Milwaukee vs NIU Volleyball: Milwaukee Wins 3-0 (Oct 15)

FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Milwaukee 58.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Milwaukee won at NIU 3-0 (25-14, 25-16, 25-22) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Milwaukee's Josie Noble led with 12 kills, and Kati Goba added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 15

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MILWKE	25	25	25	3
NIU	14	16	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.800 and 12 kills for Josie Noble as Milwaukee rolled past NIU.

Win probability never moved more than 2.9 points on one rally; NIU topped out at 41% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Milwaukee at 59%.

MilwaukeeNIU

Break %+21.1 pts
50.729.6
Points won on own serve: 37 of 73 vs 16 of 54. NIU sided out 49.3% of the time.
Hitting+.244
.435.191
46 kills, 6 errors vs 32 kills, 14 errors.

NIU above 50Milwaukee belowMax swing 2.9%

MilwaukeeNIU

Aces: Milwaukee 6·NIU 4
Serve err: Milwaukee 7·NIU 9
Blocks: Milwaukee 5·NIU 22 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Milwaukee 38·NIU 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

NIU above 50 · Milwaukee below

Biggest swing: 2.9% to NIU — set 1, MILWKE 8-8 NIU. Kill by Katie Pahl. NIU win probability 38% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MILWKE 67.8%32.2% NIU

Milwaukee wins

3-0

21.8%

3-1

26.0%

3-2

20.0%

NIU wins

3-0

6.3%

3-1

11.4%

3-2

14.5%

MILWKE break %: 43.6% vs this opp
NIU break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Katie PahlKill+2.9%
Kill by Katie Pahl
Set 1 · MILWKE 8-8 NIU · NIU 38% → 41%
02
Josie NobleKill+2.9%
Kill by Josie Noble
Set 1 · MILWKE 10-8 NIU · MILWKE 61% → 64%
03
Ella ParkerKill+2.7%
Kill by Ella Parker (set by Emma Duffy)
Set 1 · MILWKE 11-8 NIU · MILWKE 64% → 66%
04
Annie EschenbachKill+2.7%
Kill by Annie Eschenbach (set by Liv Doerre)
Set 2 · MILWKE 14-11 NIU · MILWKE 81% → 83%
05
Katie PahlKill+2.7%
Kill by Katie Pahl (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 2 · MILWKE 12-11 NIU · NIU 19% → 22%
06
Josie Noble&Ella SchuetzBlock+2.6%
Lilly Abney stuffed by Josie Noble & Ella Schuetz
Set 1 · MILWKE 7-5 NIU · MILWKE 61% → 63%
07
Ella ParkerAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Ella Parker
Set 2 · MILWKE 10-9 NIU · NIU 19% → 22%
08
Bella LipskiKill+2.5%
Kill by Bella Lipski
Set 2 · MILWKE 12-9 NIU · MILWKE 80% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Milwaukeeaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Josie NobleMB	3	12	0	15	.800	0	2	3	0	0	1	2	2	16
4Ella ParkerOH	3	9	3	25	.240	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	9
12Bella LipskiMB	3	7	0	10	.700	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
14Ella SchuetzOH	3	3	2	11	.091	1	2	0	8	3	1	2	2	7
11Kami StoverOH	3	5	0	10	.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
17Emma DuffyS	3	0	0	3	.000	15	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Annie EschenbachOPP	3	8	1	14	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
5Milica TomicS	3	2	0	3	.667	18	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
9Kati GobaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
1Liv DoerreDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	6	92	.435	35	6	7	38	4	2	6	5	75

NIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	10	6	31	.129	0	1	2	6	1	1	0.5	11.5
11Katie PahlOH	3	7	3	19	.211	0	0	1	5	0	1	0.5	7.5
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	5	1	18	.222	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	6
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
9Delaney SteersOH	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	8	1	0	0	2
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	2	.000	20	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
21Charizma LoftonOH	3	0	0	4	.000	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0
14Naomi DowdOH	2	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
16Lilly AbneyOH	2	1	3	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Ellie SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	14	94	.191	30	4	9	33	6	4	2	52

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Milwaukee vs NIU

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Thu, Oct 1, 2026NIU at Milwaukee · NIU won 3-2Result →
Thu, Oct 15, 2026Milwaukee at NIU · Milwaukee won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MILWKE · NIU 5

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 4 MILWKENIU 2

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 MILWKENIU 2

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 MILWKENIU 5

Bars above the line = NIU leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Milwaukee

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	29%2/7
2	44%4/9	43%3/7
3	80%4/5	43%3/7
4	100%4/4	33%2/6
5	80%4/5	71%10/14
6	57%4/7	50%4/8
All	67%26/39	49%24/49

