Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

IU Indy def. Youngstown St. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 58.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

IU Indy won at Youngstown St. 3-2 (25-23, 27-29, 25-20, 19-25, 15-9) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. IU Indy's Bailey Sinish led with 23 kills, and Grace Purichia added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set12345Sets
IUINDY25272519153
YSU2329202592

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Bailey Sinish hit .358 on 53 swings as IU Indy edged Youngstown St.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are IU Indy's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Youngstown St. was RallyIQ's 59% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · IU Indy 26–26 Youngstown St.

    Youngstown St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 29–27 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Youngstown St.

    IU Indy 64% → 43%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · IU Indy 2–2 Youngstown St.

    3 straight IU Indy points broke a 2–2 tie and made it 5–2. The match swung to IU Indy.

    IU Indy 48% → 74%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · IU Indy 7–7 Youngstown St.

    IU Indy scored 6 straight to go from 7–7 to a 13–7 lead. The match swung to IU Indy.

    IU Indy 49% → 99%

Youngstown St. above 50IU Indy belowMax swing 12.5%

IU IndyYoungstown St.

Sideout %
IU Indy 64.5·Youngstown St. 61.8
Break %
IU Indy 38.2·Youngstown St. 35.5
Hitting
IU Indy .284·Youngstown St. .161
Longest run
IU Indy 6·Youngstown St. 4

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Youngstown St. above 50 · IU Indy below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+12.5% IUINDYrally 217 · set 5

Biggest swing: 12.5% to IU Indy — set 5, IUINDY 9-7 YSU. Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Grace Purichia). YSU win probability 42% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IUINDY 44.4%55.6% YSU

IU Indy wins

3-0
10.3%
3-1
16.4%
3-2
17.7%

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
15.0%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
19.5%
IUINDY break %
41.9% vs this opp
YSU break %
43.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bailey SinishKill+12.5%

    Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 5 · IUINDY 9-7 YSU · IUINDY 58% → 70%

  2. 02
    Chloe MaciasKill+11.2%

    Kill by Chloe Macias (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 5 · IUINDY 10-7 YSU · IUINDY 70% → 81%

  3. 03
    Wrigley TakatsAttack error+11.0%

    Attack error by Wrigley Takats

    Set 2 · IUINDY 26-25 YSU · IUINDY 61% → 72%

  4. 04

    Ninah Miranda stuffed by Kameron Blizniak & Korina Barber

    Set 5 · IUINDY 6-6 YSU · YSU 41% → 51%

  5. 05
    Elle PattersonAttack error+10.7%

    Attack error by Elle Patterson

    Set 2 · IUINDY 26-27 YSU · YSU 36% → 46%

  6. 06
    Youngstown St.Ace+10.3%

    Youngstown St. ace on Bailey Sinish

    Set 2 · IUINDY 27-29 YSU · YSU 46% → 57%

  7. 07
    Ninah MirandaKill+9.7%

    Kill by Ninah Miranda (set by Laura Roeder)

    Set 5 · IUINDY 4-2 YSU · IUINDY 55% → 64%

  8. 08
    Youngstown St.Ace+9.3%

    Youngstown St. ace on Bailey Sinish

    Set 5 · IUINDY 5-4 YSU · YSU 32% → 41%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523453.358103143111.524.5
512635.17140116002113
59433.15221152052.512.5
510222.36400010132.512.5
56114.35700010153.59.5
56010.60046132000007
5011-1.000000000000
5001.000203100000
5000–8031930000
3000–101000000
Team totals6618169.28464215771031611111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516543.256000100010.516.5
57528.071040101031.512.5
59325.2401224002112
59119.4210002004211
5114.000400160010.51.5
33613-.23100020010.53.5
5151047.10603410000018
5000–1122710001
5000–000000000
3000–001100000
2001.0001101200000
Team totals6031180.1615310117420126106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

IU Indy vs Youngstown St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IUINDY · YSU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 IUINDYYSU 3

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 2 IUINDYYSU 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 IUINDYYSU 3

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 2 IUINDYYSU 4

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 6 IUINDYYSU 2

Bars above the line = Youngstown St. leads, below = IU Indy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

IU Indy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%15/22
45%10/22
2
54%13/24
39%9/23
3
65%11/17
29%5/17
4
67%10/15
38%6/16
5
71%10/14
41%7/17
6
67%10/15
33%5/15
All
64%69/107
38%42/110

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%14/25
28%5/18
2
76%13/17
36%8/22
3
58%11/19
45%10/22
4
59%10/17
38%6/16
5
71%10/14
33%5/15
6
56%10/18
29%4/14
All
62%68/110
36%38/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

