Final · 5 setsThu, Nov 5, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Coastal Carolina def. Troy 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Coastal Carolina 57.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coastal Carolina beat visiting Troy 3-2 (17-25, 25-19, 25-12, 23-25, 15-9) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Coastal Carolina's Viara Parapunova led with 21 kills, and Jonna Spohn added 22 digs.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set12345Sets
TROY2519122592
CO CAR17252523153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.372 on 43 swings: Viara Parapunova and Coastal Carolina edged Troy.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Coastal Carolina's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Coastal Carolina at 58%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Troy 0–0 Coastal Carolina

    Coastal Carolina opened the set with 8 straight points for an 8–0 lead.

    Coastal Carolina 56% → 76%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Troy 4–2 Coastal Carolina

    Down 2–4, Coastal Carolina scored 5 straight to lead 7–4. The match swung to Coastal Carolina.

    Coastal Carolina 35% → 80%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Troy 7–8 Coastal Carolina

    Up 8–7, Coastal Carolina scored 3 straight to make it 11–7.

    Coastal Carolina 66% → 92%

Coastal Carolina above 50Troy belowMax swing 10.7%

TroyCoastal Carolina

Sideout %
Troy 52.4·Coastal Carolina 61.1
Break %
Troy 38.9·Coastal Carolina 47.6
Hitting
Troy .174·Coastal Carolina .271
Longest run
Troy 4·Coastal Carolina 8

Viara Parapunova
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 21 K, .372, 22 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Coastal Carolina above 50 · Troy below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.7% TROYrally 195 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Troy — set 4, TROY 25-23 CO CAR. Kill by Sophie Ocampo (set by Madison Marx). CO CAR win probability 63% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TROY 35.3%64.7% CO CAR

Troy wins

3-0
7.2%
3-1
12.7%
3-2
15.4%

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
19.8%
3-1
24.8%
3-2
20.1%
TROY break %
41.0% vs this opp
CO CAR break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sophie OcampoKill+10.7%

    Kill by Sophie Ocampo (set by Madison Marx)

    Set 4 · TROY 25-23 CO CAR · TROY 37% → 48%

  2. 02

    Kill by Viara Parapunova (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · TROY 4-5 CO CAR · CO CAR 52% → 62%

  3. 03

    Sophie Ocampo stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Amarah Johnson

    Set 5 · TROY 7-10 CO CAR · CO CAR 75% → 85%

  4. 04
    Isa RuetherBad set+9.9%

    Bad set by Isa Ruether

    Set 5 · TROY 4-6 CO CAR · CO CAR 62% → 72%

  5. 05

    Kill by Viara Parapunova (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · TROY 4-4 CO CAR · CO CAR 42% → 52%

  6. 06
    Lainey WaserKill+9.5%

    Kill by Lainey Waser (set by Viara Parapunova)

    Set 5 · TROY 6-7 CO CAR · TROY 25% → 34%

  7. 07
    Natalie HughesAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Natalie Hughes

    Set 5 · TROY 2-0 CO CAR · TROY 54% → 63%

  8. 08

    Brooke Forkum stuffed by Isabella Loeswick & Anna Rita

    Set 5 · TROY 4-7 CO CAR · CO CAR 72% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Troyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512227.370310121010.513.5
58420.2000000022311
510425.24000000010.510.5
58737.027014530009
5102.50021211200003
35416.06301110010.56.5
59419.26310030111.510.5
5016-.1672251140002
5000–121300002
5001.00023131000001
5000–100000000
3117.000000000212
11011.000000100001
Team totals5527161.17452101558838790
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521543.3720117200022
515644.20510141031.516.5
58315.33302010296.516.5
55322.091000100638
5306.50000001031.54.5
5103.3333800160031.52.5
5000–8312220003
5000–210310001
4000–110600001
Team totals5317133.2715083601022414105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Troy vs Coastal Carolina

Season series · Coastal Carolina leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TROY · CO CAR 8

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 TROYCO CAR 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 TROYCO CAR 6

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 3 TROYCO CAR 8

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 TROYCO CAR 3

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 2 TROYCO CAR 5

Bars above the line = Coastal Carolina leads, below = Troy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Troy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%12/27
33%5/15
2
43%10/23
42%8/19
3
69%9/13
38%6/16
4
47%8/17
38%5/13
5
67%8/12
43%6/14
6
62%8/13
38%5/13
All
52%55/105
39%35/90

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
54%13/24
2
59%10/17
45%9/20
3
57%8/14
55%11/20
4
57%8/14
43%6/14
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
62%8/13
43%6/14
All
61%55/90
48%50/105

