Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Milwaukee def. Oakland 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Milwaukee 50.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Milwaukee won at Oakland 3-1 (25-22, 25-23, 21-25, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Ella Parker led Milwaukee with 14 kills; Oakland's Molly Reck had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set1234Sets
MILWKE252521253
OAK222325191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

26 digs from Kati Goba kept Milwaukee alive against Oakland.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Milwaukee's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Milwaukee went in as RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Milwaukee 20–20 Oakland

    Milwaukee scored 4 straight to go from 20–20 to a 24–20 lead.

    Milwaukee 51% → 68%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Milwaukee 22–22 Oakland

    Milwaukee closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–0.

    Milwaukee 70% → 88%

Oakland above 50Milwaukee belowMax swing 9.9%

MilwaukeeOakland

Sideout %
Milwaukee 66.7·Oakland 62.1
Break %
Milwaukee 37.9·Oakland 33.3
Hitting
Milwaukee .304·Oakland .241
Longest run
Milwaukee 5·Oakland 4

Bella Lipski
13 kills on .550, 16.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oakland above 50 · Milwaukee below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.9% MILWKErally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Milwaukee — set 2, MILWKE 25-23 OAK. Liv Hosford stuffed by Annie Eschenbach & Josie Noble. OAK win probability 22% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MILWKE 52.4%47.6% OAK

Milwaukee wins

3-0
13.5%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
19.1%

Oakland wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
18.3%
MILWKE break %
42.1% vs this opp
OAK break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Liv Hosford stuffed by Annie Eschenbach & Josie Noble

    Set 2 · MILWKE 25-23 OAK · MILWKE 78% → 88%

  2. 02
    Bella LipskiKill+7.3%

    Kill by Bella Lipski (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 2 · MILWKE 24-23 OAK · MILWKE 71% → 78%

  3. 03
    Bella LipskiKill+5.8%

    Kill by Bella Lipski (set by Milica Tomic)

    Set 2 · MILWKE 23-22 OAK · MILWKE 70% → 76%

  4. 04
    Olivia RustAttack error+5.7%

    Attack error by Olivia Rust

    Set 1 · MILWKE 22-20 OAK · MILWKE 56% → 61%

  5. 05
    Molly ReckKill+5.5%

    Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 2 · MILWKE 23-23 OAK · OAK 24% → 29%

  6. 06
    Molly ReckKill+5.2%

    Kill by Molly Reck (set by Kalliann Cook)

    Set 2 · MILWKE 20-20 OAK · OAK 25% → 30%

  7. 07
    Ella SchuetzAce+5.0%

    Ace by Ella Schuetz

    Set 4 · MILWKE 19-16 OAK · MILWKE 86% → 91%

  8. 08
    Ella ParkerKill+4.9%

    Kill by Ella Parker (set by Emma Duffy)

    Set 1 · MILWKE 19-18 OAK · MILWKE 50% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413220.55020000233.516.5
49321.2860333014315
414633.24210270010.514.5
412323.39110010010.512.5
410227.296210100010.511.5
4001.0002702700000
47422.136000300429
4001.0002302700000
4000–7012610000
2000–000000000
Team totals6520148.304634106443141096
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416347.27702060010.518.5
49418.27810010254.513.5
411432.21900010102112
4013-.3334411100010.51.5
3336.000000200003
22316-.06300020010.52.5
4000–0101210001
4000–4031200000
38013.615000101019
3304.750002001014
1106.167000000001
1000–001000000
Team totals5318145.2414947564410989

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Milwaukee vs Oakland

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MILWKE · OAK 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 MILWKEOAK 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 MILWKEOAK 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 MILWKEOAK 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 MILWKEOAK 3

Bars above the line = Oakland leads, below = Milwaukee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Milwaukee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
41%7/17
2
85%11/13
45%9/20
3
69%11/16
42%8/19
4
59%10/17
9%1/11
5
62%8/13
44%7/16
6
80%8/10
33%4/12
All
67%60/90
38%36/95

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
41%7/17
2
55%11/20
29%5/17
3
77%10/13
8%1/12
4
77%10/13
47%9/19
5
62%8/13
31%4/13
6
53%8/15
33%4/12
All
62%59/95
33%30/90

