ULM vs Troy Volleyball: Troy Wins 3-0 (Oct 10, 2026)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Troy 91.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Troy beat visiting ULM 3-0 (25-18, 26-24, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Isa Ruether and Ashlynn Axtell led Troy with 8 kills each; ULM's Aniya Hall had a match-high 10.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LA MON	18	24	17	0
TROY	25	26	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Kalina Calvillo in a Troy rout.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.1 points. ULM peaked at 13% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Troy went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

ULMTroy

Break %+12.8 pts
42.655.4
41 of 74 on serve vs 26 of 61, so ULM's sideout was 44.6%.
Longest run+0
55
From 7–7 in the first set, Troy scored 5 straight to lead 12–7. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Troy above 50ULM belowMax swing 3.1%

ULMTroy

Hitting: ULM .065·Troy .143
Aces: ULM 6·Troy 12
Serve err: ULM 7·Troy 6
Blocks: ULM 9·Troy 52 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs: ULM 40·Troy 43

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Troy above 50 · ULM below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Troy — set 2, LA MON 24-25 TROY. Troy ace on Marissa Kobelski. TROY win probability 93% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LA MON 11.0%89.0% TROY

ULM wins

3-0

1.5%

3-1

3.4%

3-2

6.1%

Troy wins

3-0

42.8%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.6%

LA MON break %: 37.8% vs this opp
TROY break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
TroyAce+3.1%
Troy ace on Marissa Kobelski
Set 2 · LA MON 24-25 TROY · TROY 93% → 96%
02
Aniya HallKill+2.9%
Kill by Aniya Hall (set by Bre Perrin)
Set 2 · LA MON 24-23 TROY · LA MON 7% → 10%
03
Zharia AlleyneAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Zharia Alleyne
Set 2 · LA MON 24-24 TROY · TROY 90% → 93%
04
Ashlynn AxtellKill+2.8%
Kill by Ashlynn Axtell (set by Aniya Hall)
Set 2 · LA MON 23-23 TROY · TROY 90% → 93%
05
TroyAce+2.5%
Troy ace on Aniya Hall
Set 2 · LA MON 24-26 TROY · TROY 96% → 99%
06
ULMAce+2.4%
ULM ace on Haley Nash
Set 2 · LA MON 22-20 TROY · LA MON 8% → 10%
07
ULMAce+2.2%
ULM ace on Brooke Forkum
Set 2 · LA MON 23-20 TROY · LA MON 10% → 13%
08
TroyAce+2.0%
Troy ace on Aniya Hall
Set 2 · LA MON 23-22 TROY · TROY 88% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ULMaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Aniya HallOH	3	10	4	25	.240	1	0	0	9	4	0	1	0.5	10.5
14Tatum ClayMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	2	1	2	0	2	4	4	10
10Grace TroxellOH	3	3	4	15	-.067	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
11Zharia AlleyneMB	3	3	4	10	-.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
3Marissa KobelskiMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	1	11	2	0	0	0	4
15Morgan HowardS	3	1	0	3	.333	12	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
9Bre PerrinS	3	0	0	0	–	8	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	0	3	14	-.214	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	1	1	9	3	0	0	0	1
5Amelia ColonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		25	19	92	.065	24	6	7	40	12	2	14	9	59

Troyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kalina CalvilloOH	3	7	5	30	.067	1	6	3	2	0	0	0	13
6Olivia KwiatkowskiOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	3	3	7	0	3	1.5	9.5
2Isa RuetherOH	3	8	7	28	.036	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	9
9Ashlynn AxtellMB	3	8	2	19	.316	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	8
20Brooke ForkumOH	3	3	2	9	.111	0	1	0	7	2	0	0	4
33Madison MarxS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	13	1	0	8	0	0	0	1
14Sophie OcampoOH	3	6	2	9	.444	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
1Kenzly FooteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Haley NashL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	2	0	0	0
24Josephine HensleyS	2	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
23Kayla BaetzelDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
13Addison KerstingS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	21	112	.143	33	12	6	43	6	10	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ULM vs Troy

