Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Davidson def. Rhode Island 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Davidson 90.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Davidson beat visiting Rhode Island 3-1 (25-14, 25-20, 22-25, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Davidson's Ariyana Johnson led with 19 kills, and Meile Songaila added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
URI142025211
DAVID252522253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Davidson won every phase. No turning point, just a gap.

Win probability never moved more than 2.4 points on one rally; Rhode Island topped out at 9% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Davidson 91% before first serve.

Rhode IslandDavidson
  • Break %+12.1 pts
    29.641.7

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 96 vs 24 of 81. Rhode Island sided out 58.3% of the time.

  • Hitting+.096
    .225.321

    57 kills, 15 errors vs 47 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    56

    Davidson scored 6 straight in the fourth set to turn a 6–7 deficit into a 12–7 lead. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Davidson above 50Rhode Island belowMax swing 2.4%

Rhode IslandDavidson

Aces
Rhode Island 4·Davidson 11
Serve err
Rhode Island 9·Davidson 13
Blocks
Rhode Island 4·Davidson 90 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Rhode Island 53·Davidson 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Davidson above 50 · Rhode Island below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.4% DAVIDrally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.4% to Davidson — set 4, URI 20-22 DAVID. Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith). DAVID win probability 94% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

URI 7.6%92.4% DAVID

Rhode Island wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.2%
3-2
4.4%

Davidson wins

3-0
49.0%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%
URI break %
37.9% vs this opp
DAVID break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · URI 20-22 DAVID · DAVID 94% → 96%

  2. 02
    Emily SawyerKill+2.3%

    Kill by Emily Sawyer (set by Ema Stermenska)

    Set 4 · URI 18-19 DAVID · URI 4% → 6%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · URI 20-23 DAVID · DAVID 96% → 99%

  4. 04

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · URI 19-21 DAVID · DAVID 94% → 96%

  5. 05

    Kill by McKenna Melton (set by Ema Stermenska)

    Set 4 · URI 20-21 DAVID · URI 4% → 6%

  6. 06

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 4 · URI 18-20 DAVID · DAVID 94% → 96%

  7. 07
    DavidsonService error+1.9%

    Davidson service error

    Set 4 · URI 19-20 DAVID · URI 4% → 6%

  8. 08
    Cara RichterKill+1.8%

    Kill by Cara Richter (set by KJ Johnson)

    Set 4 · URI 6-5 DAVID · URI 7% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414534.2652147102116
47016.438110400219
46520.050012870007
46114.357200000217
46316.18800020010.56.5
4102.5001711800002
46421.09500030010.56.5
4001.0004001800000
4000–1802300000
1105.200000010001
1000–000000000
Team totals4718129.2254449531108480
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419332.5000227002122
415134.41212214102118
414745.156024100031.517.5
4326.16700010031.54.5
4001.000473150010.53.5
3317.286100001436
4000–2111210001
4000–001000000
2000–010310001
1214.25000011010.52.5
1102.500000000001
1000–001100000
1000–201000000
Team totals5715131.321531113544116997

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rhode Island vs Davidson

Season series · Davidson leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 URI · DAVID 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 URIDAVID 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 URIDAVID 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 URIDAVID 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 URIDAVID 6

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rhode Island

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
9%1/11
2
56%10/18
25%4/16
3
56%9/16
47%9/19
4
56%9/16
25%3/12
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
50%8/16
20%2/10
All
58%56/96
30%24/81

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
92%12/13
52%11/21
2
58%11/19
39%7/18
3
71%10/14
23%3/13
4
62%8/13
55%11/20
5
67%8/12
43%6/14
6
80%8/10
20%2/10
All
70%57/81
42%40/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

