Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Purdue Fort Wayne def. Youngstown St. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 52.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Purdue Fort Wayne beat visiting Youngstown St. 3-1 (25-18, 20-25, 25-22, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Trinity Rye and Riley Rosneck led Purdue Fort Wayne with 15 kills each; Youngstown St.'s Kylie Surratt had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
YSU182522131
IPFW252025253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Purdue Fort Wayne led in all four phases.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.1 points. Youngstown St. peaked at 55% in Set 3. These are the stats that built the gap. Youngstown St. went in at 53% by RallyIQ.

Youngstown St.Purdue Fort Wayne
  • Break %+12.4 pts
    29.141.5

    39 of 94 on serve vs 23 of 79, so Youngstown St.'s sideout was 58.5%.

  • Hitting+.132
    .252.384

    Kills and errors: 57–9 vs 57–18.

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50Youngstown St. belowMax swing 5.1%

Youngstown St.Purdue Fort Wayne

Aces
Youngstown St. 2·Purdue Fort Wayne 6
Serve err
Youngstown St. 14·Purdue Fort Wayne 9
Blocks
Youngstown St. 3·Purdue Fort Wayne 60 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Youngstown St. 49·Purdue Fort Wayne 65

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Purdue Fort Wayne above 50 · Youngstown St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.1% IPFWrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Purdue Fort Wayne — set 3, YSU 16-19 IPFW. Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Abbie Householder. IPFW win probability 58% → 64%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

YSU 52.4%47.6% IPFW

Youngstown St. wins

3-0
13.6%
3-1
19.8%
3-2
19.1%

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.7%
3-2
18.3%
YSU break %
42.6% vs this opp
IPFW break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Purdue Fort WayneAce+5.1%

    Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Abbie Householder

    Set 3 · YSU 16-19 IPFW · IPFW 58% → 64%

  2. 02
    Kylie SurrattKill+4.9%

    Kill by Kylie Surratt (set by Wrigley Takats)

    Set 3 · YSU 16-17 IPFW · YSU 41% → 46%

  3. 03
    Bella DiBuonoKill+4.4%

    Kill by Bella DiBuono (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · YSU 12-15 IPFW · IPFW 56% → 61%

  4. 04
    Purdue Fort WayneAce+4.4%

    Purdue Fort Wayne ace on Abbie Householder

    Set 3 · YSU 10-12 IPFW · IPFW 51% → 56%

  5. 05
    Riley RosneckKill+4.2%

    Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · YSU 22-25 IPFW · IPFW 69% → 73%

  6. 06
    Haiden MeansBad set+4.2%

    Bad set by Haiden Means

    Set 3 · YSU 12-13 IPFW · YSU 43% → 47%

  7. 07

    Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Hayden Rodriguez)

    Set 3 · YSU 10-10 IPFW · YSU 48% → 52%

  8. 08
    Bella DiBuonoKill+4.2%

    Kill by Bella DiBuono (set by Haiden Means)

    Set 3 · YSU 16-18 IPFW · IPFW 54% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417444.2951032002118
414534.26501211100015
48117.412103200219
47235.14300074010.57.5
4339.00000020010.53.5
4001.00025131200001
48315.333100100008
4000–1600400000
4000–400810000
2000–002000000
2000–001000000
Team totals5718155.2524821449606378
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415440.2751224000017
415338.31610011002116
412222.45522214102115
48014.571000000219
4609.66700010132.58.5
4102.5004603140010.51.5
4000–011100001
4000–5101910001
3000–001100000
Team totals579125.3845569652110695

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Youngstown St. vs Purdue Fort Wayne

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 YSU · IPFW 4

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 YSUIPFW 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 YSUIPFW 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 YSUIPFW 4

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 1 YSUIPFW 4

Bars above the line = Purdue Fort Wayne leads, below = Youngstown St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Youngstown St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
36%5/14
2
63%10/16
35%6/17
3
53%10/19
23%3/13
4
56%9/16
23%3/13
5
57%8/14
11%1/9
6
64%7/11
38%5/13
All
59%55/94
29%23/79

