Howard vs N.C. Central Volleyball: Howard Wins 3-2 (Nov 6)

Final · 5 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026MEAC Network

3:2

RallyIQ pre-match: Howard 60.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Howard won at N.C. Central 3-2 (22-25, 25-22, 29-27, 19-25, 15-13) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Howard's Addison Buckner and Briana Pagan led with 15 kills each, and Camryn Shelton added 20 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 6

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
HOWARD	22	25	29	19	15	3
NC CEN	25	22	27	25	13	2

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 13–17 in the third, Howard took the set, dropped the fourth, and won the match 3–2.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Howard's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Howard went in as RallyIQ's 60% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Howard 26–27 N.C. Central
Down 26–27, Howard scored 3 straight to lead 29–27. The match swung to Howard.
Howard 44% → 80%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Howard 9–10 N.C. Central
Down 9–10, Howard scored 3 straight to lead 12–10. The match swung to Howard.
Howard 41% → 81%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Howard 12–12 N.C. Central
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Howard, enough to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.
Howard 55% → >99%

N.C. Central above 50Howard belowMax swing 19.2%

HowardN.C. Central

Sideout %: Howard 53.1·N.C. Central 54.1
Break %: Howard 45.9·N.C. Central 46.9
Hitting: Howard .180·N.C. Central .142
Longest run: Howard 6·N.C. Central 8

Briana Pagan
15 kills on .333, 15 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. Central above 50 · Howard below

Biggest swing: 19.2% to Howard — set 5, HOWARD 15-13 NC CEN. Kill by Briana Pagan (set by Sydnei Jones). NC CEN win probability 19% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOWARD 57.5%42.5% NC CEN

Howard wins

3-0

15.9%

3-1

21.9%

3-2

19.7%

N.C. Central wins

3-0

9.6%

3-1

15.6%

3-2

17.3%

HOWARD break %: 44.5% vs this opp
NC CEN break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Briana PaganKill+19.2%
Kill by Briana Pagan (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 5 · HOWARD 15-13 NC CEN · HOWARD 81% → 100%
02
Briana PaganKill+19.0%
Kill by Briana Pagan (set by Sydnei Jones)
Set 5 · HOWARD 14-12 NC CEN · HOWARD 70% → 89%
03
Sydnei JonesBad set+16.8%
Bad set by Sydnei Jones
Set 5 · HOWARD 12-12 NC CEN · NC CEN 29% → 45%
04
Tabitha NewlinService error+15.7%
Service error by Tabitha Newlin
Set 5 · HOWARD 13-12 NC CEN · HOWARD 55% → 70%
05
Shalyn BellAttack error+15.1%
Attack error by Shalyn Bell
Set 5 · HOWARD 11-10 NC CEN · HOWARD 51% → 66%
06
Sydnei JonesAce+14.4%
Ace by Sydnei Jones on Hailey Gibbons
Set 5 · HOWARD 12-10 NC CEN · HOWARD 66% → 81%
07
Talia EmmenAce+13.3%
Ace by Talia Emmen
Set 3 · HOWARD 24-25 NC CEN · NC CEN 43% → 56%
08
Zenai JethroeAttack error+12.9%
Attack error by Zenai Jethroe
Set 5 · HOWARD 8-9 NC CEN · NC CEN 45% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Howardaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Addison BucknerOH	5	15	7	38	.211	1	1	1	15	1	0	0	0	16
18Zenai JethroeMB	5	9	6	21	.143	0	0	0	2	0	3	3	4.5	13.5
0Haarachi UmenwaliriMB	5	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	4	9
5Alexys JamesS	5	7	4	19	.158	25	0	3	12	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
22Corinne HowardOH	4	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	7
13Dayion JohnsonOH	4	4	4	17	.000	0	0	0	4	2	1	0	1	5
2Estrella VazquezS	5	0	0	0	–	0	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	3
12Camryn SheltonL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	7	1	4	20	4	0	0	0	1
6Sydnei JonesS	5	0	0	0	–	25	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
20Gabby AllenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
19Briana PaganOH	3	15	7	24	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15
11Lauryn WileyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	1
14Daryn WatkinsOH	2	0	2	4	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		61	34	150	.180	59	7	11	74	18	7	10	12	110

