N.C. Central vs Howard Volleyball: Howard Wins 3-1 (Oct 9)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026MEAC Network

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Howard 78.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Howard beat visiting N.C. Central 3-1 (25-19, 14-25, 25-18, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Howard's Zenai Jethroe led with 9 kills, and Camryn Shelton added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
NC CEN	19	25	18	22	1
HOWARD	25	14	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Howard built it on runs.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.2 points, and N.C. Central's high was 33% in Set 3. The numbers below are where it was won. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Howard at 78%.

N.C. CentralHoward

Longest run+-1
65
Up 19–17 in the third set, Howard scored 5 straight to make it 24–17. The set finished 25–18.

Howard above 50N.C. Central belowMax swing 3.2%

N.C. CentralHoward

Hitting: N.C. Central .211·Howard .149
Aces: N.C. Central 10·Howard 10
Serve err: N.C. Central 20·Howard 12
Blocks: N.C. Central 7·Howard 62 BS · 10 BA vs 2 BS · 8 BA
Digs: N.C. Central 28·Howard 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Howard above 50 · N.C. Central below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Howard — set 3, NC CEN 8-9 HOWARD. Kill by Zenai Jethroe (set by Sydnei Jones). HOWARD win probability 72% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC CEN 26.1%73.9% HOWARD

N.C. Central wins

3-0

4.7%

3-1

9.0%

3-2

12.4%

Howard wins

3-0

26.2%

3-1

28.3%

3-2

19.5%

NC CEN break %: 41.3% vs this opp
HOWARD break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Zenai JethroeKill+3.2%
Kill by Zenai Jethroe (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 3 · NC CEN 8-9 HOWARD · HOWARD 72% → 75%
02
Aniah BassKill+3.2%
Kill by Aniah Bass (set by Breylan Fairley)
Set 3 · NC CEN 4-2 HOWARD · NC CEN 30% → 33%
03
Zenai JethroeBlock+3.0%
Allyson Rouse stuffed by Zenai Jethroe
Set 3 · NC CEN 8-10 HOWARD · HOWARD 75% → 78%
04
Briana PaganKill+2.9%
Kill by Briana Pagan (set by Alexys James)
Set 3 · NC CEN 4-4 HOWARD · HOWARD 69% → 72%
05
Sydnei JonesAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Sydnei Jones
Set 3 · NC CEN 16-18 HOWARD · NC CEN 18% → 20%
06
Alexys JamesKill+2.8%
Kill by Alexys James (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 3 · NC CEN 17-20 HOWARD · HOWARD 80% → 83%
07
Briana PaganKill+2.7%
Kill by Briana Pagan (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 3 · NC CEN 16-19 HOWARD · HOWARD 80% → 82%
08
Shalyn BellKill+2.7%
Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Allyson Rouse)
Set 3 · NC CEN 8-7 HOWARD · NC CEN 28% → 31%

Box score

Official NCAA box

N.C. Centralaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Talia EmmenOH	4	8	3	25	.200	0	4	5	5	2	0	0	0	12
7Aniah BassOH	4	9	2	18	.389	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
3Allyson RouseMB	4	7	3	14	.286	1	1	4	0	0	0	2	1	9
6Breylan FairleyS	4	0	0	1	.000	21	3	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
2Morgan WingoMB	3	3	2	6	.167	1	0	1	0	0	2	3	3.5	6.5
12Shalyn BellOH	3	3	5	15	-.133	0	0	7	5	2	0	2	1	4
10Kayla RileyOH	4	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
4Hailey GibbonsDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	8	5	0	0	0	2
11Jayla EgertonDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Lusiana DamuniS	4	0	0	0	–	10	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
8Peyton JenkinsMB	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
22Tabitha NewlinOH	2	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	17	95	.211	35	10	20	28	10	2	10	7	84

Howardhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Zenai JethroeMB	4	9	3	16	.375	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	12
21Addison BucknerOH	4	8	10	28	-.071	0	2	3	4	4	0	0	0	10
5Alexys JamesS	4	8	2	18	.333	14	1	1	5	0	0	2	1	10
6Sydnei JonesS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	21	1	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
20Gabby AllenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0
15Kaitlynn RobinsonMB	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Camryn SheltonL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	5	2	13	0	0	0	0	5
2Estrella VazquezS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
19Briana PaganOH	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	6
7Easnadh Nobel TooloOH	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
17Tiana StubbsMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
22Corinne HowardOH	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Dayion JohnsonOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
0Haarachi UmenwaliriMB	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
33Kennedi WrightOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
11Lauryn WileyL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	25	101	.149	36	10	12	36	10	2	8	6	89

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

N.C. Central vs Howard

Season series · Howard leads 1-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026N.C. Central at Howard · Howard won 3-1This match
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Howard at N.C. CentralPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NC CEN · HOWARD 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 NC CENHOWARD 3

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 NC CENHOWARD 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 NC CENHOWARD 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 NC CENHOWARD 4

Bars above the line = Howard leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. Central

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	40%6/15
2	48%10/21	31%5/16
3	44%8/18	29%4/14
4	78%7/9	46%6/13
5	54%7/13	46%6/13
6	58%7/12	50%7/14
All	57%50/88	40%34/85

