Mercer vs Troy Volleyball: Troy Wins 3-0 (Aug 28, 2026)

FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

0:3

Troy beat visiting Mercer 3-0 (25-13, 25-21, 25-9) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Troy's Kalina Calvillo led with 11 kills, and Haley Nash added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Aug 28

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MERCER	13	21	9	0
TROY	25	25	25	3

Win probability

Troy above 50 · Mercer below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Mercer — set 2, MERCER 16-16 TROY. Attack error by Isabella Ruether. TROY win probability 93% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCER 14.7%85.3% TROY

Mercer wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.7%

3-2

7.8%

Troy wins

3-0

37.5%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.4%

MERCER break %: 38.2% vs this opp
TROY break %: 46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Isabella RuetherAttack error+1.8%
Attack error by Isabella Ruether
Set 2 · MERCER 16-16 TROY · MERCER 7% → 9%
02
Lara MattaKill+1.7%
Kill by Lara Matta (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 1 · MERCER 4-3 TROY · MERCER 15% → 17%
03
TroyAce+1.6%
Troy ace on Taylor Timko
Set 2 · MERCER 16-18 TROY · TROY 93% → 94%
04
TroyAce+1.5%
Troy ace on Aubri Martin
Set 1 · MERCER 4-5 TROY · TROY 85% → 86%
05
MercerService error+1.4%
Mercer service error
Set 2 · MERCER 12-12 TROY · MERCER 7% → 8%
06
Haley NashBad set+1.4%
Bad set by Haley Nash
Set 2 · MERCER 9-8 TROY · MERCER 8% → 9%
07
Ipek UlukutluAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Ipek Ulukutlu
Set 1 · MERCER 5-7 TROY · TROY 86% → 87%
08
Olivia KwiatkowskiAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Olivia Kwiatkowski
Set 2 · MERCER 15-16 TROY · MERCER 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merceraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Joselynn SanjurjoMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
20Lara MattaOH	3	6	3	19	.158	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	6
7Avery WilksMB	3	2	3	12	-.083	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	3
8Sammi BergjansS	3	0	1	4	-.250	11	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Sarah FragerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
15Brooklyn PalmerOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Aubri MartinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	9	4	0	0	0	1
6Brooke KaouiL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
19Taylor TimkoOH	2	0	2	10	-.200	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Ipek UlukutluOH	2	0	2	7	-.286	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
14Jasmine CaltonMB	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
12Bella PonsMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Emily MatiasOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Lexie StotenburS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		15	14	76	.013	14	2	6	29	10	2	2	3	43

Troyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kalina CalvilloOH	3	11	0	18	.611	0	5	3	4	0	1	1	1.5	17.5
9Ashlynn AxtellMB	3	9	0	14	.643	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
2Isabella RuetherOH	3	8	1	16	.438	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
6Olivia KwiatkowskiOH	3	5	4	12	.083	0	2	3	6	1	1	0	1	8
20Brooke ForkumOH	3	6	0	15	.400	1	0	3	7	0	0	0	0	6
33Madison MarxS	3	0	0	0	–	25	2	4	5	0	0	0	0	2
14Sophie OcampoOH	3	4	3	11	.091	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	6
24Josephine HensleyS	3	0	0	0	–	11	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
11Haley NashL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	14	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	8	86	.407	40	10	17	42	2	4	6	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 MERCER · TROY 10

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 MERCERTROY 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 MERCERTROY 4

Set 3

9-25

Longest run 2 MERCERTROY 10

Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercer

No clean sets to split.

