FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

Coppin St. def. Merrimack 3–0

Coppin St. beat Merrimack 3-0 (25-20, 28-26, 25-11) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Coppin St.'s Cherisse Atilano led with 15 kills, and Coco Figueroa added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
COPPIN2528253
MERMCK2026110

Win probability

Merrimack above 50 · Coppin St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.5% MERMCKrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Merrimack — set 2, COPPIN 25-26 MERMCK. Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Devon Lowe). MERMCK win probability 2% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COPPIN 97.9%2.1% MERMCK

Coppin St. wins

3-0
66.8%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
5.9%

Merrimack wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%
COPPIN break %
53.5% vs this opp
MERMCK break %
37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Mckenna Shotwell (set by Devon Lowe)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 25-26 MERMCK · MERMCK 2% → 4%

  2. 02
    Ivanna LunaKill+1.3%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Eva Rovello)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 26-26 MERMCK · COPPIN 96% → 98%

  3. 03
    Kayden CupidKill+1.1%

    Kill by Kayden Cupid

    Set 2 · COPPIN 27-26 MERMCK · COPPIN 98% → 99%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mckenna Shotwell

    Set 2 · COPPIN 24-24 MERMCK · MERMCK 1% → 2%

  5. 05

    Kill by Pamela De Jesus Tejedor (set by Eva Rovello)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 25-24 MERMCK · COPPIN 98% → 99%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kaitlyn Oxceus (set by Devon Lowe)

    Set 2 · COPPIN 25-25 MERMCK · MERMCK 1% → 2%

  7. 07
    Coppin St.Ace+0.8%

    Coppin St. ace

    Set 2 · COPPIN 28-26 MERMCK · COPPIN 99% → 100%

  8. 08

    Kill by Jocelyn Hammerstrand (set by Sophia DeBonis)

    Set 1 · COPPIN 19-18 MERMCK · MERMCK 2% → 2%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315633.27310090010.515.5
310326.26900170010.510.5
36011.5453700700217
3409.44400020031.55.5
3000–111800001
2225.00000010010.52.5
3003.0002121000001
3000–000000000
28113.53800000010.58.5
2000–011200001
1306.500000000214
1127-.14300010010.51.5
1000–000000000
Team totals4914113.3104135471012678
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312327.3330128200013
36723-.04300040010.56.5
36329.103000000006
34110.30010020031.55.5
3405.800002001015
3205.4001100700002
3127-.143000000212
3001.0002001000000
3000–1601800000
2000–000300000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3516107.178301542316457

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 COPPIN · MERMCK 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 COPPINMERMCK 4

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 COPPINMERMCK 4

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 6 COPPINMERMCK 2

Bars above the line = Merrimack leads, below = Coppin St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coppin St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
60%9/15
2
88%7/8
53%8/15
3
64%7/11
53%8/15
4
50%6/12
50%6/12
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
63%5/8
62%8/13
All
66%39/59
51%39/76

