FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. FIU 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Middle Tenn. 63.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Middle Tenn. beat visiting FIU 3-0 (25-18, 30-28, 25-10) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Sophia Henry led Middle Tenn. with 14 kills; FIU's Jillian Huckabey had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set123Sets
FIU1828100
MIDTEN2530253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 13–18 in the second, Middle Tenn. took the set and then the match.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are Middle Tenn.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Middle Tenn. went in as RallyIQ's 64% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · FIU 28–27 Middle Tenn.

    3 straight Middle Tenn. points turned a 27–28 deficit into a 30–28 lead.

    Middle Tenn. 70% → 92%

Middle Tenn. above 50FIU belowMax swing 8.5%

FIUMiddle Tenn.

Sideout %
FIU 46.8·Middle Tenn. 66.7
Break %
FIU 33.3·Middle Tenn. 53.2
Hitting
FIU .198·Middle Tenn. .390
Longest run
FIU 5·Middle Tenn. 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Middle Tenn. above 50 · FIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.5% MIDTENrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.5% to Middle Tenn. — set 2, FIU 24-24 MIDTEN. Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Caroline Macander). MIDTEN win probability 68% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FIU 41.3%58.7% MIDTEN

FIU wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
17.0%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
16.5%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%
FIU break %
44.3% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jaslyn ReedKill+8.5%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 2 · FIU 24-24 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 68% → 77%

  2. 02
    Caroline MacanderAttack error+8.4%

    Attack error by Caroline Macander

    Set 2 · FIU 28-27 MIDTEN · FIU 22% → 30%

  3. 03
    Rayne WilliamsAttack error+8.0%

    Attack error by Rayne Williams

    Set 2 · FIU 26-27 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 77% → 85%

  4. 04
    Middle Tenn.Ace+8.0%

    Middle Tenn. ace on Kindyl Kilar

    Set 2 · FIU 28-29 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 77% → 85%

  5. 05

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 2 · FIU 28-30 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 85% → 92%

  6. 06
    Kamryn ItzenKill+7.0%

    Kill by Kamryn Itzen (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 2 · FIU 25-24 MIDTEN · FIU 23% → 30%

  7. 07
    FIUService error+7.0%

    FIU service error

    Set 2 · FIU 25-25 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 70% → 77%

  8. 08

    Kill by Jillian Huckabey (set by Mariana Silva)

    Set 2 · FIU 26-25 MIDTEN · FIU 23% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

FIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317239.38501063010.518.5
34114.21400020031.55.5
33315.00000010031.54.5
3315.400000200214
32210.000001400002
3001.0002010700001
38621.09500010010.58.5
3116.000001540001
3000–1311200001
3000–4101310001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals3816111.1983743438010556
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314439.2561116202116
37017.41202020052.511.5
310314.5000000000010
3809.8890001004210
3016-.167330130132.52.5
3000–011810001
311119.52600030031.512.5
3000–5301400003
3000–110810001
3001.000800100000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals509105.39048834641179.580

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

FIU vs Middle Tenn.

Season series · Middle Tenn. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FIU · MIDTEN 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 FIUMIDTEN 5

Set 2

28-30

Longest run 5 FIUMIDTEN 4

Set 3

10-25

Longest run 1 FIUMIDTEN 5

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = FIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

FIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%2/7
0%0/2
2
67%2/3
50%2/4
3
67%2/3
33%1/3
4
33%2/6
33%1/3
5
50%2/4
33%1/3
6
100%2/2
33%1/3
All
48%12/25
33%6/18

