Abilene Christian def. Austin Peay 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 15)

FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Austin Peay 53.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Abilene Christian won at Austin Peay 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Abilene Christian's Aubrey Beaver led with 13 kills, and Brennan Ramirez added 18 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 11:05 PM CT · final Oct 15

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ABILCH	25	25	25	3
A PEAY	20	20	21	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Abilene Christian won 39 of 74 points on its own serve.

Win probability never moved more than 3.1 points on one rally; Austin Peay topped out at 55% in Set 1. Austin Peay went in at 53% by RallyIQ.

Abilene ChristianAustin Peay

Break %+10.8 pts
52.741.9
Points won on own serve: 39 of 74 vs 26 of 62. Austin Peay sided out 47.3% of the time.
Hitting+.141
.312.171
52 kills, 18 errors vs 32 kills, 14 errors.
Longest run+0
55
Abilene Christian had 5 straight kills in the first set to stretch a 6–4 lead to 11–4. Final score of the set: 25–20.

Austin Peay above 50Abilene Christian belowMax swing 3.1%

Abilene ChristianAustin Peay

Aces: Abilene Christian 4·Austin Peay 8
Serve err: Abilene Christian 3·Austin Peay 3
Blocks: Abilene Christian 5·Austin Peay 50 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Abilene Christian 55·Austin Peay 34

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Austin Peay above 50 · Abilene Christian below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Abilene Christian — set 2, ABILCH 12-9 A PEAY. Taly Cloyd stuffed by Avery Thaler & Hadlee Welch. A PEAY win probability 28% → 25%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ABILCH 62.8%37.2% A PEAY

Abilene Christian wins

3-0

18.7%

3-1

24.0%

3-2

20.0%

Austin Peay wins

3-0

7.8%

3-1

13.4%

3-2

15.9%

ABILCH break %: 44.4% vs this opp
A PEAY break %: 41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Avery Thaler&Hadlee WelchBlock+3.1%
Taly Cloyd stuffed by Avery Thaler & Hadlee Welch
Set 2 · ABILCH 12-9 A PEAY · ABILCH 72% → 75%
02
Malena BenzKill+3.0%
Kill by Malena Benz
Set 2 · ABILCH 10-9 A PEAY · A PEAY 27% → 30%
03
Rachel KossKill+3.0%
Kill by Rachel Koss (set by Maddie Finnegan)
Set 2 · ABILCH 8-6 A PEAY · ABILCH 69% → 72%
04
Cree HollierAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Cree Hollier
Set 2 · ABILCH 7-6 A PEAY · ABILCH 66% → 69%
05
Lauren WallaceAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Lauren Wallace
Set 2 · ABILCH 14-10 A PEAY · ABILCH 76% → 79%
06
Aubrey BeaverKill+2.9%
Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Rachel Koss)
Set 2 · ABILCH 9-6 A PEAY · ABILCH 72% → 75%
07
Sarah ButlerBad set+2.9%
Bad set by Sarah Butler
Set 2 · ABILCH 6-6 A PEAY · ABILCH 63% → 66%
08
Reagan AndersonAce+2.7%
Ace by Reagan Anderson on Izabelle Larson
Set 2 · ABILCH 3-5 A PEAY · A PEAY 36% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Abilene Christianaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Alyssa ToddOH	3	12	5	25	.280	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	12
15Hadlee WelchOH	3	8	4	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	10
7Hannah GonzalezMB	3	8	1	19	.368	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	8
2Avery ThalerMB	3	4	4	9	.000	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	6.5
11Izabelle LarsonOH	3	2	1	5	.200	0	2	0	3	2	0	0	4
4Rachel KossS	3	4	0	4	1.000	37	0	1	9	0	0	0	4
10Aubrey BeaverOH	3	13	1	25	.480	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	13.5
19Maddie FinneganOH	3	1	1	3	.000	2	1	0	8	1	0	0	2
24Brennan RamirezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	18	4	0	0	1
12Abby ChristianL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
8Annaleise SevierOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Aliyah JowersOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Pierson SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	18	109	.312	47	4	3	55	8	10	5	75

Austin Peayhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Cree HollierOH	3	6	2	28	.143	2	3	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
15Taly CloydOPP	3	9	5	19	.211	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
3Lauren WallaceOH	3	5	5	23	.000	0	1	2	4	2	2	1	2.5	8.5
11Nicole OkojieMB	3	3	1	11	.182	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Brooklynn MerrellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
9Sianna DykesMB	1	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
7Malena BenzMB	3	5	1	13	.308	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
4Reagan AndersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	6	2	0	0	0	2
12Sarah ButlerS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
6Taylor SassOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
17Alison CoyOPP	2	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
Team totals		32	14	105	.171	31	8	3	34	4	2	6	5	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Abilene Christian vs Austin Peay

