Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

South Alabama def. Louisiana 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: South Alabama 51.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Alabama beat visiting Louisiana 3-2 (25-15, 25-16, 21-25, 12-25, 15-12) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. South Alabama's Dalayla Blackwell led with 18 kills, and Addison Hurst added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set12345Sets
LA15162525122
S ALA25252112153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.519 on 27 swings: Dalayla Blackwell and South Alabama edged Louisiana.

The match turned twice; each line shows South Alabama's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had South Alabama at 51%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Louisiana 19–21 South Alabama

    6 straight Louisiana points turned a 19–21 deficit into a 25–21 lead.

    South Alabama 94% → 75%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Louisiana 11–12 South Alabama

    South Alabama closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    South Alabama 66% → >99%

South Alabama above 50Louisiana belowMax swing 17.3%

LouisianaSouth Alabama

Sideout %
Louisiana 56.1·South Alabama 59.1
Break %
Louisiana 40.9·South Alabama 43.9
Hitting
Louisiana .199·South Alabama .239
Longest run
Louisiana 6·South Alabama 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

South Alabama above 50 · Louisiana below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+17.3% S ALArally 191 · set 5

Biggest swing: 17.3% to South Alabama — set 5, LA 11-13 S ALA. Ace by Elyse Heffner on Lolo Lambert. S ALA win probability 66% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA 42.5%57.5% S ALA

Louisiana wins

3-0
9.6%
3-1
15.6%
3-2
17.3%

South Alabama wins

3-0
15.9%
3-1
21.9%
3-2
19.7%
LA break %
42.0% vs this opp
S ALA break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Elyse HeffnerAce+17.3%

    Ace by Elyse Heffner on Lolo Lambert

    Set 5 · LA 11-13 S ALA · S ALA 66% → 83%

  2. 02
    Sarah GoochBlock+15.8%

    Sarah Schnell stuffed by Sarah Gooch

    Set 5 · LA 10-11 S ALA · S ALA 48% → 64%

  3. 03

    Kill by Dalayla Blackwell (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 5 · LA 12-14 S ALA · S ALA 74% → 89%

  4. 04
    Lolo LambertAttack error+13.0%

    Attack error by Lolo Lambert

    Set 5 · LA 11-12 S ALA · S ALA 53% → 66%

  5. 05
    Emily WilliamsKill+12.3%

    Kill by Emily Williams (set by Ryleigh Garis)

    Set 5 · LA 8-7 S ALA · LA 48% → 60%

  6. 06
    Sarah GoochKill+11.4%

    Kill by Sarah Gooch (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 5 · LA 6-7 S ALA · S ALA 49% → 60%

  7. 07
    Sarah SchnellKill+11.2%

    Kill by Sarah Schnell (set by Sophia Armstrong)

    Set 5 · LA 11-11 S ALA · LA 36% → 47%

  8. 08
    Jazmine GastonAttack error+11.1%

    Attack error by Jazmine Gaston

    Set 5 · LA 12-15 S ALA · S ALA 89% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510635.1140156300011
59129.2760004004211
53213.077020401438
55011.45510010031.56.5
5102.5001614700002
23419-.053000420003
515232.4060001002116
5012-.50021321000003
5001.000212500001
5000–5002400000
46217.235000100217
1015-.200000000000
Team totals5219166.199458136771158.593
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518427.51900010010.518.5
513445.20011114322317
511430.23301310031.513.5
56426.077000100006
5319.22248111500004
5000–000810000
57418.167110900219
5000–3321800003
5000–2031040000
5000–001000000
3000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5821155.2395571177828698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Louisiana vs South Alabama

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 LA · S ALA 6

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 LAS ALA 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 LAS ALA 6

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 LAS ALA 5

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 5 LAS ALA 2

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 LAS ALA 2

Bars above the line = South Alabama leads, below = Louisiana leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Louisiana

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%11/28
40%6/15
2
65%11/17
42%8/19
3
53%10/19
42%8/19
4
56%9/16
23%3/13
5
88%7/8
61%11/18
6
70%7/10
22%2/9
All
56%55/98
41%38/93

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
53%10/19
2
52%11/21
45%9/20
3
69%11/16
45%9/20
4
67%8/12
53%10/19
5
47%7/15
27%3/11
6
58%7/12
22%2/9
All
59%55/93
44%43/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