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%2/4
71%5/7
2
67%2/3
33%1/3
3
67%2/3
33%1/3
4
67%2/3
67%4/6
5
67%2/3
50%2/4
6
100%2/2
0%0/2
All
67%12/18
52%13/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#FIU-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.2
20-2MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Jillian Huckabey+2.1
31-2MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.7
41-3FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.8
52-3MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williams+1.8
62-4FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.8
73-4MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.8
83-5FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.8
94-5MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.8
105-5FIUFIUAttack errSophia Henry+2.4
115-6FIUMIDTENBlockedLana Sesarblk Caroline Macander, Logan Carr+2.0
125-7MIDTENMIDTENKillLogan Carr+2.4
136-7MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+1.9
147-7FIUFIUAttack errJaslyn Reed+2.5
157-8FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen+2.1
168-8MIDTENFIUServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.2
178-9FIUMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+2.2
188-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jillian Huckabey+2.6
198-11MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reed+2.4
208-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.1
219-12MIDTENFIU×3KillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.6
2210-12FIUFIU×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Rayne Williams, Kamryn Itzen+2.3
2311-12FIUFIU×3KillKamryn Itzenset Mariana Silva+2.7
2411-13FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.3
2511-14MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+2.6
2612-14MIDTENFIUBlockedSophia Henryblk Rayne Williams, Kamryn Itzen+2.0
2713-14FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+2.8
2813-15FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.5
2913-16MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.8
3014-16MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.1
3115-16FIUFIUAceFIUaced Sophia Henry+3.1
3215-17FIUMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.8
3315-18MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks+3.0
3415-19MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedTeodora Skocajicblk Caroline Macander+2.5
3515-20MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Marta Lazzarin+1.8
3615-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errChiara Fabbrini+1.2
3716-21MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+0.5
3816-22FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.9
3916-23MIDTENMIDTENBlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Logan Carr, Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.5
4017-23MIDTENFIUBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Chiara Fabbrini, Teodora Skocajic+0.1
4117-24FIUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+0.3
4218-24MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+0.1
4318-25FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+0.1
Set 2
11-0FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.0
21-1FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+1.6
31-2MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.9
42-2MIDTENFIUKillLana Sesarset Mariana Silva+1.6
53-2FIUFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.1
63-3FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
73-4MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.0
84-4MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+1.7
94-5FIUMIDTEN×3BlockedKamryn Itzenblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+1.7
104-6MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Sophia Henry+2.0
114-7MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+1.9
125-7MIDTENFIUBad setCaroline Macander+1.5
135-8FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.6
146-8MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+1.5
156-9FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.6
167-9MIDTENFIU×4Serve errMiddle Tenn.+1.6
178-9FIUFIU×4Attack errJaslyn Reed+2.1
189-9FIUFIU×4AceFIUaced Sophia Henry+2.4
1910-9FIUFIU×4KillJillian Huckabeyset Ivona Lazovic+2.5
2010-10FIUMIDTENBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Middle Tenn, Logan Carr+2.0
2110-11MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Jillian Huckabey+2.5
2211-11MIDTENFIU×3KillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+2.1
2312-11FIUFIU×3AceFIUaced Kendall Mignerey+2.7
2413-11FIUFIU×3KillTeodora Skocajic+2.8
2513-12FIUMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+2.1
2613-13MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Kindyl Kilar+2.8
2714-13MIDTENFIU×5KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.5
2815-13FIUFIU×5BlockedJaslyn Reedblk Teodora Skocajic, Jillian Huckabey+3.0
2916-13FIUFIU×5KillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+2.9
3017-13FIUFIU×5KillKamryn Itzenset Mariana Silva+2.6
3118-13FIUFIU×5KillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+2.2
3218-14FIUMIDTENBlockedKamryn Itzenblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+1.3
3319-14MIDTENFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+1.8
3419-15FIUMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.3
3519-16MIDTEN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
3619-17MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.7
3719-18MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Kindyl Kilar+3.3
3820-18MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+3.4
3920-19FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.9
4021-19MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+3.7
4122-19FIUFIUAceFIUaced Addison Burks+3.9
4222-20FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.2
4322-21MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+3.9
4423-21MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+4.6
4523-22FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+3.4
4624-22MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+5.5
4724-23FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.3
4824-24MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+8.5
4925-24MIDTENFIUKillKamryn Itzenset Mariana Silva+7.0
5025-25FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+7.0
5126-25MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+7.0
5226-26FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+7.0
5326-27MIDTENMIDTENAttack errRayne Williams+8.0
5427-27MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Marta Lazzarin+6.6
5528-27FIUFIUAttack errCaroline Macander+8.4
5628-28FIUMIDTEN×3BlockedChiara Fabbriniblk Michaela Dlouhá, Gabrielle Clinkscale+7.0
5728-29MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Kindyl Kilar+8.0
5828-30MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouhá+7.5
Set 3
11-0MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+1.0
21-1FIUMIDTEN×3Serve errFIU+0.9
31-2MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Kindyl Kilar+1.1
41-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.1
52-3MIDTENFIUBlockedSophia Henryblk Kamryn Itzen, Rayne Williams+0.9
62-4FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.9
73-4MIDTENFIUKillTeodora Skocajicset Mariana Silva+0.9
83-5FIUMIDTENServe errFIU+0.9
94-5MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabey+0.9
104-6FIUMIDTEN×3BlockedKindyl Kilarblk Caroline Macander, Logan Carr+1.0
114-7MIDTEN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
124-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errChiara Fabbrini+1.0
135-8MIDTENFIUKillChiara Fabbriniset Ivona Lazovic+0.8
145-9FIUMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.8
155-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errChiara Fabbrini+0.9
165-11MIDTEN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
175-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+0.6
186-12MIDTENFIUKillKindyl Kilarset Ivona Lazovic+0.4
196-13FIUMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.5
206-14MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.4
217-14MIDTENFIUKillRayne Williamsset Mariana Silva+0.3
227-15FIUMIDTENKillSophia Henry+0.3
237-16MIDTENMIDTENBlockedJillian Huckabeyblk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander+0.3
248-16MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.1
258-17FIUMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.2
268-18MIDTENMIDTENBlockedKamryn Itzenblk Michaela Dlouhá, Gabrielle Clinkscale+0.2
279-18MIDTENFIUKillJillian Huckabeyset Mariana Silva+0.1
289-19FIUMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1
299-20MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errJillian Huckabey+0.1
309-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carr·
319-22MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errChiara Fabbrini·
329-23MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carr·
3310-23MIDTENFIUBad setMarianne Garcia·
3410-24FIUMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander·
3510-25MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander·

Score shown after each rally, FIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).