Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Davidson def. Rhode Island 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Davidson 90.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Davidson beat visiting Rhode Island 3-1 (18-25, 27-25, 25-19, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. Elena Garcia-Guerrios led Davidson with 13 kills; Rhode Island's Cara Richter had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set1234Sets
URI252519171
DAVID182725253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Brooke Briscoe, and Davidson needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Davidson's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Davidson at 90%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Rhode Island 16–13 Davidson

    Down 13–16, Davidson scored 6 straight to lead 19–16.

    Davidson 59% → 80%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Rhode Island 18–21 Davidson

    Down 18–21, Rhode Island scored 4 straight to lead 22–21.

    Davidson 81% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 2 · Rhode Island 24–24 Davidson

    Davidson closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and level the match at 1–1.

    Davidson 67% → 85%

Davidson above 50Rhode Island belowMax swing 10.0%

Rhode IslandDavidson

Sideout %
Rhode Island 54.3·Davidson 59.8
Break %
Rhode Island 40.2·Davidson 45.7
Hitting
Rhode Island .199·Davidson .190
Longest run
Rhode Island 5·Davidson 7

Mia Compas
10 kills on .474, 13.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Davidson above 50 · Rhode Island below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.0% DAVIDrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Davidson — set 2, URI 24-25 DAVID. Davidson ace on Cara Richter. DAVID win probability 67% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

URI 7.6%92.4% DAVID

Rhode Island wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.2%
3-2
4.4%

Davidson wins

3-0
49.0%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%
URI break %
37.9% vs this opp
DAVID break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    DavidsonAce+10.0%

    Davidson ace on Cara Richter

    Set 2 · URI 24-25 DAVID · DAVID 67% → 77%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 2 · URI 24-24 DAVID · DAVID 57% → 67%

  3. 03
    DavidsonService error+9.3%

    Davidson service error

    Set 2 · URI 24-23 DAVID · URI 33% → 43%

  4. 04

    Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 2 · URI 25-27 DAVID · DAVID 77% → 85%

  5. 05
    Chloe AbutoKill+7.8%

    Kill by Chloe Abuto (set by Ema Stermenska)

    Set 2 · URI 22-21 DAVID · URI 30% → 38%

  6. 06
    Havyn RolleKill+7.4%

    Kill by Havyn Rolle (set by Ema Stermenska)

    Set 2 · URI 25-25 DAVID · URI 23% → 31%

  7. 07

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 2 · URI 25-26 DAVID · DAVID 69% → 77%

  8. 08
    Emily SawyerKill+7.3%

    Kill by Emily Sawyer (set by Ema Stermenska)

    Set 2 · URI 23-22 DAVID · URI 33% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414437.27000313700014
411525.2401000004213
410538.132001110031.511.5
44214.14301100073.58.5
45315.133000110427
4001.00019321100003
47316.250000200429
4000–10011500000
4000–18011100000
Team totals5122146.19948496490221186
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413850.10001113102115
410119.47410030233.513.5
412639.154200101010.512.5
411934.05900112002112
4508.625000001438
41011.00044101000213
4000–1641210006
4000–000100000
3000–001500000
1102.500000000001
1000–010000001
Team totals5324153.19048976643141095

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Rhode Island vs Davidson

Season series · Davidson leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 URI · DAVID 7

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 5 URIDAVID 7

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 URIDAVID 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 URIDAVID 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 URIDAVID 6

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Rhode Island leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rhode Island

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
40%6/15
2
64%9/14
41%7/17
3
43%9/21
31%4/13
4
47%9/19
53%10/19
5
50%7/14
38%5/13
6
88%7/8
30%3/10
All
54%51/94
40%35/87

