FinalTue, Oct 13, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Green Bay def. Milwaukee 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Green Bay 70.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 13, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Green Bay beat visiting Milwaukee 3-0 (25-20, 25-20, 25-23) on Tue, Oct 13, 2026. Green Bay's Diane Pichelman and Gillian Koning led with 12 kills each.

Data through · final Oct 13

Set123Sets
MILWKE2020230
GRNBAY2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Green Bay held Milwaukee to .095 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.6 points. Milwaukee peaked at 37% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Green Bay 71% before first serve.

MilwaukeeGreen Bay
  • Break %+9.7 pts
    36.946.6

    34 of 73 on serve vs 24 of 65, so Milwaukee's sideout was 53.4%.

  • Hitting+.153
    .095.248

    41 K / 14 E against 36 K / 24 E.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    Green Bay scored 7 straight in the third set to turn a 13–17 deficit into a 20–17 lead. The set finished 25–23.

Green Bay above 50Milwaukee belowMax swing 3.6%

MilwaukeeGreen Bay

Aces
Milwaukee 4·Green Bay 2
Serve err
Milwaukee 7·Green Bay 9
Blocks
Milwaukee 7·Green Bay 90 BS · 14 BA vs 3 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Milwaukee 47·Green Bay 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Green Bay above 50 · Milwaukee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.6% GRNBAYrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Green Bay — set 3, MILWKE 23-25 GRNBAY. Josie Noble stuffed by Diane Pichelman. GRNBAY win probability 96% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MILWKE 36.5%63.5% GRNBAY

Milwaukee wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.2%
3-2
15.8%

Green Bay wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%
MILWKE break %
41.9% vs this opp
GRNBAY break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Diane PichelmanBlock+3.6%

    Josie Noble stuffed by Diane Pichelman

    Set 3 · MILWKE 23-25 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 96% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 3 · MILWKE 23-24 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 93% → 96%

  3. 03

    Annie Eschenbach stuffed by Diane Pichelman & Kelsey Justman

    Set 1 · MILWKE 11-12 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 69% → 72%

  4. 04
    Emma DuffyAce+2.7%

    Ace by Emma Duffy on Macy Kline

    Set 1 · MILWKE 14-15 GRNBAY · MILWKE 24% → 27%

  5. 05
    Kirsten FishKill+2.7%

    Kill by Kirsten Fish (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 10-10 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 67% → 69%

  6. 06

    Kill by Olivia Neumann (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 14-17 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 75% → 78%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kelsey Justman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 11-13 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 72% → 75%

  8. 08

    Olivia Neumann stuffed by Josie Noble & Kami Stover

    Set 1 · MILWKE 8-5 GRNBAY · MILWKE 35% → 37%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38521.14302010052.512.5
39219.3681001002110
37324.167000800218
36421.09500000031.57.5
35523.000002410005
3001.0001803300000
3012-.5001221500002
30310-.30000000010.50.5
3001.0001001900000
3000–001000000
2000–000000000
1114.00000000010.51.5
1000–000310000
1000–000300000
Team totals3624126.0953247472014763
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312125.44010140313.515.5
36420.10000010031.57.5
35523.000001700216
3316.33300000052.55.5
3328.12533111100004
3001.000102900000
312125.44000020010.512.5
3001.0002111130001
3000–303910000
Team totals4114109.2484029544312975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Milwaukee vs Green Bay

Season series · Green Bay leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MILWKE · GRNBAY 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEGRNBAY 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEGRNBAY 6

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEGRNBAY 7

Bars above the line = Green Bay leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
27%3/11
2
54%7/13
50%8/16
3
60%6/10
22%2/9
4
40%6/15
40%4/10
5
46%6/13
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
53%39/73
37%24/65