N.C. Centralhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Morgan WingoMB	5	10	2	17	.471	0	1	0	0	0	4	2	5	16
12Shalyn BellOH	5	10	3	40	.175	0	4	3	14	2	0	1	0.5	14.5
3Allyson RouseMB	5	6	6	20	.000	0	0	0	1	0	3	4	5	11
16Talia EmmenOH	5	5	8	23	-.130	0	5	4	10	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
7Aniah BassOH	5	8	3	28	.179	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
6Breylan FairleyS	5	0	0	1	.000	24	2	2	6	0	0	0	0	2
10Kayla RileyOH	5	8	3	20	.250	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
4Hailey GibbonsDS	5	0	0	1	.000	2	4	3	12	3	0	0	0	4
13Lusiana DamuniS	5	0	0	0	–	16	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
11Jayla EgertonDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
22Tabitha NewlinOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Peyton JenkinsMB	1	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Isabella RodriguezDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	26	155	.142	42	18	16	52	7	7	12	13	112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Howard vs N.C. Central

Season series · Howard leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026N.C. Central at Howard · Howard won 3-1Result →
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Howard at N.C. Central · Howard won 3-2This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 HOWARD · NC CEN 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 6 HOWARDNC CEN 8

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 HOWARDNC CEN 5

Set 3

29-27

Longest run 6 HOWARDNC CEN 6

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 HOWARDNC CEN 4

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 HOWARDNC CEN 3

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = Howard leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Howard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%13/24	50%10/20
2	42%11/26	37%7/19
3	45%10/22	57%13/23
4	56%10/18	50%10/20
5	80%8/10	31%4/13
6	62%8/13	43%6/14
All	53%60/113	46%50/109

N.C. Central

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	86%12/14	50%11/22
2	41%12/29	56%15/27
3	48%10/21	45%9/20
4	69%9/13	52%11/21
5	53%8/15	33%4/12
6	47%8/17	27%3/11
All	54%59/109	47%53/113

