Louisiana def. Troy 3–2
Louisiana won at Troy 3-2 (25-22, 25-23, 22-25, 15-25, 15-8) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Louisiana's Marlee Ervin led with 14 kills, and Kennedy Gustafson added 20 digs.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 25 | 25 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 3 |
| TROY | 22 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 8 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.6% to Louisiana — set 5, LA 3-1 TROY. Attack error by Brooke Forkum. TROY win probability 47% → 37%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Louisiana wins
Troy wins
- LA break %
- 39.8% vs this opp
- TROY break %
- 41.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Grace SweeneyKill+9.2%
Kill by Grace Sweeney (set by Ryleigh Garis)
Set 5 · LA 4-1 TROY · LA 63% → 72%
- 03LouisianaAce+8.4%
Louisiana ace on Olivia Kwiatkowski
Set 5 · LA 6-2 TROY · LA 73% → 82%
- 04Jazmine GastonKill+8.2%
Kill by Jazmine Gaston (set by Ryleigh Garis)
Set 2 · LA 25-23 TROY · LA 75% → 83%
- 05Sarah Schnell&Gigi SmithBlock+6.8%
Kalina Calvillo stuffed by Sarah Schnell & Gigi Smith
Set 5 · LA 7-2 TROY · LA 82% → 89%
- 06
- 07TroyService error+6.5%
Troy service error
Set 5 · LA 2-1 TROY · LA 47% → 53%
- 08Marlee ErvinKill+6.3%
Kill by Marlee Ervin (set by Kennedy Gustafson)
Set 5 · LA 1-0 TROY · LA 47% → 53%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 52 | .135 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 14 | 2 | 41 | .293 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5.5 | 14.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | .050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 13 | .231 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 30 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 21 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 25 | 173 | .202 | 56 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 39 | .128 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 17.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 34 | .176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 5 | 9 | 7 | 32 | .063 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 1 | 20 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 14 | .643 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 23 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 57 | 26 | 161 | .193 | 53 | 11 | 11 | 71 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Louisiana vs Troy
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Fri, Sep 25, 2026Louisiana at Troy · Troy won 3-1Result →
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Louisiana at Troy · Louisiana won 3-2This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-22
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
15-25
Set 5
15-8
Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Louisiana
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 44%7/16 | 36%4/11 |
| 3 | 50%5/10 | 38%3/8 |
| 4 | 63%5/8 | 64%9/14 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 55%6/11 |
| 6 | 100%5/5 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 64%35/55 | 48%30/63 |
Troy
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 22%2/9 |
| 2 | 56%5/9 | 33%4/12 |
| 3 | 56%5/9 | 55%6/11 |
| 4 | 38%5/13 | 55%6/11 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 56%5/9 | 0%0/5 |
| All | 52%33/63 | 36%20/55 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
205 rallies
| # | LA-TROY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | LA | LA | Ace | Louisiana | aced Olivia Kwiatkowski | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +1.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Olivia Kwiatkowski | +2.6 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | LA | TROY | Blocked | Jazmine Gaston | blk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell | +1.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TROY | LA | Kill | Lindsey Henry | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.8 |
| 9 | 4-5 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +1.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | TROY | TROY | Blocked | Lindsey Henry | blk Sophie Ocampo | +2.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | LA | TROY | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.8 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +1.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.8 |
| 16 | 7-9 | LA | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Madison Marx | +1.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | TROY | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.9 |
| 18 | 9-9 | LA | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +3.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +2.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | TROY | TROY×3 | Ace | Troy | aced Kennedy Gustafson | +3.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | +2.7 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Kalina Calvillo | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +1.7 |
| 23 | 11-12 | LA | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +2.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | LA | TROY | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +2.2 |
