NIU vs Youngstown State: Youngstown State Wins 3-0 (Oct 23)

FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Youngstown St. 73.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Youngstown St. beat visiting NIU 3-0 (25-19, 25-16, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Youngstown St.'s Abbie Householder led with 12 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NIU	19	16	19	0
YSU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Youngstown St. held NIU under 20 in every set.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; NIU topped out at 25% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Youngstown St. at 73%.

NIUYoungstown St.

Break %+18.9 pts
30.449.3
On serve: 36/73 against 17/56 (NIU sideout 50.7%).
Hitting+.278
.055.333
43 K / 9 E against 30 K / 24 E.
Longest run+2
46
Up 8–6 in the first set, Youngstown St. scored 6 straight to make it 14–6. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Youngstown St. above 50NIU belowMax swing 1.9%

NIUYoungstown St.

Aces: NIU 6·Youngstown St. 4
Serve err: NIU 3·Youngstown St. 9
Blocks: NIU 4·Youngstown St. 122 BS · 4 BA vs 3 BS · 18 BA
Digs: NIU 45·Youngstown St. 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Youngstown St. above 50 · NIU below

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Youngstown St. — set 1, NIU 0-2 YSU. Kill by Abbie Householder (set by Kameron Blizniak). YSU win probability 75% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIU 21.6%78.4% YSU

NIU wins

3-0

3.6%

3-1

7.2%

3-2

10.7%

Youngstown St. wins

3-0

30.0%

3-1

29.8%

3-2

18.6%

NIU break %: 39.0% vs this opp
YSU break %: 45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Abbie HouseholderKill+1.9%
Kill by Abbie Householder (set by Kameron Blizniak)
Set 1 · NIU 0-2 YSU · YSU 75% → 77%
02
Katie PahlAce+1.8%
Ace by Katie Pahl on Layne Graffice
Set 1 · NIU 4-6 YSU · NIU 21% → 23%
03
Katie PahlAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Katie Pahl
Set 1 · NIU 0-3 YSU · YSU 77% → 78%
04
Wrigley Takats&Kylie SurrattBlock+1.7%
Ava Grevengoed stuffed by Wrigley Takats & Kylie Surratt
Set 1 · NIU 6-10 YSU · YSU 79% → 80%
05
Layne GrafficeKill+1.6%
Kill by Layne Graffice (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 2 · NIU 0-1 YSU · YSU 85% → 87%
06
Korina BarberKill+1.6%
Kill by Korina Barber (set by Kameron Blizniak)
Set 1 · NIU 2-6 YSU · YSU 78% → 80%
07
Rylea AlvinKill+1.5%
Kill by Rylea Alvin (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 2 · NIU 2-3 YSU · NIU 11% → 13%
08
Wrigley TakatsKill+1.5%
Kill by Wrigley Takats (set by Kameron Blizniak)
Set 2 · NIU 0-2 YSU · YSU 87% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	6	2	14	.286	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	2	8
11Katie PahlOH	3	4	4	27	.000	0	2	2	7	1	0	2	1	7
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	6	6	25	.000	0	1	1	7	2	0	0	0	7
21Charizma LoftonOH	3	1	4	9	-.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	13	0	0	0	0	0
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	8	1	0	0	0	2
4Kiana ShieldsMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
16Lilly AbneyOH	2	3	5	12	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
14Naomi DowdOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Aiden LightburnMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Ellie SmithS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	24	110	.055	28	6	3	45	4	2	4	4	54

Youngstown St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Abbie HouseholderOH	3	12	1	31	.355	0	2	2	11	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
16Kylie SurrattOH	3	10	2	21	.381	0	2	0	7	0	0	3	1.5	13.5
21Korina BarberOH	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
22Layne GrafficeOH	3	8	0	16	.500	1	0	0	10	1	0	2	1	9
14Wrigley TakatsMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	2	3	0	1	4	3	6
10Kameron BlizniakS	3	0	0	1	.000	25	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Ava StrattonOH	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
20Hayden RodriguezS	3	0	0	1	.000	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Journey NicolaDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	10	3	0	0	0	0
8Juliana RiveraDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Brie HabeebDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
7Ashlee GnauL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Ava PrinceS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
3Natalie CarrOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	9	102	.333	42	4	9	49	6	3	18	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

NIU vs Youngstown St.