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

222 rallies

#	HOWARD-NC CEN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
2	1-1	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Breylan Fairley		+1.8
3	1-2	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+1.9
4	1-3	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+2.5
5	2-3	NC CEN	HOWARD×6	Serve err	Talia Emmen		+1.8
6	3-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Attack err	Allyson Rouse		+2.5
7	4-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.5
8	5-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Attack err	Allyson Rouse		+2.4
9	6-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+2.3
10	7-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+2.1
11	7-4	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+1.5
12	7-5	NC CEN	NC CEN	Blocked	Corinne Howard	blk Morgan Wingo	+2.2
13	8-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+1.8
14	9-5	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+2.2
15	9-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Estrella Vazquez		+1.5
16	10-6	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Alexys James	+1.7
17	10-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Alexys James	blk Kayla Riley, Morgan Wingo	+1.5
18	11-7	NC CEN	HOWARD×4	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.7
19	12-7	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
20	13-7	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Haarachi Umenwaliri, Alexys James	+1.5
21	14-7	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Camryn Shelton	+1.2
22	14-8	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Dayion Johnson	blk Morgan Wingo	+0.7
23	15-8	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+0.9
24	16-8	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.8
25	17-8	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Camryn Shelton	aced Shalyn Bell	+0.5
26	17-9	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Camryn Shelton		+0.2
27	18-9	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Sydnei Jones	+0.3
28	18-10	HOWARD	NC CEN×8	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.2
29	18-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Ace	Talia Emmen	aced Alexys James	+0.4
30	18-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Ace	Talia Emmen		+0.6
31	18-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.0
32	18-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Ace	Talia Emmen	aced Camryn Shelton	+1.4
33	18-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+2.0
34	18-16	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Blocked	Zenai Jethroe	blk Allyson Rouse	+2.7
35	18-17	NC CEN	NC CEN×8	Ace	Talia Emmen	aced Dayion Johnson	+3.5
36	19-17	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Talia Emmen		+3.2
37	20-17	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+3.6
38	20-18	HOWARD	NC CEN×6	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.2
39	20-19	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	Hailey Gibbons	aced Lauryn Wiley	+3.9
40	20-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	Hailey Gibbons	aced Lauryn Wiley	+5.0
41	20-21	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Blocked	Zenai Jethroe	blk Morgan Wingo	+5.7
42	20-22	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+5.8
43	20-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Corinne Howard		+4.7
44	21-23	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+2.1
45	21-24	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+3.8
46	22-24	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+1.5
47	22-25	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.6
Set 2
1	1-0	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Dayion Johnson	+2.6
2	1-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+2.0
3	2-1	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+2.0
4	3-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Estrella Vazquez	aced Talia Emmen	+2.6
5	4-1	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Estrella Vazquez	aced Hailey Gibbons	+2.4
6	4-2	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+1.8
7	5-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
8	6-2	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+2.3
9	6-3	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+1.6
10	7-3	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+1.8
11	8-3	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.0
12	8-4	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Daryn Watkins	blk Kayla Riley, Morgan Wingo	+1.4
13	8-5	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+2.1
14	9-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Attack err	Kayla Riley		+1.9
15	9-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.7
16	10-6	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Jayla Egerton		+1.9
17	10-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.7
18	11-7	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+1.9
19	11-8	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.7
20	12-8	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	Talia Emmen		+2.0
21	13-8	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Estrella Vazquez		+2.2
22	14-8	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+1.7
23	14-9	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+1.0
24	15-9	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Camryn Shelton	+1.3
25	16-9	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Shalyn Bell	blk Zenai Jethroe, Daryn Watkins	+1.2
26	16-10	HOWARD	NC CEN×5	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+0.7
27	16-11	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Morgan Wingo		+1.2
28	16-12	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+1.7
29	16-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Attack err	Daryn Watkins		+2.3
30	16-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×5	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.0
31	17-14	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.7
32	18-14	HOWARD	HOWARD	Ace	Lauryn Wiley	aced Shalyn Bell	+2.9
33	18-15	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Hailey Gibbons	+1.8
34	18-16	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Shalyn Bell		+3.1
35	19-16	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+2.9
36	19-17	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Camryn Shelton		+2.4
37	20-17	NC CEN	HOWARD	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Haarachi Umenwaliri, Daryn Watkins	+3.1
38	21-17	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Lauryn Wiley	+3.0
39	21-18	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+1.6
40	21-19	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Breylan Fairley		+3.1
41	21-20	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+4.6
42	22-20	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+4.6
43	22-21	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Alexys James		+3.7
44	23-21	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Sydnei Jones	+5.1
45	23-22	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+3.8
46	24-22	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Dayion Johnson	set Addison Buckner	+6.0
47	25-22	HOWARD	HOWARD	Attack err	Aniah Bass		+4.4
Set 3
1	1-0	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.4
2	1-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.5
3	1-2	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Dayion Johnson		+3.3
4	2-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.5
5	3-2	HOWARD	HOWARD	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Zenai Jethroe	+3.3
6	3-3	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+2.6
7	4-3	NC CEN	HOWARD×6	Serve err	Hailey Gibbons		+2.6
8	5-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Attack err	Morgan Wingo		+3.3
9	6-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+3.1
10	7-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+2.8
11	8-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+2.5
12	9-3	HOWARD	HOWARD×6	Blocked	Peyton Jenkins	blk Zenai Jethroe	+2.1
13	9-4	HOWARD	NC CEN×4	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+1.3
14	9-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+2.2
15	9-6	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Peyton Jenkins	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.6
16	9-7	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Lusiana Damuni	aced Camryn Shelton	+3.1
17	10-7	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.6
18	10-8	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.4
19	10-9	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Shalyn Bell	aced Camryn Shelton	+3.6
