Troy vs Arkansas State Volleyball: Arkansas State Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Arkansas St. 87.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. beat visiting Troy 3-1 (25-23, 25-16, 23-25, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Addison Collum led Arkansas St. with 14 kills; Troy's Kalina Calvillo had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 3, 8:50 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
TROY	23	16	25	17	1
ARK ST	25	25	23	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Arkansas St. led every phase, and nothing ever turned.

Win probability never moved more than 4.5 points on one rally; Troy topped out at 19% in Set 1. Arkansas St. went in as RallyIQ's 88% pick.

TroyArkansas St.

Break %+11.9 pts
29.341.2
Points won on own serve: 40 of 97 vs 24 of 82. Troy sided out 58.8% of the time.
Hitting+.130
.179.309
Kills and errors: 57–15 vs 55–27.
Longest run+1
45
Arkansas St. scored 5 straight in the fourth set to stretch a 7–6 lead to 12–6. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Arkansas St. above 50Troy belowMax swing 4.5%

TroyArkansas St.

Aces: Troy 8·Arkansas St. 4
Serve err: Troy 8·Arkansas St. 3
Blocks: Troy 8·Arkansas St. 112 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs: Troy 59·Arkansas St. 59

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arkansas St. above 50 · Troy below

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Arkansas St. — set 1, TROY 22-23 ARK ST. Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan). ARK ST win probability 84% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TROY 12.0%88.0% ARK ST

Troy wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.6%

Arkansas St. wins

3-0

41.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.2%

TROY break %: 36.5% vs this opp
ARK ST break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Kaitlin WhitlockKill+4.5%
Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 1 · TROY 22-23 ARK ST · ARK ST 84% → 88%
02
Olivia KwiatkowskiAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Olivia Kwiatkowski
Set 1 · TROY 22-24 ARK ST · ARK ST 88% → 92%
03
Olivia KwiatkowskiKill+3.2%
Kill by Olivia Kwiatkowski (set by Madison Marx)
Set 1 · TROY 22-21 ARK ST · TROY 16% → 19%
04
Addison CollumKill+3.2%
Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 1 · TROY 23-25 ARK ST · ARK ST 91% → 94%
05
Ashlynn AxtellKill+3.1%
Kill by Ashlynn Axtell (set by Madison Marx)
Set 1 · TROY 19-18 ARK ST · TROY 14% → 17%
06
Calea BushKill+2.9%
Kill by Calea Bush (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 1 · TROY 22-22 ARK ST · ARK ST 81% → 84%
07
Kalina CalvilloKill+2.8%
Kill by Kalina Calvillo (set by Madison Marx)
Set 1 · TROY 21-20 ARK ST · TROY 15% → 18%
08
TroyService error+2.5%
Troy service error
Set 1 · TROY 21-21 ARK ST · ARK ST 82% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Troyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kalina CalvilloOH	4	15	8	43	.163	0	3	4	1	0	1	2	2	20
6Olivia KwiatkowskiOH	4	10	8	36	.056	0	2	1	9	0	0	0	0	12
9Ashlynn AxtellMB	4	9	0	20	.450	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
2Isa RuetherOH	4	7	5	22	.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
20Brooke ForkumOH	4	4	3	19	.053	1	0	0	12	4	0	3	1.5	5.5
33Madison MarxS	4	1	0	1	1.000	25	1	1	12	0	0	0	0	2
14Sophie OcampoOH	4	9	3	15	.400	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
24Josephine HensleyS	4	0	0	0	–	23	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
23Kayla BaetzelDS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	17	0	0	0	0	1
1Kenzly FooteL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
22Brooke DawsonDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		55	27	156	.179	54	8	8	59	4	2	12	8	81

Arkansas St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Addison CollumOH	4	14	2	34	.353	3	0	3	5	0	0	5	2.5	16.5
22Devyn LewisOH	4	12	5	37	.189	0	0	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	13.5
7Kaitlin WhitlockOH	4	12	3	24	.375	4	0	0	18	1	0	2	1	13
6Calea BushOH	4	9	1	16	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	11
13Haley GlunzMB	4	5	3	16	.125	0	2	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
8Erin MadiganS	4	5	1	8	.500	45	0	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
11Mia MaloneyL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	19	3	0	0	0	2
3Libby Gee-WeilerL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	5	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	15	136	.309	54	4	3	59	8	2	18	11	98

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Troy vs Arkansas St.

