Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Youngstown St. def. Purdue Fort Wayne 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Purdue Fort Wayne 50.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Youngstown St. won at Purdue Fort Wayne 3-1 (25-22, 21-25, 25-22, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Kylie Surratt led Youngstown St. with 15 kills; Purdue Fort Wayne's Trinity Rye had a match-high 25.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
YSU252125253
IPFW222522171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Youngstown St. won all four.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Youngstown St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Purdue Fort Wayne was RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Youngstown St. 8–11 Purdue Fort Wayne

    6 straight Youngstown St. points turned an 8–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead. The match swung to Youngstown St.

    Youngstown St. 41% → 59%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Youngstown St. 11–14 Purdue Fort Wayne

    Down 11–14, Youngstown St. scored 7 straight to lead 18–14. The match swung to Youngstown St.

    Youngstown St. 37% → 68%

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50Youngstown St. belowMax swing 5.6%

Youngstown St.Purdue Fort Wayne

Sideout %
Youngstown St. 59.8·Purdue Fort Wayne 53.7
Break %
Youngstown St. 46.3·Purdue Fort Wayne 40.2
Hitting
Youngstown St. .270·Purdue Fort Wayne .228
Longest run
Youngstown St. 7·Purdue Fort Wayne 5

Layne Graffice
8 kills on .368, 12 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.6% YSUrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.6% to Youngstown St. — set 3, YSU 21-18 IPFW. Attack error by Trinity Rye. IPFW win probability 38% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 52.4%47.6% IPFW

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
13.6%
3-1
19.8%
3-2
19.1%

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.7%
3-2
18.3%
YSU break %
42.6% vs this opp
IPFW break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Trinity RyeAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Trinity Rye

    Set 3 · YSU 21-18 IPFW · YSU 62% → 68%

  2. 02
    Trinity RyeKill+5.3%

    Kill by Trinity Rye (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · YSU 19-18 IPFW · IPFW 37% → 43%

  3. 03
    Kylie SurrattKill+5.1%

    Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Wrigley Takats)

    Set 3 · YSU 15-14 IPFW · YSU 49% → 54%

  4. 04
    Kylie SurrattKill+5.1%

    Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 3 · YSU 16-14 IPFW · YSU 54% → 60%

  5. 05

    Kill by Abbie Householder (set by Kameron Blizniak)

    Set 3 · YSU 14-14 IPFW · YSU 44% → 49%

  6. 06
    Ava StrattonKill+4.7%

    Kill by Ava Stratton (set by Hayden Rodriguez)

    Set 3 · YSU 20-18 IPFW · YSU 57% → 62%

  7. 07
    Youngstown St.Ace+4.7%

    Youngstown St. ace on Becky Barrett

    Set 3 · YSU 17-14 IPFW · YSU 60% → 64%

  8. 08
    Riley RosneckKill+4.5%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · YSU 11-12 IPFW · IPFW 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415329.41400030031.516.5
48119.36822010104212
45213.23113210073.511.5
48431.129001103031.59.5
4129-.11100000111.52.5
4012-.50023021300000
48117.412000100008
42021.0001300400002
4000–600720000
3000–010000001
Team totals4714122.27045654961181096
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4251656.1610034002126
420652.26910382010.520.5
48112.58300000031.59.5
43410-.100233420217
4309.333000201225
4215.2005011600003
4000–2102510001
4000–001400000
3001.000011000001
Team totals6128145.22855612536110686

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Youngstown St. vs Purdue Fort Wayne

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 YSU · IPFW 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 6 YSUIPFW 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 YSUIPFW 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 7 YSUIPFW 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 YSUIPFW 3

Bars above the line = Purdue Fort Wayne leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
25%3/12
2
41%9/22
44%8/18
3
80%8/10
58%11/19
4
57%8/14
20%2/10
5
100%8/8
53%9/17
6
57%8/14
58%11/19
All
60%52/87
46%44/95

