Abilene Christian def. Oral Roberts 3–1
(20-25, 25-22, 25-20, 25-19)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4* | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABILCH | 20 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| ORU | 25 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 1 |
- * Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.5% to Abilene Christian — set 3, ABILCH 19-18 ORU. Attack error by Cortnee Smith. ORU win probability 24% → 20%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Abilene Christian wins
Oral Roberts wins
- ABILCH break %
- 49.2% vs this opp
- ORU break %
- 40.7% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Cortnee SmithAttack error+4.5%
Attack error by Cortnee Smith
Set 3 · ABILCH 19-18 ORU · ABILCH 76% → 80%
- 02
- 03Alyssa ToddKill+4.1%
Kill by Alyssa Todd (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 3 · ABILCH 20-18 ORU · ABILCH 80% → 84%
- 04Cortnee SmithKill+4.0%
Kill by Cortnee Smith (set by Mackenzie Murphy)
Set 3 · ABILCH 17-18 ORU · ORU 24% → 28%
- 05Rachel KossAttack error+4.0%
Rachel Koss stuffed by Molly Felkins
Set 3 · ABILCH 14-15 ORU · ORU 22% → 26%
- 06
- 07Ciara CunninghamAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Ciara Cunningham
Set 2 · ABILCH 15-15 ORU · ABILCH 61% → 65%
- 08Ana StojicicAttack error+3.8%
Ana Stojicic stuffed by Hadlee Welch & Hannah Gonzalez
Set 2 · ABILCH 16-15 ORU · ABILCH 65% → 69%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 21 | 0 | 28 | .750 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 22.5 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 35 | .257 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7 | 22 | .136 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 14 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 51 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 | -.095 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 61 | 20 | 145 | .283 | 57 | 2 | 13 | 66 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 38 | .237 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 7 | 40 | .025 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 27 | .074 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | .000 | 33 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 21 | 141 | .149 | 38 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 86 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
25-20
Set 4*
25-19
Bars above the line = Oral Roberts leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Abilene Christian
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 33%3/9 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 65%13/20 |
| 3 | 47%7/15 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 6 | 50%6/12 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 60%41/68 | 42%29/69 |
Oral Roberts
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 50%7/14 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 54%7/13 | 46%6/13 |
| 5 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 58%40/69 | 40%27/68 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
181 rallies
Rally log
| # | ABILCH-ORU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.1 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ORU | ABILCH | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.1 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Khylie Remmenga | set Brennan Ramirez | +1.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Olivia Burns | +1.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +1.3 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Khylie Remmenga | blk Alyssa Todd, Avery Thaler | +1.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +1.4 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | ORU | ORU×3 | Ace | ORU server | aced Team | +1.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +2.0 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | blk Hannah Gonzalez, Hadlee Welch | +1.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Maddie Finnegan | +1.7 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | ORU | ORU | Bad set | Rachel Koss | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.5 |
| 23 | 10-13 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Quincey McCoy | set Ana Appel | +1.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Izabelle Larson | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +2.0 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 27 | 12-15 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +2.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +1.7 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Khylie Remmenga | set Ana Appel | +2.1 |
| 30 | 13-17 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Stojicic | +2.5 |
| 31 | 14-17 | ORU | ABILCH | Bad set | Cortnee Smith | +1.5 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Brennan Ramirez | +2.2 |
| 33 | 15-18 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.4 |
| 34 | 16-18 | ORU | ABILCH | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +1.8 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ana Appel | +2.5 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.9 |
| 37 | 17-20 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.6 |
| 38 | 17-21 | ORU | ORU×3 | Ace | ORU server | aced Team | +2.8 |
| 39 | 17-22 | ORU | ORU×3 | Kill | Ana Stojicic | +2.1 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.9 |
| 41 | 18-23 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +1.6 |
| 42 | 18-24 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Ana Stojicic | set Ana Appel | +0.9 |
| 43 | 19-24 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.2 |
| 44 | 20-24 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.4 |
| 45 | 20-25 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.8 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | ORU | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +2.2 |
| 4 | 3-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Bad set | Ana Appel | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +1.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.2 |
| 8 | 6-2 | ORU | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.2 |
| 9 | 7-2 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.3 |
| 10 | 8-2 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.0 |
| 11 | 9-2 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ana Stojicic | +0.8 | |
| 12 | 9-3 | ABILCH | ORU×5 | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +0.6 |
| 13 | 9-4 | ORU | ORU×5 | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +0.9 |
| 14 | 9-5 | ORU | ORU×5 | Ace | ORU server | aced Abby Christian | +1.2 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ORU | ORU×5 | Ace | ORU server | aced Brennan Ramirez | +1.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | ORU | ORU×5 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +2.0 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ana Stojicic | set Ana Appel | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +1.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | ORU | ORU×3 | Kill | Ana Appel | set Aubrey Beaver | +2.7 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +3.3 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Aubrey Beaver | set Rachel Koss | +2.6 |
| 26 | 13-13 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +4.0 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | ORU | ORU×3 | Bad set | Rachel Koss | +4.4 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | ORU | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +3.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +4.0 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ana Stojicic | blk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez | +3.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +3.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | blk Ciara Cunningham, Quincey McCoy | +2.8 |
