Ball State vs Buffalo Volleyball: Ball State Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Ball St. 84.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ball St. won at Buffalo 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 25-23) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Ava Smith led Ball St. with 12 kills; Buffalo's Hailey Campagna had a match-high 15.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 6

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BALLST	25	25	25	3
BUFF	19	17	23	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ball St. in control, mostly on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 2.1 points on one rally; Buffalo topped out at 24% in Set 1. Ball St. went in as RallyIQ's 84% pick.

Ball St.Buffalo

Break %+13.8 pts
46.632.8
34 of 73 on serve vs 20 of 61, so Buffalo's sideout was 53.4%.
Longest run+0
66
Ball St. scored 6 straight in the second set to stretch a 5–2 lead to 11–2. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Buffalo above 50Ball St. belowMax swing 2.1%

Ball St.Buffalo

Hitting: Ball St. .227·Buffalo .189
Aces: Ball St. 5·Buffalo 1
Serve err: Ball St. 4·Buffalo 9
Blocks: Ball St. 4·Buffalo 104 BS · 0 BA vs 8 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Ball St. 52·Buffalo 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Buffalo above 50 · Ball St. below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Buffalo — set 1, BALLST 3-7 BUFF. Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Manoela Forlin). BUFF win probability 22% → 24%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BALLST 86.4%13.6% BUFF

Ball St. wins

3-0

38.9%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.0%

Buffalo wins

3-0

2.0%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.3%

BALLST break %: 45.1% vs this opp
BUFF break %: 36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hailey CampagnaKill+2.1%
Kill by Hailey Campagna (set by Manoela Forlin)
Set 1 · BALLST 3-7 BUFF · BUFF 22% → 24%
02
Gwen CrullKill+2.0%
Kill by Gwen Crull (set by Lucy McCollum)
Set 1 · BALLST 9-9 BUFF · BALLST 81% → 83%
03
Mallory PikeAttack error+2.0%
Attack error by Mallory Pike
Set 1 · BALLST 2-5 BUFF · BUFF 19% → 21%
04
Abisola AdebayoAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Abisola Adebayo
Set 1 · BALLST 6-7 BUFF · BALLST 79% → 81%
05
Hailey CampagnaBlock+1.9%
Tiffany Snook stuffed by Hailey Campagna
Set 1 · BALLST 0-3 BUFF · BUFF 19% → 21%
06
Audrey GeerKill+1.9%
Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Elizabeth Tabeling)
Set 1 · BALLST 10-9 BUFF · BALLST 83% → 85%
07
Audrey GeerKill+1.9%
Kill by Audrey Geer (set by Ava Smith)
Set 3 · BALLST 23-22 BUFF · BALLST 96% → 98%
08
Ava SmithKill+1.9%
Kill by Ava Smith (set by Lucy McCollum)
Set 1 · BALLST 5-7 BUFF · BALLST 77% → 79%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Ball St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
14Ava SmithOH	3	12	2	26	.385	1	0	0	2	0	1	1	13
1Audrey GeerOH	3	9	4	26	.192	0	0	1	8	0	1	1	10
11Tiffany SnookMB	3	7	3	14	.286	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	9
17Camryn WiseMB	3	7	3	18	.222	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	8
9Mallory PikeOH	3	1	4	11	-.273	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	2
8Lindsey GreenS	3	0	0	0	–	22	1	0	8	0	0	0	1
13Gwen CrullMB	3	4	0	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	5
3Elizabeth TabelingDS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
7Lucy McCollumS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
12Sophie LedbetterDS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
6Merritt SliwaOH	2	2	1	4	.250	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3
Team totals		42	17	110	.227	40	5	4	52	1	4	4	75

Buffalohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Hailey CampagnaOH	3	15	5	37	.270	0	0	3	7	1	2	0	2	17
14Manoela ForlinOH	3	9	4	29	.172	1	0	1	6	0	1	0	1	10
3Sydney BellOPP	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	2.5	9.5
2Maddie MitchellS	3	4	0	10	.400	18	1	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
8Tehya ShawMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	3.5
20Abisola AdebayoMB	3	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
5Michal BenaimS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	3	4	0	0	0	0	0
13Sadie GladhillL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	11	1	0	0	0	0
10Anaya ColeL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
11Abbie WillisOH	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Eve AdamsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	16	111	.189	37	1	9	44	5	8	4	10	59

