FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Abilene Christian def. Austin Peay 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Abilene Christian 60.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Abilene Christian beat visiting Austin Peay 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-18) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Abilene Christian's Hannah Gonzalez led with 11 kills, and Brennan Ramirez added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 1

Set123Sets
A PEAY1819180
ABILCH2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Austin Peay never reached 20 in a set against Abilene Christian.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.1 points. Austin Peay peaked at 39% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Abilene Christian went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

Austin PeayAbilene Christian
  • Break %+19.6 pts
    25.044.6

    On serve: 33/74 against 14/56 (Austin Peay sideout 55.4%).

  • Hitting+.132
    .145.277

    Kills and errors: 48–17 vs 28–16.

  • Longest run+2
    35

    5 straight Abilene Christian points in the second set stretched a 5–4 lead to 10–4. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Abilene Christian above 50Austin Peay belowMax swing 3.1%

Austin PeayAbilene Christian

Aces
Austin Peay 3·Abilene Christian 4
Serve err
Austin Peay 6·Abilene Christian 7
Blocks
Austin Peay 4·Abilene Christian 51 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Austin Peay 38·Abilene Christian 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Abilene Christian above 50 · Austin Peay below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.1% ABILCHrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Abilene Christian — set 2, A PEAY 17-20 ABILCH. Attack error by Remmi Cooke. ABILCH win probability 83% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

A PEAY 25.5%74.5% ABILCH

Austin Peay wins

3-0
4.5%
3-1
8.8%
3-2
12.2%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
26.6%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
19.4%
A PEAY break %
40.5% vs this opp
ABILCH break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Remmi CookeAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Remmi Cooke

    Set 2 · A PEAY 17-20 ABILCH · ABILCH 83% → 86%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lauren Wallace (set by Sarah Butler)

    Set 2 · A PEAY 17-18 ABILCH · A PEAY 17% → 20%

  3. 03
    Avery ThalerKill+3.1%

    Kill by Avery Thaler

    Set 1 · A PEAY 12-14 ABILCH · ABILCH 63% → 67%

  4. 04
    Austin PeayAce+3.1%

    Austin Peay ace

    Set 1 · A PEAY 12-12 ABILCH · A PEAY 36% → 39%

  5. 05
    Aubrey BeaverKill+2.9%

    Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 2 · A PEAY 17-19 ABILCH · ABILCH 80% → 83%

  6. 06
    Cree HollierAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Cree Hollier

    Set 1 · A PEAY 12-15 ABILCH · ABILCH 67% → 69%

  7. 07
    Avery ThalerKill+2.5%

    Kill by Avery Thaler (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 1 · A PEAY 12-13 ABILCH · ABILCH 61% → 63%

  8. 08
    Alyssa ToddKill+2.5%

    Kill by Alyssa Todd

    Set 1 · A PEAY 13-17 ABILCH · ABILCH 70% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310318.3890001100010
36213.30802143010.58.5
3308.37500010111.54.5
33414-.071002100003
3000–1101600000
2116.000001500212
3119.000000000212
3001.0001210700001
3000–000400000
3000–201800000
3000–000000000
13210.100000100003
1134-.500000000001
Team totals281683.145253638416455
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311226.3460025004213
310315.46700010010.510.5
39219.36810000010.59.5
39522.182000000009
35418.05600000031.56.5
3207.286400160010.52.5
3203.667012510003
3000–021610002
3000–1101300001
3012-.500001100000
Team totals4817112.2774247373010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Austin Peay vs Abilene Christian

Season series · Abilene Christian leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 A PEAY · ABILCH 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 A PEAYABILCH 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 A PEAYABILCH 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 A PEAYABILCH 4

Bars above the line = Abilene Christian leads, below = Austin Peay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Austin Peay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
0%0/6
2
53%8/15
20%2/10
3
54%7/13
27%3/11
4
50%7/14
42%5/12
5
67%6/9
22%2/9
6
50%5/10
25%2/8
All
55%41/74
25%14/56

