson, Madison Frank+0.8
114-7TARLETW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
124-8W GATARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Leddy Rae Guinn+0.7
135-8TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.7
145-9W GATARLET×3KillLaNeah Laraset Kingsley Minus+0.7
155-10TARLETTARLET×3Attack errValiree Schmus+0.7
165-11TARLETTARLET×3KillMadison Natori Rice-Locketset Kingsley Minus+0.5
176-11TARLETW GAKillValiree Schmusset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.4
186-12W GATARLETKillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.4
197-12TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.4
207-13W GATARLETAttack errValiree Schmus+0.5
217-14TARLETTARLETAttack errValiree Schmus+0.4
228-14TARLETW GAServe errTarleton St.+0.3
238-15W GATARLETServe errWest Ga.+0.3
248-16TARLETTARLETAceTarleton St.aced Adriana Medrano+0.3
259-16TARLETW GAKillMaddy Kirmerset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.2
269-17W GATARLETBlockedBrooke McCallblk Breannah Peterson, Alyssa Dinh+0.2
279-18TARLETTARLETKillBreannah Petersonset Peyton Fadal+0.1
2810-18TARLETW GAKillBrooke McCallset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.1
2910-19W GATARLETKillLaNeah Laraset Peyton Fadal+0.1
3011-19TARLETW GAKillMilena Cetkovicset Desha Van Veldhuizen+0.1
3112-19W GAW GAAceWest Ga.aced Leddy Rae Guinn+0.1
3212-20W GATARLETBlockedValiree Schmusblk Onita Davis, Madison Frank+0.2
3312-21TARLETTARLETBlockedGrace-Blythe Cornettblk Madison Natori Rice-Locket, Madison Frank+0.1
3413-21TARLETW GA×3Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket·
3514-21W GAW GA×3Attack errOnita Davis+0.1
3615-21W GAW GA×3Attack errMadison Natori Rice-Locket+0.2
3715-22W GATARLET×4KillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus+0.2
3815-23TARLETTARLET×4AceTarleton St.aced Valiree Schmus+0.1
3915-24TARLETTARLET×4AceTarleton St.aced Cassie Thayse·
4015-25TARLETTARLET×4KillOnita Davisset Kingsley Minus·

Score shown after each rally, West Ga. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).