Troy

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

118 rallies

#	MERCER-TROY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1–2	1-1		MERCER · TROY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
3	1-2	MERCER	TROY	Blocked	Sammi Bergjans	blk Ashlynn Axtell	+1.0
4	2-2		MERCER	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
5	2-3	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx	+1.0
6	3-3		MERCER	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.1
7	4-3	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.7
8	4-4	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether		+1.1
9	4-5	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Aubri Martin	+1.5
10	5-5	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+1.2
11	5-6	MERCER	TROY×3	Serve err	Mercer		+1.1
12	5-7	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Ipek Ulukutlu		+1.4
13	5-8	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Brooklyn Palmer	blk Sophie Ocampo, Kalina Calvillo	+1.2
14	6-8	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.9
15	6-9		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.9
16	6-10	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+1.1
17	6-11	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx	+0.8
18	6-12	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.6
19	6-13	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.4
20	7-13	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.3
21	8-13	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+0.5
22	8-14	MERCER	TROY×3	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Haley Nash	+0.4
23	8-15	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.4
24	8-16	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.3
25	9-16		MERCER	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
26	10-16	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	Mercer	aced Olivia Kwiatkowski	+0.3
27	10-17	MERCER	TROY×6	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.3
28	10-18	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.2
29	10-19	TROY	TROY×6	Ace	Troy		+0.1
30	10-20	TROY	TROY×6	Serve err	Troy		+0.1
31	10-21	TROY	TROY×6	Serve err	Troy		·
32	10-22	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx	·
33	11-22	TROY	MERCER	Attack err	Isabella Ruether		·
34	11-23	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx	·
35	11-24	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Aubri Martin	·
36	12-24	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		·
37	13-24	MERCER	MERCER	Serve err	Mercer		·
38	13-25	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	·
Set 2
1	1-0	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.8
2	1-1	MERCER	TROY	Serve err	Mercer		+0.8
3	2-1	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Brooke Kaoui	+0.8
4	2-2	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.8
5	3-2	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.9
6	3-3	MERCER	TROY×4	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Madison Marx	+0.8
7–8	3-5		TROY 2	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+2.0
9	3-6	TROY	TROY×4	Blocked	Avery Wilks	blk Sophie Ocampo, Isabella Ruether	+0.8
10	4-6	TROY	MERCER×3	Serve err	Troy		+0.6
11	5-6	MERCER	MERCER×3	Blocked	Avery Wilks	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo	+1.0
12	6-6	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	Mercer		+1.2
13	6-7	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo		+0.8
14	7-7	TROY	MERCER	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo		+0.9
15	7-8	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	+0.8
16	8-8	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.9
17	9-8	MERCER	MERCER	Bad set	Haley Nash		+1.4
18	9-9	MERCER	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
19	9-10	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell		+1.3
20–21	10-11		MERCER · TROY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
22	10-12	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.9
23	11-12	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.9
24	12-12	MERCER	MERCER	Serve err	Mercer		+1.4
25	12-13		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.0
26	12-14	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy		+1.3
27	12-15	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Aubri Martin	+1.1
28	13-15	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.8
29	13-16	MERCER	TROY	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+0.8
30	14-16	TROY	MERCER×3	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+0.8
31	15-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski		+1.4
32	16-16	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Isabella Ruether		+1.8
33	16-17	MERCER	TROY×3	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+1.3
34	16-18	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Taylor Timko	+1.6
35	16-19	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Ipek Ulukutlu		+1.3
36	17-19	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.8
37	17-20	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
38	18-20	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.8
39	18-21	MERCER	TROY	Serve err	Mercer		+1.0
40	18-22	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Kalina Calvillo	+0.9
41	19-22	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.4
42	19-23	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum		+0.6
43	20-23	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Avery Wilks		+0.3
44	20-24	MERCER	TROY	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+0.6
45	21-24	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		+0.2
46	21-25	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCER	TROY×6	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell		+0.3
2	0-2	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.4
3	0-3	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.4
4	0-4	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.3
5	0-5	TROY	TROY×6	Attack err	Brooke Kaoui		+0.3
6	0-6	TROY	TROY×6	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx	+0.2
7	1-6	TROY	MERCER	Attack err	Brooke Forkum		+0.1
8	1-7	MERCER	TROY×10	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.2
9	1-8	TROY	TROY×10	Ace	Troy	aced Aubri Martin	+0.2
10	1-9	TROY	TROY×10	Attack err	Lara Matta		+0.1
11	1-10	TROY	TROY×10	Attack err	Avery Wilks		+0.1
12	1-11	TROY	TROY×10	Ace	Troy	aced Brooke Kaoui	+0.1
13	1-12	TROY	TROY×10	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	·
14	1-13	TROY	TROY×10	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Brooke Forkum	·
15	1-14		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
16	1-15	TROY	TROY×10	Blocked	Avery Wilks	blk Olivia Kwiatkowski	·
17	1-16		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
18	2-16	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	·
19	3-16	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Jasmine Calton	set Sammi Bergjans	·
20	3-17		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
21	4-17	TROY	MERCER	Kill	Jasmine Calton	set Sammi Bergjans	·
22	4-18	MERCER	TROY×3	Serve err	Mercer		·
23	4-19	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Isabella Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	·
24	4-20	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Sophie Ocampo		·
25	5-20	TROY	MERCER	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo		·
26	5-21	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	·
27	6-21	TROY	MERCER	Blocked	Jasmine Calton	blk Joselynn Sanjurjo, Taylor Timko	·
28	6-22	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo		·
29	6-23	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Lara Matta	·
30	7-23	TROY	MERCER	Serve err	Troy		·
31–32	8-24		MERCER · TROY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
33	9-24	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Lexie Stotenbur	·
34	9-25	MERCER	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	·

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Troy def. Mercer 3–0