20	11-9	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+3.0
21	11-10	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.9
22	11-11	NC CEN	NC CEN	Blocked	Addison Buckner	blk Allyson Rouse, Kayla Riley	+4.1
23	12-11	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Jayla Egerton		+3.3
24	13-11	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Haarachi Umenwaliri	set Sydnei Jones	+4.1
25	13-12	HOWARD	NC CEN×6	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Sydnei Jones	+3.1
26	13-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Blocked	Haarachi Umenwaliri	blk Allyson Rouse	+4.4
27	13-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Ace	Breylan Fairley	aced Dayion Johnson	+4.8
28	13-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+4.9
29	13-16	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+4.6
30	13-17	NC CEN	NC CEN×6	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+4.1
31	14-17	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Breylan Fairley		+2.5
32	14-18	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Hailey Gibbons	+3.3
33	15-18	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+2.5
34	15-19	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Alexys James		+3.3
35	16-19	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+2.4
36	16-20	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+3.4
37	17-20	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+2.4
38	17-21	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.4
39	18-21	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+2.2
40	18-22	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Sydnei Jones		+3.4
41	19-22	NC CEN	HOWARD×5	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.0
42	20-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Ace	Addison Buckner	aced Hailey Gibbons	+4.1
43	21-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Haarachi Umenwaliri	+6.2
44	22-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Attack err	Kayla Riley		+8.5
45	23-22	HOWARD	HOWARD×5	Blocked	Allyson Rouse	blk Haarachi Umenwaliri	+10.1
46	23-23	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Addison Buckner		+7.6
47	24-23	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Camryn Shelton	+9.9
48	24-24	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Estrella Vazquez		+9.9
49	24-25	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Talia Emmen		+13.3
50	25-25	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+10.4
51	25-26	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Alexys James		+10.4
52	26-26	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+10.4
53	26-27	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+10.4
54	27-27	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	Lusiana Damuni		+10.4
55	28-27	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Kayla Riley		+12.9
56	29-27	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Blocked	Morgan Wingo	blk Haarachi Umenwaliri	+12.3
Set 4
1	0-1	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Breylan Fairley	+2.3
2	1-1	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+2.3
3	2-1	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.9
4	2-2	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Corinne Howard		+2.3
5	3-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+2.3
6	3-3	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Breylan Fairley	+2.4
7	3-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Lusiana Damuni		+3.2
8	3-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.2
9	4-5	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+2.4
10	4-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.6
11	5-6	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Camryn Shelton	+2.4
12	6-6	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Hailey Gibbons	+3.3
13	6-7	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.7
14	6-8	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Morgan Wingo		+3.5
15	7-8	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+2.6
16	7-9	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Lusiana Damuni	+2.8
17	8-9	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Camryn Shelton	+2.6
18	9-9	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan		+3.6
19	9-10	HOWARD	NC CEN	Serve err	Camryn Shelton		+2.9
20	9-11	NC CEN	NC CEN	Ace	Shalyn Bell	aced Addison Buckner	+3.8
21	10-11	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+2.8
22	11-11	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Zenai Jethroe, Corinne Howard	+3.8
23	12-11	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Allyson Rouse		+3.9
24	12-12	HOWARD	NC CEN×4	Serve err	Alexys James		+3.1
25	12-13	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Hailey Gibbons		+4.2
26	12-14	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Ace	Hailey Gibbons		+4.3
27	12-15	NC CEN	NC CEN×4	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+4.1
28	13-15	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+2.8
29	13-16	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+3.3
30	14-16	NC CEN	HOWARD	Blocked	Talia Emmen	blk Zenai Jethroe, Corinne Howard	+2.8
31	14-17	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Kayla Riley	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.5
32	14-18	NC CEN	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+3.9
33	15-18	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Alexys James	+2.3
34	16-18	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Camryn Shelton	+3.8
35	16-19	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Lusiana Damuni	+3.8
36	17-19	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Addison Buckner	set Sydnei Jones	+3.0
37	17-20	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+3.9
38	17-21	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+4.0
39	18-21	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+2.0
40	18-22	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Serve err	Camryn Shelton		+3.1
41	18-23	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Ace	Shalyn Bell	aced Camryn Shelton	+2.4
42	18-24	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Briana Pagan	blk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse	+1.0
43	19-24	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Alexys James	set Sydnei Jones	+0.2
44	19-25	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Aniah Bass	set Breylan Fairley	+0.5
Set 5
1	0-1	NC CEN	NC CEN	Kill	Allyson Rouse	set Camryn Shelton	+8.6
2	0-2	NC CEN	NC CEN	Blocked	Alexys James	blk Allyson Rouse, Shalyn Bell	+8.7
3	1-2	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+6.3
4	1-3	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Shalyn Bell	set Breylan Fairley	+7.0
5	1-4	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+8.7
6	1-5	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Alexys James	blk Allyson Rouse, Talia Emmen	+7.9
7	2-5	NC CEN	HOWARD×4	Serve err	Shalyn Bell		+5.0
8	3-5	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+7.8
9	4-5	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Attack err	Talia Emmen		+9.0
10	5-5	HOWARD	HOWARD×4	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+9.9
11	5-6	HOWARD	NC CEN	Blocked	Briana Pagan	blk Allyson Rouse	+8.3
12	6-6	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Alexys James	+8.0
13	7-6	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Blocked	Aniah Bass	blk Zenai Jethroe	+10.9
14	8-6	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Kill	Zenai Jethroe	set Alexys James	+10.5
15	8-7	HOWARD	NC CEN×3	Kill	Talia Emmen	set Breylan Fairley	+7.5
16	8-8	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Blocked	Addison Buckner	blk Morgan Wingo	+11.6
17	8-9	NC CEN	NC CEN×3	Attack err	Zenai Jethroe		+12.9
18	9-9	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Corinne Howard	set Alexys James	+9.7
19	9-10	HOWARD	NC CEN	Kill	Morgan Wingo	set Lusiana Damuni	+11.0
20	10-10	NC CEN	HOWARD×3	Serve err	Talia Emmen		+10.6
21	11-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Attack err	Shalyn Bell		+15.1
22	12-10	HOWARD	HOWARD×3	Ace	Sydnei Jones	aced Hailey Gibbons	+14.4
23	12-11	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Addison Buckner		+9.0
24	12-12	NC CEN	NC CEN	Bad set	Sydnei Jones		+16.8
25	13-12	NC CEN	HOWARD	Serve err	Tabitha Newlin		+15.7
26	14-12	HOWARD	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+19.0
27	14-13	HOWARD	NC CEN	Attack err	Briana Pagan		+8.6
28	15-13	NC CEN	HOWARD	Kill	Briana Pagan	set Sydnei Jones	+19.2

Score shown after each rally, Howard first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Howard def. N.C. Central 3–2

Down 13–17 in the third, Howard took the set, dropped the fourth, and won the match 3–2.