FinalSun, Nov 1, 2026

Howard def. UMES 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Howard 91.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 1, 12:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Howard beat visiting UMES 3-0 (26-24, 25-16, 25-14) on Sun, Nov 1, 2026. Howard's Addison Buckner led with 10 kills, and Camryn Shelton added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 1

Set123Sets
UMES2416140
HOWARD2625253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Howard held UMES to .089 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.9 points. UMES peaked at 23% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Howard went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

UMESHoward
  • Break %+18.8 pts
    33.952.7

    39 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 56, so UMES's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.181
    .089.270

    Kills and errors: 46–19 vs 25–17.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    Down 10–18 in the first set, Howard scored 5 straight to pull within 15–18. Final score of the set: 26–24.

Howard above 50UMES belowMax swing 5.9%

UMESHoward

Aces
UMES 4·Howard 7
Serve err
UMES 5·Howard 6
Blocks
UMES 10·Howard 4.50 BS · 20 BA vs 0 BS · 9 BA
Digs
UMES 26·Howard 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Howard above 50 · UMES below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.9% HOWARDrally 130 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Howard — set 1, UMES 24-24 HOWARD. Rayah Howell stuffed by Zenai Jethroe & Corinne Howard & Addison Buckner. HOWARD win probability 81% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UMES 7.7%92.3% HOWARD

UMES wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%

Howard wins

3-0
48.8%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%
UMES break %
37.4% vs this opp
HOWARD break %
48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Rayah Howell stuffed by Zenai Jethroe & Corinne Howard & Addison Buckner

    Set 1 · UMES 24-24 HOWARD · HOWARD 81% → 87%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison Buckner (set by Alexys James)

    Set 1 · UMES 24-25 HOWARD · HOWARD 87% → 92%

  3. 03
    Shayla HenryKill+3.8%

    Kill by Shayla Henry (set by Kate - Linh Eden)

    Set 1 · UMES 24-22 HOWARD · UMES 17% → 21%

  4. 04

    Kill by Addison Buckner (set by Alexys James)

    Set 1 · UMES 24-26 HOWARD · HOWARD 92% → 96%

  5. 05
    Shayla HenryAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Shayla Henry

    Set 1 · UMES 23-22 HOWARD · HOWARD 80% → 83%

  6. 06

    Kill by Corinne Howard (set by Alexys James)

    Set 1 · UMES 24-23 HOWARD · HOWARD 79% → 81%

  7. 07
    Addison BucknerAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Addison Buckner

    Set 1 · UMES 20-15 HOWARD · UMES 19% → 21%

  8. 08

    Kill by Corinne Howard (set by Alexys James)

    Set 1 · UMES 23-21 HOWARD · HOWARD 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UMESaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36417.118000000639
36216.250000100217
34410.000011100427
34418.00000100052.56.5
34218.111011600216
3006.000202050010.52.5
3000–101310000
2104.250000000001
2000–000330000
2000–200100000
2000–000420000
2000–001210000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals251790.08923452670201054
Howardhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37217.294224150010.511.5
310524.20800271010.510.5
38214.42900020031.59.5
38318.278000200219
37313.30800000010.57.5
24411.00000000010.54.5
31011.0001912200002
3000–020500002
3000–1001910000
3000–001000000
1102.500000100001
1000–000000000
Team totals4619100.2704276434094.576

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UMES vs Howard

Season series · Howard leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UMES · HOWARD 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 5 UMESHOWARD 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 UMESHOWARD 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 UMESHOWARD 5

Bars above the line = Howard leads, below = UMES leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UMES

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
46%6/13
2
38%6/16
0%0/7
3
86%6/7
40%4/10
4
40%6/15
33%3/9
5
36%5/14
45%5/11
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
47%35/74
34%19/56

