FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

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Rhode Island def. Merrimack 3–0

(25-16, 25-11, 24-17)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
URI	25	25	24	3
MERMCK	16	11	17	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MERMCK above 50 · URI below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Merrimack — set 1, URI 2-4 MERMCK. Attack error by Kj Johnson. MERMCK win probability 15% → 16%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

URI 86.5%13.5% MERMCK

Rhode Island wins

3-0

39.1%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

15.9%

Merrimack wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.3%

URI break %: 50.9% vs this opp
MERMCK break %: 42.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kj JohnsonAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Kj Johnson
Set 1 · URI 2-4 MERMCK · MERMCK 15% → 16%
02
MERMCK serverAce+1.4%
Merrimack ace on Cara Richter
Set 1 · URI 6-6 MERMCK · MERMCK 13% → 14%
03
Mckenna ShotwellAttack error+1.4%
Mckenna Shotwell stuffed by Emily Sawyer
Set 1 · URI 4-4 MERMCK · URI 85% → 86%
04
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.3%
Point Rhode Island (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · URI 5-4 MERMCK · URI 86% → 87%
05
Maiella BlandinKill+1.3%
Kill by Maiella Blandin
Set 1 · URI 2-3 MERMCK · MERMCK 14% → 15%
06
Maiella BlandinAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Maiella Blandin
Set 1 · URI 8-6 MERMCK · URI 87% → 89%
07
MERMCK serverService error+1.2%
Merrimack service error
Set 1 · URI 3-4 MERMCK · URI 84% → 85%
08
Cara RichterAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Cara Richter
Set 1 · URI 1-2 MERMCK · MERMCK 14% → 15%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Rhode Islandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Kj JohnsonMB	3	6	4	13	.154	0	1	0	5	0	0	2	1	8
12Chloe AbutoOH	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	2	0	3	1	3.5	5.5
10Erika BraceyOH	3	4	2	6	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
17Cara RichterOH	3	3	3	11	.000	0	2	1	4	3	0	0	0	5
2Jahan LalliS	3	0	0	0	–	12	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
3Sydney HouchensOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
7Mckenna MeltonOH	3	9	1	12	.667	0	0	0	5	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
18Emily SawyerMB	3	6	3	19	.158	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	9.5
20Dakota HenryL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	5	0	3	1	0	0	0	5
16Ema StermenskaS	3	0	0	0	–	13	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
8Autumn TomblineS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Cansu KornosorL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
23Carly ThomasS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25Grace KeaneyOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Hannah JonickMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Havyn RolleOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Jessica ParkerS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kiara CopelandDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Reagan NisbetDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Sophia ChinettiOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	14	70	.229	29	12	1	34	6	8	6	11	75

Merrimackhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jocelyn HammerstrandOPP	3	6	6	23	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
17Kaitlyn OxceusOH	3	1	0	4	.250	0	4	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Mckenna ShotwellOH	3	3	8	28	-.179	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	4
13Mia IzzoMB	3	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
19Elizabeth KenneyS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Tamilore AfolaluOH	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Natalia ZelubowskiOH	3	2	2	6	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
18Sienna FranksL/DS	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
14Maiella BlandinOH	3	1	3	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Sophia DebonisS	3	1	0	3	.333	5	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
12Ella MaldonadoL/DS	3	1	1	2	.000	1	0	0	7	5	0	0	0	1
5Maddy FennessyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Avry BryantOPP	3	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Devon LoweS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Ella GizmuntOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Fabiola BetancourtOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Gabrielle MooreS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
1Naomi VajdaMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Vaia TsioutsioulasOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		18	22	86	-.047	14	6	6	19	12	2	4	4	44

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 URI · MERMCK 5

Set 1*

25-16

Longest run 5 URIMERMCK 2

Set 2*

25-11

Longest run 6 URIMERMCK 2

Set 3*

24-17

Longest run 6 URIMERMCK 5

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rhode Island

No clean sets to split.

