Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Louisiana def. South Alabama 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: South Alabama 56.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Louisiana won at South Alabama 3-1 (22-25, 25-21, 25-22, 25-18) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Louisiana's Lolo Lambert led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
LA222525253
S ALA252122181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Ryleigh Garis, and Louisiana needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Louisiana's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. South Alabama went in at 57% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Louisiana 4–12 South Alabama

    Louisiana's low point. Louisiana then won 21 of the next 30 rallies and the set 25–21.

    Louisiana 12% → 45%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Louisiana 16–17 South Alabama

    Louisiana scored 3 straight to turn a 16–17 deficit into a 19–17 lead. The match swung to Louisiana.

    Louisiana 40% → 57%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Louisiana 22–21 South Alabama

    Louisiana won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    Louisiana 53% → 71%

South Alabama above 50Louisiana belowMax swing 9.0%

LouisianaSouth Alabama

Sideout %
Louisiana 58.6·South Alabama 52.1
Break %
Louisiana 47.9·South Alabama 41.4
Hitting
Louisiana .242·South Alabama .229
Longest run
Louisiana 6·South Alabama 5

Grace Sweeney
6 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .409, 10.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Alabama above 50 · Louisiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.0% LArally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.0% to Louisiana — set 3, LA 23-21 S ALA. Attack error by Dalayla Blackwell. S ALA win probability 47% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA 42.4%57.6% S ALA

Louisiana wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
17.2%

South Alabama wins

3-0
16.0%
3-1
21.9%
3-2
19.7%
LA break %
42.0% vs this opp
S ALA break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Dalayla BlackwellAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Dalayla Blackwell

    Set 3 · LA 23-21 S ALA · LA 53% → 62%

  2. 02

    Ace by Alivia Freeman

    Set 3 · LA 21-21 S ALA · S ALA 46% → 53%

  3. 03
    Lindsey HenryKill+7.5%

    Kill by Lindsey Henry (set by Ryleigh Garis)

    Set 3 · LA 24-22 S ALA · LA 58% → 65%

  4. 04

    Kill by Jazmine Gaston (set by Kennedy Gustafson)

    Set 3 · LA 21-19 S ALA · LA 51% → 59%

  5. 05
    Sarah GoochService error+6.5%

    Service error by Sarah Gooch

    Set 3 · LA 22-21 S ALA · LA 47% → 53%

  6. 06

    Kill by Alivia Freeman (set by Addison Hurst)

    Set 3 · LA 19-19 S ALA · S ALA 47% → 54%

  7. 07

    Kill by Alivia Freeman (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 1 · LA 21-23 S ALA · S ALA 62% → 68%

  8. 08
    Eva DittmarAttack error+6.2%

    Attack error by Eva Dittmar

    Set 3 · LA 19-17 S ALA · LA 50% → 57%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417542.286111162010.518.5
412637.1620000002113
4406.66720000132.56.5
4139-.222002002234
41011.0002430500004
1339.000000100003
48421.19010010111.59.5
42021.00018541000007
4000–5001500000
4000–202310000
310122.409001130010.510.5
Team totals5822149.24253910644410997
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414140.32502293212.518.5
411425.2800001002112
48215.4000123022312
4205.4003400100010.52.5
4000–102720000
32311-.09100000010.52.5
48631.065000101019
4316.33300220010.53.5
4102.5003121610002
3000–101430000
3000–000000000
2005.000000000000
1000–400000000
1000–000100000
Team totals4917140.2294341154958986

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Louisiana vs South Alabama

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LA · S ALA 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 LAS ALA 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 6 LAS ALA 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 LAS ALA 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 3 LAS ALA 3

Bars above the line = South Alabama leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
47%7/15
2
53%9/17
33%5/15
3
69%9/13
44%7/16
4
67%8/12
56%10/18
5
62%8/13
50%8/16
6
64%7/11
56%9/16
All
59%51/87
48%46/96

