Buffalo vs Central Mich. Volleyball: Buffalo Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026ESPN+Chippewas All-Access

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Buffalo 90.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 2:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Buffalo won at Central Mich. 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-16) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Buffalo's Hailey Campagna led with 11 kills, and Sadie Gladhill added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 7:55 PM CT · final Oct 31

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BUFF	25	25	25	3
C MICH	20	17	16	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Manoela Forlin served 5 aces in a Buffalo rout.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.3 points, and Central Mich.'s high was 10% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Buffalo 91% before first serve.

BuffaloCentral Mich.

Break %+18.0 pts
56.238.2
On serve: 41/73 against 21/55 (Central Mich. sideout 43.8%).
Hitting+.217
.326.109
43 K / 13 E against 28 K / 18 E.
Longest run+3
85
Buffalo scored 8 straight in the second set to turn a 2–3 deficit into a 10–3 lead. The set finished 25–17.

Central Mich. above 50Buffalo belowMax swing 1.3%

BuffaloCentral Mich.

Aces: Buffalo 10·Central Mich. 5
Serve err: Buffalo 7·Central Mich. 2
Blocks: Buffalo 6·Central Mich. 53 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs: Buffalo 40·Central Mich. 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Central Mich. above 50 · Buffalo below

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Central Mich. — set 1, BUFF 9-9 C MICH. Manoela Forlin stuffed by Meisha Sykes & Audrey Hackney. C MICH win probability 9% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BUFF 91.5%8.5% C MICH

Buffalo wins

3-0

47.1%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.0%

Central Mich. wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

4.9%

BUFF break %: 48.2% vs this opp
C MICH break %: 37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Meisha Sykes&Audrey HackneyBlock+1.3%
Manoela Forlin stuffed by Meisha Sykes & Audrey Hackney
Set 1 · BUFF 9-9 C MICH · C MICH 9% → 10%
02
BuffaloAce+1.2%
Buffalo ace on Ceci Bustamante
Set 1 · BUFF 11-9 C MICH · BUFF 91% → 92%
03
Central Mich.Ace+1.1%
Central Mich. ace on Anaya Cole
Set 1 · BUFF 9-8 C MICH · C MICH 8% → 9%
04
Brenna StorzKill+1.0%
Kill by Brenna Storz
Set 1 · BUFF 15-13 C MICH · C MICH 7% → 8%
05
Abisola AdebayoAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Abisola Adebayo
Set 1 · BUFF 7-6 C MICH · C MICH 8% → 9%
06
Ava KanjBlock+1.0%
Audrey Hackney stuffed by Ava Kanj
Set 1 · BUFF 12-9 C MICH · BUFF 92% → 93%
07
Abisola AdebayoKill+1.0%
Kill by Abisola Adebayo (set by Michal Benaim)
Set 1 · BUFF 10-9 C MICH · BUFF 90% → 91%
08
Brenna StorzAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Brenna Storz
Set 1 · BUFF 9-6 C MICH · BUFF 92% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Buffaloaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Hailey CampagnaOH	3	11	5	22	.273	2	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
3Sydney BellOPP	3	9	1	14	.571	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
20Abisola AdebayoMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	8
9Ava KanjMB	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	5
2Maddie MitchellS	3	0	0	0	–	23	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
14Manoela ForlinOH	2	6	3	17	.176	0	5	2	3	0	0	0	0	11
11Abbie WillisOH	3	5	0	12	.417	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
5Michal BenaimS	3	0	0	0	–	12	3	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	13	1	0	0	0	1
1Angelina SiepierskiOH	2	2	3	10	-.100	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Nienke TrosselMB	2	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
10Anaya ColeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	13	92	.326	40	10	7	40	5	3	6	6	75

Central Mich.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Taylor CripeOH	3	11	5	35	.171	1	0	1	6	1	1	1	1.5	12.5
6Brenna StorzMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	2	1	3	0	0	2	1	7
13Lilly MullholandOPP	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
22Meisha SykesMB	3	2	4	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
10Ceci BustamanteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	7	1	0	0	0	2
2Audrey HackneyS	3	0	1	2	-.500	7	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
4Rainey WeidmanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	10	2	0	0	0	1
14Brytn LyonS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Addison SamolinskiL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Alexis CarperOH	2	5	3	18	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
8Cheyenne GunnerOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	18	92	.109	26	5	2	33	10	1	8	5	53

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Buffalo vs Central Mich.