Purdue Fort Wayne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
44%7/16
2
91%10/11
33%5/15
3
77%10/13
41%7/17
4
82%9/11
38%6/16
5
89%8/9
50%8/16
6
57%8/14
43%6/14
All
71%56/79
41%39/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#YSU-IPFWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0YSUYSUAceYoungstown St.aced Miona Dimitric+2.5
21-1YSUIPFWKillHaiden Meansset Riley Rosneck+1.8
32-1IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
42-2YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+1.9
53-2IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
63-3YSUIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.9
73-4IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.7
83-5IPFWIPFW×3KillMya Plemonsset Kylie Surratt+2.7
94-5IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.9
104-6YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
115-6IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+1.9
125-7YSUIPFW×4KillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.1
135-8IPFWIPFW×4AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+2.7
145-9IPFWIPFW×4Attack errKorina Barber+2.5
155-10IPFWIPFW×4Attack errLayne Graffice+2.2
166-10IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Haiden Means+1.4
176-11YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.7
187-11IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.4
198-11YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+2.3
208-12YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.0
218-13IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.3
229-13IPFWYSUAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.3
239-14YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+1.7
2410-14IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
2510-15YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.7
2611-15IPFWYSUAttack errMiona Dimitric+1.3
2711-16YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.7
2811-17IPFWIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.8
2912-17IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+0.9
3012-18YSUIPFWAttack errAva Stratton+1.3
3112-19IPFWIPFWAttack errAva Stratton+1.1
3213-19IPFWYSUKillKorina Barberset Hayden Rodriguez+0.5
3314-19YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+1.0
3414-20YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+1.1
3515-20IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+0.6
3615-21YSUIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+1.0
3716-21IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Journey Nicola+0.5
3816-22YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Miona Dimitric+0.9
3916-23IPFWIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.5
4017-23IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+0.1
4117-24YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+0.3
4218-24IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak·
4318-25YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.1
Set 2
11-0IPFWYSU×6Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.9
22-0YSUYSU×6AceYoungstown St.aced Becky Barrett+2.5
33-0YSUYSU×6BlockedTrinity Ryeblk Kylie Surratt, Wrigley Takats+2.4
44-0YSUYSU×6KillWrigley Takats+2.3
55-0YSUYSU×6BlockedRiley Rosneckblk Wrigley Takats, Abbie Householder+2.0
66-0YSUYSU×6KillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
76-1YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.1
87-1IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
98-1YSUYSUBlockedMiona Dimitricblk Korina Barber, Kylie Surratt+1.5
108-2YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.9
118-3IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+1.5
129-3IPFWYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
139-4YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.1
1410-4IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.3
1510-5YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.1
1611-5IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+1.3
1711-6YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.1
1811-7IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.8
1912-7IPFWYSUAttack errRiley Rosneck+1.6
2012-8YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+1.3
2113-8IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+1.6
2214-8YSUYSUKillKylie Surratt+1.8
2314-9YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+1.0
2415-9IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
2515-10YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.9
2616-10IPFWYSUKillKorina Barberset Kameron Blizniak+1.3
2717-10YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Journey Nicola+1.2
2817-11YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+0.6
2917-12IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Layne Graffice+1.2
3018-12IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.2
3118-13YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.8
3219-13IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.2
3319-14YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+0.7
3420-14IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.1
3521-14YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+0.8
3621-15YSUIPFW×3Serve errYoungstown St.+0.3
3721-16IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+0.7
3821-17IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+1.2
3922-17IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.4
4022-18YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.7
4123-18IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.2
4223-19YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+0.5