Season series · Abilene Christian leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 1, 2026Austin Peay at Abilene Christian · Abilene Christian won 3-0Result →
Thu, Oct 15, 2026Abilene Christian at Austin Peay · Abilene Christian won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ABILCH · A PEAY 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 ABILCHA PEAY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 ABILCHA PEAY 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 ABILCHA PEAY 3

Bars above the line = Austin Peay leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Abilene Christian

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	57%8/14
2	60%6/10	67%12/18
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	75%6/8	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	60%9/15
6	63%5/8	38%3/8
All	58%36/62	53%39/74

Austin Peay

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	29%2/7
2	46%6/13	53%8/15
3	60%6/10	40%4/10
4	38%6/16	25%2/8
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	50%4/8	40%4/10
All	47%35/74	42%26/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	ABILCH-A PEAY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ABILCH	ABILCH	Blocked	Taly Cloyd	blk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch	+2.5
2	2-0	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+2.5
3	2-1	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+1.8
4	2-2	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Blocked	Hadlee Welch	blk Cree Hollier, Nicole Okojie	+2.5
5	2-3	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Ace	Lauren Wallace	aced Brennan Ramirez	+2.6
6	3-3	A PEAY	ABILCH×4	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.9
7	4-3	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Attack err	Lauren Wallace		+2.7
8	5-3	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Attack err	Taly Cloyd		+2.7
9	6-3	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Attack err	Cree Hollier		+2.6
10	6-4	ABILCH	A PEAY	Attack err	Hadlee Welch		+1.8
11	7-4	A PEAY	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+2.0
12	8-4	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Izabelle Larson	set Rachel Koss	+2.5
13	9-4	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+2.2
14	10-4	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.9
15	11-4	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+1.5
16	11-5	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Sianna Dykes	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.9
17	11-6	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Ace	Sarah Butler	aced Brennan Ramirez	+1.5
18	11-7	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+1.9
19	12-7	A PEAY	ABILCH×3	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.7
20	13-7	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+1.9
21	14-7	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver		+1.5
22	14-8	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Sarah Butler	+0.8
23	15-8	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
24	15-9	ABILCH	A PEAY	Blocked	Avery Thaler	blk Lauren Wallace	+0.7
25	16-9	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.0
26	16-10	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Lauren Wallace	set Sarah Butler	+0.7
27	17-10	A PEAY	ABILCH	Bad set	Brooklynn Merrell		+1.0
28	18-10	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.9
29	18-11	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.4
30	18-12	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Hadlee Welch		+0.8
31	18-13	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+1.2
32	19-13	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+1.3
33	20-13	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
34	20-14	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Cree Hollier	+0.4
35	20-15	A PEAY	A PEAY	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Reagan Anderson	+0.9
36	21-15	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
37	21-16	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Sianna Dykes	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.6
38	22-16	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.0
39	23-16	ABILCH	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+0.6
40	23-17	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Sarah Butler	+0.1
41	23-18	A PEAY	A PEAY	Ace	Cree Hollier	aced Hannah Gonzalez	+0.4
42	24-18	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Brennan Ramirez	+0.5
43	24-19	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Lauren Wallace	set Sarah Butler	+0.1
44	24-20	A PEAY	A PEAY	Attack err	Avery Thaler		+0.3
45	25-20	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.9
2	2-0	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Lauren Wallace		+2.6
3	2-1	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Avery Thaler		+1.9
4	2-2	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Brooklynn Merrell	+2.6
5	2-3	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+2.7
6	3-3	A PEAY	ABILCH	Serve err	Lauren Wallace		+2.0
7	3-4	ABILCH	A PEAY	Serve err	Brennan Ramirez		+2.0
8	3-5	A PEAY	A PEAY	Ace	Reagan Anderson	aced Izabelle Larson	+2.7
9	4-5	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Hannah Gonzalez	+1.9
10	4-6	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Brooklynn Merrell	+2.1
11	5-6	A PEAY	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+2.0
12	6-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Bad set	Sarah Butler		+2.9
13	7-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Attack err	Cree Hollier		+3.0
14	8-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Maddie Finnegan	+3.0
15	9-6	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+2.9
16	9-7	ABILCH	A PEAY	Attack err	Maddie Finnegan		+2.0
17	10-7	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+2.2
18	10-8	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Malena Benz	set Sarah Butler	+2.0
19	10-9	A PEAY	A PEAY	Kill	Malena Benz		+3.0
20	11-9	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+2.4