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ball St. vs Buffalo

Season series · Ball St. leads 2-0

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Ball St. at Buffalo · Ball St. won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Ball St. at Buffalo · Ball St. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BALLST · BUFF 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 BALLSTBUFF 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 BALLSTBUFF 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 BALLSTBUFF 4

Bars above the line = Buffalo leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ball St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	60%9/15
2	57%8/14	27%3/11
3	62%8/13	50%8/16
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	100%5/5	38%3/8
All	67%41/61	47%34/73

Buffalo

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%8/17	30%3/10
2	80%8/10	20%2/10
3	47%7/15	56%10/18
4	40%6/15	30%3/10
5	71%5/7	0%0/6
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	53%39/73	33%20/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	BALLST-BUFF	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Anaya Cole	+1.6
2	0-2	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Anaya Cole	+1.8
3	0-3	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Hailey Campagna	+1.9
4	1-3	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
5	2-3	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+1.7
6	2-4	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
7	2-5	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Mallory Pike		+2.0
8	3-5	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Hailey Campagna		+1.2
9	3-6	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.5
10	3-7	BUFF	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Manoela Forlin	+2.1
11	4-7	BUFF	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
12	5-7	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+1.9
13	6-7	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo		+1.9
14	6-8	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.6
15	7-8	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Michal Benaim		+1.4
16	7-9	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+1.6
17	8-9	BUFF	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+1.4
18	9-9	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lucy McCollum	+2.0
19	10-9	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Elizabeth Tabeling	+1.9
20	10-10	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+1.4
21	11-10	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lucy McCollum	+1.4
22	12-10	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lindsey Green	+1.8
23	12-11	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+1.3
24	13-11	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
25	13-12	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
26	14-12	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Hailey Campagna		+1.3
27	14-13	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.4
28	15-13	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
29	15-14	BALLST	BUFF	Serve err	Ball St.		+1.4
30	16-14	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Michal Benaim		+1.5
31	17-14	BALLST	BALLST	Blocked	Abbie Willis	blk Audrey Geer	+1.8
32	17-15	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+1.1
33	18-15	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+1.3
34	18-16	BALLST	BUFF	Blocked	Tiffany Snook	blk Hailey Campagna	+1.1
35	19-16	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lucy McCollum	+1.3
36	20-16	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.4
37	20-17	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+0.7
38	21-17	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
39	22-17	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.8
40	22-18	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.3
41	23-18	BUFF	BALLST	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.5
42	24-18	BALLST	BALLST	Ace	Ball St.	aced Hailey Campagna	+0.2
43	24-19	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	·
44	25-19	BUFF	BALLST	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+1.0
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
3	3-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Bad set	Michal Benaim		+0.8
4	4-0	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Abisola Adebayo		+0.7
5	4-1	BALLST	BUFF	Attack err	Audrey Geer		+0.5
6	5-1	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
7	5-2	BALLST	BUFF	Blocked	Mallory Pike	blk Abisola Adebayo	+0.5
8	6-2	BUFF	BALLST×6	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
9	7-2	BALLST	BALLST×6	Ace	Ball St.		+0.6
10	8-2	BALLST	BALLST×6	Bad set	Michal Benaim		+0.5
11	9-2	BALLST	BALLST×6	Attack err	Manoela Forlin		+0.3
12	10-2	BALLST	BALLST×6	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.2
13	11-2	BALLST	BALLST×6	Blocked	Hailey Campagna	blk Camryn Wise	+0.2
14	11-3	BALLST	BUFF	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.1
15	12-3	BUFF	BALLST×4	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
16	13-3	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Mallory Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+0.1
17	14-3	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Gwen Crull		+0.1
18	15-3	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		·