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
20%2/10
2
91%10/11
52%11/21
3
64%9/14
50%9/18
4
47%9/19
31%4/13
5
58%7/12
65%15/23
6
88%7/8
22%2/9
All
60%52/87
46%43/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#URI-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0URIURIAceRhode Islandaced Brooke Briscoe+1.1
22-0URIURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.3
32-1URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+0.9
42-2DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCara Richterblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Myla Young+1.1
53-2DAVIDURIAttack errAriyana Johnson+0.9
63-3URIDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.8
74-3DAVIDURI×4Serve errDavidson+1.0
85-3URIURI×4KillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry+1.4
96-3URIURI×4KillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry+1.5
107-3URIURI×4KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+1.6
117-4URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.0
128-4DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.3
139-4URIURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.7
149-5URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Meile Songaila+1.0
1510-5DAVIDURIBlockedMeile Songailablk Grace Keaney, KJ Johnson+1.4
1610-6URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.0
1711-6DAVIDURIBlockedMeile Songailablk Grace Keaney, KJ Johnson+1.4
1812-6URIURIAceRhode Island+1.7
1912-7URIDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.9
2013-7DAVIDURI×3KillChloe Abutoset Jahan Lalli+1.3
2114-7URIURI×3AceRhode Islandaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.5
2215-7URIURI×3KillChloe Abutoset Dakota Henry+1.2
2315-8URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.6
2416-8DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.9
2516-9URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.5
2617-9DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+0.9
2717-10URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.5
2817-11DAVIDDAVIDAttack errEmily Sawyer+0.9
2918-11DAVIDURI×5KillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+1.0
3019-11URIURI×5BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk KJ Johnson, Grace Keaney+1.0
3120-11URIURI×5KillGrace Keaneyset Dakota Henry+0.6
3221-11URIURI×5KillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.3
3322-11URIURI×5Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.1
3422-12URIDAVID×7KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith·
3522-13DAVIDDAVID×7KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.1
3622-14DAVIDDAVID×7KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.1
3722-15DAVIDDAVID×7Attack errHavyn Rolle+0.2
3822-16DAVIDDAVID×7AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+0.3
3922-17DAVIDDAVID×7BlockedHavyn Rolleblk Kinsey Smith, Mia Compas+0.6
4022-18DAVIDDAVID×7BlockedGrace Keaneyblk Mia Compas, Meile Songaila+0.9
4123-18DAVIDURI×3KillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+1.3
4224-18URIURI×3KillGrace Keaneyset Dakota Henry+0.8
4325-18URIURI×3KillKJ Johnsonset Jahan Lalli+0.2
Set 2
11-0DAVIDURI×3KillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+1.8
22-0URIURI×3BlockedMeile Songailablk Emily Sawyer, Chloe Abuto+2.6
33-0URIURI×3AceRhode Islandaced Meile Songaila+2.9
43-1URIDAVID×3Serve errRhode Island+1.9
53-2DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
63-3DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.3
74-3DAVIDURIAttack errAriyana Johnson+2.0
85-3URIURIKillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry+2.9
95-4URIDAVID×3Serve errRhode Island+2.0
105-5DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+2.5
115-6DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+2.3
126-6DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+1.9
136-7URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.8
147-7DAVIDURI×3KillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+2.0
158-7URIURI×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+3.0
169-7URIURI×3Attack errMeile Songaila+3.3
179-8URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.2
1810-8DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+2.7
1911-8URIURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+3.8
2011-9URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2112-9DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Jahan Lalli+3.0
2212-10URIDAVIDAttack errGrace Keaney+2.5
2313-10DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+3.2
2413-11URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.6
2514-11DAVIDURIKillCara Richter+3.3
2614-12URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+2.6
2715-12DAVIDURIBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Chloe Abuto, Emily Sawyer+3.5
2815-13URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+2.7
2916-13DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+3.6
3016-14URIDAVID×6KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.8
3116-15DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedCara Richterblk Kinsey Smith, Mia Compas+4.1
3216-16DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errKJ Johnson+4.1
3316-17DAVIDDAVID×6KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.9
3416-18DAVIDDAVID×6KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+3.4
3516-19DAVIDDAVID×6KillMia Compasset Jahan Lalli+2.7
3617-19DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+1.8
3717-20URIDAVIDAttack errHavyn Rolle+2.1
3818-20DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+1.8
3918-21URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+2.3
4019-21DAVIDURI×4BlockedMeile Songailablk Chloe Abuto, Grace Keaney+1.8
4120-21URIURI×4KillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+3.8
4221-21URIURI×4BlockedMeile Songailablk Emily Sawyer, Chloe Abuto+5.8
4322-21URIURI×4KillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+7.8
4422-22URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+5.4
