FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Youngstown St. def. IU Indy 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 51.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Youngstown St. beat visiting IU Indy 3-0 (25-22, 25-16, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Korina Barber led Youngstown St. with 9 kills; IU Indy's Bailey Sinish had a match-high 12.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
IUINDY2216210
YSU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Youngstown St. held IU Indy to .113 hitting.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.2 points. IU Indy peaked at 53% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Youngstown St. went in as RallyIQ's 52% pick.

IU IndyYoungstown St.
  • Break %+13.8 pts
    32.846.6

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 73 vs 20 of 61. IU Indy sided out 53.4% of the time.

  • Hitting+.146
    .113.259

    32 K / 10 E against 33 K / 21 E.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Youngstown St. scored 6 straight in the second set to go from 14–14 to a 20–14 lead. The set finished 25–16.

Youngstown St. above 50IU Indy belowMax swing 4.2%

IU IndyYoungstown St.

Aces
IU Indy 5·Youngstown St. 7
Serve err
IU Indy 14·Youngstown St. 10
Blocks
IU Indy 2·Youngstown St. 21 BS · 2 BA vs 0 BS · 4 BA
Digs
IU Indy 40·Youngstown St. 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Youngstown St. above 50 · IU Indy below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.2% YSUrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Youngstown St. — set 1, IUINDY 16-18 YSU. Kill by Abbie Householder. YSU win probability 55% → 59%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IUINDY 44.4%55.6% YSU

IU Indy wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%
IUINDY break %
41.9% vs this opp
YSU break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Abbie Householder

    Set 1 · IUINDY 16-18 YSU · YSU 55% → 59%

  2. 02
    Layne GrafficeAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Layne Graffice

    Set 1 · IUINDY 16-16 YSU · IUINDY 44% → 48%

  3. 03
    Ava StrattonKill+3.7%

    Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 1 · IUINDY 16-19 YSU · YSU 59% → 63%

  4. 04
    Youngstown St.Ace+3.7%

    Youngstown St. ace on Laura Roeder

    Set 2 · IUINDY 14-16 YSU · YSU 73% → 77%

  5. 05
    Ava StrattonAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Ava Stratton

    Set 2 · IUINDY 14-14 YSU · IUINDY 26% → 29%

  6. 06
    Bailey SinishKill+3.5%

    Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 1 · IUINDY 15-16 YSU · IUINDY 41% → 44%

  7. 07
    Lila BrittAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Lila Britt

    Set 2 · IUINDY 12-14 YSU · YSU 73% → 77%

  8. 08

    Elle Patterson stuffed by Korina Barber & Ava Stratton

    Set 2 · IUINDY 14-17 YSU · YSU 77% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312736.1390032100012
37213.38500210010.57.5
35115.2670011010005
3339.000000001014
3118.0003133400004
3000–0011030000
33111.182010000004
3000–2131310001
22614-.28600100010.52.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3321106.1133351440712259
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39214.5000000002110
36315.20000020010.56.5
3318.250133100006
35014.35700394010.55.5
35118.222102410005
3000–1120700002
33313.000010400004
3103.3331311400002
3000–3011200000
2000–000000000
Team totals321085.2592971043504275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

IU Indy vs Youngstown St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 IUINDY · YSU 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 IUINDYYSU 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 IUINDYYSU 6

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 IUINDYYSU 4

Bars above the line = Youngstown St. leads, below = IU Indy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

IU Indy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
36%4/11
2
73%8/11
20%2/10
3
33%7/21
38%5/13
4
86%6/7
30%3/10
5
56%5/9
25%2/8
6
45%5/11
44%4/9
All
53%39/73
33%20/61