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#TROY-CO CARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CO CARTROYBad setAmarah Johnson+1.8
21-1TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.8
32-1CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.9
42-2TROYCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
53-2CO CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+1.9
63-3TROYCO CARServe errKalina Calvillo+1.9
74-3CO CARTROYServe errAnzley Rinard+1.9
84-4TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
95-4CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+2.0
106-4TROYTROYKillBrooke Forkum+2.8
116-5TROYCO CARServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.9
127-5CO CARTROY×4KillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+2.1
138-5TROYTROY×4Attack errNatalie Hughes+2.8
149-5TROYTROY×4AceKayla Baetzelaced Viara Parapunova+2.6
1510-5TROYTROY×4AceKayla Baetzelaced Amarah Johnson+2.3
1610-6TROYCO CARServe errKayla Baetzel+1.4
1711-6CO CARTROYKillAnzley Rinardset Josephine Hensley+1.7
1811-7TROYCO CARServe errMadison Marx+1.4
1912-7CO CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+1.7
2013-7TROYTROYBad setIsabella Loeswick+2.0
2113-8TROYCO CARBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Anna Rita, Anzley Rinard+1.1
2214-8CO CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+1.4
2314-9TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
2415-9CO CARTROY×3KillMadison Marxset Madison Marx+1.4
2516-9TROYTROY×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+1.4
2617-9TROYTROY×3Attack errAnna Rita+1.0
2717-10TROYCO CARServe errJosephine Hensley+0.4
2818-10CO CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Brooke Forkum+0.6
2919-10TROYTROYAceOlivia Kwiatkowski+0.5
3019-11TROYCO CARBlockedKayla Baetzelblk Isabella Loeswick, Amarah Johnson+0.2
3120-11CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+0.3
3220-12TROYCO CAR×4KillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+0.1
3320-13CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.3
3420-14CO CARCO CAR×4AceViara Parapunovaaced Kayla Baetzel+0.6
3520-15CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Amarah Johnson, Natalie Hughes+0.9
3621-15CO CARTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+1.1
3722-15TROYTROY×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell+0.8
3823-15TROYTROY×3AceMadison Marxaced Jonna Spohn+0.3
3923-16TROYCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
4024-16CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Kayla Baetzel+0.1
4124-17TROYCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Julia Rivera·
4225-17CO CARTROYBad setViara Parapunova·
Set 2
10-1TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
21-1CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.9
31-2TROYCO CAR×6KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
41-3CO CARCO CAR×6AceJonna Spohnaced Kayla Baetzel+2.7
51-4CO CARCO CAR×6BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Anna Rita, Anzley Rinard+2.5
61-5CO CARCO CAR×6BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+2.3
71-6CO CARCO CAR×6KillViara Parapunovaset Anzley Rinard+2.0
81-7CO CARCO CAR×6BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+1.7
92-7CO CARTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+1.0
103-7TROYTROYAceKalina Calvilloaced Anzley Rinard+1.8
113-8TROYCO CARBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+1.5
123-9CO CARCO CARAttack errIsa Ruether+1.7
134-9CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+1.0
145-9TROYTROYAttack errAnna Rita+1.8
155-10TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
166-10CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+1.3
176-11TROYCO CARServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.5
187-11CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+1.3
197-12TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
208-12CO CARTROYKillElla Broadheadset Josephine Hensley+1.3
219-12TROYTROYAttack errViara Parapunova+2.3
229-13TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
2310-13CO CARTROY×3Attack errNatalie Hughes+1.6
2411-13TROYTROY×3AceKenzly Footeaced Viara Parapunova+2.8
2512-13TROYTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+3.3
2612-14TROYCO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.6
2713-14CO CARTROYServe errJonna Spohn+2.5
2814-14TROYTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Brooke Forkum+3.9
2914-15TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+2.9
3015-15CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+3.0
3115-16TROYCO CAR×4Serve errJosephine Hensley+3.1
3215-17CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errIsa Ruether+4.2
3315-18CO CARCO CAR×4Attack errSophie Ocampo+3.7
3415-19CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+3.0
3516-19CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+1.6
3616-20TROYCO CARServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+2.2
3716-21CO CARCO CARAceAnna Ritaaced Kayla Baetzel+2.0
3817-21CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+0.8
3918-21TROYTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Sophie Ocampo+1.9
4018-22TROYCO CARServe errKayla Baetzel+2.1
4118-23CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
4219-23CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Josephine Hensley+0.5
4319-24TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Abby Bucey+0.9
4419-25CO CARCO CARAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+0.3
Set 3
10-1CO CARCO CAR×8Attack errAshlynn Axtell+3.3
20-2CO CARCO CAR×8BlockedSophie Ocampoblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+3.2
30-3CO CARCO CAR×8BlockedAshlynn Axtellblk Anna Rita+3.0
40-4CO CARCO CAR×8Attack errSophie Ocampo+2.8
50-5CO CARCO CAR×8AceJonna Spohnaced Olivia Kwiatkowski+2.5
60-6CO CARCO CAR×8AceJonna Spohnaced Olivia Kwiatkowski+2.1
70-7CO CARCO CAR×8KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
80-8CO CARCO CAR×8KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
91-8CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.8
101-9TROYCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.0
111-10CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errAshlynn Axtell+1.0
121-11CO CARCO CAR×3KillIsabella Loeswickset Madison Marx+0.7
132-11CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Madison Marx+0.4