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
55%11/20
2
60%9/15
40%6/15
3
44%8/18
40%6/15
4
44%8/18
27%3/11
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
44%7/16
38%5/13
All
52%50/96
41%36/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#LA-S ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S ALALAKillEmily Williamsset Rhyan Miciotto+1.8
21-1LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+1.8
31-2S ALAS ALABad setRhyan Miciotto+2.5
42-2S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Sophia Armstrong+1.8
52-3LAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
62-4S ALAS ALA×3Attack errSarah Schnell+2.5
72-5S ALAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
83-5S ALALA×5KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.6
94-5LALA×5AceLouisianaaced Marissa Taix+2.5
105-5LALA×5AceLouisianaaced Marissa Taix+2.7
116-5LALA×5KillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+2.8
127-5LALA×5AceLouisianaaced Marissa Taix+2.9
137-6LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+1.9
148-6S ALALA×3KillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.1
159-6LALA×3Attack errDalayla Blackwell+2.9
1610-6LALA×3BlockedEva Dittmarblk Jazmine Gaston, Lindsey Henry+2.6
1710-7LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.6
1811-7S ALALAKillMarlee Ervinset Ryleigh Garis+1.9
1911-8LAS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.6
2011-9S ALAS ALA×3Attack errMarlee Ervin+2.7
2111-10S ALAS ALA×3Attack errMarlee Ervin+3.0
2212-10S ALALAKillMarlee Ervinset Ryleigh Garis+2.4
2313-10LALAKillMarlee Ervin+3.2
2413-11LAS ALA×3Attack errSarah Schnell+2.0
2513-12S ALAS ALA×3BlockedEmily Williamsblk Alivia Freeman+3.2
2613-13S ALAS ALA×3Attack errMarlee Ervin+3.5
2714-13S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.7
2814-14LAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.6
2914-15S ALAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwell+3.8
3014-16S ALAS ALA×3KillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+3.7
3115-16S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+2.4
3215-17LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.8
3316-17S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+2.5
3416-18LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
3516-19S ALAS ALAAceSouth Alabamaaced Sophia Armstrong+3.6
3617-19S ALALA×3KillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.1
3718-19LALA×3Attack errDalayla Blackwell+3.9
3819-19LALA×3BlockedEva Dittmarblk Jazmine Gaston+4.8
3919-20LAS ALAKillAnabelle Cerny+3.8
4020-20S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+3.7
4120-21LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+4.2
4221-21S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+4.1
4321-22LAS ALA×3KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+4.7
4421-23S ALAS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+6.3
4521-24S ALAS ALA×3Attack errSarah Schnell+4.3
4622-24S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+1.2
4722-25LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+2.8
Set 2
10-1LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.6
21-1S ALALABlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Emily Williams+1.7
31-2LAS ALA×5Attack errGrace Sweeney+1.7
41-3S ALAS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
51-4S ALAS ALA×5BlockedJazmine Gastonblk Sarah Gooch, Dalayla Blackwell+2.2
61-5S ALAS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
71-6S ALAS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Marissa Taix+1.8
82-6S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+1.1
92-7LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+1.3
102-8S ALAS ALAAceSouth Alabamaaced Lolo Lambert+1.5
113-8S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+0.9
124-8LALAAceLouisianaaced Sarah Gooch+1.6
134-9LAS ALA×4KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.3
144-10S ALAS ALA×4KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.5
154-11S ALAS ALA×4AceSouth Alabamaaced Lolo Lambert+1.2
164-12S ALAS ALA×4BlockedSarah Schnellblk Alivia Freeman, Anabelle Cerny+0.9
175-12S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Rhyan Miciotto+0.5
186-12LALABlockedEva Dittmarblk Sarah Schnell, Lindsey Henry+0.9
196-13LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
207-13S ALALA×6KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.6
218-13LALA×6KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+1.2
229-13LALA×6Attack errAlivia Freeman+1.5
2310-13LALA×6KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.0
2411-13LALA×6KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.4
2512-13LALA×6BlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Emily Williams, Lolo Lambert+2.9
2612-14LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
2713-14S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.1
2813-15LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+2.4
2913-16S ALAS ALABlockedLolo Lambertblk Alexa Strandberg, Dalayla Blackwell+3.0
3014-16S ALALA×3Serve errSouth Alabama+1.9
3115-16LALA×3BlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Emily Williams, Grace Sweeney+3.2
3216-16LALA×3KillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+3.7
3316-17LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.8
3417-17S ALALA×5KillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+2.8
3518-17LALA×5KillGrace Sweeneyset Lindsey Henry+4.3
3619-17LALA×5KillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+4.3
3720-17LALA×5KillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+3.9
3821-17LALA×5KillGrace Sweeneyset Sophia Armstrong+3.0
3921-18LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+1.3
4021-19S ALAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Halle Norvell+2.9
