FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Oakland def. Milwaukee 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Milwaukee 54.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oakland beat visiting Milwaukee 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Oakland's Olivia Rust led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
MILWKE2221250
OAK2525273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

18 kills in 3 sets for Olivia Rust. Oakland swept Milwaukee.

The biggest single-rally swing was 7.3 points, and Milwaukee's high was 56% in Set 1. The numbers below are where it was won. Milwaukee went in at 54% by RallyIQ.

MilwaukeeOakland
  • Hitting+.117
    .116.233

    48 kills, 17 errors vs 34 kills, 19 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    Up 5–4 in the first set, Oakland scored 8 straight to make it 13–4. The set finished 25–22.

Oakland above 50Milwaukee belowMax swing 7.3%

MilwaukeeOakland

Aces
Milwaukee 8·Oakland 5
Serve err
Milwaukee 5·Oakland 9
Blocks
Milwaukee 8·Oakland 64 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Milwaukee 60·Oakland 72

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oakland above 50 · Milwaukee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.3% OAKrally 145 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.3% to Oakland — set 3, MILWKE 25-27 OAK. Attack error by Ella Schuetz. OAK win probability 93% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MILWKE 52.4%47.6% OAK

Milwaukee wins

3-0
13.5%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
19.1%

Oakland wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
18.3%
MILWKE break %
42.1% vs this opp
OAK break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella SchuetzAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Ella Schuetz

    Set 3 · MILWKE 25-27 OAK · OAK 93% → 100%

  2. 02
    Olivia RustKill+5.7%

    Kill by Olivia Rust (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 22-24 OAK · OAK 56% → 61%

  3. 03
    Lillian FriasKill+5.7%

    Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 3 · MILWKE 22-23 OAK · OAK 86% → 91%

  4. 04
    Kami StoverKill+5.3%

    Kill by Kami Stover (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 3 · MILWKE 24-24 OAK · MILWKE 7% → 13%

  5. 05
    Lillian FriasKill+5.3%

    Kill by Lillian Frias (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 3 · MILWKE 24-25 OAK · OAK 87% → 93%

  6. 06
    Kate VrabelService error+5.3%

    Service error by Kate Vrabel

    Set 3 · MILWKE 25-25 OAK · MILWKE 7% → 13%

  7. 07
    Bella LipskiAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Bella Lipski

    Set 3 · MILWKE 25-26 OAK · OAK 87% → 93%

  8. 08
    Josie NobleService error+5.3%

    Service error by Josie Noble

    Set 3 · MILWKE 23-24 OAK · OAK 87% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39224.2920001002110
36431.065222710008
36531.032101101010.56.5
31311-.182000003245
3001.0001610700001
23412-.083101101225
3001.0005202510002
3000–810800001
2305.600021000005
2418.37500010010.54.5
1205.400000000002
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3419129.116338560548868
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318134.50000030010.518.5
312634.176122160010.514.5
37529.069210132010.58.5
37216.31300000010.57.5
33315.000000000425
3105.20038011501223
3000–6211630002
3000–004100000
3000–001810000
Team totals4817133.2334759728110677

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Milwaukee vs Oakland

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MILWKE · OAK 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 MILWKEOAK 8

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 MILWKEOAK 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 3 MILWKEOAK 3

Bars above the line = Oakland leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
33%4/12
2
70%7/10
47%8/17
3
50%7/14
36%4/11
4
64%7/11
30%3/10
5
44%7/16
30%3/10
6
88%7/8
22%2/9
All
58%44/76
35%24/69

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
43%6/14
2
80%8/10
38%5/13
3
70%7/10
42%5/12
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
70%7/10
59%10/17
6
64%7/11
13%1/8
All
65%45/69
42%32/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