142-12TROYCO CARBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Isabella Loeswick, Anna Rita+0.5
152-13CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.4
163-13CO CARTROY×3KillSophie Ocamposet Madison Marx+0.2
174-13TROYTROY×3AceJosephine Hensley+0.4
185-13TROYTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.6
195-14TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.6
205-15CO CARCO CARAceAnna Ritaaced Brooke Forkum+0.5
216-15CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Kayla Baetzel+0.2
226-16TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.3
236-17CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+0.3
247-17CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.1
258-17TROYTROYAttack errViara Parapunova+0.2
268-18TROYCO CARServe errKayla Baetzel+0.3
278-19CO CARCO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
289-19CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+0.1
299-20TROYCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
3010-20CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx·
3110-21TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.1
3210-22CO CARCO CARAttack errAshlynn Axtell·
3311-22CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Madison Marx·
3412-22TROYTROYAceKenzly Footeaced Jonna Spohn·
3512-23TROYCO CAR×3Serve errKenzly Foote·
3612-24CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick·
3712-25CO CARCO CAR×3AceAbby Buceyaced Olivia Kwiatkowski·
Set 4
11-0TROYTROYAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.2
21-1TROYCO CARServe errKayla Baetzel+2.2
32-1CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Madison Marx+2.3
43-1TROYTROYBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ashlynn Axtell+3.3
53-2TROYCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
63-3CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errIsa Ruether+3.3
73-4CO CARCO CAR×3AceJulia Riveraaced Kayla Baetzel+3.3
84-4CO CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+2.4
94-5TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
105-5CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Josephine Hensley+2.4
116-5TROYTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Kenzly Foote+3.6
126-6TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+2.5
136-7CO CARCO CARBad setJosephine Hensley+3.6
147-7CO CARTROYAttack errBrooke Forkum+2.6
158-7TROYTROYAceMadison Marxaced Julia Rivera+3.8
168-8TROYCO CARAttack errBrooke Forkum+2.7
178-9CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+3.8
189-9CO CARTROYBlockedViara Parapunovablk Lainey Waser, Brooke Forkum+2.7
1910-9TROYTROYAceBrooke Forkum+4.0
2010-10TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
2111-10CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+3.0
2211-11TROYCO CAR×3Serve errKayla Baetzel+2.9
2311-12CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+4.2
2411-13CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+4.1
2512-13CO CARTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+2.8
2613-13TROYTROY×3KillAshlynn Axtellset Josephine Hensley+4.3
2714-13TROYTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Brooke Dawson+4.6
2814-14TROYCO CARServe errJosephine Hensley+3.3
2914-15CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Julia Rivera+4.7
3015-15CO CARTROY×3KillIsa Ruetherset Brooke Forkum+3.4
3116-15TROYTROY×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+5.1
3217-15TROYTROY×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ashlynn Axtell, Isa Ruether+5.2
3317-16TROYCO CARServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+3.3
3418-16CO CARTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Josephine Hensley+3.9
3519-16TROYTROYAttack errViara Parapunova+5.0
3619-17TROYCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
3720-17CO CARTROY×3KillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+3.8
3821-17TROYTROY×3KillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+4.1
3922-17TROYTROY×3BlockedViara Parapunovablk Sophie Ocampo, Lainey Waser+2.6
4022-18TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
4122-19CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+2.2
4223-19CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+2.8
4323-20TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
4423-21CO CARCO CARAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+3.3
4524-21CO CARTROYServe errViara Parapunova+4.4
4624-22TROYCO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Madison Marx+1.7
4724-23CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+5.5
4825-23CO CARTROYKillSophie Ocamposet Madison Marx+10.7
Set 5
11-0CO CARTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+6.4
22-0TROYTROYAttack errNatalie Hughes+9.0
32-1TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+6.0
43-1CO CARTROYBlockedAnna Ritablk Ashlynn Axtell+6.7
53-2TROYCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+6.2
64-2CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+7.0
74-3TROYCO CAR×5BlockedIsa Ruetherblk Anna Rita+6.4
84-4CO CARCO CAR×5KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+9.8
94-5CO CARCO CAR×5KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+10.2
104-6CO CARCO CAR×5Bad setIsa Ruether+9.9
114-7CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedBrooke Forkumblk Isabella Loeswick, Anna Rita+8.9
125-7CO CARTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+5.4
136-7TROYTROYKillLainey Waserset Viara Parapunova+9.5
146-8TROYCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+7.9
157-8CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley+7.2
167-9TROYCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+8.4
177-10CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedSophie Ocampoblk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson+10.1
187-11CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errLainey Waser+7.5
198-11CO CARTROYAttack errBrooke Forkum+3.5
208-12TROYCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Brooke Dawson+5.3
219-12CO CARTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+3.0
229-13TROYCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+5.1
239-14CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+3.2
249-15CO CARCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Troy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).