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	29%2/7
2	57%4/7	50%5/10
3	67%4/6	20%1/5
4	33%4/12	20%1/5
5	36%4/11	20%1/5
6	67%4/6	43%3/7
All	51%25/49	33%13/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#	MILWKE-NIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+1.8
2	2-0	MILWKE	MILWKE	Ace	Milwaukee	aced Charlotte Gramzow	+2.3
3	2-1	MILWKE	NIU	Attack err	Ella Schuetz		+1.7
4	2-2	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Ella Parker		+2.5
5	3-2	NIU	MILWKE	Serve err	NIU		+1.8
6	3-3	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Josie Noble		+1.9
7	4-3	NIU	MILWKE	Serve err	NIU		+1.9
8	4-4	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+1.9
9	5-4	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Milica Tomic	+1.9
10	5-5	MILWKE	NIU	Blocked	Annie Eschenbach	blk Ava Grevengoed, Autumn Flynn	+2.0
11	6-5	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.0
12	7-5	MILWKE	MILWKE	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Josie Noble, Ella Schuetz	+2.6
13	7-6	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+1.9
14	8-6	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.0
15	8-7	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.9
16	8-8	NIU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl		+2.9
17	9-8	NIU	MILWKE×4	Serve err	Ava Grevengoed		+2.2
18	10-8	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble		+2.9
19	11-8	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+2.7
20	12-8	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+2.4
21	12-9	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
22	13-9	NIU	MILWKE×3	Kill	Kami Stover	set Ella Schuetz	+1.8
23	14-9	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+2.0
24	15-9	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Ace	Milwaukee	aced Ava Grevengoed	+1.5
25	15-10	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.8
26	16-10	NIU	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+1.1
27	17-10	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	Milwaukee	aced Charizma Lofton	+1.1
28	18-10		MILWKE	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.7
29	19-10	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Milica Tomic	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
30	19-11	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
31	19-12	NIU	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Charlotte Gramzow	+0.3
32	20-12	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Milica Tomic	+0.4
33	21-12	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.2
34	21-13	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
35	22-13	NIU	MILWKE×3	Kill	Milica Tomic		+0.1
36	23-13	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.1
37	24-13	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Ella Schuetz	·
38	24-14	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	·
39	25-14	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	·
Set 2
1	1-0	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+2.2
2	1-1	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Milica Tomic		+1.6
3	2-1	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Milica Tomic	+1.6
4	2-2	MILWKE	NIU	Attack err	Ella Parker		+1.7
5	3-2	NIU	MILWKE	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz	+1.7
6	3-3	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Kati Goba		+1.7
7	3-4	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.4
8	4-4	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
9	5-4	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+2.4
10	5-5	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.8
11	6-5	NIU	MILWKE	Serve err	Autumn Flynn		+1.8
12	7-5	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+2.4
13	7-6	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
14	8-6	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+1.8
15	9-6	MILWKE	MILWKE	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+2.3
16	9-7	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+1.6
17	10-7	NIU	MILWKE	Serve err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.7
18	10-8	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+1.6
19	10-9	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Ella Parker		+2.5
20	11-9	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+2.0
21	12-9	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski		+2.5
22	12-10	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Ella Parker		+1.7
23	12-11	NIU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+2.7
24	13-11	NIU	MILWKE×3	Serve err	Naomi Dowd		+2.1
25	14-11	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Liv Doerre	+2.7
26	15-11	MILWKE	MILWKE×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Josie Noble	+2.3
27	15-12	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.4
28	16-12	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
29	17-12	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Schuetz	set Emma Duffy	+1.8
30	17-13	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+1.0
31	18-13	NIU	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+1.3
32	19-13	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble		+1.3
33	20-13	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+0.8
34	21-13	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+0.4
35	21-14	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
36	22-14	NIU	MILWKE	Serve err	Kylie Schulze		+0.2
37	22-15	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
38	23-15	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+0.2
39	23-16	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	·
40	24-16	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+0.1
41	25-16	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	·
Set 3
1	0-1	NIU	NIU	Ace	Ava Grevengoed	aced Ella Schuetz	+1.4
2	1-1	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+1.0
3	1-2	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.1
4	2-2	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.0
5	3-2	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+1.4
6	3-3	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.1
7	4-3	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+1.1
8	4-4	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.1
9	5-4	NIU	MILWKE×4	Serve err	Charizma Lofton		+1.1
10	6-4	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble		+1.5
11	7-4	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	Milwaukee		+1.4
12	8-4	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.3
13	8-5	MILWKE	NIU	Bad set	Josie Noble		+0.8
14	8-6	NIU	NIU	Bad set	Emma Duffy		+1.3
15	9-6	NIU	MILWKE×4	Serve err	Autumn Flynn		+1.1
16	10-6	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+1.3
17	11-6	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Kill	Bella Lipski		+1.1
18	12-6	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Ace	Josie Noble		+0.9
19	12-7	MILWKE	NIU×3	Serve err	Josie Noble		+0.5
20	12-8	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	Kylie Schulze		+0.9
21	12-9	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Charlotte Gramzow	+1.2
22	13-9	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Ella Parker	set Emma Duffy	+1.0
23	13-10	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.9
24	14-10	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+1.0
25	15-10	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.1
26	15-11	MILWKE	NIU×5	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
27	15-12	NIU	NIU×5	Blocked	Ella Schuetz	blk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl	+1.2
28	15-13	NIU	NIU×5	Ace	Charlotte Gramzow	aced Ella Schuetz	+1.5
29	15-14	NIU	NIU×5	Ace	Charlotte Gramzow	aced Ella Schuetz	+1.8
30	15-15	NIU	NIU×5	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+2.1
31	16-15	NIU	MILWKE	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.6
32	16-16	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Liv Doerre		+1.6
33	17-16	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Josie Noble	set Milica Tomic	+1.7
34	17-17	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.7
35	18-17	NIU	MILWKE×4	Kill	Josie Noble	set Emma Duffy	+1.8
36	19-17	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+2.4
37	20-17	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+2.1
38	21-17	MILWKE	MILWKE×4	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Josie Noble, Kami Stover	+1.6
39	21-18	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.7
40	22-18	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Kami Stover	set Emma Duffy	+1.1
41	22-19	MILWKE	NIU	Serve err	Josie Noble		+0.7
42	22-20	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+1.5
43	23-20	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Emma Duffy	+1.8
44	24-20	MILWKE	MILWKE	Kill	Annie Eschenbach	set Milica Tomic	+1.3
45	24-21	MILWKE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.3
46	24-22	NIU	NIU	Bad set	Milica Tomic		+0.9
47	25-22	NIU	MILWKE	Kill	Bella Lipski	set Milica Tomic	+1.6

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Milwaukee def. NIU 3–0

.800 and 12 kills for Josie Noble as Milwaukee rolled past NIU.