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

185 rallies

#MILWKE-OAKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0OAKMILWKE×3Attack errGrace Cooney+1.8
22-0MILWKEMILWKE×3KillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+2.5
33-0MILWKEMILWKE×3AceJosie Noble+2.4
43-1MILWKEOAKServe errJosie Noble+1.7
54-1OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+1.8
65-1MILWKEMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+2.3
75-2MILWKEOAKBlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Molly Reck, Grace Cooney+1.5
86-2OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.7
96-3MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.5
106-4OAKOAKAttack errAnnie Eschenbach+2.4
117-4OAKMILWKE×3KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.9
128-4MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJosie Noble+2.4
139-4MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.1
149-5MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.3
1510-5OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+1.6
1610-6MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.3
1711-6OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.6
1811-7MILWKEOAK×4Attack errJosie Noble+1.3
1911-8OAKOAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Grace Cooney+2.2
2011-9OAKOAK×4Attack errElla Parker+2.6
2111-10OAKOAK×4AceDelaney Sternaced Kati Goba+3.0
2212-10OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.4
2312-11MILWKEOAKBlockedElla Parkerblk Grace Cooney, Olivia Rust+2.2
2412-12OAKOAKAttack errKami Stover+3.4
2513-12OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+2.6
2613-13MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+2.6
2714-13OAKMILWKEServe errKalliann Cook+2.7
2814-14MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.7
2914-15OAKOAKKillLillian Frias+3.8
3015-15OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+2.8
3115-16MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.0
3215-17OAKOAKBad setMilica Tomic+4.0
3316-17OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.7
3416-18MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+3.1
3517-18OAKMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Kami Stover+2.8
3618-18MILWKEMILWKE×3KillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+4.5
3719-18MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+4.9
3819-19MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+3.5
3920-19OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+3.9
4020-20MILWKEOAKBlockedKami Stoverblk Grace Cooney, Liv Hosford+3.8
4121-20OAKMILWKE×4KillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+4.3
4222-20MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errOlivia Rust+5.7
4323-20MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Kati Goba+4.5
4424-20MILWKEMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Milica Tomic+2.5
4524-21MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+0.6
4624-22OAKOAKAttack errBella Lipski+1.8
4725-22OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+3.1
Set 2
10-1MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.8
21-1OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.8
31-2MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+1.9
42-2OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Kati Goba+1.9
53-2MILWKEMILWKEBlockedLillian Friasblk Bella Lipski+2.6
63-3MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.9
74-3OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.9
85-3MILWKEMILWKEBlockedLillian Friasblk Bella Lipski, Ella Schuetz+2.6
95-4MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+1.9
106-4OAKMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Bella Lipski+2.0
117-4MILWKEMILWKE×3KillJosie Nobleset Ella Schuetz+2.6
128-4MILWKEMILWKE×3Attack errLillian Frias+2.4
138-5MILWKEOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.6
148-6OAKOAK×3BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Liv Hosford, Grace Cooney+2.4
158-7OAKOAK×3KillGrace Cooney+2.7
169-7OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+2.1
179-8MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.0
189-9OAKOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.0
1910-9OAKMILWKE×5KillElla Schuetzset Emma Duffy+2.3
2011-9MILWKEMILWKE×5BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Kami Stover, Josie Noble+3.1
2112-9MILWKEMILWKE×5BlockedGrace Cooneyblk Josie Noble+2.9
2213-9MILWKEMILWKE×5KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.6
2314-9MILWKEMILWKE×5KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.2
2414-10MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.3
2515-10OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.6
2615-11MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.3
2716-11OAKMILWKEServe errKalliann Cook+1.6
2816-12MILWKEOAK×3Serve errMilwaukee+1.2
2916-13OAKOAK×3BlockedAnnie Eschenbachblk Kamsi Iweajunwa+2.2
3016-14OAKOAK×3KillKamsi Iweajunwaset Delaney Stern+2.8
3117-14OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Ella Schuetz+2.5
3217-15MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.1
3317-16OAKOAKAceMolly Reck+3.6
3418-16OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba+3.1
3518-17MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.8
3619-17OAKMILWKEServe errKamsi Iweajunwa+3.3
3719-18MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+2.9
3820-18OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+3.5
3920-19MILWKEOAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+3.0
4020-20OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+5.2
4121-20OAKMILWKEBlockedOlivia Rustblk Josie Noble, Ella Parker+4.3
4221-21MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+4.2
4322-21OAKMILWKEAttack errOlivia Rust+4.9
4422-22MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+4.7
