Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Abilene Christian def. Little Rock 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Abilene Christian 55.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Abilene Christian won at Little Rock 3-1 (26-28, 25-15, 25-18, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Abilene Christian's Alyssa Todd led with 25 kills, and Brennan Ramirez added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
ABILCH262525253
UALR281518211

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Alyssa Todd hit .511 on 45 swings as Abilene Christian edged Little Rock.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Abilene Christian's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Abilene Christian went in as RallyIQ's 56% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Abilene Christian 25–25 Little Rock

    Little Rock won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 28–26 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Little Rock.

    Abilene Christian 56% → 36%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Abilene Christian 4–7 Little Rock

    6 straight Abilene Christian points turned a 4–7 deficit into a 10–7 lead.

    Abilene Christian 28% → 44%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Abilene Christian 10–14 Little Rock

    Down 10–14, Abilene Christian scored 5 straight to lead 15–14.

    Abilene Christian 62% → 81%

Little Rock above 50Abilene Christian belowMax swing 10.2%

Abilene ChristianLittle Rock

Sideout %
Abilene Christian 66.3·Little Rock 54.0
Break %
Abilene Christian 46.0·Little Rock 33.7
Hitting
Abilene Christian .365·Little Rock .205
Longest run
Abilene Christian 6·Little Rock 4

Alyssa Todd
25 kills on .511, 25.5 points; 4 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Little Rock above 50 · Abilene Christian below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.2% UALRrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.2% to Little Rock — set 1, ABILCH 26-28 UALR. Attack error by Maddie Finnegan. UALR win probability 54% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ABILCH 59.1%40.9% UALR

Abilene Christian wins

3-0
16.7%
3-1
22.5%
3-2
19.8%

Little Rock wins

3-0
9.1%
3-1
15.0%
3-2
16.9%
ABILCH break %
44.4% vs this opp
UALR break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddie FinneganAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Maddie Finnegan

    Set 1 · ABILCH 26-28 UALR · UALR 54% → 64%

  2. 02

    Ace by Avery Fearnley on Maddie Finnegan

    Set 1 · ABILCH 23-24 UALR · UALR 44% → 54%

  3. 03
    Avery ThalerAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Avery Thaler

    Set 1 · ABILCH 26-27 UALR · UALR 44% → 54%

  4. 04
    Avery FearnleyAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Avery Fearnley

    Set 1 · ABILCH 25-24 UALR · ABILCH 54% → 63%

  5. 05
    Lovina TeelAttack error+7.8%

    Attack error by Lovina Teel

    Set 1 · ABILCH 24-24 UALR · ABILCH 46% → 54%

  6. 06
    Maddie FinneganAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Maddie Finnegan

    Set 1 · ABILCH 25-25 UALR · UALR 37% → 44%

  7. 07
    Victoria FontenotBad set+7.6%

    Bad set by Victoria Fontenot

    Set 1 · ABILCH 26-25 UALR · ABILCH 56% → 63%

  8. 08
    Bella CherryKill+7.6%

    Kill by Bella Cherry (set by Victoria Fontenot)

    Set 1 · ABILCH 26-26 UALR · UALR 37% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
425245.511003121010.525.5
412224.41700030031.513.5
411121.4760014002112
48522.136000300219
4206.3335201400002
1125-.200100110001
410131.290103130010.510.5
4001.0000221000002
4000–4111910001
11011.000000010001
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–001000000
Team totals7013156.365583126950105111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417844.2050105200018
414236.33310060010.514.5
49332.1880000002110
4217.14302010111.55.5
4208.2502201800002
31417-.176011100213
45113.3081200200005
4008.0001032500000
4000–200300000
3000–010300001
2406.667001200004
Team totals5419171.205385656316489

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Abilene Christian vs Little Rock

Season series · Abilene Christian leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ABILCH · UALR 4

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 4 ABILCHUALR 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 ABILCHUALR 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 ABILCHUALR 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 5 ABILCHUALR 3

Bars above the line = Little Rock leads, below = Abilene Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Abilene Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
10%1/10
2
69%11/16
48%10/21
3
63%10/16
52%11/21
4
80%8/10
62%13/21
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
58%7/12
33%4/12
All
66%55/83
46%46/100