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
38%6/16
2
75%9/12
61%14/23
3
50%8/16
40%6/15
4
62%8/13
38%5/13
5
44%8/18
20%2/10
6
47%8/17
20%2/10
All
54%51/95
40%35/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#YSU-IPFWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1YSUIPFW×5KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.8
20-2IPFWIPFW×5KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+2.5
30-3IPFWIPFW×5KillRiley Rosneck+2.4
40-4IPFWIPFW×5KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.3
50-5IPFWIPFW×5Attack errKylie Surratt+2.0
61-5IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
71-6YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.5
81-7IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.8
92-7IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.1
103-7YSUYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+1.8
113-8YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+1.5
124-8IPFWYSU×3Attack errTrinity Rye+1.3
135-8YSUYSU×3KillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+2.1
146-8YSUYSU×3BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Abbie Householder, Layne Graffice+2.5
156-9YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+2.0
166-10IPFWIPFWBlockedAbbie Householderblk Mya Plemons, Trinity Rye+2.5
177-10IPFWYSUKillHayden Rodriguezset Journey Nicola+1.6
188-10YSUYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+2.6
198-11YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.1
209-11IPFWYSU×6Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.9
2110-11YSUYSU×6KillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+3.0
2211-11YSUYSU×6KillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+3.3
2312-11YSUYSU×6KillLayne Graffice+3.4
2413-11YSUYSU×6Attack errTrinity Rye+3.4
2514-11YSUYSU×6Bad setHaiden Means+3.2
2614-12YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.0
2715-12IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.4
2815-13YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.1
2916-13IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
3016-14YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.1
3117-14IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.6
3217-15YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Miona Dimitric+2.2
3318-15IPFWYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
3418-16YSUIPFWAttack errAbbie Householder+2.2
3519-16IPFWYSU×3Attack errMiona Dimitric+2.8
3620-16YSUYSU×3BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Korina Barber+3.1
3721-16YSUYSU×3Attack errTrinity Rye+2.1
3821-17YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.9
3922-17IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Layne Graffice+1.4
4022-18YSUIPFW×3KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.7
4122-19IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Layne Graffice+1.7
4222-20IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.9
4323-20IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+3.3
4423-21YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.9
4524-21IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+3.4
4624-22YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.3
4725-22IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+3.1
Set 2
10-1IPFWIPFWAttack errKameron Blizniak+2.5
20-2IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Journey Nicola+2.5
31-2IPFWYSU×5Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.8
42-2YSUYSU×5KillAbbie Householderset Layne Graffice+2.6
53-2YSUYSU×5Attack errHaiden Means+2.6
64-2YSUYSU×5BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+2.6
75-2YSUYSU×5BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Wrigley Takats, Abbie Householder+2.5
85-3YSUIPFW×5Attack errKylie Surratt+1.7
95-4IPFWIPFW×5KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+2.6
105-5IPFWIPFW×5AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Journey Nicola+2.8
115-6IPFWIPFW×5KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.8
125-7IPFWIPFW×5KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.8
136-7IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+2.0
147-7YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Miona Dimitric+2.9
157-8YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Riley Rosneck+2.2
168-8IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.2
178-9YSUIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.2
188-10IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.1
198-11IPFWIPFW×3BlockedKorina Barberblk Bella DiBuono, Trinity Rye+2.9
209-11IPFWYSUAttack errBella DiBuono+1.9
219-12YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.2
2210-12IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.9
2311-12YSUYSUBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Wrigley Takats, Layne Graffice+3.1
2411-13YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.5
2512-13IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.3
2612-14YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.6
2713-14IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.4
2813-15YSUIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.7
2913-16IPFWIPFW×3Attack errLayne Graffice+3.4
3013-17IPFWIPFW×3KillHaiden Means+2.9
3114-17IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
3214-18YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.1
3315-18IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
3415-19YSUIPFWBlockedAbbie Householderblk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono+2.2
3516-19IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.6
3617-19YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+3.0
3717-20YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.9
3818-20IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.2
3918-21YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.0
4018-22IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+3.0
4119-22IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.2