Howard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	31%4/13
2	69%11/16	56%14/25
3	57%8/14	43%6/14
4	50%7/14	47%7/15
5	58%7/12	36%4/11
6	50%7/14	30%3/10
All	60%51/85	43%38/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#	NC CEN-HOWARD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Kaitlynn Robinson		+1.5
2	1-1	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+1.4
3	1-2	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Howard	aced Talia Emmen	+1.7
4	1-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Howard	aced Shalyn Bell	+1.6
5	2-3	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.3
6	2-4	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
7	3-4	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
8	3-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
9	3-6	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	Howard	aced Aniah Bass	+1.5
10	4-6	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.2
11	5-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+1.7
12	6-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Zenai Jethroe	blk Morgan Wingo, Kayla Riley	+2.0
13	6-7	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.5
14	6-8	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Howard	aced Hailey Gibbons	+1.8
15	6-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+1.6
16	7-9	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Morgan Wingo	+1.2
17	7-10	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
18	8-10	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.3
19	8-11	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Kaitlynn Robinson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.3
20	9-11	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.3
21	9-12	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+1.4
22	9-13	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Shalyn Bell	blk Alexys James, Zenai Jethroe	+1.5
23	10-13	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Alexys James	blk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass	+1.1
24	10-14	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.2
25	10-15	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.2
26	11-15	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.8
27	11-16	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+0.9
28	12-16	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+0.8
29	13-16	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+1.4
30	13-17	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Alexys James	+1.3
31	13-18	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Kaitlynn Robinson, Dayion Johnson	+1.2
32	14-18	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.7
33	15-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	blk Morgan Wingo, Shalyn Bell	+1.4
34	16-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Addison Buckner	+1.9
35	16-19	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.8
36	16-20	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.8
37	17-20	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+1.0
38	17-21	NC CEN	HOWARD	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.4
39	18-21	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Kaitlynn Robinson	blk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell	+1.0
40	18-22	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.4
41	19-22	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+0.8
42	19-23	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.3
43	19-24	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Easnadh Nobel Toolo, Zenai Jethroe	+0.8
44	19-25	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Bad set	Lusiana Damuni		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.4
2	1-1	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.1
3	2-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.2
4	3-1	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
5	3-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+1.1
6	4-2	HOWARD	NC CEN×5	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
7	5-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.7
8	6-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Blocked	Addison Buckner	blk Morgan Wingo	+1.7
9	7-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Blocked	Addison Buckner	blk Morgan Wingo	+1.6
10	8-2	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Blocked	Addison Buckner	blk Morgan Wingo, Kayla Riley	+1.5
11	8-3	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.0
12	8-4	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	Howard	aced Hailey Gibbons	+1.4
13	9-4	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.3
14	10-4	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Addison Buckner	+1.6
15	10-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+0.9
16	11-5	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Haarachi Umenwaliri		+1.2
17	12-5	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Kennedi Wright	+1.4
18	12-6	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Easnadh Nobel Toolo	set Alexys James	+0.8
19	13-6	HOWARD	NC CEN×6	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.1
20	14-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Addison Buckner	+1.1
21	15-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Jayla Egerton	+0.8
22	16-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.6
23	17-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Addison Buckner	+0.4
24	18-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Kennedi Wright	+0.2
25	18-7	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+0.1
26	19-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.1
27	19-8	NC CEN	HOWARD×4	Serve err	N.C. Central		+0.1
28	19-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	Howard	aced Hailey Gibbons	+0.1
29	19-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
30	19-11	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Aniah Bass	+0.3
31	20-11	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+0.4
32	20-12	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
33	20-13	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+0.3
34	21-13	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.5
35	21-14	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+0.2
36	22-14	HOWARD	NC CEN×4	Serve err	Howard		+0.4
37	23-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Kennedi Wright		+0.2
38	24-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Lauryn Wiley	+0.1
39	25-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Kennedi Wright	·
Set 3
1	1-0	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+2.2
2	1-1	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.1
3	2-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+2.3
4	2-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Bad set	Breylan Fairley		+2.1
5	3-2	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
6	4-2	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+3.2
7	4-3	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.3
8	4-4	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+2.9
9	5-4	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+2.5
10	5-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.3
11	6-5	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.5
12	6-6	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.4
13	7-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.6
14	7-7	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.4
15	8-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Allyson Rouse	+2.7
16	8-8	NC CEN	HOWARD×4	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.5
17	8-9	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+3.2
18	8-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Zenai Jethroe	+3.0
19	8-11	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Ace	Howard	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.6
20	9-11	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
21	9-12	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.1
22	9-13	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Howard	aced Shalyn Bell	+2.3
23	9-14	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+1.8
24	10-14	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.2
25	11-14	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
26	11-15	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.8
27	12-15	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
28	12-16	NC CEN	HOWARD	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+1.9
29	12-17	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+1.9
30	13-17	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.1
31	13-18	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner		+1.4
32	14-18	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+1.1
33	15-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	N.C. Central		+2.1
34	16-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Sydnei Jones		+2.9
35	16-19	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+2.7
36	17-19	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.3
37	17-20	NC CEN	HOWARD×5	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.8
38	17-21	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.7
39	17-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Zenai Jethroe	+1.6
40	17-23	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+0.8
41	17-24	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Kill	Zenai Jethroe		+0.3
42	18-24	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	·
43	18-25	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+0.1
Set 4
1	1-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Tabitha Newlin	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
2	2-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Alexys James		+2.4
3	3-0	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Jayla Egerton	+2.5
4	3-1	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.8
5	4-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
6	4-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.8
7	5-2	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+2.1
8	5-3	NC CEN	HOWARD×4	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+1.8
9	5-4	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Kayla Riley		+2.5
10	5-5	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Tabitha Newlin		+2.4
11	5-6	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+2.3
12	6-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.9
13	6-7	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+1.8
14	7-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+2.0
15	7-8	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Alexys James	+1.9
16	7-9	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Tiana Stubbs, Alexys James	+2.3
17	8-9	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+1.8
18	8-10	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Sydnei Jones	+1.8
19	8-11	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.1
20	8-12	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.8
21	9-12	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+1.3
22	9-13	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Tiana Stubbs	set Gabby Allen	+1.4
23	9-14	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	Howard	aced Talia Emmen	+1.5
24	10-14	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.0
25	11-14	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
26	11-15	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+1.5
27	12-15	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Peyton Jenkins	set Hailey Gibbons	+1.3
28	12-16	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.5
29	12-17	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+1.5
30	13-17	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.9
31	13-18	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.1
32	14-18	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Peyton Jenkins	set Lusiana Damuni	+0.9
33	15-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+1.7
34	16-18	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Allyson Rouse		+2.4
35	16-19	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.2
36	16-20	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	Howard	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.2
37	17-20	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.2
38	17-21	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+1.7
39	17-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Camryn Shelton	+1.3
40	17-23	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+0.6
41	18-23	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Howard		+0.2
42	18-24	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+0.3
43	19-24	HOWARD	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+0.1
44	20-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+0.2
45	21-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+0.6
46	22-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	N.C. Central	aced Gabby Allen	+1.5
47	22-25	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	N.C. Central		+2.5

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Howard def. N.C. Central 3–1

Howard built it on runs.