Little Rock

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
40%6/15
2
48%11/23
27%4/15
3
53%9/17
31%5/16
4
36%8/22
36%5/14
5
62%8/13
33%4/12
6
78%7/9
36%4/11
All
54%54/100
34%28/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#ABILCH-UALRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+1.9
21-1ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherryset Lily King+1.9
32-1UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.9
43-1ABILCHABILCHBad setLily King+2.4
53-2ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.8
64-2UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.9
74-3ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+1.9
85-3UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.0
95-4ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+1.9
105-5UALRUALRAceLovina Teelaced Izabelle Larson+2.6
116-5UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.1
127-5ABILCHABILCHKillIzabelle Larsonset Rachel Koss+2.6
137-6ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+2.0
147-7UALRUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+2.8
158-7UALRABILCHServe errVictoria Fontenot+2.2
168-8ABILCHUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+2.2
178-9UALRUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Skyler Perez+3.0
188-10UALRUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Skyler Perez+3.0
199-10UALRABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+2.2
2010-10ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAvery Fearnley+3.0
2111-10ABILCHABILCH×3Bad setLily King+3.1
2211-11ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+2.4
2312-11UALRABILCH×4KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.5
2413-11ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errRachel Koss+3.2
2514-11ABILCHABILCH×4KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.9
2615-11ABILCHABILCH×4BlockedLovina Teelblk Hannah Gonzalez, Hadlee Welch+2.6
2715-12ABILCHUALRServe errBrennan Ramirez+1.7
2816-12UALRABILCHKillRachel Koss+2.1
2917-12ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.1
3017-13ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.3
3118-13UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Maddie Finnegan+1.7
3218-14ABILCHUALR×3KillAlyssa Boyteset Victoria Fontenot+1.2
3318-15UALRUALR×3KillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+2.1
3418-16UALRUALR×3BlockedHannah Gonzalezblk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry+2.9
3519-16UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.8
3619-17ABILCHUALRServe errJayla Jackson+2.3
3720-17UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.9
3820-18ABILCHUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+2.3
3920-19UALRUALR×3Attack errBrennan Ramirez+4.0
4020-20UALRUALR×3KillLily Kingset Rachel Koss+5.0
4121-20UALRABILCHBad setLorena Keselj+4.4
4221-21ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+4.4
4322-21UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+5.0
4422-22ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+4.9
4523-22UALRABILCHAttack errAvery Fearnley+6.0
4623-23ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+5.8
4723-24UALRUALRAceAvery Fearnleyaced Maddie Finnegan+9.9
4824-24UALRABILCHAttack errLovina Teel+7.8
4925-24ABILCHABILCHAttack errAvery Fearnley+9.8
5025-25ABILCHUALRAttack errMaddie Finnegan+7.6
5126-25UALRABILCHBad setVictoria Fontenot+7.6
5226-26ABILCHUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Victoria Fontenot+7.6
5326-27UALRUALR×3Attack errAvery Thaler+9.9
5426-28UALRUALR×3Attack errMaddie Finnegan+10.2
Set 2
10-1ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+2.0
21-1UALRABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.0
32-1ABILCHABILCH×3Bad setVictoria Fontenot+2.6
43-1ABILCHABILCH×3Attack errAvery Fearnley+2.5
53-2ABILCHUALRServe errAubrey Beaver+1.9
63-3UALRUALRAceLorena Keseljaced Brennan Ramirez+2.6
74-3UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.1
84-4ABILCHUALR×4Bad setHannah Gonzalez+2.1
94-5UALRUALR×4Bad setRachel Koss+2.8
104-6UALRUALR×4Attack errAlyssa Todd+2.8
114-7UALRUALR×4AceMiranda Bledsoeaced Alyssa Todd+2.8
125-7UALRABILCH×6KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+2.0
136-7ABILCHABILCH×6KillRachel Kossset Alyssa Todd+2.8
147-7ABILCHABILCH×6AceAbby Christianaced Avery Fearnley+2.9
158-7ABILCHABILCH×6Bad setAvery Fearnley+3.0
169-7ABILCHABILCH×6KillAlyssa Toddset Aubrey Beaver+2.9
1710-7ABILCHABILCH×6KillAlyssa Toddset Brennan Ramirez+2.8
1810-8ABILCHUALRServe errAbby Christian+2.0
1911-8UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Hannah Gonzalez+2.2
2012-8ABILCHABILCHBad setVictoria Fontenot+2.6
2112-9ABILCHUALRServe errAlyssa Todd+1.8
2213-9UALRABILCHServe errVictoria Fontenot+2.0
2314-9ABILCHABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.2
2414-10ABILCHUALRKillAlayna Vaeth+1.4
2514-11UALRUALRKillBella Cherry+2.3
2615-11UALRABILCHAttack errBella Cherry+2.1
2715-12ABILCHUALRKillLorena Keseljset Victoria Fontenot+1.8
2816-12UALRABILCH×4Attack errLovina Teel+2.2
2917-12ABILCHABILCH×4Attack errLorena Keselj+2.3
3018-12ABILCHABILCH×4BlockedLovina Teelblk Avery Thaler, Hadlee Welch+1.7
3119-12ABILCHABILCH×4Bad setLovina Teel+1.1
3219-13ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.5
3320-13UALRABILCH×5KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.8
3421-13ABILCHABILCH×5Attack errLovina Teel+0.5
3522-13ABILCHABILCH×5KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+0.2
3623-13ABILCHABILCH×5Bad setAlyssa Boyte+0.1
3724-13ABILCHABILCH×5KillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss·
