Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. FIU 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Middle Tenn. 61.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Middle Tenn. beat visiting FIU 3-1 (25-17, 25-21, 21-25, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 17 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
FIU172125201
MIDTEN252521253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Serve, receive, attack, block: Middle Tenn. won all four.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Middle Tenn.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Middle Tenn. 62% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · FIU 16–16 Middle Tenn.

    From 16–16, Middle Tenn. scored 6 straight to lead 22–16.

    Middle Tenn. 61% → 77%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · FIU 13–9 Middle Tenn.

    Down 9–13, Middle Tenn. scored 6 straight to lead 15–13.

    Middle Tenn. 66% → 87%

Middle Tenn. above 50FIU belowMax swing 4.0%

FIUMiddle Tenn.

Sideout %
FIU 51.6·Middle Tenn. 59.5
Break %
FIU 40.5·Middle Tenn. 48.4
Hitting
FIU .139·Middle Tenn. .237
Longest run
FIU 5·Middle Tenn. 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Middle Tenn. above 50 · FIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.0% MIDTENrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.0% to Middle Tenn. — set 4, FIU 13-14 MIDTEN. Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Danit Cohen). MIDTEN win probability 79% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FIU 41.3%58.7% MIDTEN

FIU wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
17.0%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
16.5%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%
FIU break %
44.3% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 4 · FIU 13-14 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 79% → 83%

  2. 02
    Middle Tenn.Ace+3.9%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Lana Sesar

    Set 4 · FIU 13-13 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 75% → 79%

  3. 03
    Jaslyn ReedKill+3.9%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 4 · FIU 13-15 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 83% → 87%

  4. 04
    Jaslyn ReedKill+3.7%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 2 · FIU 20-22 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 82% → 85%

  5. 05

    Rayne Williams stuffed by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 4 · FIU 14-17 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 88% → 91%

  6. 06
    Middle Tenn.Ace+3.7%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Lana Sesar

    Set 4 · FIU 13-12 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 72% → 75%

  7. 07

    Chiara Fabbrini stuffed by Michaela Dlouhá & Sophia Henry

    Set 1 · FIU 16-18 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 65% → 68%

  8. 08
    Sophia HenryKill+3.6%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 1 · FIU 15-16 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 61% → 64%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49638.07900050111.510.5
410421.2860000000010
48419.21100000010.58.5
45316.125113100428
46428.07101186010.57.5
4102.5002042500005
4000–4111600001
4000–1802500000
34210.20000020031.55.5
2001.000000210000
1012-.500000000000
Team totals4324137.1394379447110683
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417947.1701328404222
410417.3530011046717
48518.1670000004210
45011.45510000031.56.5
4207.286380080010.52.5
4011-1.000003810000
413428.3210002000013
4000–2301500003
4000–101910000
1012-.5001011000001
1000–000010000
Team totals5524131.23753785174181396

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FIU vs Middle Tenn.

Season series · Middle Tenn. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FIU · MIDTEN 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 FIUMIDTEN 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 FIUMIDTEN 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 FIUMIDTEN 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 FIUMIDTEN 6

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = FIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%10/24
44%7/16
2
63%10/16
44%8/18
3
42%8/19
31%4/13
4
50%7/14
43%6/14
5
64%7/11
22%2/9
6
64%7/11
50%7/14
All
52%49/95
40%34/84