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Troy at Arkansas St. · Arkansas St. won 3-1This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Troy at Arkansas St. · Arkansas St. won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TROY · ARK ST 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 4 TROYARK ST 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 TROYARK ST 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 TROYARK ST 3

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 TROYARK ST 5

Bars above the line = Arkansas St. leads, below = Troy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Troy

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%11/17	47%8/17
2	63%10/16	8%1/12
3	53%10/19	33%5/15
4	56%10/18	23%3/13
5	56%9/16	23%3/13
6	64%7/11	33%4/12
All	59%57/97	29%24/82

Arkansas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	85%11/13	40%6/15
2	65%11/17	27%4/15
3	91%10/11	41%7/17
4	77%10/13	47%9/19
5	67%8/12	44%7/16
6	50%8/16	47%7/15
All	71%58/82	41%40/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#	TROY-ARK ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+1.0
2	1-1	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+0.9
3	2-1	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+1.1
4	3-1	TROY	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+1.6
5	3-2	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Troy		+1.0
6	4-2	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Madison Marx	+1.2
7	4-3	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.1
8	5-3	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley	+1.2
9	5-4	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.1
10	5-5	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+1.5
11	6-5	ARK ST	TROY	Serve err	Addison Collum		+1.2
12	7-5	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Addison Collum	blk Sophie Ocampo, Brooke Forkum	+1.8
13	7-6	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.2
14	7-7	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.6
15	8-7	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+1.3
16	9-7	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell	+1.9
17	9-8	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+1.2
18	9-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+1.7
19	9-10	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+1.6
20	10-10	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Kayla Baetzel	+1.2
21	10-11	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+1.2
22	10-12	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.5
23	10-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski		+1.3
24	11-13	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.9
25	12-13	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Mia Maloney	+1.5
26	12-14	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+1.1
27	12-15	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Olivia Kwiatkowski	blk Addison Collum, Calea Bush	+1.4
28	13-15	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Madison Marx	+0.9
29	13-16	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
30	14-16	ARK ST	TROY	Attack err	Addison Collum		+0.9
31	14-17	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
32	15-17	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
33	15-18	TROY	ARK ST	Blocked	Kalina Calvillo	blk Haley Glunz, Kaitlin Whitlock	+1.1
34	16-18	ARK ST	TROY×4	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
35	17-18	TROY	TROY×4	Blocked	Haley Glunz	blk Ashlynn Axtell, Brooke Forkum	+1.9
36	18-18	TROY	TROY×4	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+2.5
37	19-18	TROY	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+3.1
38	19-19	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+2.1
39	20-19	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+2.5
40	20-20	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+2.3
41	21-20	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+2.8
42	21-21	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Troy		+2.5
43	22-21	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+3.2
44	22-22	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+2.9
45	22-23	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+4.5
46	22-24	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski		+3.7
47	23-24	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley	+1.5
48	23-25	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+3.2
Set 2
1	1-0	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+1.0
2	1-1	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.7
3	2-1	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.7
4	3-1	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+1.1
5	3-2	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+0.7
6	3-3	ARK ST	ARK ST	Ace	Mia Maloney	aced Brooke Forkum	+1.0
7	4-3	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.8
8	4-4	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Troy		+0.7
9	4-5	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Olivia Kwiatkowski		+0.9
10	5-5	ARK ST	TROY	Serve err	Addison Collum		+0.7
11	5-6	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.7
12	6-6	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Josephine Hensley	+0.8
13	7-6	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy		+1.2
14	7-7	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Troy		+0.8
15	8-7	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.9
16	8-8	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.8
17	8-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Kalina Calvillo	blk Calea Bush, Addison Collum	+1.1
18	8-10	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Addison Collum	+1.0
19	9-10	ARK ST	TROY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Sophie Ocampo, Brooke Forkum	+0.7
20	9-11	TROY	ARK ST	Attack err	Brooke Forkum		+0.7
21	9-12	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Brooke Forkum		+0.9
22	10-12	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.6
23	10-13	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+0.6
24	10-14	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum		+0.7
25	10-15	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Olivia Kwiatkowski	blk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum	+0.5
26	11-15	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Kayla Baetzel	+0.3
27	11-16	TROY	ARK ST×4	Serve err	Troy		+0.4
28	11-17	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Addison Collum	+0.4
29	11-18	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Blocked	Olivia Kwiatkowski	blk Haley Glunz, Kaitlin Whitlock	+0.2
30	11-19	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Addison Collum	+0.1
31	12-19	ARK ST	TROY	Serve err	Addison Collum		·
32	13-19	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Erin Madigan		+0.1
33	13-20	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
34	13-21	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
35	13-22	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo		·
36	14-22	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	·
