Buffalo vs Miami (OH) Volleyball: Miami (OH) Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Miami (OH) 75.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Miami (OH) beat visiting Buffalo 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Molly Creech led Miami (OH) with 12 kills; Buffalo's Manoela Forlin had a match-high 13.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 1

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUFF	19	17	20	0
MIA OH	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Miami (OH) swept Buffalo.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.2 points, and Buffalo's high was 23% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Miami (OH) 75% before first serve.

BuffaloMiami (OH)

Break %+18.3 pts
26.344.6
On serve: 33/74 against 15/57 (Buffalo sideout 55.4%).
Hitting+.117
.151.268
39 kills, 13 errors vs 38 kills, 22 errors.
Longest run+3
36
6 straight Miami (OH) points in the second set stretched a 16–15 lead to 22–15. That set ended 25–17.

Miami (OH) above 50Buffalo belowMax swing 2.2%

BuffaloMiami (OH)

Aces: Buffalo 3·Miami (OH) 5
Serve err: Buffalo 8·Miami (OH) 2
Blocks: Buffalo 6·Miami (OH) 80 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs: Buffalo 39·Miami (OH) 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Miami (OH) above 50 · Buffalo below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Buffalo — set 2, BUFF 10-9 MIA OH. Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Maddie Mitchell). MIA OH win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUFF 14.5%85.5% MIA OH

Buffalo wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.6%

3-2

7.7%

Miami (OH) wins

3-0

37.8%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

16.4%

BUFF break %: 36.9% vs this opp
MIA OH break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Angelina SiepierskiKill+2.2%
Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 2 · BUFF 10-9 MIA OH · BUFF 14% → 16%
02
Sydney BellKill+2.1%
Kill by Sydney Bell (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 2 · BUFF 15-16 MIA OH · BUFF 10% → 12%
03
Molly CreechKill+2.0%
Kill by Molly Creech (set by Madison Brown)
Set 2 · BUFF 10-11 MIA OH · MIA OH 85% → 87%
04
Lydia MichelinKill+2.0%
Kill by Lydia Michelin (set by Madison Brown)
Set 2 · BUFF 15-18 MIA OH · MIA OH 90% → 92%
05
Chelsea WilliamsAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Chelsea Williams
Set 1 · BUFF 13-15 MIA OH · BUFF 18% → 20%
06
Holland Van DeusenAce+1.9%
Ace by Holland Van Deusen on Manoela Forlin
Set 1 · BUFF 15-19 MIA OH · MIA OH 82% → 84%
07
Nienke TrosselAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Nienke Trossel
Set 1 · BUFF 0-1 MIA OH · MIA OH 75% → 77%
08
Sydney BellAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Sydney Bell
Set 2 · BUFF 10-12 MIA OH · MIA OH 87% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Buffaloaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manoela ForlinOH	3	13	4	30	.300	0	0	0	6	2	1	0.5	13.5
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	3	10	8	30	.067	1	2	5	3	0	0	0	12
3Sydney BellOPP	3	7	4	15	.200	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	8.5
6Nienke TrosselMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
2Maddie MitchellS	3	1	0	6	.167	35	0	0	8	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Abisola AdebayoMB	2	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
10Anaya ColeL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	2
15Eve AdamsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
16Chloe BrownDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
4Hailey CampagnaOH	1	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
9Ava KanjMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
8Tehya ShawMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	22	106	.151	37	3	8	39	5	12	6	56

Miami (OH)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Molly CreechOH	3	12	5	36	.194	0	1	0	8	1	1	1	1.5	14.5
7Chelsea WilliamsOH	3	10	2	20	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
15Lydia MichelinMB	3	6	2	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
17Lauren CoyneOPP	3	5	2	18	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
1Raegan LantzOH	3	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
10Madison BrownS	3	0	0	0	–	21	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
12Sydney WallerOPP	3	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
18Holland Van DeusenS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
9Rachel MorganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
5Ria FurutaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
14Kamryn UtleyS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	13	97	.268	36	5	2	41	3	1	14	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Buffalo vs Miami (OH)

Season series · Miami (OH) leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 1, 2026Buffalo at Miami (OH) · Miami (OH) won 3-0This match
Fri, Oct 2, 2026Buffalo at Miami (OH) · Miami (OH) won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 BUFF · MIA OH 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 BUFFMIA OH 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 BUFFMIA OH 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 BUFFMIA OH 5

Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	17%1/6
2	44%4/9	44%4/9
3	80%4/5	0%0/4
4	44%4/9	33%2/6
5	57%4/7	33%2/6
6	40%4/10	33%2/6
All	51%25/49	30%11/37