4220-22YSUYSUBlockedMiona Dimitricblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+2.9
4320-23YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.3
4421-23IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
4521-24YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.4
4621-25IPFWIPFWKillHaiden Meansset Miona Dimitric+1.8
Set 3
11-0YSUYSUAttack errRiley Rosneck+3.4
21-1YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.4
31-2IPFWIPFWAttack errWrigley Takats+3.4
42-2IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
52-3YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+2.5
62-4IPFWIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+3.5
73-4IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.4
84-4YSUYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+3.6
94-5YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.7
105-5IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+2.7
115-6YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.7
126-6IPFWYSU×3Bad setHaiden Means+2.7
137-6YSUYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+3.9
148-6YSUYSU×3Attack errTrinity Rye+3.9
158-7YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.7
169-7IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.9
179-8YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.7
1810-8IPFWYSUKillHayden Rodriguezset Journey Nicola+3.0
1910-9YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.8
2010-10IPFWIPFWAttack errKylie Surratt+4.2
2111-10IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+3.2
2211-11YSUIPFW×4KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+3.2
2311-12IPFWIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+4.5
2411-13IPFWIPFW×4KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+4.5
2511-14IPFWIPFW×4KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+4.2
2612-14IPFWYSU×7Attack errTrinity Rye+2.7
2713-14YSUYSU×7Bad setHaiden Means+4.3
2814-14YSUYSU×7KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+4.9
2915-14YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Wrigley Takats+5.1
3016-14YSUYSU×7KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+5.1
3117-14YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.aced Becky Barrett+4.7
3218-14YSUYSU×7AceYoungstown St.aced Riley Rosneck+4.0
3318-15YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.2
3418-16IPFWIPFWAttack errAbbie Householder+4.0
3519-16IPFWYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+3.7
3619-17YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.0
3719-18IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+5.3
3820-18IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+4.7
3921-18YSUYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+5.6
4021-19YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.9
4122-19IPFWYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+4.3
4223-19YSUYSU×3Attack errMiona Dimitric+3.9
4324-19YSUYSU×3KillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.8
4424-20YSUIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.3
4524-21IPFWIPFW×3BlockedWrigley Takatsblk Mya Plemons+1.0
4624-22IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+2.4
4725-22IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+4.1
Set 4
11-0IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.5
22-0YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Miona Dimitric+3.4
32-1YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+2.4
43-1IPFWYSUBlockedRiley Rosneckblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+2.5
54-1YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+3.3
64-2YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.3
74-3IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+3.4
85-3IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
95-4YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.5
106-4IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.7
116-5YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.6
127-5IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+2.7
138-5YSUYSUAttack errRiley Rosneck+3.6
148-6YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.4
158-7IPFWIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+3.7
169-7IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.9
179-8YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.8
1810-8IPFWYSU×4KillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+3.0
1911-8YSUYSU×4AceYoungstown St.+3.9
2012-8YSUYSU×4BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Wrigley Takats, Abbie Householder+3.5
2113-8YSUYSU×4KillAbbie Householder+3.0
2213-9YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.8
2313-10IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett+3.0
2414-10IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.7
2515-10YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+3.1
2615-11YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+1.7
2716-11IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Journey Nicola+2.2
2816-12YSUIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.7
2916-13IPFWIPFW×3BlockedKorina Barberblk Miona Dimitric, Bella DiBuono+3.1
3016-14IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+3.9
3117-14IPFWYSU×3Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+3.4
3218-14YSUYSU×3Attack errMiona Dimitric+4.0
3319-14YSUYSU×3BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Korina Barber, Layne Graffice+3.0
3419-15YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+1.5
3520-15IPFWYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+2.1
3621-15YSUYSU×3AceYoungstown St.aced Riley Rosneck+1.8
3722-15YSUYSU×3Attack errTrinity Rye+0.9
3822-16YSUIPFWBlockedAva Strattonblk Mya Plemons, Miona Dimitric+0.3
3923-16IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+0.5
4024-16YSUYSUBlockedTrinity Ryeblk Wrigley Takats, Layne Graffice+0.2
4124-17YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means·
4225-17IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).