Howard

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
55%6/11
2
100%7/7
36%4/11
3
50%6/12
60%9/15
4
75%6/8
45%5/11
5
60%6/10
60%9/15
6
71%5/7
55%6/11
All
66%37/56
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#UMES-HOWARDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+0.6
21-1HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Alexys James+0.7
31-2UMESHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.7
41-3HOWARDHOWARDAttack errRayah Howell+0.8
52-3HOWARDUMES×4KillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.6
63-3UMESUMES×4AceUMESaced Camryn Shelton+1.0
74-3UMESUMES×4BlockedAddison Bucknerblk Malaysia Shaw, Rayah Howell+1.2
85-3UMESUMES×4Attack errCorinne Howard+1.3
95-4UMESHOWARDServe errDynasty Andrews+0.9
106-4HOWARDUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+1.1
116-5UMESHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+0.9
127-5HOWARDUMES×3KillKyra Bradfordset Jocelyn Torres+1.1
138-5UMESUMES×3Attack errAlexys James+1.6
149-5UMESUMES×3AceUMES+1.7
159-6UMESHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+1.0
1610-6HOWARDUMESServe errAddison Buckner+1.3
1710-7UMESHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+1.0
1811-7HOWARDUMES×5KillShayla Henryset Jocelyn Torres+1.4
1912-7UMESUMES×5AceUMES+1.8
2013-7UMESUMES×5Attack errDayion Johnson+1.6
2114-7UMESUMES×5BlockedZenai Jethroeblk Shayla Henry, Dynasty Andrews+1.5
2215-7UMESUMES×5AceUMESaced Addison Buckner+1.2
2315-8UMESHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones+0.5
2416-8HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.9
2516-9UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+0.5
2617-9HOWARDUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
2717-10UMESHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+0.5
2818-10HOWARDUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.8
2918-11UMESHOWARD×5KillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Alexys James+0.4
3018-12HOWARDHOWARD×5KillAddison Bucknerset Camryn Shelton+0.8
3118-13HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errMalaysia Shaw+1.0
3218-14HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errMalaysia Shaw+1.3
3318-15HOWARDHOWARD×5KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+1.6
3419-15HOWARDUMESServe errSydnei Jones+1.8
3520-15UMESUMESAttack errAddison Buckner+1.9
3620-16UMESHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Sydnei Jones+0.9
3721-16HOWARDUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+1.5
3822-16UMESUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+1.3
3922-17UMESHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.4
4022-18HOWARDHOWARDBlockedDynasty Andrewsblk Zenai Jethroe, Dayion Johnson+0.9
4123-18HOWARDUMESServe errEstrella Vazquez+1.3
4223-19UMESHOWARD×4KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+0.5
4323-20HOWARDHOWARD×4AceAlexys Jamesaced Karielys Melendez+1.1
4423-21HOWARDHOWARD×4KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+1.8
4523-22HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errShayla Henry+2.9
4624-22HOWARDUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden+3.8
4724-23UMESHOWARD×4KillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+2.1
4824-24HOWARDHOWARD×4BlockedRayah Howellblk Zenai Jethroe, Corinne Howard, Addison Buckner+5.9
4924-25HOWARDHOWARD×4KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+4.7
5024-26HOWARDHOWARD×4KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+3.6
Set 2
10-1HOWARDHOWARD×3AceAlexys Jamesaced Alivia Proctor+0.6
20-2HOWARDHOWARD×3AceAlexys Jamesaced Alivia Proctor+0.5
30-3HOWARDHOWARD×3AceAlexys Jamesaced Alivia Proctor+0.5
41-3HOWARDUMESAttack errCorinne Howard+0.3
51-4UMESHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+0.3
61-5HOWARDHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+0.4
72-5HOWARDUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden+0.3
82-6UMESHOWARDKillCorinne Howardset Alexys James+0.3
93-6HOWARDUMESBlockedAddison Bucknerblk Malaysia Shaw, Jayda Hutchins+0.3
103-7UMESHOWARD×5KillAddison Bucknerset Alexys James+0.3
113-8HOWARDHOWARD×5KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+0.3
123-9HOWARDHOWARD×5KillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones+0.2