| 34 | 18-16 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +3.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Cortnee Smith | +3.0 |
| 36 | 19-17 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +2.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ORU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +2.6 |
| 38 | 21-17 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +2.3 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ana Stojicic | set Ana Appel | +0.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | +1.4 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.8 |
| 43 | 23-20 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.0 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Rachel Koss | +1.6 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | blk Khylie Remmenga, Cortnee Smith | +0.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Avery Thaler | +1.7 | |
| 47 | 25-22 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +2.8 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ORU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.8 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +2.1 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +1.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.7 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | ORU | ORU×3 | Kill | Ana Stojicic | set Ana Appel | +2.3 |
| 9 | 4-5 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | blk Ciara Cunningham | +2.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Brennan Ramirez | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +2.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | ORU | ABILCH×4 | Serve err | ORU server | +2.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Aubrey Beaver | set Rachel Koss | +2.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +2.2 |
| 15 | 9-6 | ABILCH | ABILCH×4 | Attack err | Ana Stojicic | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | ABILCH | ORU×4 | Attack err | Hadlee Welch | +1.6 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | ORU | ORU×4 | Bad set | Rachel Koss | +2.3 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | ORU | ORU×4 | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | +2.8 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | ORU | ORU×4 | Ace | ORU server | aced Team | +3.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +2.4 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Ace | ABILCH server | aced Team | +3.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +2.6 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +3.6 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +2.7 |
| 27 | 14-13 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Abby Christian | +3.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Olivia Burns | +2.9 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Rachel Koss | blk Molly Felkins | +4.0 |
| 30 | 15-15 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +3.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | ABILCH | ORU | Attack err | Aubrey Beaver | +3.5 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Rachel Koss | +3.2 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Quincey McCoy | set Ana Appel | +3.8 |
| 34 | 17-17 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +3.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Mackenzie Murphy | +4.0 |
| 36 | 18-18 | ORU | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Ana Appel | +3.7 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +4.5 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +4.1 |
| 39 | 20-19 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +3.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +3.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Hannah Gonzalez | +3.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +2.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | ORU | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +2.9 |
| 44 | 24-20 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Brennan Ramirez | +1.9 |
| 45 | 25-20 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | blk Hadlee Welch | +1.4 |
| 3 | 3-0 | ABILCH | ABILCH×3 | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +1.2 |
| 4 | 3-1 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.0 |
| 5 | 4-1 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ABILCH | ORU×3 | Kill | Elyse Dube | set Ana Appel | +1.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Rachel Koss | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | ORU | ORU×3 | Attack err | Alyssa Todd | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Elyse Dube | set Ana Appel | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | ORU | ABILCH | Attack err | Ana Appel | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Quincey McCoy | set Ana Appel | +1.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 15 | 8-7 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Quincey McCoy | set Ana Appel | +1.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +1.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | ORU | ABILCH | Serve err | ORU server | +1.7 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +1.9 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | ORU | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Attack err | Ciara Cunningham | +1.7 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +1.4 |
| 25 | 15-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | +1.1 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | ABILCH | ABILCH×5 | Attack err | Elyse Dube | blk Hannah Gonzalez, Rachel Koss | +0.8 |
| 27 | 16-11 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Elyse Dube | set Ana Appel | +0.5 |
| 28 | 17-11 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| 29 | 17-12 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.5 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hannah Gonzalez | set Rachel Koss | +0.6 |
| 31 | 18-13 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | ORU | ORU | Attack err | Avery Thaler | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Avery Thaler | set Rachel Koss | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Cortnee Smith | set Ana Appel | +0.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | ORU | ORU | Kill | Molly Felkins | set Ashlyn Aseltine | +1.3 |
| 36 | 20-16 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Rachel Koss | +1.3 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ABILCH | ORU | Serve err | ABILCH server | +1.0 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Hadlee Welch | set Alyssa Todd | +1.3 |
| 39 | 22-17 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Attack err | Cortnee Smith | +1.0 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Molly Felkins | set Ana Appel | +0.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | ORU | ABILCH | Kill | Alyssa Todd | set Rachel Koss | +0.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | ABILCH | ORU | Kill | Ciara Cunningham | set Ana Appel | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | ORU | ABILCH | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +0.6 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | ABILCH | ABILCH | Kill | Maddie Finnegan | set Rachel Koss | +0.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.