Season series · Buffalo leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 30, 2026Buffalo at Central Mich. · Buffalo won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 31, 2026Buffalo at Central Mich. · Buffalo won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 BUFF · C MICH 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 BUFFC MICH 5

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 8 BUFFC MICH 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 8 BUFFC MICH 2

Bars above the line = Central Mich. leads, below = Buffalo leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%4/4	67%4/6
2	100%4/4	43%3/7
3	57%4/7	33%2/6
4	57%4/7	60%6/10
5	44%4/9	71%10/14
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	63%24/38	54%26/48

Central Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%4/7	0%0/4
2	67%4/6	0%0/4
3	40%4/10	43%3/7
4	29%4/14	43%3/7
5	80%4/5	56%5/9
6	33%2/6	43%3/7
All	46%22/48	37%14/38

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#	BUFF-C MICH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	C MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.7
2	2-0	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.9
3	2-1	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Audrey Hackney	+0.7
4	3-1	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
5	3-2	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Meisha Sykes	set Audrey Hackney	+0.7
6	4-2	C MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
7	5-2	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
8	6-2	BUFF	BUFF×3	Ace	Buffalo	aced Cheyenne Gunner	+0.7
9	6-3	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Audrey Hackney	+0.5
10	6-4	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.8
11	7-4	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
12	7-5	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Audrey Hackney	+0.6
13	7-6	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo		+1.0
14	8-6	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+0.8
15	9-6	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.9
16	9-7	BUFF	C MICH×3	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.7
17	9-8	C MICH	C MICH×3	Ace	Central Mich.	aced Anaya Cole	+1.1
18	9-9	C MICH	C MICH×3	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Meisha Sykes, Audrey Hackney	+1.3
19	10-9	C MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Michal Benaim	+1.0
20	11-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Ace	Buffalo	aced Ceci Bustamante	+1.2
21	12-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Audrey Hackney	blk Ava Kanj	+1.0
22	12-10	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Meisha Sykes	set Ceci Bustamante	+0.7
23	13-10	C MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.7
24	14-10	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
25	14-11	BUFF	C MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.5
26	15-11	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Ava Kanj	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
27	15-12	BUFF	C MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.6
28	15-13	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz		+1.0
29	16-13	C MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
30	17-13	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.9
31	18-13	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
32	19-13	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.4
33	19-14	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Audrey Hackney	+0.2
34	20-14	C MICH	BUFF×4	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
35	21-14	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo	aced Rainey Weidman	+0.2
36	22-14	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
37	23-14	BUFF	BUFF×4	Ace	Buffalo	aced Rainey Weidman	·
38	23-15	BUFF	C MICH×5	Serve err	Buffalo		·
39	23-16	C MICH	C MICH×5	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	·
40	23-17	C MICH	C MICH×5	Ace	Central Mich.	aced Angelina Siepierski	·
41	23-18	C MICH	C MICH×5	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		+0.1
42	23-19	C MICH	C MICH×5	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.2
43	24-19	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Michal Benaim	+0.3
44	24-20	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
45	25-20	C MICH	BUFF	Serve err	Central Mich.		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	BUFF	C MICH	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.6
2	0-2	C MICH	C MICH	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.9
3	1-2	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
4	2-2	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Lilly Mullholand		+0.8
5	2-3	BUFF	C MICH	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Meisha Sykes, Taylor Cripe	+0.6
6	3-3	C MICH	BUFF×8	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Hailey Campagna	+0.6
7	4-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.7
8	5-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
9	6-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Ava Kanj		+0.5
10	7-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Ace	Buffalo	aced Taylor Cripe	+0.4