Season series · Youngstown St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 23, 2026NIU at Youngstown St. · Youngstown St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 24, 2026NIU at Youngstown St. · Youngstown St. won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NIU · YSU 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 NIUYSU 6

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 NIUYSU 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 NIUYSU 3

Bars above the line = Youngstown St. leads, below = NIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	30%3/10
2	54%7/13	33%4/12
3	60%6/10	22%2/9
4	43%6/14	45%5/11
5	56%5/9	33%3/9
6	42%5/12	0%0/5
All	51%37/73	30%17/56

Youngstown St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	63%10/16
2	73%8/11	50%8/16
3	58%7/12	22%2/9
4	60%6/10	60%9/15
5	83%5/6	55%6/11
6	100%5/5	17%1/6
All	70%39/56	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	NIU-YSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NIU	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.4
2	0-2	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.9
3	0-3	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.7
4	1-3	YSU	NIU	Attack err	Abbie Householder		+1.2
5	1-4	NIU	YSU	Attack err	Charizma Lofton		+1.2
6	2-4	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.2
7	2-5	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
8	2-6	YSU	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.6
9	3-6	YSU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+1.0
10	4-6	NIU	NIU	Ace	Katie Pahl	aced Layne Graffice	+1.8
11	4-7	NIU	YSU	Serve err	Katie Pahl		+1.3
12	5-7	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+1.3
13	5-8	NIU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+1.3
14	6-8	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Juliana Rivera		+1.3
15	6-9	NIU	YSU×6	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+1.4
16	6-10	YSU	YSU×6	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Wrigley Takats, Kylie Surratt	+1.7
17	6-11	YSU	YSU×6	Attack err	Charizma Lofton		+1.4
18	6-12	YSU	YSU×6	Attack err	Charizma Lofton		+1.1
19	6-13	YSU	YSU×6	Bad set	Viktoria Djukic		+0.8
20	6-14	YSU	YSU×6	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.5
21	7-14	YSU	NIU×3	Serve err	Kameron Blizniak		+0.3
22	8-14	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Wrigley Takats		+0.6
23	9-14	NIU	NIU×3	Blocked	Kylie Surratt	blk Katie Pahl, Rylea Alvin	+0.8
24	9-15	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Journey Nicola	+0.7
25	9-16	YSU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.7
26	10-16	YSU	NIU	Kill	Charizma Lofton	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
27	10-17	NIU	YSU	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.5
28	11-17	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.3
29	11-18	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.4
30	11-19	YSU	YSU	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Korina Barber	+0.4
31	12-19	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
32	12-20	NIU	YSU	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton	+0.2
33	13-20	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Abbie Householder		+0.1
34	13-21	NIU	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.2
35	14-21	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
36	14-22	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Journey Nicola	+0.1
37	15-22	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	·
38	15-23	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
39	16-23	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	·
40	17-23	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Wrigley Takats	blk Autumn Flynn	+0.1
41	17-24	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
42	18-24	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Wrigley Takats		·
43	19-24	NIU	NIU	Ace	Kylie Schulze	aced Journey Nicola	+0.1
44	19-25	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kylie Schulze	+1.6
2	0-2	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Wrigley Takats	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.5
3	0-3	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.4
4	1-3	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.9
5	2-3	NIU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+1.5
6	2-4	NIU	YSU×5	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.1
7	2-5	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.5
8	2-6	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.3
9	2-7	YSU	YSU×5	Blocked	Rylea Alvin	blk Wrigley Takats	+1.1
10	2-8	YSU	YSU×5	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Journey Nicola	+0.9
11	3-8	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Katie Pahl	+0.5
12	3-9	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
13	4-9	YSU	NIU×4	Serve err	Wrigley Takats		+0.5
14	5-9	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Rylea Alvin		+0.9
15	6-9	NIU	NIU×4	Blocked	Korina Barber	blk Katie Pahl, Rylea Alvin	+1.2
16	7-9	NIU	NIU×4	Attack err	Kylie Surratt		+1.5
17	7-10	NIU	YSU×3	Serve err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.1