191 rallies

#LA-S ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+1.8
21-1S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Ryleigh Garis+1.8
31-2LAS ALAServe errLouisiana+1.9
42-2S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+1.9
52-3LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
63-3S ALALABad setAnabelle Cerny+1.9
73-4LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
84-4S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.9
94-5LAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
105-5S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.0
115-6LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
125-7S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.8
136-7S ALALABlockedSarah Goochblk Emily Williams+1.9
146-8LAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
156-9S ALAS ALA×3Bad setKennedy Gustafson+2.7
166-10S ALAS ALA×3AceAddison Hurstaced Grace Sweeney+2.5
177-10S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+1.6
187-11LAS ALA×4KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
197-12S ALAS ALA×4KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.2
207-13S ALAS ALA×4KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
217-14S ALAS ALA×4AceAnabelle Cernyaced Lolo Lambert+1.4
228-14S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Kennedy Gustafson+0.7
238-15LAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
248-16S ALAS ALAAttack errGrace Sweeney+0.9
259-16S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+0.4
269-17LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
2710-17S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Lindsey Henry+0.4
2810-18LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
2911-18S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.3
3011-19LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.5
3112-19S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.3
3212-20LAS ALA×3Serve errRyleigh Garis+0.4
3312-21S ALAS ALA×3AceAddison Hurstaced Grace Sweeney+0.3
3412-22S ALAS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3513-22S ALALAAttack errAnabelle Cerny·
3614-22LALAKillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+0.1
3714-23LAS ALAAttack errGrace Sweeney+0.1
3815-23S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis·
3915-24LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
4015-25S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny·
Set 2
10-1S ALAS ALA×6KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
20-2S ALAS ALA×6KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
30-3S ALAS ALA×6BlockedMarlee Ervinblk Sarah Gooch+2.4
40-4S ALAS ALA×6KillSarah Gooch+2.2
50-5S ALAS ALA×6Attack errLolo Lambert+2.0
60-6S ALAS ALA×6BlockedSarah Schnellblk Sarah Gooch, Alivia Freeman+1.7
71-6S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+1.1
81-7LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.3
92-7S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+1.1
102-8LAS ALAAttack errHarley Krause+1.3
112-9S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+1.4
123-9S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.8
133-10LAS ALA×4KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
143-11S ALAS ALA×4AceSarah Gooch+1.1
153-12S ALAS ALA×4KillAnabelle Cernyset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
163-13S ALAS ALA×4Attack errLolo Lambert+0.5
174-13S ALALAAttack errDalayla Blackwell+0.3
184-14LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
195-14S ALALAKillLindsey Henryset Kennedy Gustafson+0.2
205-15LAS ALAKillAnabelle Cernyset Ryleigh Garis+0.3
216-15S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Ryleigh Garis+0.2
226-16LAS ALA×3KillEva Dittmarset Addison Hurst+0.3
236-17S ALAS ALA×3BlockedGrace Sweeneyblk Alivia Freeman, Elyse Heffner+0.2
246-18S ALAS ALA×3BlockedGrace Sweeneyblk Alivia Freeman, Elyse Heffner+0.1
257-18S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama·
267-19LAS ALAAttack errRhyan Miciotto+0.1
278-19S ALALAKillGrace Sweeneyset Kennedy Gustafson·
289-19LALAKillHarley Krauseset Sophia Armstrong+0.1
299-20LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3010-20S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto·
3111-20LALABlockedSarah Goochblk Jazmine Gaston, Lindsey Henry+0.1
3211-21LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3312-21S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis·
3412-22LAS ALAServe errLolo Lambert+0.1
3513-22S ALALAKillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis·
3613-23LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny·
3713-24S ALAS ALAAttack errEmily Williams·
3814-24S ALALA×3Serve errSouth Alabama·
3915-24LALA×3AceRhyan Miciottoaced Sarah Gooch·
4016-24LALA×3Attack errAlivia Freeman·
4116-25LAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny·
Set 3
10-1LAS ALA×5Serve errRhyan Miciotto+1.2
20-2S ALAS ALA×5KillElyse Heffnerset Kathryn O'Toole+1.6
30-3S ALAS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Kathryn O'Toole+1.6
40-4S ALAS ALA×5AceAlivia Freeman+1.5
50-5S ALAS ALA×5BlockedHarley Krauseblk Dalayla Blackwell, Sarah Gooch+1.3
61-5S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+0.8
72-5LALABlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Emily Williams, Sarah Schnell+1.4
82-6LAS ALA×3KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
92-7S ALAS ALA×3Attack errLolo Lambert+1.4
102-8S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
113-8S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.7
124-8LALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.2
