Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 25, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Troy def. Louisiana 3–1

Troy beat visiting Louisiana 3-1 (25-20, 18-25, 26-24, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Kalina Calvillo led Troy with 19 kills; Louisiana's Lolo Lambert had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Sep 25

Set1234Sets
LA202524231
TROY251826253

Win probability

Troy above 50 · Louisiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.5% TROYrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.5% to Troy — set 3, LA 24-26 TROY. Kill by Olivia Kwiatkowski (set by Kayla Baetzel). TROY win probability 68% → 80%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA 39.5%60.5% TROY

Louisiana wins

3-0
8.6%
3-1
14.4%
3-2
16.5%

Troy wins

3-0
17.4%
3-1
23.1%
3-2
19.9%
LA break %
39.8% vs this opp
TROY break %
41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Olivia Kwiatkowski (set by Kayla Baetzel)

    Set 3 · LA 24-26 TROY · TROY 68% → 80%

  2. 02
    Olivia KwiatkowskiAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Olivia Kwiatkowski

    Set 3 · LA 23-23 TROY · LA 31% → 41%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 3 · LA 23-24 TROY · TROY 59% → 68%

  4. 04

    Olivia Kwiatkowski stuffed by Emily Williams & Rhyan Miciotto

    Set 3 · LA 24-24 TROY · LA 32% → 41%

  5. 05
    Isa RuetherKill+9.0%

    Kill by Isa Ruether (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 3 · LA 24-25 TROY · TROY 59% → 68%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 4 · LA 23-25 TROY · TROY 92% → 100%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 4 · LA 22-24 TROY · TROY 89% → 95%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Josephine Hensley)

    Set 3 · LA 21-23 TROY · TROY 67% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422660.26700311102123
410422.2730003002111
43213.077001000636
4307.429000101436
4001.0002903110010.50.5
1109.111000220001
44315.067100200426
4001.0006202510002
4000–1121500002
4001.0000111000001
35416.06300020010.55.5
Team totals4819145.20047597261201192
Troyhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419655.2360224004223
48624.083235121111.512.5
410739.0770004002111
49419.2631000004211
47015.467101102010.57.5
4000–22051100000
44012.333000101437
4000–5131320001
4000–2100400000
3000–2001400000
3000–000000000
Team totals5723164.207546167352161094

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Louisiana vs Troy

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LA · TROY 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 LATROY 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 LATROY 6

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 5 LATROY 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 LATROY 5

Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
38%6/16
2
58%11/19
27%4/15
3
45%10/22
58%15/26
4
69%9/13
36%5/14
5
53%8/15
10%1/10
6
80%8/10
33%4/12
All
61%57/93
38%35/93