Miami (OH)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	69%9/13
2	83%5/6	0%0/5
3	80%4/5	60%6/10
4	67%4/6	56%5/9
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	67%4/6	33%2/6
All	70%26/37	49%24/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	BUFF-MIA OH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Attack err	Nienke Trossel		+1.9
2	0-2	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Chelsea Williams, Lydia Michelin	+1.8
3	0-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+1.6
4	0-4	MIA OH	MIA OH×4	Kill	Chelsea Williams		+1.4
5	1-4	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
6	2-4	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.6
7	2-5	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+1.2
8	3-5	MIA OH	BUFF	Attack err	Molly Creech		+1.2
9	3-6	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.2
10	3-7	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech		+1.5
11	4-7	MIA OH	BUFF	Blocked	Raegan Lantz	blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo	+1.0
12	5-7	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Lauren Coyne	blk Hailey Campagna, Abisola Adebayo	+1.7
13	5-8	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+1.3
14	5-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Sydney Waller	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.6
15	6-9	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
16	7-9	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo	aced Ria Furuta	+1.8
17	7-10	BUFF	MIA OH×3	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+1.3
18	7-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+1.6
19	7-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+1.3
20	8-12	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
21	8-13	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.9
22	8-14	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Sydney Waller	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.0
23	9-14	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.5
24	10-14	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo	aced Molly Creech	+1.1
25	10-15	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.9
26	11-15	MIA OH	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
27	12-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Lauren Coyne	blk Manoela Forlin, Abisola Adebayo	+1.5
28	13-15	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Chelsea Williams		+2.0
29	13-16	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+1.6
30	14-16	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
31	14-17	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+1.7
32	15-17	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Anaya Cole	set Angelina Siepierski	+1.5
33	15-18	BUFF	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+1.8
34	15-19	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	Holland Van Deusen	aced Manoela Forlin	+1.9
35	15-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+1.3
36	15-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Sydney Waller	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.7
37	15-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Kill	Molly Creech	set Rachel Morgan	+0.3
38	16-22	MIA OH	BUFF	Serve err	Holland Van Deusen		+0.1
39	16-23	BUFF	MIA OH	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.2
40	17-23	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
41	18-23	BUFF	BUFF	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.2
42	18-24	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.2
43	19-24	MIA OH	BUFF	Blocked	Lydia Michelin	blk Nienke Trossel, Sydney Bell	·
44	19-25	BUFF	MIA OH	Bad set	Maddie Mitchell		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	BUFF	MIA OH	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+1.1
2	1-1	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
3	1-2	BUFF	MIA OH×3	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+1.1
4	1-3	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Raegan Lantz	set Madison Brown	+1.5
5	1-4	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Ava Kanj		+1.3
6	2-4	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
7	2-5	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+0.9
8	3-5	MIA OH	BUFF	Attack err	Molly Creech		+0.9
9	4-5	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
10	4-6	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.1
11	5-6	MIA OH	BUFF	Attack err	Raegan Lantz		+1.1
12	6-6	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel		+1.8
13	6-7	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.2
14	7-7	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
15	7-8	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.3
16	8-8	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
17	8-9	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.3
18	9-9	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
19	10-9	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.2
20	10-10	BUFF	MIA OH×3	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Madison Brown	+1.4
21	10-11	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+2.0
22	10-12	MIA OH	MIA OH×3	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.9
23	11-12	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
24	11-13	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Madison Brown	+1.4
25	12-13	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
26	12-14	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.4
27	13-14	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
28	13-15	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.5
29	13-16	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+1.9
30	14-16	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.2
31	15-16	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.1
32	15-17	BUFF	MIA OH×6	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.6
33	15-18	MIA OH	MIA OH×6	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+2.0
34	15-19	MIA OH	MIA OH×6	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+1.5
35	15-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×6	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Lydia Michelin, Lauren Coyne	+1.0
36	15-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×6	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Manoela Forlin	+0.6
37	15-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×6	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Madison Brown	+0.3
38	16-22	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
39	16-23	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.1
40	17-23	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	·
41	17-24	BUFF	MIA OH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Molly Creech, Lydia Michelin	+0.1
42	17-25	MIA OH	MIA OH	Attack err	Sydney Bell		·
Set 3
1	1-0	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Chloe Brown	+0.6
2	2-0	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Lydia Michelin		+0.9
3	2-1	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+0.6
4	2-2	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Madison Brown	+0.9
5	3-2	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
6	3-3	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Madison Brown	+0.6
7	4-3	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
8	5-3	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sydney Bell, Nienke Trossel	+1.0
9	5-4	BUFF	MIA OH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Raegan Lantz, Lauren Coyne	+0.6
10	6-4	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
11	7-4	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Molly Creech	blk Sydney Bell, Nienke Trossel	+1.0
12	7-5	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
13	8-5	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
14	8-6	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.7
15	8-7		MIA OH	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.0
16	9-7	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
17	9-8	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
18	9-9	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	Miami (OH)	aced Chloe Brown	+1.1
19	10-9	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
20	10-10	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+0.8
21	11-10	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
22	11-11	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Lydia Michelin	set Madison Brown	+0.8
23	12-11	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
24	12-12	BUFF	MIA OH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+0.8
25	13-12	MIA OH	BUFF	Serve err	Holland Van Deusen		+0.9
26	14-12	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo		+1.3
27	14-13	BUFF	MIA OH	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Molly Creech	+0.8
28	14-14	MIA OH	MIA OH	Ace	Miami (OH)		+1.3
29	15-14	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.0
30	15-15	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Molly Creech	set Holland Van Deusen	+0.9
31	16-15	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
32	16-16	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Holland Van Deusen	+1.0
33	17-16	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
34	17-17	BUFF	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+1.0
35	18-17	MIA OH	BUFF	Attack err	Molly Creech		+1.2
36	18-18	BUFF	MIA OH×5	Kill	Lauren Coyne	set Madison Brown	+1.1
37	18-19	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Ace	Miami (OH)		+1.6
38	18-20	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+1.5
39	18-21	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+1.2
40	18-22	MIA OH	MIA OH×5	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Raegan Lantz, Lauren Coyne	+0.8
41	19-22	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
42	19-23	BUFF	MIA OH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+0.5
43	20-23	MIA OH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
44	20-24	BUFF	MIA OH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.5
45	20-25	MIA OH	MIA OH	Kill	Chelsea Williams	set Madison Brown	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Miami (OH) def. Buffalo 3–0

No set was closer than 5 points: Miami (OH) swept Buffalo.