Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Abilene Christian def. Little Rock 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Abilene Christian 62.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 11:26 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Abilene Christian beat visiting Little Rock 3-1 (25-22, 25-20, 28-30, 25-15) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Abilene Christian's Aubrey Beaver led with 20 kills, and Brennan Ramirez added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
UALR222030151
ABILCH252528253

Match story · from the official box score

Abilene Christian beat Little Rock 3–1.

From the official box score. Without play-by-play that matches the result, there are no win-probability numbers here. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Abilene Christian at 63%.

Little RockAbilene Christian
  • Hitting+.136
    .185.321

    71 K / 19 E against 48 K / 20 E.

Little RockAbilene Christian

Hitting
Little Rock .185·Abilene Christian .321
Aces
Little Rock 7·Abilene Christian 6
Serve err
Little Rock 6·Abilene Christian 12
Blocks
Little Rock 7·Abilene Christian 82 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Little Rock 61·Abilene Christian 73

Win probability

Abilene Christian above 50 · Little Rock below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.9% ABILCHrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.9% to Abilene Christian — set 1, UALR 22-24 ABILCH. Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Rachel Koss). ABILCH win probability 69% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UALR 27.1%72.9% ABILCH

Little Rock wins

3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
25.4%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%
UALR break %
41.2% vs this opp
ABILCH break %
45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aubrey BeaverKill+8.9%

    Kill by Aubrey Beaver (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 1 · UALR 22-24 ABILCH · ABILCH 69% → 78%

  2. 02
    Aubrey BeaverAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Aubrey Beaver

    Set 3 · UALR 30-28 ABILCH · UALR 14% → 19%

  3. 03
    Alyssa ToddAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Alyssa Todd

    Set 3 · UALR 24-23 ABILCH · UALR 9% → 14%

  4. 04
    Bella CherryAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Bella Cherry

    Set 1 · UALR 21-23 ABILCH · ABILCH 68% → 72%

  5. 05

    Hannah Gonzalez stuffed by Lovina Teel & Alyssa Boyte

    Set 1 · UALR 21-22 ABILCH · UALR 28% → 32%

  6. 06
    Alyssa ToddKill+4.1%

    Kill by Alyssa Todd (set by Rachel Koss)

    Set 3 · UALR 24-24 ABILCH · ABILCH 86% → 90%

  7. 07

    Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Alayna Vaeth)

    Set 3 · UALR 25-24 ABILCH · UALR 10% → 14%

  8. 08

    Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Alayna Vaeth)

    Set 3 · UALR 25-25 ABILCH · ABILCH 86% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414644.18211314100015
413538.21120152010.513.5
410531.1610002004212
4104.25002030212.55.5
41011.00021411000005
1128-.125000000001
4308.3751500100214
4001.0005001800000
4000–200400000
4000–001400000
35216.188000000216
Team totals4820151.1854676616210787
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420346.37030240153.523.5
413327.37001240031.515.5
410220.4002000004212
43310.0005212110010.54.5
4000–3221810002
3001.000001900000
415639.2312204000017
410218.44400030010.510.5
4000–5021910000
3001.000001130000
Team totals7119162.321676127371148103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Little Rock vs Abilene Christian

Season series · Abilene Christian leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UALR · ABILCH 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 UALRABILCH 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 UALRABILCH 3

Set 3

30-28

Longest run 4 UALRABILCH 3

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 3 UALRABILCH 5

Bars above the line = Abilene Christian leads, below = Little Rock leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Little Rock

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
22%2/9
2
50%9/18
36%5/14
3
58%7/12
27%3/11
4
54%7/13
36%4/11
5
60%6/10
30%3/10
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
56%44/78
32%21/65