Merrimack

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

118 rallies

Rally log

#	URI-MERMCK	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	URI	MERMCK	Bad set	Erika Bracey		+1.2
2	1-1	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+1.1
3	1-2	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Cara Richter	set Dakota Henry	+1.2
4	2-2	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Jahan Lalli	+1.1
5	2-3	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Maiella Blandin		+1.3
6	2-4	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Kj Johnson		+1.6
7	3-4	MERMCK	URI×4	Serve err	MERMCK server		+1.2
8	4-4	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Emily Sawyer	+1.4
9	5-4	URI	URI×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.3
10	6-4	URI	URI×4	Ace	URI server	aced TEAM	+1.2
11	6-5	URI	MERMCK	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
12	6-6	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	MERMCK server	aced Cara Richter	+1.4
13	7-6	MERMCK	URI×5	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Ema Stermenska	+1.2
14	8-6	URI	URI×5	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+1.2
15	9-6	URI	URI×5	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+1.1
16	10-6	URI	URI×5	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Ema Stermenska	+0.9
17	11-6	URI	URI×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
18	11-7	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Chloe Abuto	set Ema Stermenska	+0.6
19	11-8	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	MERMCK server	aced Cara Richter	+0.9
20	12-8	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Ema Stermenska	+0.9
21	12-9	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.8
22	12-10	MERMCK	MERMCK	Ace	MERMCK server	aced Rhode Island	+1.2
23	13-10	MERMCK	URI×3	Kill	Erika Bracey	set Jahan Lalli	+1.1
24	14-10	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Tamilore Afolalu	blk Erika Bracey, Chloe Abuto	+1.0
25	15-10	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.8
26	15-11	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.6
27	16-11	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.7
28	16-12	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Mia Izzo	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.6
29	17-12	MERMCK	URI	Attack err	Ella Maldonado	set Devon Lowe	+0.7
30	17-13	URI	MERMCK	Bad set	Sydney Houchens		+0.6
31	18-13	MERMCK	URI×4	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Ema Stermenska	+0.7
32	19-13	URI	URI×4	Ace	URI server	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.6
33	20-13	URI	URI×4	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Dakota Henry	+0.4
34	21-13	URI	URI×4	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Kj Johnson	+0.2
35	21-14	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell	set Ella Maldonado	+0.1
36	22-14	MERMCK	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Emily Sawyer	+0.1
37	23-14	URI	URI×3	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+0.1
38	24-14	URI	URI×3	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+0.0
39	24-15	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Kaitlyn Oxceus	set Devon Lowe	+0.0
40	24-16	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.0
41	25-16	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Ema Stermenska	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Chloe Abuto		+0.7
2	2-0	URI	URI	Kill	Erika Bracey	set Jahan Lalli	+0.7
3	2-1	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Erika Bracey	set Dakota Henry	+0.7
4	2-2	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia Debonis	+0.9
5	3-2	MERMCK	URI×3	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Ema Stermenska	+0.7
6	4-2	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.8
7	5-2	URI	URI×3	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Dakota Henry	+0.7
8	5-3	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia Debonis	+0.6
9	6-3	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Ema Stermenska	+0.6
10	6-4	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+0.6
11	7-4	MERMCK	URI×6	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.6
12	8-4	URI	URI×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.6
13	9-4	URI	URI×6	Attack err	Maiella Blandin		+0.5
14	10-4	URI	URI×6	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+0.4
15	11-4	URI	URI×6	Kill	Chloe Abuto	set Ema Stermenska	+0.3
16	12-4	URI	URI×6	Ace	URI server	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.2