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%8/8
36%4/11
2
73%8/11
47%7/15
3
64%7/11
50%7/14
4
58%7/12
13%1/8
5
86%6/7
63%10/16
6
86%6/7
40%4/10
All
75%42/56
45%33/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#A PEAY-ABILCHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ABILCHABILCHAttack errCree Hollier+2.3
21-1ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+1.8
31-2A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.8
41-3ABILCHABILCHBlockedTaly Cloydblk Alyssa Todd, Hannah Gonzalez+2.3
52-3ABILCHA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+1.8
62-4A PEAYABILCHServe errAustin Peay+1.8
72-5ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalez+2.2
83-5ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+1.7
94-5A PEAYA PEAYAttack errAubrey Beaver+2.3
104-6A PEAYABILCHKillRachel Kossset Brennan Ramirez+1.9
115-6ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+1.9
125-7A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.0
136-7ABILCHA PEAYAttack errAubrey Beaver+1.9
146-8A PEAYABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.0
157-8ABILCHA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Sarah Butler+2.0
167-9A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.1
178-9ABILCHA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+2.0
188-10A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.1
199-10ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+2.1
209-11A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Alyssa Todd+2.2
2110-11ABILCHA PEAYAttack errHannah Gonzalez+2.1
2210-12A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.3
2311-12ABILCHA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+2.2
2412-12A PEAYA PEAYAceAustin Peay+3.1
2512-13A PEAYABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.5
2612-14ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thaler+3.1
2712-15ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errCree Hollier+2.8
2813-15ABILCHA PEAYAttack errHadlee Welch+2.0
2913-16A PEAYABILCH×4KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.3
3013-17ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Todd+2.5
3113-18ABILCHABILCH×4BlockedTaly Cloydblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+2.0
3213-19ABILCHABILCH×4KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.4
3314-19ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+0.7
3414-20A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
3515-20ABILCHA PEAYKillNicole Okojieset Brooklynn Merrell+0.6
3615-21A PEAYABILCHServe errAustin Peay+1.0
3716-21ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+0.5
3816-22A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.8
3916-23ABILCHABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.5
4017-23ABILCHA PEAYAttack errAubrey Beaver+0.1
4117-24A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.2
4218-24ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian·
4318-25A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.1
Set 2
10-1A PEAYABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.6
20-2ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.0
31-2ABILCHA PEAYAttack errAlyssa Todd+1.6
41-3A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.6
51-4ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Lauren Wallace+1.9
62-4ABILCHA PEAYAttack errIzabelle Larson+1.5
72-5A PEAYABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.5
83-5ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+1.5
94-5A PEAYA PEAYAceAustin Peayaced Maddie Finnegan+2.1
104-6A PEAYABILCH×5Serve errAustin Peay+1.7
114-7ABILCHABILCH×5Attack errMalena Benz+2.0
124-8ABILCHABILCH×5Attack errRemmi Cooke+1.9
134-9ABILCHABILCH×5Attack errRemmi Cooke+1.6
144-10ABILCHABILCH×5Attack errAlison Coy+1.4
155-10ABILCHA PEAYAttack errAubrey Beaver+0.9
165-11A PEAYABILCHServe errAustin Peay+1.1
176-11ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Sarah Butler+0.9
187-11A PEAYA PEAYAttack errAvery Thaler+1.4
197-12A PEAYABILCHServe errAustin Peay+1.3
208-12ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+1.1
218-13A PEAYABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.3
228-14ABILCHABILCHBlockedLauren Wallaceblk Hannah Gonzalez, Hadlee Welch+1.4