4523-22OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+5.8
4623-23MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+5.5
4724-23OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+7.3
4825-23MILWKEMILWKEBlockedLiv Hosfordblk Annie Eschenbach, Josie Noble+9.9
Set 3
11-0OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.2
22-0MILWKEMILWKEAceJosie Nobleaced Liv Hosford+1.7
32-1MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.2
43-1OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.2
54-1MILWKEMILWKEBlockedMolly Reckblk Bella Lipski, Annie Eschenbach+1.6
64-2MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.1
75-2OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Bella Lipski+1.2
85-3MILWKEOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.1
96-3OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.2
106-4MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.2
116-5OAKOAKAceMolly Reck+1.7
127-5OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Milica Tomic+1.4
137-6MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.3
148-6OAKMILWKEServe errKalliann Cook+1.4
159-6MILWKEMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+1.8
169-7MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.2
1710-7OAKMILWKEServe errDelaney Stern+1.4
1811-7MILWKEMILWKEBad setMolly Reck+1.7
1911-8MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+1.1
2011-9OAKOAKKillKamsi Iweajunwa+1.7
2112-9OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Emma Duffy+1.4
2212-10MILWKEOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.3
2313-10OAKMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+1.5
2413-11MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.3
2514-11OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.5
2614-12MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+1.4
2715-12OAKMILWKEAttack errDelaney Stern+1.6
2815-13MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Kalliann Cook+1.4
2915-14OAKOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.2
3016-14OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.9
3116-15MILWKEOAK×4KillKamsi Iweajunwaset Delaney Stern+1.7
3216-16OAKOAK×4KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.7
3316-17OAKOAK×4BlockedElla Parkerblk Ella Schomer+2.8
3416-18OAKOAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.8
3517-18OAKMILWKEKillJosie Nobleset Emma Duffy+1.9
3618-18MILWKEMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+3.0
3718-19MILWKEOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.4
3819-19OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+2.4
3919-20MILWKEOAKKillElla Schomerset Kalliann Cook+2.6
4020-20OAKMILWKEServe errKate Vrabel+2.6
4120-21MILWKEOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.9
4220-22OAKOAK×4BlockedBella Lipskiblk Grace Cooney+3.9
4320-23OAKOAK×4Attack errElla Schuetz+3.0
4420-24OAKOAK×4KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.7
4521-24OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+0.4
4621-25MILWKEOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.9
Set 4
10-1MILWKEOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.4
21-1OAKMILWKE×4KillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+2.4
32-1MILWKEMILWKE×4KillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+3.4
43-1MILWKEMILWKE×4BlockedMolly Reckblk Annie Eschenbach, Bella Lipski+3.4
54-1MILWKEMILWKE×4Serve errMilwaukee+3.2
64-2MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+2.2
75-2OAKMILWKE×3Serve errKamsi Iweajunwa+2.4
86-2MILWKEMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Milica Tomic+3.1
97-2MILWKEMILWKE×3BlockedGrace Cooneyblk Annie Eschenbach, Josie Noble+2.7
107-3MILWKEOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.7
118-3OAKMILWKEAttack errGrace Cooney+2.0
128-4MILWKEOAKServe errMilwaukee+1.7
138-5OAKOAKBlockedJosie Nobleblk Grace Cooney+2.8
149-5OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Kati Goba+2.4
159-6MILWKEOAKBad setElla Parker+2.1
169-7OAKOAKAttack errElla Parker+3.3
1710-7OAKMILWKE×4KillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.7
1811-7MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errLiv Hosford+3.4
1912-7MILWKEMILWKE×4Attack errLiv Hosford+2.9
2013-7MILWKEMILWKE×4BlockedMolly Reckblk Bella Lipski+2.4
2113-8MILWKEOAKAttack errKami Stover+1.3
2214-8OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.7
2314-9MILWKEOAK×3Attack errElla Schuetz+1.3
2414-10OAKOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.3
2514-11OAKOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Kalliann Cook+3.0
2615-11OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.7
2715-12MILWKEOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.2
2816-12OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+2.7
2916-13MILWKEOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.2
3016-14OAKOAK×3AceKiley Gallagher+3.8
3116-15OAKOAK×3Attack errJosie Noble+4.6
3217-15OAKMILWKEKillElla Schuetzset Ella Parker+3.9
3317-16MILWKEOAKAttack errElla Parker+3.5
3418-16OAKMILWKE×3KillElla Schuetzset Kati Goba+4.1
3519-16MILWKEMILWKE×3AceElla Schuetz+5.0
3620-16MILWKEMILWKE×3KillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+4.0
3720-17MILWKEOAKBlockedElla Parkerblk Delaney Stern, Grace Cooney+2.0
3821-17OAKMILWKEKillElla Parkerset Emma Duffy+2.9
3922-17MILWKEMILWKEAceJosie Nobleaced Kiley Gallagher+2.5
4022-18MILWKEOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.9
4123-18OAKMILWKEKillKami Stoverset Emma Duffy+1.6
4223-19MILWKEOAKKillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.7
4324-19OAKMILWKEKillAnnie Eschenbachset Milica Tomic+1.3
4425-19MILWKEMILWKEKillBella Lipskiset Milica Tomic+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Milwaukee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).