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
43%6/14
2
75%9/12
55%11/20
3
64%7/11
38%5/13
4
88%7/8
46%6/13
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
60%6/10
14%1/7
All
68%44/65
44%34/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#UALR-ABILCHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.8
20-2ABILCHABILCHKillRachel Kossset Abby Christian+2.2
31-2ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.7
41-3UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.7
51-4ABILCHABILCHBlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Avery Thaler, Aubrey Beaver+2.1
62-4ABILCHUALRKillAlayna Vaeth+1.6
73-4UALRUALRAttack errHadlee Welch+2.2
83-5UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+1.8
94-5ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+1.8
104-6UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+1.9
115-6ABILCHUALR×4Serve errAbilene Christian+1.9
126-6UALR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
137-6UALRUALR×4BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Lorena Keselj+2.7
148-6UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Maddie Finnegan+2.8
158-7UALRABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.1
168-8ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbilene Christian+2.7
178-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.7
189-9ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Victoria Fontenot+2.2
199-10UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.2
209-11ABILCHABILCHAttack errLovina Teel+2.7
2110-11ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherry+2.1
2210-12UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaver+2.2
2311-12ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+2.2
2411-13UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Brennan Ramirez+2.3
2511-14ABILCHABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Avery Thaler+2.7
2612-14ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+1.9
2712-15UALRABILCH×3Attack errAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+2.2
2812-16ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.4
2912-17ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+1.9
3013-17ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnley+1.2
3113-18UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.5
3214-18ABILCHUALR×4KillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+1.1
3315-18UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Maddie Finnegan+2.0
3416-18UALRUALR×4KillBella Cherryset Lily King+2.7
3517-18UALRUALR×4KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+3.4
3617-19UALRABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.1
3717-20ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAvery Fearnley+3.4
3817-21ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.6
3918-21ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.4
4019-21UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+2.7
4119-22UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+3.0
4220-22ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+2.1
4321-22UALRUALRBlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Lovina Teel, Alyssa Boyte+4.2
4421-23UALRABILCHAttack errBella Cherryset Lorena Keselj+4.5
4522-23ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Victoria Fontenot+3.4
4622-24UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+8.9
Set 2
10-1ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.0
20-2ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Todd+1.9
31-2ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+1.5
42-2UALRUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+2.0
52-3UALRABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Abby Christian+1.6
62-4ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAlyssa Boyte+2.0
72-5ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbilene Christianaced Lovina Teel+1.9
83-5ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Victoria Fontenot+1.4
93-6UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.5
103-7ABILCHABILCHBlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Avery Thaler, Aubrey Beaver+1.7
114-7ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+1.3
125-7UALRUALRAttack errAvery Thaler+1.9
135-8UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.6
145-9ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christian+1.8
156-9ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+1.3
166-10UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Alyssa Todd+1.5
177-10ABILCHUALRBlockedAbilene Christianblk Lorena Keselj+1.3
187-11UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+1.5
198-11ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+1.3
209-11UALRUALRKillLovina Teel+2.0
219-12UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+1.8
2210-12ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+1.6
2311-12UALRUALRBlockedAlyssa Toddblk Alyssa Boyte, Polianna Hernandez+2.4
2411-13UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.1
2511-14ABILCHABILCHBlockedPolianna Hernandezblk Hannah Gonzalez, Aubrey Beaver+2.4
2612-14ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.7
2713-14UALRUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+2.6
2813-15UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Alyssa Todd+2.2
2914-15ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+2.1
3014-16UALRABILCHKillAvery Thaler+2.3
3115-16ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnley+2.2
3215-17UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.5
3316-17ABILCHUALRKillLorena Keseljset Alayna Vaeth+2.3
3417-17UALRUALRBlockedAlyssa Toddblk Lorena Keselj, Polianna Hernandez+3.4
3517-18UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.9
3617-19ABILCHABILCHAttack errAvery Fearnley+3.5
3718-19ABILCHUALRAttack errHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+2.5
3818-20UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.0
3919-20ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+2.7
4019-21UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.2
4119-22ABILCHABILCHBlockedLovina Teelblk Rachel Koss, Hannah Gonzalez+3.4
4220-22ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+1.9
4320-23UALRABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.8
4420-24ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.0
4520-25ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Abby Christian+0.7