4523-22DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+7.3
4623-23URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+6.5
4724-23DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+9.3
4824-24URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+9.3
4924-25DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+10.0
5025-25DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+7.4
5125-26URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+7.4
5225-27DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+7.9
Set 3
11-0URIURIKillChloe Abutoset Ema Stermenska+2.1
21-1URIDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.5
31-2DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Myla Young+1.8
41-3DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedChloe Abutoblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Myla Young+1.6
52-3DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+1.3
62-4URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Meile Songaila+1.2
73-4DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Ema Stermenska+1.4
83-5URIDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.3
93-6DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errHavyn Rolle+1.5
103-7DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.2
114-7DAVIDURI×4Serve errDavidson+0.9
125-7URIURI×4BlockedMia Compasblk Havyn Rolle, KJ Johnson+1.5
136-7URIURI×4KillHavyn Rolleset Dakota Henry+1.9
147-7URIURI×4KillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+2.3
157-8URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+1.7
168-8DAVIDURIAttack errAriyana Johnson+1.9
178-9URIDAVIDServe errRhode Island+1.7
189-9DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+1.9
199-10URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.8
2010-10DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+2.0
2111-10URIURIAttack errAriyana Johnson+3.1
2211-11URIDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.1
2311-12DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errChloe Abuto+2.7
2411-13DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2512-13DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+1.9
2612-14URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.8
2713-14DAVIDURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.9
2813-15URIDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.9
2914-15DAVIDURIKillHavyn Rolleset Dakota Henry+2.0
3014-16URIDAVID×4Bad setJahan Lalli+2.0
3114-17DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errGrace Keaney+2.3
3214-18DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedHavyn Rolleblk Mia Compas+1.7
3314-19DAVIDDAVID×4Bad setJahan Lalli+1.2
3415-19DAVIDURIServe errDavidson+0.6
3516-19URIURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.4
3616-20URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.3
3716-21DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.1
3817-21DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.5
3917-22URIDAVIDAttack errCara Richter+0.8
4018-22DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli+0.4
4118-23URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.7
4218-24DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.3
4319-24DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska+0.1
4419-25URIDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.1
Set 4
11-0DAVIDURIKillChloe Abutoset Jahan Lalli+1.2
21-1URIDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.1
32-1DAVIDURIAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.3
42-2URIDAVID×6Serve errRhode Island+1.1
52-3DAVIDDAVID×6AceDavidson+1.4
62-4DAVIDDAVID×6KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.2
72-5DAVIDDAVID×6AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+1.1
82-6DAVIDDAVID×6AceDavidsonaced Chloe Abuto+0.9
92-7DAVIDDAVID×6KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.7
103-7DAVIDURI×3Serve errDavidson+0.5
114-7URIURI×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Havyn Rolle, KJ Johnson+0.9
125-7URIURI×3BlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Havyn Rolle, KJ Johnson+1.1
135-8URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.9
146-8DAVIDURIBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Emily Sawyer, KJ Johnson+0.9
156-9URIDAVIDBlockedKJ Johnsonblk Mia Compas+0.9
167-9DAVIDURIKillGrace Keaneyset Jahan Lalli+0.9
177-10URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.9
187-11DAVIDDAVIDKillKinsey Smithset Jahan Lalli+1.0
198-11DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Dakota Henry+0.7
208-12URIDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.8
218-13DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedChloe Abutoblk Myla Young, Ariyana Johnson+0.8
228-14DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+0.6
239-14DAVIDURI×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.4
2410-14URIURI×3KillEmily Sawyerset Dakota Henry+0.7
2511-14URIURI×3KillHavyn Rolleset Emily Sawyer+1.0
2611-15URIDAVID×4KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2711-16DAVIDDAVID×4KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2811-17DAVIDDAVID×4BlockedEmily Sawyerblk Ariyana Johnson, Myla Young+0.6
2911-18DAVIDDAVID×4Attack errEmily Sawyer+0.3
3012-18DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Ema Stermenska+0.2
3112-19URIDAVID×3KillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith+0.2
3212-20DAVIDDAVID×3AceDavidsonaced Cara Richter+0.2
3312-21DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Mia Compas+0.1
3413-21DAVIDURIKillEmily Sawyerset Ema Stermenska·
3513-22URIDAVIDAttack errEmily Sawyer·
3614-22DAVIDURIServe errDavidson·
3714-23URIDAVIDAttack errCara Richter·
3815-23DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Dakota Henry·
3916-23URIURIKillKJ Johnson·
4016-24URIDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith·
4117-24DAVIDURIKillCara Richterset Jahan Lalli·
4217-25URIDAVIDKillMyla Youngset Kinsey Smith·

Score shown after each rally, Rhode Island first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).