19	15-4	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	·
20	16-4	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Sophie Ledbetter	·
21	16-5	BALLST	BUFF×3	Serve err	Ball St.		·
22	16-6	BUFF	BUFF×3	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Sydney Bell, Abisola Adebayo	·
23	16-7	BUFF	BUFF×3	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Sadie Gladhill	·
24	17-7	BUFF	BALLST	Blocked	Sydney Bell	blk Ava Smith	·
25	18-7	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Elizabeth Tabeling	·
26	18-8	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Abisola Adebayo	set Maddie Mitchell	·
27	19-8	BUFF	BALLST×3	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lucy McCollum	·
28	20-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Sophie Ledbetter	·
29	21-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Ball St.	aced Sadie Gladhill	·
30	21-9	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	·
31	21-10	BUFF	BUFF	Attack err	Audrey Geer		·
32	22-10	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	·
33	22-11	BALLST	BUFF×6	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	·
34	22-12	BUFF	BUFF×6	Blocked	Mallory Pike	blk Maddie Mitchell, Tehya Shaw	·
35	22-13	BUFF	BUFF×6	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Michal Benaim	·
36	22-14	BUFF	BUFF×6	Attack err	Camryn Wise		·
37	22-15	BUFF	BUFF×6	Blocked	Merritt Sliwa	blk Tehya Shaw	·
38	22-16	BUFF	BUFF×6	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+0.1
39	23-16	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
40	24-16	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		·
41	24-17	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Michal Benaim	·
42	25-17	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Maddie Mitchell		·
Set 3
1	1-0	BUFF	BALLST	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+0.4
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
3	2-1	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+0.3
4	3-1	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Abisola Adebayo		+0.3
5	3-2	BALLST	BUFF×4	Blocked	Camryn Wise	blk Tehya Shaw	+0.4
6	3-3	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
7	3-4	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
8	3-5	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Camryn Wise		+0.7
9	4-5	BUFF	BALLST	Attack err	Sydney Bell		+0.5
10	4-6	BALLST	BUFF×4	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Sadie Gladhill	+0.5
11	4-7	BUFF	BUFF×4	Attack err	Mallory Pike		+0.8
12	4-8	BUFF	BUFF×4	Blocked	Ava Smith	blk Sydney Bell	+0.8
13	4-9	BUFF	BUFF×4	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
14	5-9	BUFF	BALLST×3	Serve err	Hailey Campagna		+0.4
15	6-9	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Sophie Ledbetter	+0.7
16	7-9	BALLST	BALLST×3	Blocked	Tehya Shaw	blk Gwen Crull	+0.7
17	7-10	BALLST	BUFF	Blocked	Audrey Geer	blk Manoela Forlin	+0.6
18	8-10	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lucy McCollum	+0.5
19	8-11	BALLST	BUFF	Blocked	Audrey Geer	blk Sydney Bell	+0.6
20	9-11	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Michal Benaim		+0.5
21	9-12	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+0.7
22	10-12	BUFF	BALLST	Serve err	Manoela Forlin		+0.5
23	10-13	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Michal Benaim	+0.7
24	11-13	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.6
25	11-14	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Michal Benaim	+0.7
26	12-14	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Lindsey Green	+0.6
27	12-15	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Sydney Bell	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.7
28	13-15	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lucy McCollum	+0.6
29	14-15	BALLST	BALLST	Ace	Ball St.		+0.9
30	14-16	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Tehya Shaw	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
31	15-16	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+0.7
32	15-17	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.8
33	16-17	BUFF	BALLST	Attack err	Hailey Campagna		+0.7
34	17-17	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
35	17-18	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Michal Benaim	+0.9
36	18-18	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.8
37	18-19	BALLST	BUFF	Serve err	Ball St.		+0.9
38	19-19	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
39	20-19	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+1.3
40	20-20	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Maddie Mitchell	set Michal Benaim	+0.9
41	20-21	BUFF	BUFF	Ace	Maddie Mitchell	aced Sophie Ledbetter	+1.6
42	21-21	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
43	21-22	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Hailey Campagna	set Maddie Mitchell	+1.3
44	22-22	BUFF	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+1.2
45	23-22	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Ava Smith	+1.9
46	24-22	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	Ball St.		+1.6
47	24-23	BALLST	BUFF	Kill	Manoela Forlin	set Maddie Mitchell	+0.6
48	25-23	BUFF	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lucy McCollum	+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Ball St. def. Buffalo 3–0

Ball St. in control, mostly on serve.