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
60%9/15
2
62%8/13
27%3/11
3
89%8/9
47%7/15
4
70%7/10
59%10/17
5
71%5/7
38%3/8
6
50%5/10
29%2/7
All
67%41/61
47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#IUINDY-YSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Abbie Householder+2.5
22-0IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+2.5
32-1IUINDYYSUBad setGrace Purichia+1.8
42-2YSUYSUKillKorina Barber+2.5
53-2YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+1.9
63-3IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
74-3YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.0
84-4IUINDYYSUAttack errMaia Long+2.0
94-5YSUYSUAttack errMaia Long+2.7
105-5YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.0
115-6IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
126-6YSUIUINDYKillMaia Longset Grace Purichia+2.0
136-7IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.1
146-8YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+2.8
157-8YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.0
167-9IUINDYYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+2.1
178-9YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.1
188-10IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.2
199-10YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.1
209-11IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.3
2110-11YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.2
2210-12IUINDYYSU×3Serve errIU Indy+2.4
2310-13YSUYSU×3KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+3.0
2410-14YSUYSU×3Attack errNinah Miranda+2.7
2511-14YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+1.6
2611-15IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
2712-15YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.6
2812-16IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.0
2913-16YSUIUINDY×4KillGrace Purichiaset Laura Roeder+1.6
3014-16IUINDYIUINDY×4Bad setKameron Blizniak+2.9
3115-16IUINDYIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.5
3216-16IUINDYIUINDY×4Attack errLayne Graffice+4.0
3316-17IUINDYYSU×3Serve errIU Indy+3.1
3416-18YSUYSU×3KillAbbie Householder+4.2
3516-19YSUYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+3.7
3617-19YSUIUINDYAttack errAva Stratton+2.2
3717-20IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.9
3818-20YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.2
3918-21IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+3.0
4019-21YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.2
4119-22IUINDYYSU×3KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+3.1
4219-23YSUYSU×3KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.8
4319-24YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez+1.3
4420-24YSUIUINDY×3Attack errKylie Surratt+0.2
4521-24IUINDYIUINDY×3KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.7
4622-24IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errKylie Surratt+1.8
4722-25IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+3.1
Set 2
10-1YSUYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+2.4
20-2YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Morgan Begley+2.4
30-3YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Elle Patterson+2.3
41-3YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.6
52-3IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.4
62-4IUINDYYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+1.9
73-4YSUIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.8
84-4IUINDYIUINDY×4AceIU Indyaced Abbie Householder+2.6
95-4IUINDYIUINDY×4KillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.7
106-4IUINDYIUINDY×4AceIU Indyaced Abbie Householder+2.7
116-5IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.9
127-5YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
137-6IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+1.9
148-6YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.1
158-7IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.0
168-8YSUYSUAttack errMaia Long+2.9
179-8YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.2
189-9IUINDYYSUAttack errMaia Long+2.2
199-10YSUYSUAttack errMaia Long+3.1
2010-10YSUIUINDYBlockedKylie Surrattblk Maia Long, Chloe Macias+2.2
2111-10IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.2
2211-11IUINDYYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+2.3
2311-12YSUYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+3.3
2412-12YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.4
2512-13IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+2.5
2612-14YSUYSUAttack errLila Britt+3.4
2713-14YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.3
2814-14IUINDYIUINDYAttack errAva Stratton+3.6
2914-15IUINDYYSU×6KillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
3014-16YSUYSU×6AceYoungstown St.aced Laura Roeder+3.7
3114-17YSUYSU×6BlockedElle Pattersonblk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton+3.4
3214-18YSUYSU×6Attack errBailey Sinish+2.8
3314-19YSUYSU×6AceYoungstown St.aced Bailey Sinish+2.1
3414-20YSUYSU×6AceYoungstown St.aced Morgan Begley+1.4
3515-20YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.6
3615-21IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.0
3715-22YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+0.7
3816-22YSUIUINDYKillMaia Longset Grace Purichia+0.2
3916-23IUINDYYSU×3Attack errMaia Long+0.4
4016-24YSUYSU×3Attack errChloe Macias+0.1
4116-25YSUYSU×3KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez·
Set 3
10-1IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
21-1YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.2
31-2IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.2
42-2YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.2
52-3IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
62-4YSUYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+1.7
73-4YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.2
83-5IUINDYYSUKillHayden Rodriguezset Journey Nicola+1.3
94-5YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+1.2
104-6IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.3
115-6YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.2
125-7IUINDYYSU×4Serve errIU Indy+1.3
135-8YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.aced Morgan Begley+1.7
145-9YSUYSU×4Attack errChloe Macias+1.6
155-10YSUYSU×4Attack errBailey Sinish+1.4
166-10YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.9
176-11IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
187-11YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+0.9
197-12IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
207-13YSUYSUKillAva Strattonset Wrigley Takats+1.2
218-13YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+0.6
228-14IUINDYYSU×4KillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+0.8
238-15YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+0.9
248-16YSUYSU×4BlockedBailey Sinishblk Abbie Householder, Korina Barber+0.6
258-17YSUYSU×4Attack errLila Britt+0.4
269-17YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+0.2
2710-17IUINDYIUINDYBlockedKorina Barberblk Lila Britt+0.3
2810-18IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+0.4
2911-18YSUIUINDY×3Serve errYoungstown St.+0.2
3012-18IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errKorina Barber+0.5
3113-18IUINDYIUINDY×3AceIU Indyaced Layne Graffice+0.7
3213-19IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+0.7
3314-19YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+0.5
3415-19IUINDYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+1.0
3515-20IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Layne Graffice+1.0
3616-20YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+0.6
3717-20IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Abbie Householder+1.3
3817-21IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
3917-22YSUYSUAttack errGrace Purichia+1.2
4018-22YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.5
4119-22IUINDYIUINDYAttack errWrigley Takats+1.1
4219-23IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Kameron Blizniak+1.4
4319-24YSUYSUAttack errLila Britt+0.8
4420-24YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.2
4521-24IUINDYIUINDYAttack errAva Stratton+0.5
4621-25IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.8

Score shown after each rally, IU Indy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).