217 rallies

#IUINDY-YSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.4
21-1YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.8
32-1IUINDYIUINDYBlockedAva Strattonblk Elle Patterson, Lila Britt+2.5
42-2IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
53-2YSUIUINDYKillElle Patterson+1.9
64-2IUINDYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Laura Roeder+2.6
74-3IUINDYYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+1.8
85-3YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
95-4IUINDYYSUAttack errElle Patterson+1.9
106-4YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.0
116-5IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.9
126-6YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Elle Patterson+2.8
137-6YSUIUINDY×4KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.1
148-6IUINDYIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.9
159-6IUINDYIUINDY×4Attack errKylie Surratt+2.8
1610-6IUINDYIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+2.7
1710-7IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.7
1811-7YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
1911-8IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+1.7
2011-9YSUYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.7
2112-9YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.2
2212-10IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.0
2312-11YSUYSUKillWrigley Takats+3.1
2413-11YSUIUINDYAttack errAva Stratton+2.5
2513-12IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.3
2613-13YSUYSUBlockedElle Pattersonblk Korina Barber, Abbie Householder+3.5
2714-13YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+2.7
2814-14IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.6
2915-14YSUIUINDY×6Serve errYoungstown St.+2.8
3016-14IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errKylie Surratt+3.9
3117-14IUINDYIUINDY×6KillGrace Purichiaset Ninah Miranda+3.6
3218-14IUINDYIUINDY×6KillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+3.1
3319-14IUINDYIUINDY×6BlockedKylie Surrattblk Chloe Macias+2.4
3420-14IUINDYIUINDY×6AceIU Indyaced Journey Nicola+1.6
3520-15IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez+0.7
3620-16YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+1.5
3721-16YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Elle Patterson+1.6
3821-17IUINDYYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Hayden Rodriguez+0.9
3921-18YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Elle Patterson+2.0
4021-19YSUYSU×3Attack errBailey Sinish+3.1
4122-19YSUIUINDYAttack errKylie Surratt+3.3
4222-20IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.1
4323-20YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+3.4
4423-21IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
4524-21YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.5
4624-22IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
4724-23YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Laura Roeder+4.3
4825-23YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+7.6
Set 2
10-1IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
21-1YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+1.9
32-1IUINDYIUINDYBlockedWrigley Takatsblk Ninah Miranda, Lila Britt+2.8
42-2IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.0
52-3YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Bailey Sinish+2.8
63-3YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.0
74-3IUINDYIUINDYBlockedKylie Surrattblk Chloe Macias, Ninah Miranda+2.9
84-4IUINDYYSUAttack errElle Patterson+2.1
95-4YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.2
105-5IUINDYYSU×3BlockedKate Whiteblk Abbie Householder, Korina Barber+2.1
115-6YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Laura Roeder+3.0
125-7YSUYSU×3KillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.9
136-7YSUIUINDYAttack errElle Patterson+2.1
147-7IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.1
157-8IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+2.3
168-8YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.3
179-8IUINDYIUINDYBlockedAva Strattonblk Lila Britt, Bailey Sinish+3.4
189-9IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.4
199-10YSUYSUAttack errBailey Sinish+3.4
2010-10YSUIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Laura Roeder+2.5
2110-11IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
2211-11YSUIUINDYAttack errLayne Graffice+2.5
2311-12IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
2412-12YSUIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Bailey Sinish+2.6
2513-12IUINDYIUINDYBlockedAbbie Householderblk Elle Patterson, Chloe Macias+3.9
2613-13IUINDYYSU×3Serve errIU Indy+2.7
2713-14YSUYSU×3Attack errNinah Miranda+3.9
2813-15YSUYSU×3Bad setGrace Purichia+3.8
2914-15YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+2.6
3014-16IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+2.9
3115-16YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.7
3215-17IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+3.0
3316-17YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.8
3416-18IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+3.2
3517-18YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.9
3618-18IUINDYIUINDYAceIU Indyaced Abbie Householder+4.8
3718-19IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+3.8
3819-19YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+3.8
3919-20IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+4.1
4020-20YSUIUINDYBad setWrigley Takats+4.1
4120-21IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+4.6
4221-21YSUIUINDYBlockedAbbie Householderblk Chloe Macias, Elle Patterson+4.5
4321-22IUINDYYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+5.2
4422-22YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+5.1
4522-23IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Grace Purichia+6.1
4623-23YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+5.9
4723-24IUINDYYSUBlockedBailey Sinishblk Wrigley Takats, Ava Stratton+7.7
4824-24YSUIUINDYAttack errLayne Graffice+7.7
4924-25IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+7.7
5025-25YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+7.7
5126-25IUINDYIUINDYAttack errWrigley Takats+11.0
5226-26IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+8.0
5326-27YSUYSUAttack errElle Patterson+10.7
5427-27YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+7.7
5527-28IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+7.7
5627-29YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Bailey Sinish+10.3
Set 3
11-0YSUIUINDY×6KillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.4
22-0IUINDYIUINDY×6BlockedLayne Grafficeblk Elle Patterson, Lila Britt+3.4
33-0IUINDYIUINDY×6KillGrace Purichiaset Kameron Blizniak+3.4
44-0IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errAbbie Householder+3.2
55-0IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errAva Stratton+3.0