| 25 | 11-14 | TROY | TROY | Attack err | Jazmine Gaston | +2.9 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | LA | LA | Attack err | Kalina Calvillo | +3.1 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +2.4 |
| 29 | 13-16 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Haley Nash | +3.1 |
| 30 | 14-16 | TROY | LA×3 | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | LA | LA×3 | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Kennedy Gustafson | +3.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | LA | LA×3 | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +3.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +2.9 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | TROY | LA | Kill | Lindsey Henry | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.9 |
| 35 | 18-17 | LA | LA | Blocked | Isa Ruether | blk Emily Williams, Sarah Schnell | +4.6 |
| 36 | 18-18 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +3.1 |
| 37 | 19-18 | TROY | LA×5 | Serve err | Troy | +3.5 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | LA | LA×5 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Ryleigh Garis | +5.0 |
| 39 | 21-18 | LA | LA×5 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Ryleigh Garis | +4.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | LA | LA×5 | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +3.2 |
| 41 | 23-18 | LA | LA×5 | Attack err | Isa Ruether | +1.8 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | LA | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Madison Marx | +0.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | TROY | TROY | Ace | Troy | aced Grace Sweeney | +1.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | TROY | LA | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.9 |
| 45 | 24-21 | LA | TROY | Blocked | Kennedy Gustafson | blk Ashlynn Axtell, Grace Sweeney | +0.5 |
| 46 | 24-22 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Madison Marx | +1.8 |
| 47 | 25-22 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +3.1 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LA | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Kennedy Gustafson | +2.9 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TROY | LA | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +2.0 |
| 4 | 3-1 | LA | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Kennedy Gustafson | +3.0 |
| 5 | 3-2 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.1 |
| 7 | 4-3 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +2.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | TROY | TROY×3 | Blocked | Sarah Schnell | blk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Ashlynn Axtell | +3.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Lindsey Henry | +3.0 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TROY | LA×3 | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | LA | LA×3 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | +3.2 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | LA | LA×3 | Blocked | Isa Ruether | blk Sarah Schnell, Lindsey Henry | +3.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | LA | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Madison Marx | +2.1 |
| 14 | 7-7 | TROY | TROY | Ace | Troy | aced Kennedy Gustafson | +3.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | TROY | LA×4 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Kennedy Gustafson | +2.3 |
| 16 | 9-7 | LA | LA×4 | Attack err | Isa Ruether | +3.5 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | LA | LA×4 | Attack err | Brooke Forkum | +3.4 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | LA | LA×4 | Kill | Emily Williams | set Rhyan Miciotto | +3.1 |
| 19 | 11-8 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +1.8 |
| 20 | 12-8 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.2 |
| 21 | 12-9 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Madison Marx | +1.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | TROY | LA×3 | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +2.2 |
| 23 | 14-9 | LA | LA×3 | Blocked | Kalina Calvillo | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +2.8 |
| 24 | 15-9 | LA | LA×3 | Attack err | Brooke Forkum | +2.2 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | LA | TROY | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +1.5 |
| 27 | 16-11 | LA | TROY×6 | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Kayla Baetzel | +1.0 |
| 28 | 16-12 | TROY | TROY×6 | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Josephine Hensley | +2.1 |
| 29 | 16-13 | TROY | TROY×6 | Attack err | Jazmine Gaston | +2.7 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | TROY | TROY×6 | Ace | Troy | +3.4 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | TROY | TROY×6 | Ace | Troy | aced Sophia Armstrong | +4.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | TROY | TROY×6 | Ace | Troy | aced Sophia Armstrong | +4.5 |
| 33 | 17-16 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +3.4 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +3.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Madison Marx | +5.0 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +4.8 |