Set 3
11-0UALRUALRAceLittle Rock+1.2
21-1UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.0
32-1ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+1.0
42-2UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
53-2ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+1.0
63-3UALRABILCHBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Hadlee Welch, Avery Thaler+1.0
73-4ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thaler+1.3
84-4ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+1.0
94-5UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
104-6ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.3
115-6ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lovina Teel+1.0
125-7UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.0
136-7ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.0
146-8UALRABILCH×3KillRachel Kossset Aubrey Beaver+1.0
156-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.2
166-10ABILCHABILCH×3AceAbilene Christian+1.1
177-10ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+0.8
187-11UALRABILCHAttack errLovina Teelset Avery Fearnley+0.9
197-12ABILCHABILCHAttack errAlyssa Boyte+1.0
208-12ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+0.6
219-12UALRUALRBlockedAubrey Beaverblk Alayna Vaeth, Alyssa Boyte+1.0
229-13UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.9
239-14ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.0
2410-14ABILCHUALRBlockedAubrey Beaverblk Alayna Vaeth, Alyssa Boyte+0.6
2510-15UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.8
2611-15ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+0.6
2711-16UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Aubrey Beaver+0.8
2812-16ABILCHUALR×4KillAlayna Vaethset Miranda Bledsoe+0.6
2913-16UALRUALR×4Ball handlingRachel Koss+1.0
3014-16UALRUALR×4Attack errAlyssa Todd+1.3
3115-16UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rock+1.7
3215-17UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.5
3316-17ABILCHUALR×4Serve errAbilene Christian+1.4
3417-17UALRUALR×4AceLittle Rockaced Brennan Ramirez+2.0
3518-17UALRUALR×4KillLovina Teelset Victoria Fontenot+2.3
3619-17UALRUALR×4Attack errAlyssa Todd+2.3
3719-18UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.6
3820-18ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+2.0
3920-19UALRABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+1.7
4020-20ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Avery Thaler+2.6
4120-21ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.8
4221-21ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+2.2
4321-22UALRABILCHAttack errLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+2.5
4422-22ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+2.5
4522-23UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+3.0
4623-23ABILCHUALRAttack errRachel Kossset Brennan Ramirez+3.0
4724-23UALRUALRAttack errAlyssa Todd+5.1
4824-24UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+4.1
4925-24ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+4.1
5025-25UALRABILCHKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+4.1
5126-25ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+4.1
5226-26UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+4.1
5327-26ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+4.1
5427-27UALRABILCHServe errLittle Rock+4.1
5528-27ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+4.1
5628-28UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+4.1
5729-28ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+4.1
5830-28UALRUALRAttack errAubrey Beaver+5.7
Set 4
10-1ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Lovina Teel+2.7
21-1ABILCHUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+2.2
32-1UALRUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Lily King+2.9
43-1UALRUALR×3Attack errAlyssa Todd+3.0
53-2UALRABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.3
63-3ABILCHABILCH×3BlockedPolianna Hernandezblk Aubrey Beaver+2.9
73-4ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.9
84-4ABILCHUALRAttack errHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.4
95-4UALRUALRAceLittle Rockaced Abby Christian+3.1
105-5UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.4
115-6ABILCHABILCHAceAbilene Christianaced Avery Fearnley+3.1
126-6ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lovina Teel+2.5
136-7UALRABILCH×5KillRachel Kossset Brennan Ramirez+2.5
146-8ABILCHABILCH×5KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+3.1
156-9ABILCHABILCH×5KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+2.9
166-10ABILCHABILCH×5BlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Avery Thaler, Aubrey Beaver+2.6
176-11ABILCHABILCH×5KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.2
187-11ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+1.5
197-12UALRABILCH×3Serve errLittle Rock+1.8
207-13ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.8
217-14ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAvery Fearnley+1.4
228-14ABILCHUALRKillAlayna Vaethset Miranda Bledsoe+0.8
238-15UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.1
249-15ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+0.8
259-16UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+1.0
269-17ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Todd+0.9
2710-17ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnley+0.4
2810-18UALRABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalez+0.6
2910-19ABILCHABILCH×3KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.5
3010-20ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.2
3111-20ABILCHUALRAttack errRachel Kossset Abby Christian+0.1
3211-21UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.1
3312-21ABILCHUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Victoria Fontenot+0.1
3413-21UALRUALR×3Attack errRachel Koss+0.1
3514-21UALRUALR×3KillLovina Teelset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
3614-22UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.3
3715-22ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+0.1
3815-23UALRABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+0.2
3915-24ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+0.1
4015-25ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez·

Score shown after each rally, Little Rock first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).