FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

Youngstown St. def. Mercyhurst 3–0

Youngstown St. beat visiting Mercyhurst 3-0 (25-17, 25-16, 25-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Youngstown St.'s Ava Stratton led with 12 kills, and Brie Habeeb added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
MERCYH1716130
YSU2525253

Win probability

Youngstown St. above 50 · Mercyhurst below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 121 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Youngstown St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCYH 5.0%95.0% YSU

Mercyhurst wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.0%

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
55.4%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
9.9%
MERCYH break %
38.0% vs this opp
YSU break %
50.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3608.75000000010.56.5
33010.300011200004
32416-.125000340002
3002.000012000001
3000–1311200001
3011-1.000002830000
38315.33300000010.58.5
33416-.063000130003
3229.000000000002
3000–821200002
3000–000600000
3000–103400000
2001.000000410000
1000–200000000
Team totals241478.12824510321402146
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312014.85700010111.513.5
37120.3001323200010
38220.300001710219
34212.16700010031.55.5
3417.42910200010.54.5
3000–1501300000
3000–1063100006
3000–3511210005
3217.14300010010.52.5
1000–000200000
1000–500100000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals37780.37535141032518575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MERCYH · YSU 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 MERCYHYSU 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 MERCYHYSU 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 MERCYHYSU 7

Bars above the line = Youngstown St. leads, below = Mercyhurst leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercyhurst

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%4/12
0%0/4
2
57%4/7
20%1/5
3
67%4/6
20%1/5
4
44%4/9
43%3/7
5
33%3/9
20%1/5
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
45%22/49
23%7/30

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%4/4
40%2/5
2
67%4/6
69%9/13
3
67%4/6
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
43%3/7
5
100%4/4
33%2/6
6
75%3/4
75%9/12
All
77%23/30
55%27/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

121 rallies

#MERCYH-YSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
21-1MERCYHYSU×5KillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak
31-2YSUYSU×5Attack errJulia Shepherd
41-3YSUYSU×5Attack errMadison Miner
51-4YSUYSU×5KillAva Strattonset Brie Habeeb
61-5YSUYSU×5AceYoungstown St.
72-5YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
82-6MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
93-6YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
103-7MERCYHYSU×5KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak
113-8YSUYSU×5Attack errKalyani Olive
123-9YSUYSU×5KillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince
133-10YSUYSU×5AceYoungstown St.aced Madison Miner
143-11YSUYSU×5AceYoungstown St.
154-11YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
164-12MERCYHYSUKillKorina Barberset Ava Prince
174-13YSUYSUBlockedRoslyn Guerrablk Korina Barber, Wrigley Takats
185-13YSUMERCYHAttack errKorina Barber
195-14MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
206-14MERCYH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

217-14MERCYHMERCYHAttack errWrigley Takats
227-15MERCYHYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince
237-16YSUYSUKillAva Stratton
248-16YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
258-17MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
269-17YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
2710-17MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Kylie Surratt
2810-18MERCYHYSUBlockedMadison Minerblk Ava Stratton
2911-18YSUMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause
3012-18MERCYHMERCYHAttack errLayne Graffice
3112-19MERCYHYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak
3212-20YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Madison Miner
3313-20YSUMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici
3414-20MERCYHMERCYHAttack errKorina Barber
3514-21MERCYHYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince
3615-21YSUMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici
3715-22MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
3816-22YSUMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Sydney Forcht
3916-23MERCYHYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince
4016-24YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak
4117-24YSUMERCYHAttack errKylie Surratt
4217-25MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
Set 2
10-1YSUYSUAttack errAnna Logan
21-1YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
31-2MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
42-2YSUMERCYHAttack errIsabelle Henry
53-2MERCYHMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
63-3MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
73-4YSUYSUKillAva Strattonset Isabelle Henry
84-4YSUMERCYH×3KillAva Carneyset Alyssa Krause
95-4MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurst
106-4MERCYHMERCYH×3AceMercyhurstaced Kylie Surratt
116-5MERCYHYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak
127-5YSUMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici
137-6MERCYHYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kylie Surratt
148-6YSUMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici
158-7MERCYHYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Ava Prince
168-8YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Roslyn Guerra
178-9YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Roslyn Guerra
189-9YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
199-10MERCYHYSUKillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince
209-11YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak
2110-11YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
2210-12MERCYHYSU×4KillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak
2310-13YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Anna Logan
2410-14YSUYSU×4KillAva Stratton
2510-15YSUYSU×4Attack errJulia Shepherd
2611-15YSUMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Alyssa Krause
2711-16MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
2811-17YSUYSUBlockedJulia Shepherdblk Korina Barber, Layne Graffice
2912-17YSUMERCYHKillMadison Minerset Alyssa Krause
3012-18MERCYHYSU×4Serve errMercyhurst
3112-19YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Anna Logan
3212-20YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Madison Miner
3312-21YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Madison Miner
3413-21YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
3514-21MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Brie Habeeb
3614-22MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
3715-22YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
3815-23MERCYHYSUKillKorina Barberset Ava Prince
3915-24YSUYSUAttack errRoslyn Guerra
4016-24YSUMERCYHKillMia Mattinglyset Aliyah Angelici
4116-25MERCYHYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Ava Prince
Set 3
10-1MERCYHYSU×5KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
20-2YSUYSU×5KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
30-3YSUYSU×5BlockedMadison Minerblk Isabelle Henry, Ava Stratton
40-4YSUYSU×5KillIsabelle Henryset Kameron Blizniak
50-5YSUYSU×5Attack errMadison Miner
61-5YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
72-5MERCYHMERCYHBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Julia Shepherd, Ava Carney
82-6MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak
93-6YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
103-7MERCYHYSUBlockedKalyani Oliveblk Layne Graffice, Korina Barber
114-7YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
125-7MERCYHMERCYHKillKalyani Oliveset Aliyah Angelici
135-8MERCYHYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Brie Habeeb
146-8YSUMERCYHKillAva Carneyset Aliyah Angelici
156-9MERCYHYSU×7Serve errMercyhurst
166-10YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.aced Trinity Tatupu
176-11YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.aced Roslyn Guerra
186-12YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Ava Prince
196-13YSUYSU×7Attack errRoslyn Guerra
206-14YSUYSU×7Attack errRoslyn Guerra
216-15YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.
227-15YSUMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Alyssa Krause
238-15MERCYHMERCYHAceMercyhurstaced Layne Graffice
248-16MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst
259-16YSUMERCYHKillJulia Shepherdset Alyssa Krause
269-17MERCYHYSU×3Serve errMercyhurst
279-18YSUYSU×3KillIsabelle Henryset Hayden Rodriguez
289-19YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Anna Logan
2910-19YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
3010-20MERCYHYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez
3111-20YSUMERCYHServe errYoungstown St.
3211-21MERCYHYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez
3312-21YSUMERCYHKillKalyani Oliveset Ellie Kleven
3412-22MERCYHYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Brie Habeeb
3512-23YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez
3612-24YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez
3713-24YSUMERCYHKillRoslyn Guerraset Ellie Kleven
3813-25MERCYHYSUServe errMercyhurst

Score shown after each rally, Mercyhurst first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).