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
44%7/16
2
90%9/10
52%11/21
3
56%9/16
47%8/17
4
64%7/11
61%11/18
5
58%7/12
36%4/11
6
50%7/14
42%5/12
All
60%50/84
48%46/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#FIU-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+2.2
20-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Logan Carr+2.1
30-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.0
41-3MIDTENFIU×5KillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
52-3FIUFIU×5Attack errSophia Henry+2.2
63-3FIUFIU×5Bad setCaroline Macander+2.3
74-3FIUFIU×5BlockedJaslyn Reedblk Lana Sesar, Teodora Skocajic+2.4
85-3FIUFIU×5Attack errSophia Henry+2.5
95-4FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+2.0
106-4MIDTENFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+2.2
116-5FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.0
127-5MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.2
137-6FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+2.1
148-6MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+2.3
158-7FIUMIDTEN×3KillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks+2.1
168-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.7
178-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Logan Carr, Caroline Macander+2.7
189-9MIDTENFIU×3Serve errMiddle Tenn.+2.3
1910-9FIUFIU×3Attack errSophia Henry+2.9
2011-9FIUFIU×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+3.0
2111-10FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.3
2211-11MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.9
2312-11MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+2.6
2412-12FIUMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.5
2512-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carr+3.1
2612-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errLana Sesar+3.0
2713-14MIDTENFIU×3Serve errMiddle Tenn.+2.4
2814-14FIUFIU×3Attack errSophia Henry+3.3
2915-14FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Sophia Henry+3.5
3015-15FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+2.9
3115-16MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.6
3216-16MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+3.0
3316-17FIUMIDTEN×6Serve errFIU+3.1
3416-18MIDTENMIDTEN×6BlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry+3.7
3516-19MIDTENMIDTEN×6Attack errJillian Huckabey+3.3
3616-20MIDTENMIDTEN×6Attack errChiara Fabbrini+2.6
3716-21MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.8
3816-22MIDTENMIDTEN×6BlockedTeodora Skocajicblk Michaela Dlouhá+1.1
3917-22MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+0.4
4017-23FIUMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.8
4117-24MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+0.3
4217-25MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedRayne Williamsblk Michaela Dlouhá+0.1
Set 2
10-1FIUMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.6
20-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedGina Fedrigoblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+1.9
30-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.8
41-3MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.5
51-4FIUMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Sophia Henry+1.5
62-4MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.5
73-4FIUFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+2.0
83-5FIUMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.7
93-6MIDTENMIDTEN×4BlockedTeodora Skocajicblk Michaela Dlouhá+1.9
103-7MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Kindyl Kilar+1.8
113-8MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouhá+1.5
124-8MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.2
135-8FIUFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.6
145-9FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+1.5
156-9MIDTENFIUAttack errSophia Henry+1.4
167-9FIUFIUAceFIUaced Addison Burks+1.9
177-10FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.8
188-10MIDTENFIUAttack errJaslyn Reed+1.7
199-10FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.3
209-11FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+2.0
2110-11MIDTENFIUAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.0
2210-12FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.1
2311-12MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Mariana Silva+2.0
2411-13FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.1
2511-14MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+2.4
2612-14MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.8
2712-15FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+2.0
2812-16MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+2.1
2913-16MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.5
3014-16FIUFIUAceFIUaced Sophia Henry+2.3
3114-17FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.2
3215-17MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+2.0
3315-18FIUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.3
3416-18MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+2.0
3517-18FIUFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Teodora Skocajic+3.0
3617-19FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+2.9
3717-20MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.0
3818-20MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.1
3918-21FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+2.7
4019-21MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.1
4120-21FIUFIUAttack errSophia Henry+3.5
4220-22FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+3.7
4320-23MIDTENMIDTENAttack errLana Sesar+3.6
4421-23MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.8
4521-24FIUMIDTENAttack errLana Sesar+3.1
4621-25MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.5
Set 3
11-0MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.0
21-1FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.0
32-1MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
42-2FIUMIDTENBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+1.0
53-2MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.1
63-3FIUMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.0
73-4MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedMarla Valentinblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+1.2
83-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.2
94-5MIDTENFIUAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+1.0
104-6FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.0
115-6MIDTENFIUKillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+1.0
125-7FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.1
135-8MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.2
146-8MIDTENFIU×3KillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+0.9
157-8FIUFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+1.3
168-8FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Sophia Henry+1.4
178-9FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.2
188-10MIDTENMIDTENAttack errRayne Williams+1.4
199-10MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+1.1
2010-10FIUFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+1.5
2110-11FIUMIDTEN×3Attack errJillian Huckabey+1.3
2210-12MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.5
2310-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.4
2411-13MIDTENFIUAttack errJaslyn Reed+1.1
2511-14FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.2
2612-14MIDTENFIU×4KillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+1.1
2713-14FIUFIU×4BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Jillian Huckabey+1.5
2814-14FIUFIU×4BlockedSophia Henryblk Marla Valentin, Teodora Skocajic+1.7
2915-14FIUFIU×4Attack errMichaela Dlouhá+1.9
3015-15FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.5
3115-16MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMarla Valentin+1.9
3216-16MIDTENFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.6
3317-16FIUFIUAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.1
3417-17FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.7
3518-17MIDTENFIU×3KillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.9
3619-17FIUFIU×3BlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Rayne Williams, Marla Valentin+2.3
3720-17FIUFIU×3KillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+2.1
3820-18FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.4
3920-19MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.1
4021-19MIDTENFIU×3KillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+2.2
4122-19FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Ellie Watts+2.4
4223-19FIUFIU×3Attack errJaslyn Reed+1.7
4323-20FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.7
4424-20MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+1.3
4524-21FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.4
4625-21MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Ivona Lazovic+1.0
Set 4
11-0FIUFIU×3Attack errKendall Mignerey+2.8
22-0FIUFIU×3Attack errSophia Henry+2.9
33-0FIUFIU×3KillIvona Lazovicset Marta Lazzarin+2.9
43-1FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+2.2
53-2MIDTENMIDTENBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+2.8
64-2MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Ivona Lazovic+2.5
74-3FIUMIDTENBlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Jaslyn Reed, Michaela Dlouhá+2.4
85-3MIDTENFIU×4KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.6
96-3FIUFIU×4KillChiara Fabbriniset Marta Lazzarin+3.1
107-3FIUFIU×4BlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Teodora Skocajic, Jillian Huckabey+3.0
118-3FIUFIU×4AceFIUaced Kendall Mignerey+2.8
128-4FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+2.0
139-4MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.3
1410-4FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.5
1510-5FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+1.7
1611-5MIDTENFIUAttack errSophia Henry+2.1
1711-6FIUMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+1.7
1811-7MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errTeodora Skocajic+2.4
1911-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+2.8
2012-8MIDTENFIUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Teodora Skocajic, Marla Valentin+2.8
2112-9FIUMIDTENBlockedRayne Williamsblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+2.4
2213-9MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.8
2313-10FIUMIDTEN×6BlockedLana Sesarblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+2.4
2413-11MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+3.3
2513-12MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+3.7
2613-13MIDTENMIDTEN×6AceMiddle Tenn.aced Lana Sesar+3.9
2713-14MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+4.0
2813-15MIDTENMIDTEN×6KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+3.9
2914-15MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+3.1
3014-16FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+3.4
3114-17MIDTENMIDTENBlockedRayne Williamsblk Michaela Dlouhá+3.7
3215-17MIDTENFIUAttack errDanit Cohen+2.7
3315-18FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+3.2
3415-19MIDTENMIDTENAttack errJillian Huckabey+3.2
3516-19MIDTENFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Ivona Lazovic+2.0
3616-20FIUMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen+2.7
3716-21MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.3
3816-22MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen+1.3
3917-22MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.6
4017-23FIUMIDTENBad setMarta Lazzarin+0.9
4118-23MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.4
4219-23FIUFIUAceFIUaced Sophia Henry+0.9
4319-24FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+1.3
4420-24MIDTENFIUKillMarla Valentinset Mariana Silva+0.4
4520-25FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+0.8

Score shown after each rally, FIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).