11	8-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Blocked	Taylor Cripe	blk Ava Kanj	+0.4
12	9-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Ace	Buffalo		+0.3
13	10-3	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
14	10-4	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
15	11-4	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
16	11-5	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Brenna Storz	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
17	12-5	C MICH	BUFF	Attack err	Taylor Cripe		+0.1
18	13-5	BUFF	BUFF	Serve err	Buffalo		+0.1
19	13-6	BUFF	C MICH	Blocked	Manoela Forlin	blk Taylor Cripe	+0.1
20	13-7	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.2
21	14-7	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+0.1
22	14-8	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
23	14-9	C MICH	C MICH	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Meisha Sykes, Brenna Storz	+0.2
24	15-9	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Nienke Trossel	set Michal Benaim	+0.2
25–28	18-10		BUFF 3 · C MICH	NCAA feed gap4 points not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.3
29	19-10	BUFF	BUFF×7	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
30	20-10	BUFF	BUFF×7	Ace	Buffalo		·
31	21-10	BUFF	BUFF×7	Ace	Buffalo		·
32	22-10	BUFF	BUFF×7	Ace	Buffalo		·
33	22-11	BUFF	C MICH×4	Serve err	Buffalo		·
34	22-12	C MICH	C MICH×4	Ace	Central Mich.		·
35	22-13	C MICH	C MICH×4	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		·
36	22-14	C MICH	C MICH×4	Ace	Central Mich.	aced Sadie Gladhill	·
37	23-14	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	·
38	23-15	BUFF	C MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		·
39	23-16	C MICH	C MICH	Ace	Central Mich.		·
40	24-16	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Michal Benaim	·
41	24-17	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	·
42	25-17	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	·
Set 3
1	1-0	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
2	1-1	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
3	2-1	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Ava Kanj	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.2
4	2-2	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.3
5	2-3	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.4
6	3-3	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
7	3-4	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Taylor Cripe	+0.3
8	3-5	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	+0.5
9	4-5	C MICH	BUFF×8	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
10	5-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+0.4
11	6-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Attack err	Brenna Storz		+0.4
12	7-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Sadie Gladhill	+0.3
13	8-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Bad set	Brytn Lyon		+0.3
14	9-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Ace	Buffalo		+0.2
15	10-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Michal Benaim	+0.2
16	11-5	BUFF	BUFF×8	Attack err	Alexis Carper		+0.1
17	11-6	BUFF	C MICH	Blocked	Angelina Siepierski	blk Brytn Lyon, Brenna Storz	+0.1
18	12-6	C MICH	BUFF	Blocked	Taylor Cripe	blk Angelina Siepierski, Abisola Adebayo	+0.1
19	12-7	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
20	13-7	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+0.1
21	13-8	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	+0.1
22	14-8	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Angelina Siepierski	set Michal Benaim	+0.1
23	15-8	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Meisha Sykes		+0.1
24	15-9	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Audrey Hackney	+0.1
25	16-9	C MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.1
26	17-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Taylor Cripe	blk Nienke Trossel	+0.1
27	18-9	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	·
28	18-10	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Audrey Hackney	·
29	18-11	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Lilly Mullholand	set Rainey Weidman	·
30	19-11	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	·
31	20-11	BUFF	BUFF	Blocked	Alexis Carper	blk Sydney Bell, Abisola Adebayo	·
32	20-12	BUFF	C MICH	Attack err	Angelina Siepierski		·
33	20-13	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Alexis Carper	set Brytn Lyon	·
34	21-13	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	·
35	21-14	BUFF	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	·
36	22-14	C MICH	BUFF	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Angelina Siepierski	·
37	22-15	BUFF	C MICH	Serve err	Buffalo		·
38	22-16	C MICH	C MICH	Kill	Taylor Cripe	set Brytn Lyon	·
39	23-16	C MICH	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	·
40	24-16	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Brytn Lyon	·
41	25-16	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Abbie Willis	set Hailey Campagna	·

Score shown after each rally, Buffalo first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Buffalo def. Central Mich. 3–0

Manoela Forlin served 5 aces in a Buffalo rout.