145 rallies

#MILWKE-OAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0OAKMILWKEBlockedGrace Cooneyblk Bella Lipski+1.8
21-1MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+1.8
32-1OAKMILWKEAttack errMolly Reck+1.9
42-2MILWKEOAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.9
52-3OAKOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.6
62-4OAKOAK×3AceKalliann Cook+2.6
73-4OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Ella Parker+1.9
83-5MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.0
94-5OAKMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Josie Noble+1.9
104-6MILWKEOAK×8Attack errJosie Noble+2.0
114-7OAKOAK×8KillDelaney Sternset Molly Reck+2.7
124-8OAKOAK×8AceMolly Reckaced Kati Goba+2.5
134-9OAKOAK×8Attack errJosie Noble+2.2
144-10OAKOAK×8BlockedElla Parkerblk Delaney Stern, Lillian Frias+1.9
154-11OAKOAK×8Attack errJosie Noble+1.6
164-12OAKOAK×8Attack errJosie Noble+1.2
174-13OAKOAK×8KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.9
185-13OAKMILWKEKillJulia Kellnerset Kati Goba+0.4
195-14MILWKEOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.6
206-14OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+0.4
217-14MILWKEMILWKEAceMilica Tomic+0.8
227-15MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.8
237-16OAKOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Kalliann Cook+0.7
248-16OAKMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.3
259-16MILWKEMILWKE×4AceElla Parkeraced Liv Hosford+0.6
2610-16MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Delaney Stern+0.9
2711-16MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errLiv Hosford+1.3
2811-17MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.3
2912-17OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba+0.9
3012-18MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.3
3113-18OAKMILWKEServe errKalliann Cook+0.9
3214-18MILWKEMILWKEBlockedOlivia Rustblk Ella Schuetz, Josie Noble+1.7
3314-19MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+1.7
3415-19OAKMILWKEServe errKiley Gallagher+1.2
3515-20MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.7
3616-20OAKMILWKEKillKayla Landerudset Emma Duffy+1.1
3717-20MILWKEMILWKEAceKayla Landerudaced Kiley Gallagher+2.2
3817-21MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.3
3918-21OAKMILWKEServe errKate Vrabel+1.5
4019-21MILWKEMILWKEAttack errLiv Hosford+3.1
4119-22MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.3
4219-23OAKOAKAttack errElla Parker+3.0
4320-23OAKMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.0
4421-23MILWKEMILWKE×3BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Bella Lipski+2.6
4522-23MILWKEMILWKE×3AceElla Parkeraced Liv Hosford+4.7
4622-24MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+5.7
4722-25OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+4.4
Set 2
10-1MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.9
20-2OAKOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.6
31-2OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.9
41-3MILWKEOAKServe errElla Parker+2.0
52-3OAKMILWKEBlockedMolly Reckblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+1.9
62-4MILWKEOAK×4KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.0
72-5OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Liv Hosford+2.7
82-6OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.5
92-7OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.3
103-7OAKMILWKEAttack errMolly Reck+1.4
114-7MILWKEMILWKEAttack errMolly Reck+2.3
124-8MILWKEOAKAttack errElla Schuetz+1.9
135-8OAKMILWKEServe errMolly Reck+1.7
146-8MILWKEMILWKEAttack errLiv Hosford+2.6
156-9MILWKEOAKServe errElla Schuetz+2.2
167-9OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+2.0
177-10MILWKEOAKServe errKayla Landerud+2.2
187-11OAKOAKBlockedKami Stoverblk Grace Cooney, Liv Hosford+2.7
198-11OAKMILWKEBlockedGrace Cooneyblk Bella Lipski+1.8
209-11MILWKEMILWKEBlockedGrace Cooneyblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+2.8
219-12MILWKEOAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+2.3
229-13OAKOAK×3AceLiv Hosfordaced Ella Schuetz+2.9
239-14OAKOAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.4
2410-14OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+1.4
2510-15MILWKEOAKBlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Molly Reck, Grace Cooney+1.8
2610-16OAKOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.9
2711-16OAKMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.0
2812-16MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+1.9
2913-16MILWKEMILWKE×3KillKayla Landerudset Milica Tomic+2.4
3013-17MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.3
3114-17OAKMILWKEKillKayla Landerudset Milica Tomic+1.8
3215-17MILWKEMILWKEAttack errLillian Frias+3.1
3315-18MILWKEOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.9
3415-19OAKOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+3.2
3515-20OAKOAK×3AceMolly Reck+2.4
3616-20OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba+1.1
3717-20MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.3
3817-21MILWKEOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.4
3917-22OAKOAKBlockedElla Parkerblk Delaney Stern, Grace Cooney+2.1
4018-22OAKMILWKEServe errKate Vrabel+0.8
4119-22MILWKEMILWKEAceKayla Landerud+1.9
4219-23MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+2.3
4320-23OAKMILWKEServe errDelaney Stern+1.1
4420-24MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.1
4521-24OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+0.6
4621-25MILWKEOAKBlockedElla Schuetzblk Olivia Rust, Grace Cooney+1.5
Set 3
10-1OAKOAKAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+1.8
21-1OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.3
32-1MILWKEMILWKEAceKati Gobaaced Kalliann Cook+1.8
42-2MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.3
52-3OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.9
63-3OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.4
74-3MILWKEMILWKEAceEmma Duffyaced Kalliann Cook+1.9
84-4MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.4
95-4OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Ella Schuetz+1.4
105-5MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.4
116-5OAKMILWKEAttack errLillian Frias+1.5
126-6MILWKEOAKBlockedBella Lipskiblk Delaney Stern+1.5
137-6OAKMILWKEServe errMolly Reck+1.5
147-7MILWKEOAKAttack errBella Lipski+1.5
158-7OAKMILWKEServe errKate Vrabel+1.5
168-8MILWKEOAKServe errElla Parker+1.5
179-8OAKMILWKE×3Attack errLiv Hosford+1.6
1810-8MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+2.1
1911-8MILWKEMILWKE×3AceKati Gobaaced Kalliann Cook+2.0
2011-9MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.3
2112-9OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.5
2213-9MILWKEMILWKEBlockedMolly Reckblk Kami Stover, Josie Noble+1.8
2313-10MILWKEOAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.2
2413-11OAKOAK×3AceKalliann Cookaced Ella Parker+1.9
2513-12OAKOAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Emma Duffy+2.2
2614-12OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+1.8
2714-13MILWKEOAKAttack errElla Parker+1.7
2815-13OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Kati Goba+1.9
2916-13MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.3
3016-14MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Liv Hosford+1.5
3116-15OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.4
3217-15OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+2.1
3317-16MILWKEOAKAttack errElla Schuetz+1.9
3418-16OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.2
3519-16MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Ella Parker+2.6
3619-17MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.6
3719-18OAKOAKAttack errElla Schuetz+2.8
3820-18OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.5
3920-19MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.2
4021-19OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.7
4121-20MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+2.3
4222-20OAKMILWKEBlockedMolly Reckblk Josie Noble+3.0
4322-21MILWKEOAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.4
4422-22OAKOAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+4.6
4522-23OAKOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+5.7
4623-23OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+4.0
4723-24MILWKEOAKServe errJosie Noble+5.3
4824-24OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+5.3
4924-25MILWKEOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+5.3
5025-25OAKMILWKEServe errKate Vrabel+5.3
5125-26MILWKEOAKAttack errBella Lipski+5.3
5225-27OAKOAKAttack errElla Schuetz+7.3

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).