Season series · Troy leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026ULM at Troy · Troy won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026ULM at Troy · Troy won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LA MON · TROY 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 LA MONTROY 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 LA MONTROY 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 LA MONTROY 4

Bars above the line = Troy leads, below = ULM leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ULM

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%3/6	67%4/6
2	29%2/7	25%1/4
3	50%2/4	33%1/3
4	67%2/3	33%1/3
5	50%2/4	33%1/3
6	100%2/2	60%3/5
All	50%13/26	46%11/24

Troy

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	50%3/6
2	67%2/3	71%5/7
3	67%2/3	50%2/4
4	67%2/3	33%1/3
5	40%2/5	50%2/4
6	33%2/6	0%0/2
All	54%13/24	50%13/26

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	LA MON-TROY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Haley Nash	+0.7
2	1-1	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.7
3–4	2-2		LA MON · TROY	NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
5	2-3	LA MON	TROY	Ace	ULM	aced Amelia Colon	+0.7
6	3-3	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.8
7	4-3	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	ULM	aced Brooke Forkum	+1.2
8	4-4	LA MON	TROY×4	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Madison Marx	+0.8
9	4-5	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
10	4-6	TROY	TROY×4	Attack err	Grace Troxell		+0.9
11	4-7	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	+0.8
12	5-7	TROY	LA MON×3	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
13	6-7	LA MON	LA MON×3	Blocked	Josephine Hensley	blk Kenzie Behl, Isa Ruether	+1.0
14	7-7	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+1.2
15	7-8	LA MON	TROY×5	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.8
16	7-9	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
17	7-10	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	+0.9
18	7-11	TROY	TROY×5	Blocked	Aniya Hall	blk Sophie Ocampo, Isa Ruether	+0.7
19	7-12	TROY	TROY×5	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
20	8-12	TROY	LA MON	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo	set Amelia Colon	+0.4
21	8-13	LA MON	TROY×3	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.4
22	8-14	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+0.4
23	8-15	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy		+0.3
24	9-15	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Bre Perrin	+0.1
25	10-15	LA MON	LA MON	Blocked	Kalina Calvillo	blk Tatum Clay, Kenzie Behl	+0.3
26	10-16	LA MON	TROY	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.3
27	11-16	TROY	LA MON×4	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.2
28	12-16	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski		+0.5
29	13-16	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Eden Pietrzak	+0.7
30	14-16	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+1.0
31	14-17	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.8
32	14-18	TROY	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum		+0.9
33	15-18	TROY	LA MON	Blocked	Brooke Forkum	blk Tatum Clay, Grace Troxell	+0.5
34	15-19	LA MON	TROY×3	Serve err	ULM		+0.6
35	15-20	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Eden Pietrzak	+0.6
36	15-21	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy		+0.3
37	16-21	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Morgan Howard	set Madison Marx	+0.1
38	16-22	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.2
39	17-22	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell		+0.1
40	17-23	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.2
41	17-24	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.1
42	18-24	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	·
43	18-25	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	·
Set 2
1	1-0	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+0.6
2	1-1	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.5
3	1-2	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.6
4	1-3	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne		+0.6
5	2-3	TROY	LA MON	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.4
6	3-3	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski		+0.7
7	3-4	LA MON	TROY	Serve err	ULM		+0.5
8	3-5	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Aniya Hall	+0.6
9	4-5	TROY	LA MON	Blocked	Ashlynn Axtell	blk Tatum Clay	+0.5
10	5-5	LA MON	LA MON	Blocked	Isa Ruether	blk Tatum Clay, Grace Troxell	+0.7
11	5-6	LA MON	TROY	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski	set Brooke Forkum	+0.5
12	6-6	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
13	6-7	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
14	6-8	TROY	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley	+0.7
15	7-8	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall		+0.5
16	8-8	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
17	8-9	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether		+0.6
18	9-9	TROY	LA MON×3	Serve err	Troy		+0.7
19	10-9	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+1.0
20	11-9	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+1.1
21	11-10	LA MON	TROY	Serve err	ULM		+0.7