37	14-23	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	·
38	14-24	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Addison Collum		·
39	15-24	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	·
40	16-24	TROY	TROY	Ace	Troy	aced Kaitlin Whitlock	·
41	16-25	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	·
Set 3
1	1-0	ARK ST	TROY	Blocked	Calea Bush	blk Ashlynn Axtell	+0.3
2	1-1	TROY	ARK ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+0.3
3	2-1	ARK ST	TROY×4	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.3
4	3-1	TROY	TROY×4	Ace	Troy	aced Libby Gee-Weiler	+0.5
5	4-1	TROY	TROY×4	Ace	Troy	aced Libby Gee-Weiler	+0.6
6	5-1	TROY	TROY×4	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+0.6
7	5-2	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
8	5-3	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Ace	Mia Maloney	aced Brooke Forkum	+0.5
9	5-4	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Olivia Kwiatkowski	blk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum	+0.5
10	6-4	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx	+0.4
11	7-4	TROY	TROY	Ace	Josephine Hensley	aced Libby Gee-Weiler	+0.6
12	7-5	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
13	8-5	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
14	8-6	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
15	9-6	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
16	9-7	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
17	10-7	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
18	11-7	TROY	TROY	Ace	Madison Marx	aced Mia Maloney	+0.7
19	11-8	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+0.4
20	11-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.6
21	11-10	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.6
22	12-10	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+0.5
23	12-11	TROY	ARK ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+0.5
24	13-11	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Kayla Baetzel	+0.6
25	13-12	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.5
26	14-12	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.6
27	14-13	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.5
28	14-14	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+0.7
29	15-14	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	+0.6
30	15-15	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+0.5
31	15-16	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Isa Ruether	blk Devyn Lewis	+0.7
32	16-16	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Josephine Hensley	+0.5
33	17-16	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Kalina Calvillo	+0.9
34	17-17	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+0.6
35	17-18	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+0.8
36	18-18	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.6
37	19-18	TROY	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+1.0
38	19-19	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+0.7
39	20-19	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+0.8
40	20-20	TROY	ARK ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+0.8
41	21-20	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+0.9
42	21-21	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.8
43	22-21	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Madison Marx	+1.1
44	22-22	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
45	23-22	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+1.3
46	24-22	TROY	TROY	Ace	Olivia Kwiatkowski	aced Mia Maloney	+1.9
47	24-23	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.8
48	25-23	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	+2.0
Set 4
1	0-1	TROY	ARK ST	Blocked	Brooke Forkum	blk Addison Collum, Calea Bush	+1.1
2	0-2	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush		+1.4
3	1-2	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	+1.1
4	1-3	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
5	2-3	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Madison Marx	+1.1
6	2-4	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
7	2-5	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.3
8	3-5	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Olivia Kwiatkowski	set Brooke Forkum	+0.9
9	4-5	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Isa Ruether, Sophie Ocampo	+1.5
10	4-6	TROY	ARK ST	Blocked	Olivia Kwiatkowski	blk Haley Glunz, Erin Madigan	+1.1
11	4-7	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+1.4
12	5-7	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Isa Ruether	set Josephine Hensley	+1.0
13	6-7	TROY	TROY	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+1.6
14	6-8	TROY	ARK ST×5	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+1.2
15	6-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×5	Blocked	Isa Ruether	blk Devyn Lewis, Calea Bush	+1.4
16	6-10	ARK ST	ARK ST×5	Blocked	Sophie Ocampo	blk Erin Madigan	+1.2
17	6-11	ARK ST	ARK ST×5	Ace	Haley Glunz	aced Brooke Forkum	+0.9
18	6-12	ARK ST	ARK ST×5	Ace	Haley Glunz	aced Brooke Forkum	+0.7
19	7-12	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.4
20	8-12	TROY	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.8
21	8-13	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Kayla Baetzel		+0.7
22	9-13	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Sophie Ocampo	+0.6
23	10-13	TROY	TROY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell	+1.1
24	10-14	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Madison Marx		+0.9
25	11-14	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Brooke Forkum	set Madison Marx	+0.9
26	11-15	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Libby Gee-Weiler	+1.0
27	11-16	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Kalina Calvillo		+1.0
28	12-16	ARK ST	TROY	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+0.6
29	12-17	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan		+0.7
30	12-18	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.7
31	13-18	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Madison Marx	set Kayla Baetzel	+0.3
32	13-19	TROY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
33	13-20	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Sophie Ocampo		+0.3
34	13-21	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Bad set	Josephine Hensley		+0.2
35	14-21	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	+0.1
36	14-22	TROY	ARK ST	Attack err	Isa Ruether		+0.1
37	15-22	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Sophie Ocampo	set Josephine Hensley	·
38	15-23	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
39	16-23	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Kalina Calvillo	set Josephine Hensley	·
40	16-24	TROY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	·
41	17-24	ARK ST	TROY	Kill	Ashlynn Axtell	set Madison Marx	·
42	17-25	TROY	ARK ST	Serve err	Kenzly Foote		·

Score shown after each rally, Troy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Arkansas St. def. Troy 3–1

Arkansas St. led every phase, and nothing ever turned.