Eastern Mich. vs Buffalo Volleyball: Buffalo Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Buffalo 65.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Buffalo beat visiting Eastern Mich. 3-2 (22-25, 27-25, 22-25, 25-17, 15-10) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Buffalo's Manoela Forlin led with 23 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
E MICH	25	25	25	17	10	2
BUFF	22	27	22	25	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Manoela Forlin's 23 kills carried Buffalo in five.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Buffalo's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Buffalo at 66%.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Eastern Mich. 24–24 Buffalo
3 of the last 4 rallies went to Buffalo, enough to take the set 27–25 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Buffalo.
Buffalo 41% → 62%
Turning point 2: Set 5 · Eastern Mich. 1–2 Buffalo
Down 1–2, Eastern Mich. scored 3 straight to lead 4–2. The match swung to Eastern Mich.
Buffalo 64% → 39%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · Eastern Mich. 4–2 Buffalo
Buffalo scored 5 straight to turn a 2–4 deficit into a 7–4 lead. The match swung to Buffalo.
Buffalo 39% → 82%

Buffalo above 50Eastern Mich. belowMax swing 11.0%

Eastern Mich.Buffalo

Sideout %: Eastern Mich. 49.1·Buffalo 53.4
Break %: Eastern Mich. 46.6·Buffalo 50.9
Hitting: Eastern Mich. .105·Buffalo .147
Longest run: Eastern Mich. 5·Buffalo 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Buffalo above 50 · Eastern Mich. below

Biggest swing: 11.0% to Buffalo — set 2, E MICH 24-25 BUFF. Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Maddie Mitchell). BUFF win probability 41% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E MICH 32.6%67.4% BUFF

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0

6.4%

3-1

11.6%

3-2

14.6%

Buffalo wins

3-0

21.5%

3-1

25.9%

3-2

20.0%

E MICH break %: 42.0% vs this opp
BUFF break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Angelina SiepierskiKill+11.0%
Kill by Angelina Siepierski (set by Maddie Mitchell)
Set 2 · E MICH 24-25 BUFF · BUFF 41% → 52%
02
Abisola AdebayoBlock+10.2%
Natalie Slusher stuffed by Abisola Adebayo
Set 2 · E MICH 25-27 BUFF · BUFF 52% → 62%
03
Lily SparkAttack error+9.7%
Attack error by Lily Spark
Set 5 · E MICH 4-5 BUFF · BUFF 55% → 65%
04
Azra EriçBlock+9.7%
Angelina Siepierski stuffed by Azra Eriç
Set 5 · E MICH 4-2 BUFF · E MICH 52% → 61%
05
Michal BenaimBlock+9.6%
Lily Spark stuffed by Michal Benaim
Set 5 · E MICH 4-4 BUFF · BUFF 45% → 55%
06
Lily SparkKill+9.4%
Kill by Lily Spark (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 5 · E MICH 3-2 BUFF · E MICH 42% → 52%
07
Manoela ForlinKill+9.3%
Kill by Manoela Forlin (set by Michal Benaim)
Set 5 · E MICH 4-6 BUFF · BUFF 65% → 74%
08
Natalie SlusherKill+8.9%
Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 2 · E MICH 24-23 BUFF · E MICH 59% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Eastern Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Azra EriçMB	5	10	5	26	.192	2	0	1	4	0	6	0	6	16
19Lily SparkOH	5	11	5	42	.143	0	0	1	13	0	1	0	1	12
3Natalie SlusherOH	5	10	10	34	.000	1	0	5	10	1	1	0	1	11
5Maddie HermanMB	5	6	1	10	.500	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	8.5
17Taeley MahlerOH	5	7	3	27	.148	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Kaylin SchroederS	5	1	0	5	.200	20	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
10Haley TroskyOH	5	7	7	28	.000	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	9
1Lina GovoniS	5	1	0	2	.500	15	4	1	12	0	0	0	0	5
16Surabhi SrinivasanDS	5	0	2	3	-.667	10	1	2	23	0	0	0	0	1
2Kayla OstranderDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Mia SchaeferL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Madelyn SipeDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
20AshleeKay ChristensenOH	1	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
14Julia JohnsonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	34	181	.105	50	5	11	84	6	12	2	13	102

Buffalohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Manoela ForlinOH	5	23	9	64	.219	2	0	2	15	0	1	1	1.5	24.5
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	5	14	10	44	.091	0	1	2	14	2	1	1	1.5	16.5
11Abbie WillisOH	5	13	4	38	.237	0	1	1	5	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
9Ava KanjMB	4	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	1.5
2Maddie MitchellS	3	4	2	12	.167	25	2	2	16	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Tehya ShawMB	1	0	3	4	-.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Abisola AdebayoMB	5	5	1	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	7
16Chloe BrownDS	5	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	16	2	0	0	0	0
15Eve AdamsOH	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Anaya ColeL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	9	1	0	0	0	0
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
6Nienke TrosselMB	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	1.5
5Michal BenaimS	2	0	0	3	.000	19	0	1	3	0	1	0	1	1
Team totals		59	31	191	.147	56	6	12	84	5	5	12	11	111

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Mich. vs Buffalo

Season series · Buffalo leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Eastern Mich. at Buffalo · Buffalo won 3-2This match
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Eastern Mich. at Buffalo · Buffalo won 3-1Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E MICH · BUFF 7

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 E MICHBUFF 7

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 4 E MICHBUFF 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 E MICHBUFF 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 E MICHBUFF 5

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 3 E MICHBUFF 5

Bars above the line = Buffalo leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	36%4/11
2	70%7/10	18%2/11
3	30%7/23	63%12/19
4	54%7/13	65%13/20
5	64%7/11	46%6/13
6	46%6/13	45%5/11
All	50%43/86	49%42/85