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
33%3/9
2
50%8/16
38%5/13
3
88%7/8
46%6/13
4
50%6/12
54%7/13
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
60%6/10
60%9/15
All
63%41/65
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#MILWKE-GRNBAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MILWKEGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
20-2GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
31-2GRNBAYMILWKE×3Attack errKelsey Justman+1.5
42-2MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.1
53-2MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.3
63-3MILWKEGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
74-3GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.8
84-4MILWKEGRNBAYServe errLiv Doerre+1.8
95-4GRNBAYMILWKEServe errKelsey Justman+1.9
106-4MILWKEMILWKEAceEmma Duffyaced Macy Kline+2.5
116-5MILWKEGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
127-5GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+2.0
138-5MILWKEMILWKEBlockedOlivia Neumannblk Josie Noble, Kami Stover+2.6
148-6MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errElla Parker+1.8
159-6GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.1
169-7MILWKEGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
179-8GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errElla Parker+2.5
1810-8GRNBAYMILWKEServe errKendall Schara+2.2
1910-9MILWKEGRNBAYServe errMilica Tomic+2.0
2010-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
2111-10GRNBAYMILWKEBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Annie Eschenbach, Bella Lipski+2.3
2211-11MILWKEGRNBAY×3Serve errElla Parker+2.2
2311-12GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Diane Pichelman, Kelsey Justman+2.8
2411-13GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
2512-13GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Bella Lipski+2.0
2612-14MILWKEGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Macy Kline+2.1
2712-15GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+2.4
2813-15GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+1.7
2914-15MILWKEMILWKEAceEmma Duffyaced Macy Kline+2.7
3014-16MILWKEGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
3114-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
3214-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedKami Stoverblk Gillian Koning, Olivia Neumann+2.1
3315-18GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.3
3415-19MILWKEGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
3515-20GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errJosie Noble+1.5
3616-20GRNBAYMILWKE×3Serve errAlexa Hernandez+0.8
3717-20MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+1.6
3818-20MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipski+2.4
3918-21MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errElla Schuetz+2.5
4019-21GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+1.9
4119-22MILWKEGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
4219-23GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
4320-23GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.8
4420-24MILWKEGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
4520-25GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
Set 2
11-0GRNBAYMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.4
21-1MILWKEGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
31-2GRNBAYGRNBAYAceMacy Klineaced Ella Parker+1.7
42-2GRNBAYMILWKEAttack errKelsey Justman+1.4
52-3MILWKEGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
63-3GRNBAYMILWKEServe errRiley Schmitz+1.4
73-4MILWKEGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
83-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Riley Schmitz+1.7
93-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
103-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
113-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errEmma Duffy+1.2
123-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillDiane Pichelman+1.0
134-9GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+0.7
145-9MILWKEMILWKEAceJosie Nobleaced Riley Schmitz+1.0
155-10MILWKEGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Riley Schmitz+0.9
166-10GRNBAYMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+0.8
177-10MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errGillian Koning+1.3
188-10MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.6
198-11MILWKEGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
209-11GRNBAYMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.3
219-12MILWKEGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
229-13GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedBella Lipskiblk Kelsey Justman, Olivia Neumann+1.6
239-14GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errAnnie Eschenbach+1.3
2410-14GRNBAYMILWKEServe errKendall Schara+0.8
2511-14MILWKEMILWKEBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Annie Eschenbach, Josie Noble+1.4
2611-15MILWKEGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
2711-16GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errJosie Noble+1.3
2812-16GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+0.8
2913-16MILWKEMILWKEBlockedKirsten Fishblk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz+1.4
3013-17MILWKEGRNBAY×3Serve errEmma Duffy+1.3
3113-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedJosie Nobleblk Diane Pichelman+1.3
3213-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3314-19GRNBAYMILWKEServe errRiley Schmitz+0.5
3414-20MILWKEGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
3515-20GRNBAYMILWKEAttack errAlexa Hernandez+0.4
3616-20MILWKEMILWKEAceJosie Nobleaced Macy Kline+0.8
3716-21MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errElla Parker+0.9
3817-21GRNBAYMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+0.6
3917-22MILWKEGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
4017-23GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceAlexa Hernandezaced Braylin Bosetski+0.6
4117-24GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedElla Parkerblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+0.2
4218-24GRNBAYMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Kati Goba·
4319-24MILWKEMILWKE×3KillAnnie Eschenbach+0.1
4420-24MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.2
4520-25MILWKEGRNBAYServe errElla Parker+0.4
Set 3
11-0MILWKEMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.0
21-1MILWKEGRNBAYServe errMilica Tomic+0.8
32-1GRNBAYMILWKE×3Serve errMacy Kline+0.8
43-1MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.1
54-1MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errKirsten Fish+1.1
64-2MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errElla Parker+0.8
74-3GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
85-3GRNBAYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+0.9
95-4MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+0.8
106-4GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+0.9
117-4MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parker+1.2
127-5MILWKEGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
137-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Diane Pichelman+1.1
147-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
158-7GRNBAYMILWKEServe errDiane Pichelman+1.0
168-8MILWKEGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Riley Schmitz+0.9
179-8GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.0
189-9MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errKami Stover+0.9
1910-9GRNBAYMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+1.0
2010-10MILWKEGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Kendall Schara+1.0
2111-10GRNBAYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Annie Eschenbach+1.1
2212-10MILWKEMILWKEAttack errKirsten Fish+1.4
2312-11MILWKEGRNBAYBlockedBella Lipskiblk Diane Pichelman+1.0
2413-11GRNBAYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.1
2514-11MILWKEMILWKEBlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Hope Wagner, Josie Noble+1.4
2614-12MILWKEGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
2715-12GRNBAYMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.2
2816-12MILWKEMILWKEKillHope Wagnerset Emma Duffy+1.4
2916-13MILWKEGRNBAYAttack errHope Wagner+0.9
3017-13GRNBAYMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.1
3117-14MILWKEGRNBAY×7KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.9
3217-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×7BlockedJosie Nobleblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.3
3317-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×7Attack errKami Stover+1.6
3417-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×7BlockedElla Schuetzblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+1.7
3517-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×7Attack errElla Schuetz+1.7
3617-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×7KillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+1.6
3717-20GRNBAYGRNBAY×7KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
3818-20GRNBAYMILWKEBlockedKirsten Fishblk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz+0.9
3918-21MILWKEGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
4019-21GRNBAYMILWKEAttack errAlexa Hernandez+0.9
4119-22MILWKEGRNBAYServe errMilica Tomic+1.2
4220-22GRNBAYMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+0.8
4321-22MILWKEMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.7
4422-22MILWKEMILWKE×3BlockedKelsey Justmanblk Annie Eschenbach, Bella Lipski+2.6
4522-23MILWKEGRNBAYBad setBella Lipski+2.4
4623-23GRNBAYMILWKEServe errRiley Schmitz+2.4
4723-24MILWKEGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.1
4823-25GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedJosie Nobleblk Diane Pichelman+3.6

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).