239-14ABILCHA PEAY×3KillLauren Wallaceset Brooklynn Merrell+0.8
2410-14A PEAYA PEAY×3KillLauren Wallaceset Reagan Anderson+1.4
2511-14A PEAYA PEAY×3Attack errHadlee Welch+1.8
2611-15A PEAYABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.7
2711-16ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Lauren Wallace+1.7
2812-16ABILCHA PEAY×3KillLauren Wallaceset Brooklynn Merrell+1.1
2913-16A PEAYA PEAY×3AceAustin Peayaced Abby Christian+1.8
3014-16A PEAYA PEAY×3BlockedAlyssa Toddblk Alison Coy, Malena Benz+2.3
3114-17A PEAYABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.2
3214-18ABILCHABILCHAttack errLauren Wallace+2.3
3315-18ABILCHA PEAY×3KillAlison Coyset Sarah Butler+1.4
3416-18A PEAYA PEAY×3KillRemmi Cookeset Sarah Butler+2.4
3517-18A PEAYA PEAY×3KillLauren Wallaceset Sarah Butler+3.1
3617-19A PEAYABILCH×4KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.9
3717-20ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errRemmi Cooke+3.1
3817-21ABILCHABILCH×4KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.4
3917-22ABILCHABILCH×4KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+1.6
4018-22ABILCHA PEAYBlockedAubrey Beaverblk Malena Benz, Alison Coy+0.7
4118-23A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.1
4219-23ABILCHA PEAYServe errAbilene Christian+0.5
4319-24A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.9
4419-25ABILCHABILCHAttack errTaly Cloyd+0.3
Set 3
10-1ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Lauren Wallace+1.2
21-1ABILCHA PEAYKillKaelynn Ashleyset Reagan Anderson+1.0
31-2A PEAYABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.0
41-3ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbilene Christianaced Lauren Wallace+1.2
51-4ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.1
62-4ABILCHA PEAYKillMalena Benzset Sarah Butler+0.9
72-5A PEAYABILCH×4KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.9
82-6ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errCree Hollier+1.1
92-7ABILCHABILCH×4AceAbilene Christianaced Taly Cloyd+0.9
102-8ABILCHABILCH×4KillMaddie Finneganset Rachel Koss+0.8
113-8ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Sarah Butler+0.5
124-8A PEAYA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+0.8
134-9A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.8
145-9ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+0.7
155-10A PEAYABILCHServe errAustin Peay+0.8
165-11ABILCHABILCHServe errAbilene Christian+0.8
176-11ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+0.5
186-12A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.6
196-13ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.6
207-13ABILCHA PEAYKillLauren Wallaceset Brooklynn Merrell+0.4
217-14A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.5
228-14ABILCHA PEAYKillKaelynn Ashleyset Sarah Butler+0.4
238-15A PEAYABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.5
248-16ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedCree Hollierblk Rachel Koss, Hannah Gonzalez+0.4
258-17ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errKaelynn Ashley+0.3
269-17ABILCHA PEAYKillKaelynn Ashleyset Sarah Butler+0.1
279-18A PEAYABILCHKillRachel Kossset Callie Gardner+0.2
2810-18ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Sarah Butler+0.1
2910-19A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.2
3011-19ABILCHA PEAYKillTaly Cloydset Brooklynn Merrell+0.1
3112-19A PEAYA PEAYAttack errAvery Thaler+0.2
3212-20A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.2
3313-20ABILCHA PEAYBlockedHadlee Welchblk Lauren Wallace, Nicole Okojie+0.1
3414-20A PEAYA PEAYBlockedHadlee Welchblk Nicole Okojie+0.3
3514-21A PEAYABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.3
3615-21ABILCHA PEAYAttack errAvery Thaler+0.2
3715-22A PEAYABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.3
3815-23ABILCHABILCHBlockedKaelynn Ashleyblk Hadlee Welch, Hannah Gonzalez+0.1
3916-23ABILCHA PEAYAttack errHannah Gonzalez·
4016-24A PEAYABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.1
4117-24ABILCHA PEAYKillCree Hollierset Sarah Butler·
4218-24A PEAYA PEAYKillCree Hollier·
4318-25A PEAYABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Austin Peay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).