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	46%6/13
2	53%9/17	18%2/11
3	33%7/21	61%11/18
4	50%7/14	59%10/17
5	60%6/10	46%6/13
6	56%5/9	57%8/14
All	51%43/85	50%43/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#	E MICH-BUFF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+2.2
2	0-2	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Manoela Forlin	+2.1
3	1-2	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.6
4	1-3	E MICH	BUFF	Blocked	Lily Spark	blk Ava Kanj, Abbie Willis	+1.6
5	2-3	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Kaylin Schroeder	+1.6
6	3-3	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Tehya Shaw		+2.3
7	4-3	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	Eastern Mich.	aced Angelina Siepierski	+2.5
8	4-4	E MICH	BUFF×3	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+1.8
9	4-5	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Taeley Mahler		+2.4
10	4-6	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.3
11	5-6	BUFF	E MICH×5	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+1.7
12	6-6	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+2.5
13	7-6	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.7
14	8-6	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+2.8
15	9-6	E MICH	E MICH×5	Ace	Eastern Mich.	aced Anaya Cole	+2.8
16	9-7	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Lina Govoni	+1.9
17	9-8	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.7
18	10-8	BUFF	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.3
19	11-8	E MICH	E MICH×5	Blocked	Tehya Shaw	blk Natalie Slusher	+2.9
20	12-8	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Tehya Shaw		+2.8
21	13-8	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+2.5
22	14-8	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+2.1
23	14-9	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Anaya Cole	+1.2
24	15-9	BUFF	E MICH	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+1.6
25	15-10	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.1
26	15-11	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Haley Trosky	blk Ava Kanj, Manoela Forlin	+1.9
27	16-11	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.9
28	17-11	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.0
29	17-12	E MICH	BUFF	Blocked	Natalie Slusher	blk Manoela Forlin	+1.0
30	18-12	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Kaylin Schroeder	+1.5
31	18-13	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+1.0
32	19-13	BUFF	E MICH×4	Kill	Lily Spark	set Kaylin Schroeder	+1.4
33	20-13	E MICH	E MICH×4	Blocked	Abbie Willis	blk Lily Spark	+1.2
34	21-13	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+0.7
35	22-13	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Lily Spark	set Kaylin Schroeder	+0.3
36	22-14	E MICH	BUFF×7	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
37	22-15	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Surabhi Srinivasan		+0.2
38	22-16	BUFF	BUFF×7	Bad set	Kaylin Schroeder		+0.4
39	22-17	BUFF	BUFF×7	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+0.6
40	22-18	BUFF	BUFF×7	Blocked	Taeley Mahler	blk Angelina Siepierski	+1.1
41	22-19	BUFF	BUFF×7	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Anaya Cole	+1.9
42	22-20	BUFF	BUFF×7	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.0
43	23-20	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.6
44	23-21	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.0
45	24-21	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.7
46	24-22	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+1.5
47	25-22	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.5
Set 2
1	0-1	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.0
2	1-1	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.1
3	1-2	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.0
4	2-2	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+2.1
5	2-3	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.1
6	2-4	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Lily Spark	blk Maddie Mitchell, Abisola Adebayo	+2.7
7	3-4	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.0
8	4-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+2.9
9	5-4	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+3.1
10	5-5	E MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+2.3
11	5-6	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Haley Trosky	blk Nienke Trossel	+3.0
12	6-6	BUFF	E MICH	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Azra Eriç	+2.3
13	6-7	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.3
14	6-8	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo		+3.0
15	7-8	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+2.2
16	7-9	E MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+2.3
17	8-9	BUFF	E MICH×4	Kill	Lina Govoni	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.3
18	9-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.3
19	10-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Maddie Mitchell		+3.6
20	11-9	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+3.7
21	11-10	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.6
22	12-10	BUFF	E MICH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler	+2.9
23	12-11	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.7
24	12-12	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Buffalo		+3.7
25	13-12	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.0
26	14-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Lily Spark	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.1
27	15-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Azra Eriç	+4.0
28	15-13	E MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.6
29	15-14	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Anaya Cole	+3.9
30	15-15	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Taeley Mahler		+4.3
31	15-16	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.3
32	16-16	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.3
33	17-16	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+4.9
34	17-17	E MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.6
35	17-18	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+4.9
36	17-19	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.7
37	18-19	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+3.2
38	19-19	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+5.3
39	19-20	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Chloe Brown	+4.3
40	19-21	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Natalie Slusher	blk Nienke Trossel, Abbie Willis	+5.4
41	20-21	BUFF	E MICH×4	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+3.5
42	21-21	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Maddie Mitchell		+6.3
43	22-21	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+7.7
44	23-21	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Abbie Willis		+7.8
45	23-22	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.2
46	23-23	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Anaya Cole	+8.7
47	24-23	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+8.9
48	24-24	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+8.9
49	24-25	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+11.0
50	25-25	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+8.2
51	25-26	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+8.2
52	25-27	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Natalie Slusher	blk Abisola Adebayo	+10.2
Set 3
1	0-1	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+3.0
2	0-2	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+2.9
3	1-2	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.2
4	1-3	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.2
5	2-3	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Kaylin Schroeder	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.2
6	3-3	E MICH	E MICH×3	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Azra Eriç	+3.2
7	4-3	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Abbie Willis		+3.4
8	4-4	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.5