Merrimack

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
22%2/9
2
50%7/14
0%0/7
3
50%6/12
22%2/9
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
67%6/9
45%5/11
6
28%5/18
45%5/11
All
49%37/76
34%20/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#COPPIN-MERMCKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MERMCKMERMCKAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.3
21-1MERMCKCOPPINServe errMerrimack+0.2
32-1COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.3
42-2COPPINMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
53-2MERMCKCOPPINKillEva Rovello+0.2
64-2COPPINCOPPINAttack errTamilore Afolalu+0.2
74-3COPPINMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
85-3MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.2
95-4COPPINMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe+0.2
106-4MERMCKCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.2
116-5COPPINMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+0.2
127-5MERMCKCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.2
138-5COPPINCOPPINKillMcKenzie Parksset Eva Rovello+0.2
148-6COPPINMERMCKKillAvry Bryantset Ella Maldonado+0.2
159-6MERMCKCOPPIN×3BlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk McKenzie Parks, Deviana Walker+0.2
1610-6COPPINCOPPIN×3KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.2
1711-6COPPINCOPPIN×3KillEva Rovelloset Cherisse Atilano+0.1
1811-7COPPINMERMCKBad setCherisse Atilano+0.1
1912-7MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
2013-7COPPINCOPPINBlockedTamilore Afolalublk Kayden Cupid, Eva Rovello+0.1
2113-8COPPINMERMCKServe errCoppin St.+0.1
2214-8MERMCKCOPPINServe errMerrimack+0.1
2315-8COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.1
2415-9COPPINMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Sophia DeBonis·
2516-9MERMCKCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.1
2616-10COPPINMERMCK×3KillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe·
2716-11MERMCKMERMCK×3KillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.1
2816-12MERMCKMERMCK×3Attack errDeviana Walker+0.1
2917-12MERMCKCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.1
3017-13COPPINMERMCKAttack errDeviana Walker+0.1
3117-14MERMCKMERMCKBad setEva Rovello+0.2
3218-14MERMCKCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.2
3319-14COPPINCOPPINBad setDevon Lowe+0.2
3419-15COPPINMERMCK×4Serve errCoppin St.+0.1
3519-16MERMCKMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
3619-17MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errMcKenzie Parks+0.4
3719-18MERMCKMERMCK×4KillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.6
3820-18MERMCKCOPPIN×5KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.5
3921-18COPPINCOPPIN×5KillMcKenzie Parks+0.5
4022-18COPPINCOPPIN×5KillEva Rovelloset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
4123-18COPPINCOPPIN×5KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
4224-18COPPINCOPPIN×5KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.1
4324-19COPPINMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwell·
4424-20MERMCKMERMCKAceMckenna Shotwell·
4525-20MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
Set 2
11-0COPPINCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.2
21-1COPPINMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
32-1MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
42-2COPPINMERMCKBlockedIvanna Lunablk Mia Izzo, Tamilore Afolalu+0.2
52-3MERMCKMERMCKBlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Mia Izzo, Avry Bryant+0.2
63-3MERMCKCOPPINAttack errCoco Figueroa+0.2
73-4COPPINMERMCKAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.2
84-4MERMCKCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.2
94-5COPPINMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+0.2
105-5MERMCKCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.2
115-6COPPINMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.2
125-7MERMCKMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.3
136-7MERMCKCOPPIN×4Bad setMckenna Shotwell+0.2
147-7COPPINCOPPIN×4Attack errMckenna Shotwell+0.2
158-7COPPINCOPPIN×4KillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.2
169-7COPPINCOPPIN×4KillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.2
179-8COPPINMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+0.2
1810-8MERMCKCOPPINBlockedJocelyn Hammerstrandblk Kayden Cupid, Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.2
1910-9COPPINMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Sophia DeBonis+0.2
2011-9MERMCKCOPPINServe errMerrimack+0.2
2112-9COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.2
2212-10COPPINMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Ella Maldonado+0.1
2313-10MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
2414-10COPPINCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.1
2514-11COPPINMERMCK×4Attack errCherisse Atilano+0.1
2614-12MERMCKMERMCK×4BlockedCherisse Atilanoblk Mia Izzo, Avry Bryant+0.2
2714-13MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.3
2814-14MERMCKMERMCK×4Attack errIvanna Luna+0.3
2915-14MERMCKCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.3
3015-15COPPINMERMCKAttack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.3
3116-15MERMCKCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.3
3216-16COPPINMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Devon Lowe+0.3
3317-16MERMCKCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.3
3417-17COPPINMERMCKKillSophia DeBonis+0.4
3518-17MERMCKCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.3
3618-18COPPINMERMCKServe errCoppin St.+0.4
3719-18MERMCKCOPPINBad setMckenna Shotwell+0.4
3819-19COPPINMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis+0.4
3920-19MERMCKCOPPINKillRori Grayset Avry Bryant+0.4
4021-19COPPINCOPPINAttack errTamilore Afolalu+0.4
4121-20COPPINMERMCKKillMia Izzoset Devon Lowe+0.4
4222-20MERMCKCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa+0.4
4323-20COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedMckenna Shotwellblk Ivanna Luna, Rori Gray+0.3
4424-20COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.2
4524-21COPPINMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe·
4624-22MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.2
4724-23MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.4
4824-24MERMCKMERMCK×4KillMckenna Shotwell+1.1
4925-24MERMCKCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.9
5025-25COPPINMERMCKKillKaitlyn Oxceusset Devon Lowe+0.9
5125-26MERMCKMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+1.5
5226-26MERMCKCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.3
5327-26COPPINCOPPIN×3KillKayden Cupid+1.1
5428-26COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.+0.8
Set 3
11-0MERMCKCOPPINServe errMerrimack+0.1
21-1COPPINMERMCKAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.1
32-1MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.1
43-1COPPINCOPPINAttack errTamilore Afolalu+0.1
53-2COPPINMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Sophia DeBonis+0.1
64-2MERMCKCOPPINServe errMerrimack+0.1
74-3COPPINMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Mia Izzo+0.1
84-4MERMCKMERMCKAttack errIvanna Luna+0.1
95-4MERMCKCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Karina Diaz+0.1
105-5COPPINMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.1
115-6MERMCKMERMCKBlockedMcKenzie Parksblk Kaitlyn Oxceus+0.1
126-6MERMCKCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.1
137-6COPPINCOPPINAttack errMckenna Shotwell+0.1
147-7COPPINMERMCKKillMckenna Shotwellset Devon Lowe+0.1
158-7MERMCKCOPPIN×3KillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Coco Figueroa+0.1
169-7COPPINCOPPIN×3KillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.1
1710-7COPPINCOPPIN×3Bad setSienna Franks+0.1
1810-8COPPINMERMCKServe errCoppin St.+0.1
1911-8MERMCKCOPPIN×6KillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.1
2012-8COPPINCOPPIN×6Attack errJocelyn Hammerstrand+0.1
2113-8COPPINCOPPIN×6AceCoppin St.aced Mckenna Shotwell·
2214-8COPPINCOPPIN×6BlockedTamilore Afolalublk Eva Rovello, Kayden Cupid·
2315-8COPPINCOPPIN×6Bad setKaitlyn Oxceus·
2416-8COPPINCOPPIN×6KillCherisse Atilanoset Karina Diaz·
2516-9COPPINMERMCKKillJocelyn Hammerstrandset Sophia DeBonis·
2617-9MERMCKCOPPIN×4KillEva Rovello·
2718-9COPPINCOPPIN×4AceCoppin St.aced Mckenna Shotwell·
2819-9COPPINCOPPIN×4Attack errTamilore Afolalu·
2920-9COPPINCOPPIN×4KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello·
3020-10COPPINMERMCKServe errCoppin St.·
3120-11MERMCKMERMCKKillTamilore Afolaluset Devon Lowe·
3221-11MERMCKCOPPIN×5KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello·
3322-11COPPINCOPPIN×5Attack errMia Izzo·
3423-11COPPINCOPPIN×5Attack errAvry Bryant·
3524-11COPPINCOPPIN×5KillEva Rovelloset Devon Lowe·
3625-11COPPINCOPPIN×5Attack errTamilore Afolalu·

Score shown after each rally, Coppin St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).