Troy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
10%1/10
2
48%11/23
42%8/19
3
56%10/18
44%8/18
4
69%9/13
44%8/18
5
75%9/12
31%4/13
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
62%58/93
39%36/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#LA-TROYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TROYLAKillGrace Sweeneyset Rhyan Miciotto+1.8
21-1LATROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.7
32-1TROYLA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.8
43-1LALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+2.6
54-1LALA×3KillLindsey Henryset Rhyan Miciotto+2.6
64-2LATROY×4KillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+1.6
74-3TROYTROY×4KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+2.6
84-4TROYTROY×4AceTroyaced Grace Sweeney+2.7
94-5TROYTROY×4KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+2.7
105-5TROYLAServe errTroy+1.9
116-5LALAAceLouisianaaced Olivia Kwiatkowski+2.8
126-6LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+1.9
137-6TROYLAAttack errKalina Calvillo+2.0
147-7LATROYServe errLouisiana+2.0
157-8TROYTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+2.9
168-8TROYLABlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Lindsey Henry, Harley Krause+2.0
179-8LALAAttack errKalina Calvillo+3.1
189-9LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.1
1910-9TROYLAKillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+2.2
2010-10LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Haley Nash+2.1
2111-10TROYLAKillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+2.3
2211-11LATROY×4Bad setGrace Sweeney+2.2
2311-12TROYTROY×4BlockedLolo Lambertblk Ashlynn Axtell, Isa Ruether+3.3
2411-13TROYTROY×4AceTroyaced Grace Sweeney+3.2
2511-14TROYTROY×4KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+2.9
2612-14TROYLAServe errTroy+1.8
2713-14LALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.1
2813-15LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+2.4
2913-16TROYTROYAttack errLolo Lambert+3.1
3014-16TROYLAServe errTroy+1.8
3114-17LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+2.2
3215-17TROYLAKillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+1.9
3315-18LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.3
3415-19TROYTROYBlockedHarley Krauseblk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Sophie Ocampo+2.6
3516-19TROYLAKillHarley Krauseset Ryleigh Garis+1.3
3616-20LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+1.8
3717-20TROYLAKillHarley Krauseset Ryleigh Garis+1.3
3817-21LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+1.8
3918-21TROYLAAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.1
4018-22LATROYServe errLouisiana+1.8
4119-22TROYLAServe errTroy+1.0
4220-22LALABlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Lindsey Henry, Lolo Lambert+2.6
4320-23LATROY×3KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+2.8
4420-24TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+2.1
4520-25TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+0.6
Set 2
11-0LALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.3
21-1LATROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.5
31-2TROYTROYAceTroy+2.3
42-2TROYLA×4Serve errTroy+1.6
53-2LALA×4KillSarah Schnellset Kennedy Gustafson+2.4
64-2LALA×4Attack errIsa Ruether+2.4
75-2LALA×4AceLouisianaaced Haley Nash+2.4
85-3LATROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.5
95-4TROYTROYBlockedLolo Lambertblk Ashlynn Axtell, Brooke Forkum+2.4
106-4TROYLA×5Serve errTroy+1.8
117-4LALA×5AceLouisianaaced Brooke Forkum+2.5
128-4LALA×5BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Lindsey Henry, Sarah Schnell+2.4
139-4LALA×5KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.1
1410-4LALA×5KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.8
1510-5LATROY×6KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.0
1610-6TROYTROY×6BlockedLindsey Henryblk Sophie Ocampo+1.8
1710-7TROYTROY×6BlockedSarah Schnellblk Kalina Calvillo, Sophie Ocampo+2.1
1810-8TROYTROY×6KillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.4
1910-9TROYTROY×6Bad setSarah Schnell+2.7
2010-10TROYTROY×6Attack errSarah Schnell+2.8
2111-10TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.1
2212-10LALAAceLouisianaaced Brooke Forkum+3.0
2312-11LATROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+1.9
2413-11TROYLAKillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+2.2
2514-11LALABlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Harley Krause, Lindsey Henry+3.0
2614-12LATROYServe errLouisiana+1.8
2715-12TROYLAKillMarlee Ervinset Kennedy Gustafson+2.2
2815-13LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+1.8
2916-13TROYLA×4Serve errTroy+2.2
3017-13LALA×4Attack errIsa Ruether+2.8
3118-13LALA×4BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Emily Williams+2.2
3219-13LALA×4BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Emily Williams, Marlee Ervin+1.6
3319-14LATROYServe errLouisiana+0.6
3420-14TROYLAKillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+1.0
3520-15LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+0.5
3620-16TROYTROYAttack errLolo Lambert+1.3
3721-16TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.4
3822-16LALAKillSarah Schnell+1.1
3922-17LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.3
4022-18TROYTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+0.9
4123-18TROYLA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.1
4224-18LALA×3BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Lindsey Henry, Harley Krause+0.6
4325-18LALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+0.1
Set 3
11-0TROYLAServe errTroy+2.4
21-1LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+2.3