22	11-11	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+1.0
23	12-11	TROY	LA MON	Attack err	Madison Marx	set Kayla Baetzel	+0.9
24	13-11	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+1.3
25	13-12	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Ashlynn Axtell	+0.8
26	13-13	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Eden Pietrzak	+1.1
27	14-13	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.9
28	14-14	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.8
29	14-15	TROY	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell		+1.1
30	15-15	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Bre Perrin	+0.9
31	15-16	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.8
32	15-17	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+1.0
33	16-17	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+0.7
34	17-17	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo		+1.3
35	17-18	LA MON	TROY	Serve err	ULM		+1.0
36	17-19	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Grace Troxell	blk Sophie Ocampo, Olivia Kwiatkowski	+1.2
37	18-19	TROY	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
38	19-19	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+1.5
39	20-19	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	ULM		+1.9
40	20-20	LA MON	TROY	Blocked	Grace Troxell	blk Sophie Ocampo, Olivia Kwiatkowski	+1.3
41	21-20	TROY	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Eden Pietrzak	+1.6
42	22-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	ULM	aced Haley Nash	+2.4
43	23-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	ULM	aced Brooke Forkum	+2.2
44	23-21	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.9
45	23-22	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Aniya Hall	+2.0
46	23-23	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Aniya Hall	+2.8
47	24-23	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+2.9
48	24-24	LA MON	TROY×3	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne	set Bre Perrin	+2.9
49	24-25	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Marissa Kobelski	+3.1
50	24-26	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Aniya Hall	+2.5
Set 3
1	0-1	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.2
2	1-1	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
3	1-2	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.2
4	1-3	TROY	TROY×3	Ace	Troy	aced Marissa Kobelski	+0.3
5	1-4	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.2
6	2-4	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.2
7	3-4	LA MON	LA MON	Blocked	Isa Ruether	blk Zharia Alleyne, Kenzie Behl	+0.3
8	3-5	LA MON	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether		+0.2
9	3-6	TROY	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Haley Nash	+0.2
10	4-6	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
11	5-6	LA MON	LA MON	Blocked	Brooke Forkum	blk Zharia Alleyne, Aniya Hall	+0.3
12	5-7	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Addison Kersting	+0.2
13	5-8	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Aniya Hall	blk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Sophie Ocampo	+0.3
14	5-9	TROY	TROY×3	Blocked	Grace Troxell	blk Isa Ruether, Sophie Ocampo	+0.2
15	6-9	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
16	6-10	LA MON	TROY	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
17	6-11	TROY	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo		+0.2
18	7-11	TROY	LA MON×5	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
19	8-11	LA MON	LA MON×5	Blocked	Kalina Calvillo	blk Grace Troxell, Tatum Clay	+0.2
20	9-11	LA MON	LA MON×5	Ace	ULM		+0.3
21	10-11	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.4
22	11-11	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.4
23	11-12	LA MON	TROY×4	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Addison Kersting	+0.3
24	11-13	TROY	TROY×4	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+0.4
25	11-14		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
26	11-15	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Kalina Calvillo	+0.3
27	12-15	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Aniya Hall	+0.2
28	12-16	LA MON	TROY	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
29	12-17	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Haley Nash	+0.2
30	13-17	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.1
31	14-17	LA MON	LA MON	Blocked	Ashlynn Axtell	blk Tatum Clay	+0.2
32	14-18	LA MON	TROY	Serve err	ULM		+0.2
33	14-19	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Aniya Hall	+0.2
34	15-19	TROY	LA MON	Serve err	Troy		+0.1
35	16-19	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+0.2
36	16-20	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Madison Marx	+0.2
37	16-21	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.2
38	16-22	TROY	TROY×3	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne		+0.1
39	17-22	TROY	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	·
40	17-23	LA MON	TROY×3	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Addison Kersting	+0.1
41	17-24		TROY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
42	17-25	TROY	TROY×3	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Addison Kersting	·

Score shown after each rally, ULM first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Troy def. ULM 3–0

6 aces from Kalina Calvillo in a Troy rout.