4324-19IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+1.0
4424-20YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+0.2
4525-20IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.6
Set 3
11-0YSUYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Journey Nicola+3.3
21-1YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.4
32-1IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.5
42-2YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.5
52-3IPFWIPFWBlockedKylie Surrattblk Bella DiBuono, Miona Dimitric+3.5
63-3IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
73-4YSUIPFWBlockedKylie Surrattblk Miona Dimitric, Bella DiBuono+2.6
83-5IPFWIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.6
94-5IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
105-5YSUYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+3.6
115-6YSUIPFW×4Serve errYoungstown St.+2.8
125-7IPFWIPFW×4Attack errAbbie Householder+3.8
135-8IPFWIPFW×4KillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+3.6
145-9IPFWIPFW×4AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Journey Nicola+3.4
156-9IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+2.2
167-9YSUYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+3.4
177-10YSUIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Haiden Means+2.8
188-10IPFWYSU×3Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.5
199-10YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Ava Stratton+3.9
2010-10YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+4.2
2110-11YSUIPFW×3Serve errYoungstown St.+3.2
2210-12IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+4.4
2310-13IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+4.1
2411-13IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.7
2512-13YSUYSUBad setHaiden Means+4.2
2612-14YSUIPFWAttack errWrigley Takats+3.4
2712-15IPFWIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+4.4
2813-15IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Miona Dimitric+2.8
2913-16YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+3.3
3013-17IPFWIPFWKillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+3.9
3114-17IPFWYSU×3KillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.3
3215-17YSUYSU×3Attack errTrinity Rye+4.0
3316-17YSUYSU×3KillKylie Surrattset Wrigley Takats+4.9
3416-18YSUIPFW×3KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+4.2
3516-19IPFWIPFW×3AcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+5.1
3616-20IPFWIPFW×3KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+4.1
3717-20IPFWYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+2.1
3818-20YSUYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kylie Surratt+4.1
3918-21YSUIPFW×3Attack errLayne Graffice+4.1
4018-22IPFWIPFW×3Attack errAva Stratton+4.1
4118-23IPFWIPFW×3Attack errKorina Barber+2.3
4219-23IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Hayden Rodriguez+0.7
4319-24YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+1.3
4420-24IPFWYSU×3Serve errPurdue Fort Wayne+0.3
4521-24YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+1.0
4622-24YSUYSU×3KillLayne Grafficeset Hayden Rodriguez+2.4
4722-25YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+4.2
Set 4
11-0IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
21-1YSUIPFWKillRiley Rosneckset Trinity Rye+2.5
32-1IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.5
42-2YSUIPFWServe errYoungstown St.+2.5
53-2IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak+2.6
63-3YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.6
74-3IPFWYSUAttack errTrinity Rye+2.7
84-4YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.7
94-5IPFWIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.8
105-5IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+2.7
115-6YSUIPFWKillMya Plemonsset Haiden Means+2.8
126-6IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Hayden Rodriguez+2.8
136-7YSUIPFWBlockedLayne Grafficeblk Haiden Means, Mya Plemons+2.9
147-7IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.9
157-8YSUIPFWBlockedAbbie Householderblk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono+3.0
167-9IPFWIPFWKillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett+4.1
178-9IPFWYSUKillWrigley Takatsset Kameron Blizniak+2.8
188-10YSUIPFW×4KillRiley Rosneckset Miona Dimitric+3.1
198-11IPFWIPFW×4KillBella DiBuonoset Haiden Means+4.0
208-12IPFWIPFW×4BlockedKorina Barberblk Bella DiBuono+3.6
218-13IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+3.1
229-13IPFWYSUKillAbbie Householderset Kameron Blizniak+1.8
239-14YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+2.3
2410-14IPFWYSUKillAva Strattonset Hayden Rodriguez+1.8
2510-15YSUIPFWAttack errLayne Graffice+2.3
2610-16IPFWIPFWKillMya Plemons+2.5
2711-16IPFWYSUServe errPurdue Fort Wayne+1.3
2811-17YSUIPFWKillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+1.8
2911-18IPFWIPFWAcePurdue Fort Wayneaced Abbie Householder+1.7
3012-18IPFWYSUKillLayne Grafficeset Kameron Blizniak+0.7
3112-19YSUIPFW×4BlockedKylie Surrattblk Riley Rosneck, Mya Plemons+1.1
3212-20IPFWIPFW×4Attack errLayne Graffice+0.9
3312-21IPFWIPFW×4KillMiona Dimitricset Haiden Means+0.4
3412-22IPFWIPFW×4Attack errKylie Surratt+0.2
3513-22IPFWYSUKillKylie Surrattset Kameron Blizniak·
3613-23YSUIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Haiden Means+0.1
3713-24IPFWIPFW×3KillTrinity Ryeset Becky Barrett·
3813-25IPFWIPFW×3KillRiley Rosneckset Becky Barrett·

Score shown after each rally, Youngstown St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).