3824-14ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Bella Cherry·
3924-15UALRUALRBlockedHadlee Welchblk Alyssa Boyte, Lovina Teel·
4025-15UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss·
Set 3
11-0UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.5
21-1ABILCHUALRKillLily King+2.5
32-1UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.5
42-2ABILCHUALRBlockedHadlee Welchblk Lorena Keselj, Lovina Teel+2.6
52-3UALRUALRAttack errAlyssa Todd+3.4
63-3UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+2.6
73-4ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+2.7
84-4UALRABILCHAttack errBella Cherry+2.7
94-5ABILCHUALRServe errAbilene Christian+2.8
105-5UALRABILCHServe errLovina Teel+2.7
115-6ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+2.9
126-6UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.8
136-7ABILCHUALRServe errRachel Koss+2.9
147-7UALRABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.9
158-7ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Brennan Ramirez+3.8
169-7ABILCHABILCH×3KillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+3.7
179-8ABILCHUALRServe errAubrey Beaver+2.8
1810-8UALRABILCHKillAubrey Beaverset Avery Thaler+3.0
1910-9ABILCHUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+2.9
2011-9UALRABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+3.1
2112-9ABILCHABILCH×3Bad setVictoria Fontenot+3.7
2213-9ABILCHABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.3
2313-10ABILCHUALRBad setHannah Gonzalez+2.2
2414-10UALRABILCH×4KillHannah Gonzalezset Abby Christian+2.6
2515-10ABILCHABILCH×4Bad setLovina Teel+2.8
2616-10ABILCHABILCH×4KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+2.2
2717-10ABILCHABILCH×4KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+1.6
2817-11ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.8
2918-11UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+1.2
3019-11ABILCHABILCHBlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Avery Thaler, Aubrey Beaver+0.9
3119-12ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.4
3220-12UALRABILCHBad setVictoria Fontenot+0.6
3320-13ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.3
3421-13UALRABILCHServe errLily King+0.5
3521-14ABILCHUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Lily King+0.2
3621-15UALRUALR×3Bad setHadlee Welch+0.5
3721-16UALRUALR×3KillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+0.9
3822-16UALRABILCH×3KillRachel Koss+1.2
3923-16ABILCHABILCH×3KillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+0.7
4024-16ABILCHABILCH×3AceBrennan Ramirez+0.2
4124-17ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King·
4224-18UALRUALRAceLorena Keselj+0.1
4325-18UALRABILCHKillHannah Gonzalezset Rachel Koss+0.2
Set 4
11-0ABILCHABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.0
21-1ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+2.4
32-1UALRABILCHKillHadlee Welchset Rachel Koss+2.4
42-2ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Victoria Fontenot+2.4
53-2UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.5
63-3ABILCHUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+2.5
74-3UALRABILCHServe errPolianna Hernandez+2.5
85-3ABILCHABILCHAttack errAlyssa Boyte+3.2
95-4ABILCHUALRKillAlayna Vaeth+2.4
106-4UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.5
116-5ABILCHUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+2.5
127-5UALRABILCHServe errVictoria Fontenot+2.6
137-6ABILCHUALRKillAlayna Vaeth+2.5
147-7UALRUALRAttack errAubrey Beaver+3.5
158-7UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.8
168-8ABILCHUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Lily King+2.8
178-9UALRUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+3.8
188-10UALRUALR×3BlockedAvery Thalerblk Lorena Keselj+3.8
199-10UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.8
209-11ABILCHUALR×3KillLorena Keseljset Lily King+3.1
219-12UALRUALR×3KillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+3.8
229-13UALRUALR×3Attack errHadlee Welch+3.5
2310-13UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+2.3
2410-14ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+2.8
2511-14UALRABILCH×5KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+2.3
2612-14ABILCHABILCH×5BlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Hannah Gonzalez, Alyssa Todd+3.6
2713-14ABILCHABILCH×5AceAbby Christianaced Avery Fearnley+4.1
2814-14ABILCHABILCH×5KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+4.5
2915-14ABILCHABILCH×5KillRachel Kossset Alayna Vaeth+4.7
3015-15ABILCHUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+3.7
3115-16UALRUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth+5.0
3216-16UALRABILCH×3KillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+3.8
3317-16ABILCHABILCH×3KillAubrey Beaverset Rachel Koss+5.2
3418-16ABILCHABILCH×3Bad setBella Cherry+5.1
3518-17ABILCHUALRServe errAlyssa Todd+3.6
3618-18UALRUALRKillAlayna Vaethset Victoria Fontenot+5.5
3719-18UALRABILCHKillAlyssa Toddset Rachel Koss+4.6
3820-18ABILCHABILCHKillBella Cherryset Rachel Koss+5.8
3920-19ABILCHUALRServe errHannah Gonzalez+4.0
4021-19UALRABILCHKillAvery Thalerset Rachel Koss+4.9
4121-20ABILCHUALRKillBella Cherryset Lily King+4.2
4222-20UALRABILCHAttack errAvery Fearnley+5.4
4323-20ABILCHABILCHBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Avery Thaler, Annaleise Sevier+5.5
4423-21ABILCHUALRServe errAubrey Beaver+2.5
4524-21UALRABILCHAttack errAvery Fearnley+4.4
4625-21ABILCHABILCHKillHannah Gonzalez+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Abilene Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).