9	5-4	BUFF	E MICH×5	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.7
10	6-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+3.6
11	7-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Bad set	Maddie Mitchell		+3.6
12	8-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Haley Trosky	+3.5
13	9-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+3.2
14	9-5	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.0
15	9-6	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Surabhi Srinivasan		+3.1
16	10-6	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+2.8
17	10-7	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.4
18	10-8	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+3.5
19	11-8	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+3.1
20	12-8	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Nienke Trossel		+3.8
21	13-8	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Azra Eriç	+3.4
22	13-9	E MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.0
23	13-10	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.2
24	13-11	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Abbie Willis		+3.8
25	13-12	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+4.2
26	14-12	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.6
27	14-13	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.2
28	14-14	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+4.6
29	15-14	BUFF	E MICH×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.8
30	16-14	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+5.1
31	17-14	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Kaylin Schroeder	+4.9
32	17-15	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Maddie Mitchell	+3.1
33	18-15	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.9
34	19-15	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo		+4.4
35	19-16	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Maddie Mitchell	+2.4
36	20-16	BUFF	E MICH×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.4
37	21-16	E MICH	E MICH×3	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Haley Trosky	+3.3
38	22-16	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+2.0
39	22-17	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Anaya Cole	+0.7
40	23-17	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.2
41	23-18	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
42	23-19	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+1.1
43	24-19	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.7
44	24-20	E MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.4
45	24-21	BUFF	BUFF×3	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+1.2
46	24-22	BUFF	BUFF×3	Ace	Buffalo		+2.7
47	25-22	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Lina Govoni	+4.9
Set 4
1	1-0	E MICH	E MICH	Blocked	Abbie Willis	blk Maddie Herman	+3.8
2	1-1	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+2.8
3	2-1	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Kaylin Schroeder	+2.9
4	2-2	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+2.8
5	3-2	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Lily Spark	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.0
6	4-2	E MICH	E MICH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Azra Eriç	+4.1
7	4-3	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Michal Benaim	+2.9
8	4-4	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+3.9
9	5-4	BUFF	E MICH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+3.2
10	6-4	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	Eastern Mich.	aced Angelina Siepierski	+4.3
11	6-5	E MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Manoela Forlin	+3.0
12	6-6	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo	aced Natalie Slusher	+4.2
13	6-7	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+4.1
14	6-8	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+4.0
15	7-8	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+2.9
16	7-9	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+3.1
17	8-9	BUFF	E MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+3.0
18	8-10	E MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Eastern Mich.		+3.1
19	8-11	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Sadie Gladhill	+3.9
20	9-11	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+2.7
21	9-12		BUFF	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.0
22	10-12	BUFF	E MICH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Maddie Herman	+2.8
23	11-12	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Lily Spark	set Maddie Herman	+4.3
24	11-13	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Michal Benaim	+3.5
25	12-13	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Kaylin Schroeder	+3.4
26	12-14	E MICH	BUFF×5	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+3.6
27	12-15	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+4.4
28	12-16	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+3.7
29	12-17	BUFF	BUFF×5	Ace	Buffalo	aced AshleeKay Christensen	+2.9
30	12-18	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Lily Spark		+2.0
31	13-18	BUFF	E MICH×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+1.0
32	14-18	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	Eastern Mich.	aced Chloe Brown	+2.1
33	15-18	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	Eastern Mich.	aced Chloe Brown	+3.0
34	15-19	E MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+2.9
35	15-20	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+2.8
36	15-21	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+1.7
37	15-22	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo	aced AshleeKay Christensen	+0.8
38	16-22	BUFF	E MICH	Blocked	Ava Kanj	blk Azra Eriç	+0.3
39	16-23	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+0.5
40	17-23	BUFF	E MICH	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.2
41	17-24	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Michal Benaim	+0.3
42	17-25	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	AshleeKay Christensen		+1.1
Set 5
1	0-1	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+6.2
2	1-1	BUFF	E MICH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+6.3
3	1-2	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Michal Benaim	+6.4
4	2-2	BUFF	E MICH×3	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Kaylin Schroeder	+6.6
5	3-2	E MICH	E MICH×3	Kill	Lily Spark	set Lina Govoni	+9.4
6	4-2	E MICH	E MICH×3	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Azra Eriç	+9.7
7	4-3	E MICH	BUFF×5	Blocked	Haley Trosky	blk Abisola Adebayo, Angelina Siepierski	+6.7
8	4-4	BUFF	BUFF×5	Blocked	Lily Spark	blk Michal Benaim	+9.6
9	4-5	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Lily Spark		+9.7
10	4-6	BUFF	BUFF×5	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+9.3
11	4-7	BUFF	BUFF×5	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+8.2
12	5-7	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Mia Schaefer	+5.4
13	5-8	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+6.4
14	5-9	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+6.8
15	6-9	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Azra Eriç	+3.9
16	7-9	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+7.3
17	7-10	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Sadie Gladhill	+7.0
18	8-10	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Natalie Slusher	+5.6
19	8-11	E MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Natalie Slusher		+7.4
20	9-11	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+5.5
21	9-12	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Sadie Gladhill	+7.7
22	9-13	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Sadie Gladhill	+6.6
23	10-13	BUFF	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.4
24	10-14	E MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+4.4
25	10-15	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+1.7

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Buffalo def. Eastern Mich. 3–2

Manoela Forlin's 23 kills carried Buffalo in five.