| 37 | 18-19 | TROY | LA×4 | Serve err | Troy | +2.9 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | LA | LA×4 | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Lindsey Henry | +5.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | LA | LA×4 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Rhyan Miciotto | +6.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | LA | LA×4 | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +6.1 |
| 41 | 21-20 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +3.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +4.7 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | LA | TROY | Attack err | Sarah Schnell | set Grace Sweeney | +3.6 |
| 44 | 23-21 | TROY | LA | Attack err | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Madison Marx | +5.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Madison Marx | +3.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | TROY | LA | Attack err | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +6.2 |
| 47 | 24-23 | LA | TROY | Blocked | Grace Sweeney | blk Brooke Forkum, Sophie Ocampo | +3.3 |
| 48 | 25-23 | TROY | LA | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +8.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +2.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | TROY | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.0 | |||
| 3 | 0-3 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Brooke Forkum | set Madison Marx | +1.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | TROY | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | +1.2 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | LA | TROY | Attack err | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TROY | LA | Kill | Lindsey Henry | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.3 |
| 9 | 3-6 | LA | TROY | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | TROY | TROY | Attack err | Sarah Schnell | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | LA | LA | Ace | Louisiana | aced Olivia Kwiatkowski | +1.9 |
| 15 | 6-9 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +1.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | TROY | LA×3 | Kill | Emily Williams | set Rhyan Miciotto | +1.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | LA | LA×3 | Ace | Louisiana | aced Olivia Kwiatkowski | +2.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | LA | LA×3 | Blocked | Isa Ruether | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +2.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | LA | TROY | Attack err | Marlee Ervin | set Kennedy Gustafson | +1.8 |
| 20 | 10-10 | TROY | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.8 |
| 21 | 11-10 | LA | LA | Blocked | Isa Ruether | blk Emily Williams, Grace Sweeney | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +1.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +2.0 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | TROY | LA | Kill | Lindsey Henry | set Ryleigh Garis | +2.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +2.0 |
| 27–28 | 14-14 | LA · TROY | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.9 | |||
| 29 | 14-15 | LA | TROY | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +2.2 |
| 30 | 15-15 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.2 |
| 31 | 15-16 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +2.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Haley Nash | +3.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +2.0 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | LA | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Emily Williams, Marlee Ervin | +3.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Madison Marx | +2.6 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TROY | LA | Serve err | Troy | +2.6 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +2.8 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Brooke Forkum | blk Grace Sweeney, Emily Williams | +2.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Madison Marx | +3.1 |
| 40 | 19-21 | TROY | TROY×3 | Attack err | Grace Sweeney | +4.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | TROY | TROY×3 | Blocked | Grace Sweeney | blk Brooke Forkum, Sophie Ocampo | +3.4 |
| 42 | 20-22 | TROY | LA | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | LA | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Rhyan Miciotto | +3.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +3.6 |
| 45 | 21-24 | TROY | TROY | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Josephine Hensley | +3.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Rhyan Miciotto | +0.9 |
| 47 | 22-25 | LA | TROY | Attack err | Sarah Schnell | set Grace Sweeney | +2.1 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | LA | LA×3 | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Kennedy Gustafson | +3.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | LA | LA×3 | Attack err | Isa Ruether | +3.9 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | LA | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.8 | |||