4122-19S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+3.0
4223-19LALAKillSarah Schnellset Kennedy Gustafson+2.8
4323-20LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Halle Norvell+0.9
4424-20S ALALAAttack errEva Dittmar+1.8
4524-21LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Halle Norvell+0.5
4625-21S ALALAKillRhyan Miciottoset Grace Sweeney+1.2
Set 3
10-1S ALAS ALA×3Attack errLolo Lambert+3.3
20-2S ALAS ALA×3BlockedEmily Williamsblk Sarah Gooch+3.3
30-3S ALAS ALA×3BlockedJazmine Gastonblk Sarah Gooch+3.1
41-3S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.1
51-4LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.2
62-4S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+2.1
72-5LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
83-5S ALALAKillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+2.2
93-6LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
104-6S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.2
114-7LAS ALAKillAnabelle Cerny+2.4
125-7S ALALA×4KillLindsey Henryset Rhyan Miciotto+2.2
136-7LALA×4KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+3.5
147-7LALA×4KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.8
158-7LALA×4KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+4.0
168-8LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+2.8
179-8S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.0
189-9LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+2.9
199-10S ALAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Ryleigh Garis+4.2
2010-10S ALALAServe errAlivia Freeman+3.0
2110-11LAS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+3.1
2211-11S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+3.1
2312-11LALABad setAnabelle Cerny+4.6
2412-12LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+3.2
2513-12S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+3.4
2613-13LAS ALAKillAddison Hurst+3.3
2714-13S ALALAAttack errSarah Schnell+3.6
2815-13LALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+5.0
2915-14LAS ALA×3Attack errLolo Lambert+3.3
3015-15S ALAS ALA×3Attack errLolo Lambert+5.1
3115-16S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+5.4
3216-16S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.8
3316-17LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+4.0
3417-17S ALALA×3KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+4.0
3518-17LALA×3KillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+6.2
3619-17LALA×3Attack errEva Dittmar+6.2
3719-18LAS ALAAttack errJazmine Gaston+3.8
3819-19S ALAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Addison Hurst+6.5
3920-19S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+5.2
4021-19LALAKillJazmine Gastonset Kennedy Gustafson+7.2
4121-20LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+4.2
4221-21S ALAS ALAAceAlivia Freeman+7.8
4322-21S ALALAServe errSarah Gooch+6.5
4423-21LALAAttack errDalayla Blackwell+9.0
4523-22LAS ALAAttack errJazmine Gaston+4.5
4624-22S ALALAKillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+7.5
4725-22LALAAttack errSarah Gooch+5.9
Set 4
11-0LALAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+3.6
22-0LALAAceRyleigh Garisaced Kathryn O'Toole+3.6
32-1LAS ALAServe errRyleigh Garis+2.5
43-1S ALALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Jazmine Gaston+2.7
54-1LALA×3KillRyleigh Garisset Lolo Lambert+3.6
65-1LALA×3AceLolo Lambertaced Addison Hurst+3.5
75-2LAS ALAServe errLolo Lambert+2.2
86-2S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Lindsey Henry+2.5
96-3LAS ALAServe errEmily Williams+2.2
107-3S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Kennedy Gustafson+2.6
118-3LALAAceRhyan Miciottoaced Sarah Gooch+3.2
128-4LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
139-4S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.3
149-5LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
159-6S ALAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Addison Hurst+3.2
1610-6S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.7
1711-6LALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+3.3
1811-7LAS ALABlockedSarah Schnellblk Eva Dittmar+1.9
1911-8S ALAS ALAAttack errSarah Schnell+3.3
2012-8S ALALA×3KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.8
2113-8LALA×3Attack errAlivia Freeman+3.4
2214-8LALA×3AceRyleigh Garisaced Kathryn O'Toole+2.8
2314-9LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Addison Hurst+1.4
2414-10S ALAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
2515-10S ALALABlockedElyse Heffnerblk Emily Williams+2.5
2615-11LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Kathryn O'Toole+1.9
2716-11S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+2.5
2817-11LALAKillRyleigh Garisset Anabelle Cerny+2.6
2917-12LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.3
3018-12S ALALA×3KillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+1.8
3119-12LALA×3AceRhyan Miciottoaced Sarah Gooch+1.7
3220-12LALA×3BlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Lindsey Henry+1.0
3320-13LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
3421-13S ALALA×3Serve errAddison Hurst+0.6
3522-13LALA×3KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.3
3623-13LALA×3BlockedEva Dittmarblk Lindsey Henry, Sarah Schnell+0.1
3723-14LAS ALA×3Serve errGrace Sweeney·
3823-15S ALAS ALA×3KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3923-16S ALAS ALA×3BlockedLolo Lambertblk Alivia Freeman, Elyse Heffner+0.1
4024-16S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.2
4124-17LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny·
4224-18S ALAS ALABlockedEmily Williamsblk Alivia Freeman+0.1
4325-18S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).