134-9LAS ALA×4KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
144-10S ALAS ALA×4KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
154-11S ALAS ALA×4KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.9
164-12S ALAS ALA×4KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.7
175-12S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.4
185-13LAS ALA×3Serve errRyleigh Garis+0.5
195-14S ALAS ALA×3AceAddison Hurstaced Lolo Lambert+0.5
205-15S ALAS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
216-15S ALALA×3KillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+0.1
227-15LALA×3KillLindsey Henryset Ryleigh Garis+0.3
238-15LALA×3Attack errEva Dittmar+0.4
248-16LAS ALAServe errLolo Lambert+0.4
259-16S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+0.3
2610-16LALABlockedEva Dittmarblk Jazmine Gaston, Emily Williams+0.6
2710-17LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
2811-17S ALALA×3Serve errSouth Alabama+0.4
2912-17LALA×3Attack errAlivia Freeman+0.8
3013-17LALA×3AceRhyan Miciottoaced Kathryn O'Toole+1.1
3113-18LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+1.1
3214-18S ALALA×3Attack errDalayla Blackwell+0.7
3315-18LALA×3AceSophia Armstrongaced Kathryn O'Toole+1.5
3416-18LALA×3KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+2.0
3516-19LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
3617-19S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.4
3718-19LALAAceEmily Williamsaced Kathryn O'Toole+2.6
3818-20LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
3919-20S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Kennedy Gustafson+2.0
4019-21LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
4120-21S ALALA×6Serve errSouth Alabama+2.1
4221-21LALA×6KillHarley Krauseset Kennedy Gustafson+3.8
4322-21LALA×6BlockedAlivia Freemanblk Harley Krause, Lindsey Henry, Jazmine Gaston+4.5
4423-21LALA×6BlockedEva Dittmarblk Lindsey Henry, Jazmine Gaston+4.3
4524-21LALA×6KillLindsey Henry+3.1
4625-21LALA×6KillHarley Krause+1.2
Set 4
11-0S ALALA×4BlockedElyse Heffnerblk Harley Krause, Emily Williams+2.4
22-0LALA×4Attack errElyse Heffner+3.3
33-0LALA×4Attack errSarah Gooch+3.2
44-0LALA×4KillEmily Williams+3.0
54-1LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
65-1S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+2.2
75-2LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
85-3S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+3.1
96-3S ALALAKillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+2.5
107-3LALAAttack errSarah Gooch+3.2
117-4LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
128-4S ALALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.3
139-4LALAKillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.9
149-5LAS ALAServe errLolo Lambert+1.8
1510-5S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+2.1
1610-6LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
1710-7S ALAS ALAAttack errEmily Williams+2.9
1811-7S ALALA×3KillJazmine Gastonset Ryleigh Garis+2.5
1912-7LALA×3BlockedEva Dittmarblk Emily Williams, Sarah Schnell+3.0
2013-7LALA×3AceRhyan Miciottoaced Sarah Gooch+2.4
2113-8LAS ALAServe errRhyan Miciotto+1.3
2213-9S ALAS ALAKillAnabelle Cernyset Sarah Gooch+2.4
2314-9S ALALAKillHarley Krauseset Rhyan Miciotto+2.2
2415-9LALAAttack errAlivia Freeman+2.4
2515-10LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Elyse Heffner+1.3
2616-10S ALALA×5KillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+1.7
2717-10LALA×5Attack errElyse Heffner+1.7
2818-10LALA×5KillSarah Schnell+1.1
2919-10LALA×5KillLolo Lambertset Rhyan Miciotto+0.6
3020-10LALA×5AceEmily Williamsaced Kathryn O'Toole+0.3
3120-11LAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3221-11S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+0.2
3322-11LALAAceRyleigh Garisaced Preslee Thompson+0.1
3422-12LAS ALAServe errRyleigh Garis·
3523-12S ALALA×3KillRyleigh Garis·
3624-12LALA×3KillHarley Krauseset Kennedy Gustafson·
3725-12LALA×3AceLolo Lambertaced Sarah Gooch+1.2
Set 5
11-0S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+6.4
21-1LAS ALAServe errSophia Armstrong+6.3
32-1S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+6.6
43-1LALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+9.1
53-2LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+6.1
63-3S ALAS ALAAttack errLolo Lambert+9.4
74-3S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+7.1
84-4LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+7.1
94-5S ALAS ALAAttack errLolo Lambert+10.3
105-5S ALALAServe errSouth Alabama+7.4
116-5LALAAttack errDalayla Blackwell+10.9
126-6LAS ALAServe errLolo Lambert+7.8
136-7S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+11.4
147-7S ALALAKillHarley Krauseset Anabelle Cerny+8.2
158-7LALAKillEmily Williamsset Ryleigh Garis+12.3
168-8LAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+8.7
179-8S ALALAAttack errElyse Heffner+9.5
189-9LAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+9.4
1910-9S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+10.4
2010-10LAS ALAServe errSophia Armstrong+10.2
2110-11S ALAS ALABlockedSarah Schnellblk Sarah Gooch+15.8
2211-11S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Sophia Armstrong+11.2
2311-12LAS ALAAttack errLolo Lambert+13.0
2411-13S ALAS ALAAceElyse Heffneraced Lolo Lambert+17.3
2512-13S ALALAKillSarah Schnellset Rhyan Miciotto+8.9
2612-14LAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+14.6
2712-15S ALAS ALAAttack errJazmine Gaston+11.1

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).