| 4 | 3-1 | LA | TROY×3 | Blocked | Jazmine Gaston | blk Ashlynn Axtell, Isa Ruether | +2.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | TROY | TROY×3 | Ace | Troy | aced Sophia Armstrong | +3.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Brooke Forkum | +3.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | TROY | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +2.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | LA | TROY | Kill | Brooke Forkum | set Madison Marx | +2.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | +2.9 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | LA | TROY | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +2.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Sophia Armstrong | +3.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | LA | TROY×4 | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +2.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | TROY | TROY×4 | Attack err | Marlee Ervin | +4.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | TROY | TROY×4 | Ace | Troy | +4.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | TROY | TROY×4 | Ace | Troy | +3.8 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | +2.4 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +2.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | +3.4 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | TROY | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.9 | |||
| 20 | 8-12 | TROY | LA | Kill | Sarah Schnell | set Kennedy Gustafson | +1.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | LA | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Josephine Hensley | +3.0 |
| 22 | 9-13 | LA | TROY | Kill | Isa Ruether | set Josephine Hensley | +2.4 |
| 23 | 9-14 | TROY | TROY | Blocked | Emily Williams | blk Ashlynn Axtell, Olivia Kwiatkowski | +2.9 |
| 24 | 10-14 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +1.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | LA | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Emily Williams, Grace Sweeney | +3.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | LA | TROY | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +2.5 |
| 27 | 11-16 | TROY | TROY | Blocked | Jazmine Gaston | blk Ashlynn Axtell, Brooke Forkum | +2.9 |
| 28 | 12-16 | TROY | LA | Kill | Emily Williams | set Ryleigh Garis | +1.5 |
| 29 | 12-17 | LA | TROY×3 | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | +2.0 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | TROY | TROY×3 | Kill | Olivia Kwiatkowski | set Madison Marx | +2.0 |
| 31 | 12-19 | TROY | TROY×3 | Ace | Troy | aced Sophia Armstrong | +1.3 |
| 32 | 13-19 | TROY | LA | Kill | Jazmine Gaston | set Ryleigh Garis | +0.5 |
| 33 | 13-20 | LA | TROY×4 | Kill | Brooke Forkum | set Madison Marx | +0.8 |
| 34 | 13-21 | TROY | TROY×4 | Attack err | Sarah Schnell | +0.6 | |
| 35 | 13-22 | TROY | TROY×4 | Blocked | Lindsey Henry | blk Sophie Ocampo, Kalina Calvillo | +0.2 |
| 36 | 13-23 | TROY | TROY×4 | Attack err | Grace Sweeney | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 14-23 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Kennedy Gustafson | · |
| 38 | 14-24 | LA | TROY | Blocked | Sarah Schnell | blk Sophie Ocampo, Kalina Calvillo | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Rhyan Miciotto | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | LA | TROY | Kill | Kalina Calvillo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.4 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Kennedy Gustafson | +6.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +6.1 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | TROY | LA×3 | Serve err | Troy | +6.5 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | LA | LA×3 | Attack err | Brooke Forkum | +9.6 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | LA | LA×3 | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +9.2 |
| 6 | 4-2 | LA | TROY | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +5.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | TROY | LA×4 | Attack err | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +6.6 |
| 8 | 6-2 | LA | LA×4 | Ace | Louisiana | aced Olivia Kwiatkowski | +8.4 |
| 9 | 7-2 | LA | LA×4 | Blocked | Kalina Calvillo | blk Sarah Schnell, Gigi Smith | +6.8 |
| 10 | 8-2 | LA | LA×4 | Attack err | Kalina Calvillo | +5.0 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | LA | TROY | Kill | Ashlynn Axtell | set Madison Marx | +2.2 |
| 12 | 9-3 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Rhyan Miciotto | +3.3 |
| 13 | 10-3 | LA | LA | Blocked | Kalina Calvillo | blk Sarah Schnell, Gigi Smith | +2.9 |
| 14 | 10-4 | LA | TROY | Kill | Sophie Ocampo | set Josephine Hensley | +1.0 |
| 15 | 10-5 | TROY | TROY | Attack err | Sarah Schnell | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Sarah Schnell, Gigi Smith | +2.8 |
| 17 | 11-6 | LA | TROY | Blocked | Sarah Schnell | blk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Sophie Ocampo | +1.3 |
| 18 | 12-6 | TROY | LA | Kill | Marlee Ervin | set Rhyan Miciotto | +2.4 |
| 19 | 12-7 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +1.0 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | TROY | LA | Blocked | Olivia Kwiatkowski | blk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams | +1.9 |
| 21 | 14-7 | LA | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +0.9 |
| 22 | 14-8 | LA | TROY | Serve err | Louisiana | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 15-8 | TROY | LA | Kill | Grace Sweeney | set Ryleigh Garis | +0.3 |
Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).