17	12-5	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.2
18	13-5	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Ema Stermenska	+0.2
19	13-6	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Maiella Blandin	set Sienna Franks	+0.2
20	13-7	MERMCK	MERMCK	Kill	Devon Lowe		+0.3
21	14-7	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Jahan Lalli	+0.3
22	15-7	URI	URI	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.2
23	15-8	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Cara Richter	blk Jocelyn Hammerstrand, Kaitlyn Oxceus	+0.1
24	16-8	MERMCK	URI×5	Serve err	MERMCK server		+0.2
25	17-8	URI	URI×5	Ace	URI server	aced Natalia Zelubowski	+0.1
26	18-8	URI	URI×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
27	19-8	URI	URI×5	Ace	URI server	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.0
28	20-8	URI	URI×5	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.0
29	20-9	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Sophia Debonis	+0.0
30	20-10	MERMCK	MERMCK	Attack err	Kj Johnson	blk Mia Izzo	+0.0
31	21-10	MERMCK	URI×4	Serve err	MERMCK server		+0.0
32	22-10	URI	URI×4	Ace	URI server	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.0
33	23-10	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.0
34	24-10	URI	URI×4	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand		+0.0
35	24-11	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Emily Sawyer	blk Mia Izzo, Natalia Zelubowski	+0.0
36	25-11	MERMCK	URI	Serve err	MERMCK server		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	blk Chloe Abuto	+0.4
2	2-0	URI	URI×3	Ace	URI server	aced TEAM	+0.4
3	3-0	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Natalia Zelubowski		+0.3
4	3-1	URI	MERMCK×4	Kill	Sophia Debonis	set Sophia Debonis	+0.3
5	3-2	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	MERMCK server	aced Cara Richter	+0.4
6	3-3	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Ace	MERMCK server	aced TEAM	+0.4
7	3-4	MERMCK	MERMCK×4	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia Debonis	+0.5
8	4-4	MERMCK	URI×6	Serve err	MERMCK server		+0.4
9	5-4	URI	URI×6	Ace	URI server	aced TEAM	+0.4
10	6-4	URI	URI×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
11	7-4	URI	URI×6	Ace	URI server	aced Ella Maldonado	+0.4
12	8-4	URI	URI×6	Kill	Erika Bracey	set Jahan Lalli	+0.3
13	9-4	URI	URI×6	Kill	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.3
14	9-5	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Cara Richter	set Jahan Lalli	+0.2
15	10-5	MERMCK	URI×3	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Jahan Lalli	+0.2
16	11-5	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Kj Johnson, Emily Sawyer	+0.2
17	12-5	URI	URI×3	Ace	URI server	aced Gabrielle Moore	+0.2
18	12-6	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Natalia Zelubowski	set Elizabeth Kenney	+0.1
19	13-6	MERMCK	URI	Serve err	MERMCK server		+0.1
20	14-6	URI	URI	Attack err	Avry Bryant	blk Mckenna Melton, Kj Johnson	+0.1
21	14-7	URI	MERMCK	Serve err	URI server		+0.1
22	15-7	MERMCK	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Emily Sawyer	+0.1
23	16-7	URI	URI×3	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Cansu Kornosor	+0.1
24	17-7	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell		+0.0
25	17-8	URI	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Kj Johnson	set Ema Stermenska	+0.0
26	17-9	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Attack err	Emily Sawyer	blk Mckenna Shotwell	+0.0
27	17-10	MERMCK	MERMCK×3	Kill	Sienna Franks	set Mckenna Shotwell	+0.1
28	18-10	MERMCK	URI×3	Kill	Emily Sawyer	set Ema Stermenska	+0.1
29	19-10	URI	URI×3	Ace	URI server	aced TEAM	+0.1
30	20-10	URI	URI×3	Attack err	Mckenna Shotwell	blk Mckenna Melton	+0.0
31	20-11	URI	MERMCK	Kill	Jocelyn Hammerstrand	set Sophia Debonis	+0.0
32	21-11	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Mckenna Melton	set Jahan Lalli	+0.0
33	21-12	URI	MERMCK×5	Kill	Ella Maldonado		+0.0
34	21-13	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	MERMCK server	aced TEAM	+0.0
35	21-14	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
36	21-15	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
37	21-16	MERMCK	MERMCK×5	Ace	MERMCK server	aced Dakota Henry	+0.1
38	22-16	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Erika Bracey	set Jahan Lalli	+0.1
39	23-16	URI	URI	Attack err	Natalia Zelubowski	blk Erika Bracey	+0.1
40	23-17	URI	MERMCK	Attack err	Erika Bracey	set Dakota Henry	+0.0
41	24-17	MERMCK	URI	Kill	Kj Johnson	set Jahan Lalli	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.