177 rallies

#URI-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.9
21-1DAVIDURIKillJahan Lalliset Jahan Lalli+0.8
31-2URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.7
41-3DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.8
52-3DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry+0.7
62-4URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.6
73-4DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.7
83-5URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.7
93-6DAVIDDAVIDAttack errEmily Sawyer+0.8
104-6DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.6
114-7URIDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.6
124-8DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidson+0.7
134-9DAVIDDAVID×4AceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.5
144-10DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errCara Richter+0.4
155-10DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.3
166-10URIURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+0.5
176-11URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.4
187-11DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.4
197-12URIDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.4
207-13DAVIDDAVID×3KillMyla Youngset Brooke Briscoe+0.4
217-14DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.3
228-14DAVIDURIBlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Cara Richter, Chloe Abuto+0.2
238-15URIDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.2
248-16DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.2
258-17DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedCara Richterblk Myla Young, Ariyana Johnson+0.1
269-17DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.1
279-18URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.1
289-19DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith·
2910-19DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska·
3010-20URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith·
3110-21DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kate Whiteley·
3211-21DAVIDURIServe errDavidson·
3311-22URIDAVIDBlockedGrace Keaneyblk Mia Compas, Elena Garcia-Guerrios·
3412-22DAVIDURIServe errDavidson·
3512-23URIDAVIDBlockedMcKenna Meltonblk Mia Compas·
3613-23DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli·
3713-24URIDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kate Whiteley·
3814-24DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Jahan Lalli·
3914-25URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith·
Set 2
10-1URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.5
21-1DAVIDURI×3KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.5
32-1URIURI×3Bad setKinsey Smith+0.8
43-1URIURI×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.9
53-2URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.6
64-2DAVIDURI×3KillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.7
75-2URIURI×3KillMcKenna Meltonset Ema Stermenska+1.0
86-2URIURI×3Attack errMia Compas+1.0
96-3URIDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+0.7
106-4DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errEmily Sawyer+0.9
116-5DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedMcKenna Meltonblk Kinsey Smith, Mia Compas+0.9
127-5DAVIDURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Cara Richter+0.8
137-6URIDAVIDAttack errGrace Keaney+0.7
148-6DAVIDURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.8
159-6URIURIAceRhode Islandaced Brooke Briscoe+1.1
169-7URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.7
179-8DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
1810-8DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.9
1910-9URIDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2010-10DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+1.0
2110-11DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.9
2211-11DAVIDURIKillCara Richter+0.8
2311-12URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.7
2412-12DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Chloe Abuto+0.8
2512-13URIDAVIDAttack errMcKenna Melton+0.7
2613-13DAVIDURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Cara Richter+0.8
2713-14URIDAVID×3Attack errMcKenna Melton+0.8
2813-15DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced McKenna Melton+0.9
2913-16DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Havyn Rolle+0.8
3014-16DAVIDURI×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.6
3115-16URIURI×3KillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+1.0
3216-16URIURI×3KillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+1.2
3316-17URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.9
3416-18DAVIDDAVIDBad setJahan Lalli+1.1
3517-18DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.8
3617-19URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.9
3717-20DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.9
3818-20DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+0.6
3918-21URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.7
4018-22DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.6
4119-22DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+0.3
4219-23URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.5
4319-24DAVIDDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.3
4420-24DAVIDURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.1
4520-25URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Meile Songaila+0.1
Set 3
11-0DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.3
21-1URIDAVIDAttack errCara Richter+0.2
32-1DAVIDURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Ema Stermenska+0.3
42-2URIDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.2
53-2DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.3
63-3URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.3
73-4DAVIDDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.3
84-4DAVIDURI×3KillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.3
95-4URIURI×3AceRhode Islandaced Meile Songaila+0.4
106-4URIURI×3KillCara Richterset Chloe Abuto+0.4
116-5URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Mia Compas+0.3
126-6DAVIDDAVIDBlockedGrace Keaneyblk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila+0.4
137-6DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.3
147-7URIDAVIDBlockedEmily Sawyerblk Meile Songaila, Mia Compas+0.3
158-7DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+0.3
168-8URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.3
179-8DAVIDURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+0.4
1810-8URIURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.5
1910-9URIDAVID×4KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.3
2010-10DAVIDDAVID×4Bad setEma Stermenska+0.4
2110-11DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Myla Young+0.4
2210-12DAVIDDAVID×4KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.4
2311-12DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.3
2412-12URIURIKillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.5
2512-13URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.3
2613-13DAVIDURIKillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.4
2713-14URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.4
2813-15DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.4
2914-15DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.3
3014-16URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.3
3115-16DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.3
3215-17URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.4
3316-17DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.4
3417-17URIURIAceCara Richteraced Adlee Grissett+0.6
3517-18URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+0.5
3618-18DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.5
3718-19URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.5
3819-19DAVIDURI×5KillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.6
3920-19URIURI×5Attack errMyla Young+0.9
4021-19URIURI×5KillMcKenna Meltonset Jahan Lalli+1.0
4122-19URIURI×5KillGrace Keaneyset Dakota Henry+1.0
4223-19URIURI×5BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk KJ Johnson, Grace Keaney+0.8
4323-20URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.3
4424-20DAVIDURIKillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.6
4524-21URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.2
4624-22DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.4
4725-22DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.9
Set 4
10-1URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+1.0
21-1DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+1.1
31-2URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.0
42-2DAVIDURIKillKJ Johnsonset Ema Stermenska+1.1
52-3URIDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.0
62-4DAVIDDAVIDBlockedMcKenna Meltonblk Melanie Tilles, Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.2
73-4DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+1.0
84-4URIURIBlockedMelanie Tillesblk KJ Johnson, Cara Richter+1.5
94-5URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+1.1
105-5DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+1.2
116-5URIURIKillCara Richterset KJ Johnson+1.8
126-6URIDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.3
137-6DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Dakota Henry+1.5
147-7URIDAVID×6KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.3
157-8DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errCara Richter+1.6
167-9DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedChloe Abutoblk Myla Young, Ariyana Johnson+1.4
177-10DAVIDDAVID×6KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.2
187-11DAVIDDAVID×6KillAriyana Johnsonset McKenna Melton+1.0
197-12DAVIDDAVID×6KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.8
208-12DAVIDURIBlockedMeile Songailablk Emily Sawyer, Chloe Abuto+0.5
218-13URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+0.6
229-13DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.5
2310-13URIURIAttack errAriyana Johnson+1.0
2410-14URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2511-14DAVIDURI×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.8
2612-14URIURI×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.3
2713-14URIURI×3AceJahan Lalliaced Melanie Tilles+1.8
2813-15URIDAVIDAttack errCara Richter+1.4
2913-16DAVIDDAVIDAceAdlee Grissett+1.6
3014-16DAVIDURIKillKJ Johnsonset KJ Johnson+1.1
3114-17URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.2
3214-18DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.2
3315-18DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Dakota Henry+0.8
3416-18URIURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+1.5
3516-19URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.4
3617-19DAVIDURIAttack errMyla Young+1.2
3718-19URIURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+2.3
3818-20URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.0
3919-20DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+1.9
4019-21URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.2
4120-21DAVIDURIKillMcKenna Meltonset Ema Stermenska+2.0
4220-22URIDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
4320-23DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.2
4420-24DAVIDDAVID×3AceBrooke Briscoeaced Cara Richter+1.1
4521-24DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.3
4621-25URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).