18	7-11	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Charizma Lofton		+1.4
19	7-12	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+1.1
20	8-12	YSU	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.7
21	8-13	NIU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.8
22	8-14	YSU	YSU	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Layne Graffice, Korina Barber	+0.9
23	9-14	YSU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.5
24	9-15	NIU	YSU	Kill	Korina Barber	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.6
25	10-15	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Juliana Rivera		+0.4
26	10-16	NIU	YSU	Serve err	Katie Pahl		+0.6
27	11-16	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
28	11-17	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
29	12-17	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.4
30	12-18	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Layne Graffice	+0.5
31	13-18	YSU	NIU	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Charlotte Gramzow	+0.4
32	13-19	NIU	YSU×4	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.5
33	13-20	YSU	YSU×4	Ace	Kylie Surratt	aced Ava Grevengoed	+0.4
34	13-21	YSU	YSU×4	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.2
35	13-22	YSU	YSU×4	Ace	Kylie Surratt	aced Ava Grevengoed	+0.1
36	14-22	YSU	NIU×3	Attack err	Korina Barber		·
37	15-22	NIU	NIU×3	Ace	Charlotte Gramzow	aced Journey Nicola	+0.1
38	16-22	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Lilly Abney	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
39	16-23	NIU	YSU×3	Blocked	Katie Pahl	blk Korina Barber, Abbie Householder	+0.2
40	16-24	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	Abbie Householder	aced Katie Pahl	+0.1
41	16-25	YSU	YSU×3	Ace	Abbie Householder	aced Charlotte Gramzow	·
Set 3
1	0-1	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.6
2	0-2	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Lilly Abney		+0.9
3	1-2	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.6
4	2-2	NIU	NIU	Ace	Charlotte Gramzow		+0.9
5	2-3	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Journey Nicola	+0.7
6	2-4	YSU	YSU	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Kylie Surratt, Korina Barber	+0.9
7	3-4	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.6
8	4-4	NIU	NIU	Blocked	Korina Barber	blk Autumn Flynn	+1.0
9	4-5	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.7
10	5-5	YSU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
11	5-6	NIU	YSU	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.7
12	5-7	YSU	YSU	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.0
13	6-7	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.7
14	6-8	NIU	YSU	Attack err	Kiana Shields		+0.7
15	6-9	YSU	YSU	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Wrigley Takats, Ava Stratton	+0.9
16	7-9	YSU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Kylie Schulze	+0.6
17	7-10	NIU	YSU	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Wrigley Takats, Layne Graffice	+0.6
18	8-10	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Kameron Blizniak		+0.6
19	9-10	NIU	NIU	Ace	Ava Grevengoed		+1.0
20	9-11	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
21	10-11	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.8
22	10-12	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
23	11-12	YSU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.8
24	11-13	NIU	YSU×3	Kill	Korina Barber	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.8
25	11-14	YSU	YSU×3	Blocked	Autumn Flynn	blk Korina Barber	+1.0
26	11-15	YSU	YSU×3	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Kameron Blizniak	+0.9
27	12-15	YSU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Charlotte Gramzow	+0.5
28	13-15	NIU	NIU	Ace	Katie Pahl	aced Journey Nicola	+0.9
29	13-16	NIU	YSU×3	Kill	Ava Stratton	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.8
30	13-17	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+0.9
31	13-18	YSU	YSU×3	Blocked	Ava Grevengoed	blk Korina Barber, Ava Stratton	+0.6
32	14-18	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Abbie Householder		+0.3
33	15-18	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Ava Stratton		+0.7
34	15-19	NIU	YSU	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.6
35	16-19	YSU	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+0.5
36	16-20	NIU	YSU×3	Kill	Layne Graffice	set Hayden Rodriguez	+0.6
37	16-21	YSU	YSU×3	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+0.6
38	16-22	YSU	YSU×3	Blocked	Lilly Abney	blk Wrigley Takats, Kylie Surratt	+0.3
39	17-22	YSU	NIU	Serve err	Ava Prince		+0.1
40	17-23	NIU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+0.2
41	18-23	YSU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.1
42	19-23	NIU	NIU	Kill	Naomi Dowd	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.2
43	19-24	NIU	YSU	Kill	Abbie Householder	set Ava Prince	+0.2
44	19-25	YSU	YSU	Kill	Kylie Surratt	set Ava Prince	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, NIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Youngstown St. def. NIU 3–0

Youngstown St. held NIU under 20 in every set.