21	12-9	ABILCH	ABILCH	Blocked	Taly Cloyd	blk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch	+3.1
22	12-10	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Lauren Wallace	set Sarah Butler	+2.1
23	13-10	A PEAY	ABILCH×5	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+2.4
24	14-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Attack err	Lauren Wallace		+2.9
25	15-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Ace	Izabelle Larson	aced Lauren Wallace	+2.4
26	16-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Attack err	Nicole Okojie		+1.9
27	17-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×5	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.4
28	17-11	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Nicole Okojie	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.7
29	18-11	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Avery Thaler	set Rachel Koss	+1.0
30	18-12	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.6
31	18-13	A PEAY	A PEAY	Ace	Reagan Anderson	aced Izabelle Larson	+1.2
32	19-13	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.3
33	19-14	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Cree Hollier	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.8
34	20-14	A PEAY	ABILCH×4	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.2
35	21-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Kill	Maddie Finnegan	set Rachel Koss	+1.0
36	22-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Ace	Maddie Finnegan	aced Lauren Wallace	+0.5
37	23-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×4	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+0.2
38	23-15	ABILCH	A PEAY×5	Kill	Malena Benz	set Sarah Butler	·
39	23-16	A PEAY	A PEAY×5	Ace	Cree Hollier	aced Brennan Ramirez	+0.1
40	23-17	A PEAY	A PEAY×5	Ace	Cree Hollier	aced Maddie Finnegan	+0.2
41	23-18	A PEAY	A PEAY×5	Blocked	Annaleise Sevier	blk Lauren Wallace, Malena Benz	+0.4
42	23-19	A PEAY	A PEAY×5	Kill	Alison Coy	set Sarah Butler	+0.7
43	24-19	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
44	24-20	ABILCH	A PEAY	Serve err	Aliyah Jowers		+0.3
45	25-20	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+0.6
Set 3
1	1-0	ABILCH	ABILCH	Attack err	Malena Benz		+1.7
2	1-1	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Malena Benz	+1.3
3	2-1	A PEAY	ABILCH×3	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.3
4	3-1	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Rachel Koss	+1.8
5	4-1	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.7
6	4-2	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Malena Benz	set Brooklynn Merrell	+1.2
7	4-3	A PEAY	A PEAY	Blocked	Alyssa Todd	blk Alison Coy, Malena Benz	+1.8
8	5-3	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.4
9	5-4	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Malena Benz	set Brooklynn Merrell	+1.3
10	6-4	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Izabelle Larson	set Rachel Koss	+1.4
11	6-5	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Alison Coy	set Sarah Butler	+1.4
12	6-6	A PEAY	A PEAY	Blocked	Hannah Gonzalez	blk Lauren Wallace	+1.9
13	7-6	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hannah Gonzalez	set Rachel Koss	+1.5
14	7-7	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Nicole Okojie	set Sarah Butler	+1.5
15	8-7	A PEAY	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+1.6
16	9-7	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Blocked	Taly Cloyd	blk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch	+2.1
17	10-7	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Blocked	Taly Cloyd	blk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch	+2.0
18	10-8	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Reagan Anderson	+1.4
19	10-9	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Hadlee Welch		+2.0
20	10-10	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Avery Thaler		+2.2
21	11-10	A PEAY	ABILCH×3	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.7
22	12-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Alyssa Todd		+2.3
23	13-10	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Attack err	Lauren Wallace		+2.2
24	13-11	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+1.4
25	14-11	A PEAY	ABILCH	Serve err	Lauren Wallace		+1.7
26	15-11	ABILCH	ABILCH	Ace	Brennan Ramirez	aced Reagan Anderson	+2.0
27	15-12	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Cree Hollier	+1.2
28	16-12	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Hadlee Welch	set Rachel Koss	+1.5
29	16-13	ABILCH	A PEAY	Attack err	Izabelle Larson		+1.2
30	17-13	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Alyssa Todd	set Brennan Ramirez	+1.6
31	17-14	ABILCH	A PEAY	Kill	Nicole Okojie	set Sarah Butler	+1.2
32	18-14	A PEAY	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+1.6
33	19-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Abby Christian	+1.6
34	20-14	ABILCH	ABILCH×3	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+1.1
35	20-15	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Lauren Wallace	set Sarah Butler	+0.5
36	20-16	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Aubrey Beaver		+1.0
37	20-17	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Kill	Lauren Wallace	set Sarah Butler	+1.5
38	21-17	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Aubrey Beaver	set Rachel Koss	+1.7
39	22-17	ABILCH	ABILCH	Blocked	Lauren Wallace	blk Avery Thaler, Aubrey Beaver	+1.4
40	22-18	ABILCH	A PEAY	Serve err	Rachel Koss		+0.5
41	23-18	A PEAY	ABILCH	Kill	Rachel Koss	set Maddie Finnegan	+0.9
42	24-18	ABILCH	ABILCH	Ace	Izabelle Larson	aced Reagan Anderson	+0.5
43	24-19	ABILCH	A PEAY×3	Kill	Taly Cloyd	set Brooklynn Merrell	+0.1
44	24-20	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Attack err	Alyssa Todd		+0.2
45	24-21	A PEAY	A PEAY×3	Ace	Taylor Sass	aced Brennan Ramirez	+0.6
46	25-21	A PEAY	ABILCH	Serve err	Taylor Sass		+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Abilene Christian def. Austin Peay 3–0

Abilene Christian won 39 of 74 points on its own serve.