66-0IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errAva Stratton+2.6
76-1IUINDYYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
86-2YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
96-3YSUYSU×3KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
107-3YSUIUINDYBlockedKylie Surrattblk Bailey Sinish+2.5
118-3IUINDYIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+3.1
128-4IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.9
139-4YSUIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Kylie Surratt+2.3
1410-4IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errKylie Surratt+2.7
1511-4IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errKameron Blizniak+2.2
1611-5IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+1.2
1711-6YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.+2.1
1812-6YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.0
1913-6IUINDYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+2.1
2013-7IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
2114-7YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.5
2214-8IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
2314-9YSUYSUAttack errChloe Macias+2.0
2415-9YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+1.9
2516-9IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Lexi Grissett+2.0
2616-10IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+0.9
2716-11YSUYSUAttack errLila Britt+1.8
2817-11YSUIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Elle Patterson+1.8
2918-11IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.8
3018-12IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+0.8
3118-13YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
3219-13YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Ninah Miranda+1.7
3319-14IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
3419-15YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.1
3520-15YSUIUINDYKillLila Brittset Grace Purichia+2.3
3621-15IUINDYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Morgan Begley+2.0
3721-16IUINDYYSUAttack errNinah Miranda+0.7
3821-17YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.7
3922-17YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.1
4022-18IUINDYYSUAttack errNinah Miranda+1.0
4123-18YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+1.8
4223-19IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+0.7
4324-19YSUIUINDYAttack errKylie Surratt+1.4
4424-20IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+0.3
4525-20YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.8
Set 4
11-0IUINDYIUINDYAttack errAbbie Householder+3.6
21-1IUINDYYSU×3KillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
31-2YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Laura Roeder+3.6
41-3YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+3.5
52-3YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.5
62-4IUINDYYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
73-4YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.5
83-5IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
94-5YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.6
105-5IUINDYIUINDYAttack errLayne Graffice+3.9
115-6IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
126-6YSUIUINDYAttack errLayne Graffice+2.9
136-7IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
147-7YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.0
157-8IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
167-9YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+4.1
178-9YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.9
189-9IUINDYIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Laura Roeder+4.3
199-10IUINDYYSU×3KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+3.2
209-11YSUYSU×3BlockedElle Pattersonblk Wrigley Takats, Layne Graffice+4.4
219-12YSUYSU×3KillWrigley Takats+4.0
2210-12YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.6
2310-13IUINDYYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
2410-14YSUYSU×3KillLayne Graffice+3.6
2510-15YSUYSU×3BlockedNinah Mirandablk Abbie Householder, Korina Barber+2.9
2611-15YSUIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+1.7
2712-15IUINDYIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+3.0
2812-16IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
2913-16YSUIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+2.2
3013-17IUINDYYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.8
3114-17YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.2
3214-18IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.8
3314-19YSUYSUKillKylie Surratt+2.9
3415-19YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.4
3516-19IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Lexi Grissett+2.9
3616-20IUINDYYSUServe errIU Indy+2.9
3717-20YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
3818-20IUINDYIUINDYKillElle Pattersonset Grace Purichia+4.1
3918-21IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+4.0
4019-21YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Ninah Miranda+3.0
4119-22IUINDYYSU×4KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+4.2
4219-23YSUYSU×4KillLayne Grafficeset Wrigley Takats+3.8
4319-24YSUYSU×4KillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.7
4419-25YSUYSU×4Serve errYoungstown St.+0.8
Set 5
11-0YSUIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+6.4
21-1IUINDYYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+6.3
32-1YSUIUINDYServe errYoungstown St.+6.7
42-2IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+6.5
53-2YSUIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+6.9
64-2IUINDYIUINDY×3KillNinah Mirandaset Laura Roeder+9.7
75-2IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedKorina Barberblk Lila Britt+9.2
85-3IUINDYYSUAttack errNinah Miranda+5.7
95-4YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Bailey Sinish+9.3
106-4YSUIUINDYAttack errAbbie Householder+7.7
116-5IUINDYYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+6.9
126-6YSUYSUBlockedNinah Mirandablk Kameron Blizniak, Korina Barber+10.8
137-6YSUIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+8.4
147-7IUINDYYSUKillKameron Blizniakset Journey Nicola+8.2
158-7YSUIUINDY×6KillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+9.0
169-7IUINDYIUINDY×6KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+12.5
1710-7IUINDYIUINDY×6KillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+11.2
1811-7IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errKylie Surratt+8.8
1912-7IUINDYIUINDY×6KillChloe Maciasset Laura Roeder+5.7
2013-7IUINDYIUINDY×6KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.9
2113-8IUINDYYSUAttack errChloe Macias+0.7
2214-8YSUIUINDYAttack errKylie Surratt+1.4
2314-9IUINDYYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+0.3
2415-9YSUIUINDYAttack errWrigley Takats+0.7

Score shown after each rally, IU Indy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).