133-10HOWARDHOWARD×5KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+0.2
143-11HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errGabrielle McCoy+0.1
154-11HOWARDUMESBlockedHaarachi Umenwaliriblk Malaysia Shaw, Shayla Henry+0.1
165-11UMESUMESBlockedHaarachi Umenwaliriblk Dynasty Andrews, Shayla Henry+0.1
175-12UMESHOWARD×5Serve errKarielys Melendez+0.1
185-13HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errDynasty Andrews+0.1
195-14HOWARDHOWARD×5BlockedShayla Henryblk Alexys James, Haarachi Umenwaliri+0.1
205-15HOWARDHOWARD×5KillHaarachi Umenwaliri·
215-16HOWARDHOWARD×5KillSydnei Jonesset Camryn Shelton·
226-16HOWARDUMESKillShayla Henryset Kate - Linh Eden·
236-17UMESHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones·
246-18HOWARDHOWARDBlockedShayla Henryblk Dayion Johnson, Zenai Jethroe·
257-18HOWARDUMESBlockedDayion Johnsonblk Shayla Henry, Dynasty Andrews·
267-19UMESHOWARDServe errShayla Henry·
278-19HOWARDUMESServe errAlexys James·
288-20UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James·
299-20HOWARDUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden·
309-21UMESHOWARDServe errMargarette Vasquez·
3110-21HOWARDUMES×3Attack errHaarachi Umenwaliri·
3211-21UMESUMES×3Attack errCorinne Howard·
3312-21UMESUMES×3BlockedCorinne Howardblk Shayla Henry, Malaysia Shaw·
3412-22UMESHOWARDAttack errShayla Henry·
3513-22HOWARDUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden·
3613-23UMESHOWARDKillAddison Bucknerset Sydnei Jones·
3714-23HOWARDUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Kate - Linh Eden·
3814-24UMESHOWARDKillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones·
3915-24HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden·
4016-24UMESUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden·
4116-25UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones·
Set 3
10-1UMESHOWARDKillDayion Johnsonset Alexys James+0.2
21-1HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
31-2UMESHOWARD×3KillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James+0.2
41-3HOWARDHOWARD×3AceLauryn Wileyaced Lila Bryant+0.3
51-4HOWARDHOWARD×3AceLauryn Wileyaced Lila Bryant+0.2
62-4HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
73-4UMESUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Kate - Linh Eden+0.3
83-5UMESHOWARDAttack errJayda Hutchins+0.2
94-5HOWARDUMESKillRayah Howellset Kate - Linh Eden+0.2
104-6UMESHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Alexys James+0.2
114-7HOWARDHOWARDAceSydnei Jonesaced Margarette Vasquez+0.2
125-7HOWARDUMESServe errSydnei Jones+0.2
135-8UMESHOWARD×5Serve errJayda Hutchins+0.2
145-9HOWARDHOWARD×5KillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones+0.2
155-10HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errMalaysia Shaw+0.2
165-11HOWARDHOWARD×5Attack errJayda Hutchins+0.1
175-12HOWARDHOWARD×5KillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones+0.1
186-12HOWARDUMESServe errAddison Buckner+0.1
196-13UMESHOWARD×3KillAlexys Jamesset Sydnei Jones+0.1
206-14HOWARDHOWARD×3Attack errDynasty Andrews+0.1
216-15HOWARDHOWARD×3KillDayion Johnsonset Sydnei Jones·
227-15HOWARDUMESAttack errZenai Jethroe·
238-15UMESUMESBlockedDayion Johnsonblk Rayah Howell, Dynasty Andrews·
248-16UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Sydnei Jones·
259-16HOWARDUMESKillDynasty Andrewsset Kate - Linh Eden·
269-17UMESHOWARD×4KillDaryn Watkinsset Alexys James·
279-18HOWARDHOWARD×4Attack errDynasty Andrews·
289-19HOWARDHOWARD×4KillZenai Jethroeset Kate - Linh Eden·
299-20HOWARDHOWARD×4Bad setKate - Linh Eden·
3010-20HOWARDUMESKillJayda Hutchinsset Karielys Melendez·
3110-21UMESHOWARDKillZenai Jethroeset Alexys James·
3210-22HOWARDHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Kennedi Wright·
3311-22HOWARDUMESAttack errAddison Buckner·
3412-22UMESUMESKillMalaysia Shawset Alexys James·
3512-23UMESHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Alexys James·
3613-23HOWARDUMESBlockedAlexys Jamesblk Malaysia Shaw, Jayda Hutchins·
3714-23UMESUMESBlockedAddison Bucknerblk Malaysia Shaw, Kate - Linh Eden·
3814-24UMESHOWARDAttack errMalaysia Shaw·
3914-25HOWARDHOWARDKillHaarachi Umenwaliriset Sydnei Jones·

Score shown after each rally, UMES first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).