31-2TROYTROYBad setRhyan Miciotto+3.4
42-2TROYLA×5Serve errTroy+2.4
53-2LALA×5KillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+3.6
64-2LALA×5KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+3.6
75-2LALA×5Attack errIsa Ruether+3.6
86-2LALA×5AceLouisianaaced Haley Nash+3.4
96-3LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+2.1
107-3TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.4
117-4LATROYServe errLouisiana+2.1
128-4TROYLAAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+2.5
138-5LATROYServe errLouisiana+2.1
149-5TROYLAKillMarlee Ervinset Harley Krause+2.5
159-6LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.1
169-7TROYTROYAttack errMarlee Ervin+3.6
1710-7TROYLAKillMarlee Ervinset Ryleigh Garis+2.8
1810-8LATROYServe errLouisiana+2.5
1911-8TROYLAServe errTroy+2.9
2011-9LATROY×3KillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+2.5
2111-10TROYTROY×3AceTroyaced Kennedy Gustafson+4.1
2211-11TROYTROY×3KillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+4.4
2312-11TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+3.2
2412-12LATROYAttack errLindsey Henry+3.1
2513-12TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.3
2613-13LATROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Olivia Kwiatkowski+3.2
2713-14TROYTROY×3Attack errLolo Lambert+4.9
2813-15TROYTROY×3KillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+4.7
2914-15TROYLAAttack errKalina Calvillo+3.0
3014-16LATROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+3.4
3115-16TROYLAAttack errKalina Calvillo+3.1
3215-17LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+3.5
3315-18TROYTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+4.5
3416-18TROYLAServe errTroy+2.6
3517-18LALABlockedIsa Ruetherblk Sarah Schnell+4.9
3617-19LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+4.0
3718-19TROYLAKillMarlee Ervinset Rhyan Miciotto+3.5
3818-20LATROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+4.2
3919-20TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+3.7
4019-21LATROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+4.6
4120-21TROYLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+3.8
4220-22LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Kayla Baetzel+5.0
4321-22TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+4.0
4421-23LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+5.7
4522-23TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+4.0
4623-23LALAAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+9.9
4723-24LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+9.0
4824-24TROYLABlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Emily Williams, Rhyan Miciotto+9.0
4924-25LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+9.0
5024-26TROYTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Kayla Baetzel+12.5
Set 4
10-1LATROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+2.1
21-1TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.1
31-2LATROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+2.1
42-2TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.2
52-3LATROYBlockedSarah Schnellblk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell+2.2
63-3TROYLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.2
73-4LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.2
83-5TROYTROYBlockedHarley Krauseblk Olivia Kwiatkowski+3.2
94-5TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+2.1
104-6LATROYAttack errMarlee Ervin+2.2
114-7TROYTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+3.0
125-7TROYLAKillHarley Krauseset Ryleigh Garis+1.9
136-7LALAAttack errIsa Ruether+3.2
146-8LATROYServe errLouisiana+2.3
157-8TROYLAServe errTroy+2.3
167-9LATROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+2.4
178-9TROYLAServe errTroy+2.3
188-10LATROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+2.5
199-10TROYLA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.4
2010-10LALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.8
2111-10LALA×3BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Lolo Lambert, Lindsey Henry+4.1
2211-11LATROYBlockedSarah Schnellblk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell+2.8
2312-11TROYLAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.0
2413-11LALAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+4.3
2513-12LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+2.7
2613-13TROYTROYBlockedLolo Lambertblk Sophie Ocampo, Kalina Calvillo+4.4
2714-13TROYLAKillHarley Krauseset Ryleigh Garis+3.2
2814-14LATROY×5KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Brooke Forkum+3.1
2914-15TROYTROY×5AceTroyaced Lolo Lambert+4.7
3014-16TROYTROY×5BlockedMarlee Ervinblk Sophie Ocampo, Isa Ruether+4.5
3114-17TROYTROY×5Attack errHarley Krause+4.0
3214-18TROYTROY×5AceTroy+3.2
3315-18TROYLAServe errTroy+1.7
3416-18LALABlockedIsa Ruetherblk Emily Williams, Harley Krause+3.4
3516-19LATROYKillIsa Ruetherset Olivia Kwiatkowski+3.0
3617-19TROYLAServe errTroy+2.4
3718-19LALAAttack errIsa Ruether+4.7
3818-20LATROYServe errLouisiana+3.9
3918-21TROYTROYAttack errMarlee Ervin+4.7
4019-21TROYLAKillMarlee Ervinset Rhyan Miciotto+2.3
4120-21LALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+5.1
4220-22LATROYKillBrooke Forkumset Ashlynn Axtell+4.6
4321-22TROYLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+3.7
4421-23LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+5.2
4522-23TROYLAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+3.7
4622-24LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+6.0
4723-24TROYLAServe errTroy+3.3
4823-25LATROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+7.8

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).