Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayHORIZON

1:3

HomeMVC

Valparaiso def. Oakland 3–1

(25-20, 26-28, 25-16, 9-5)

Set	1*	2	3*	4*	Sets
OAK	20	28	16	5	1
VALPO	25	26	25	9	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

VALPO above 50 · OAK below

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Valparaiso — set 4, OAK 5-9 VALPO. Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Olivia Wagner). VALPO win probability 90% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

OAK 37.8%62.2% VALPO

Oakland wins

3-0

8.0%

3-1

13.7%

3-2

16.1%

Valparaiso wins

3-0

18.4%

3-1

23.8%

3-2

20.0%

OAK break %: 41.6% vs this opp
VALPO break %: 44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Maggie UhwatKill+10.1%
Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 4 · OAK 5-9 VALPO · VALPO 90% → 100%
02
Jordyn GoveAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Jordyn Gove
Set 2 · OAK 28-26 VALPO · OAK 31% → 40%
03
Ava HelmingAttack error+8.8%
Attack error by Ava Helming
Set 2 · OAK 26-25 VALPO · OAK 22% → 31%
04
Maggie UhwatKill+6.6%
Kill by Maggie Uhwat
Set 2 · OAK 26-26 VALPO · VALPO 69% → 75%
05
VALPO serverService error+6.6%
Valparaiso service error
Set 2 · OAK 27-26 VALPO · OAK 25% → 31%
06
Ava HelmingKill+6.2%
Kill by Ava Helming (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 2 · OAK 23-24 VALPO · VALPO 78% → 84%
07
Molly ReckKill+6.2%
Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 2 · OAK 24-24 VALPO · OAK 16% → 22%
08
Maddie SteeleKill+6.2%
Kill by Maddie Steele (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 2 · OAK 24-25 VALPO · VALPO 78% → 84%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Oaklandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Liv HosfordOH	4	13	3	22	.455	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	14
12Ella SchomerOPP	4	10	5	31	.161	0	1	1	3	0	4	2	13
11Molly ReckOH	4	5	4	24	.042	0	4	0	6	0	1	0.5	9.5
10Lillian FriasMB	4	4	1	19	.158	0	1	2	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
23Grace CooneyMB	4	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Delaney SternS	4	0	0	2	.000	29	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Ella MartinOH	4	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2
8Ellen ZappMB	4	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
18Maddie JippingOPP	4	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Kalliann CookL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	20	1	0	0	1
2Kate VrabelL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0
9Caroline MooreOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Kamsi IweajunwaMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Kiley GallagherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Morgin ParsleyS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Mya KattulaS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Olivia RustOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	123	.179	36	8	7	48	4	12	6	74

Valparaisohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ava HelmingOH	4	24	8	46	.348	0	0	0	11	1	0	2	1	25
4Jordyn GoveOH	4	19	4	41	.366	1	0	2	12	2	0	2	1	20
11Maggie UhwatOH	4	10	5	21	.238	0	2	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
27Jessica PickettMB	4	7	0	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
12Maddie SteeleMB	4	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	6
2Olivia WagnerS	4	2	0	4	.500	54	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	2
7Mara ThomasS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
31Mia LibertiDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
17Danica GochDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	8	3	0	0	0	0
3Lindley MartinDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
18Maddie KmetzS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Mia MccallS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Rylee BumgardnerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	8	2	0	0	0	0
21Sarah PippinOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	17	136	.368	62	4	10	60	8	1	10	6	94

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 OAK · VALPO 4

Set 1*

20-25

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 3

Set 3*

16-25

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 4

Set 4*

5-9

Longest run 1 OAKVALPO 4

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oakland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	50%2/4
2	60%3/5	40%2/5
3	60%3/5	25%1/4
4	60%3/5	0%0/3
5	75%3/4	57%4/7
6	75%3/4	25%1/4
All	67%18/27	37%10/27

Valparaiso

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	25%1/4
2	75%3/4	40%2/5
3	100%3/3	40%2/5
4	43%3/7	40%2/5
5	75%3/4	25%1/4
6	50%2/4	25%1/4
All	63%17/27	33%9/27

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

154 rallies

Rally log

#	OAK-VALPO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
2	1-1	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	blk Grace Cooney, Ella Schomer	+1.8
3	1-2	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
4	2-2	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+1.8
5	2-3	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
6	3-3	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
7	3-4	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
8	3-5	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.4
9	4-5	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Liv Hosford	+1.8
10	5-5	OAK	OAK	Ace	OAK server	aced Danica Goch	+2.6
11	5-6	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Olivia Wagner		+1.9
12	6-6	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+2.0
13	7-6	OAK	OAK	Ace	OAK server	aced Ava Helming	+2.8
14	7-7	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	OAK server		+2.0
15	8-7	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
16	8-8	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+2.1
17	8-9	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
18	8-10	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+2.7
19	9-10	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+2.0
20	9-11	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.1
21	9-12	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Grace Cooney	blk Jessica Pickett	+2.6
22	9-13	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Rylee Bumgardner	+2.3
23	10-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.5
24	10-14	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
25	10-15	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+1.9
26	10-16	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.4
27	11-16	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+0.8
28	11-17	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.0
29	12-17	VALPO	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias		+0.7
30	13-17	OAK	OAK×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
31	14-17	OAK	OAK×4	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+2.0
32	15-17	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
33	15-18	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.4
34	16-18	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
35	17-18	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford		+3.5
36	17-19	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
37	18-19	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.8
38	18-20	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.3
39	18-21	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.7
40	19-21	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+2.0
41	19-22	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.9
42	19-23	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.5
43	20-23	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+0.9
44	20-24	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	OAK server		+1.6
45	20-25	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Molly Reck	blk Maddie Steele, Ava Helming	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	VALPO	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+1.6
2	2-0	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
3	3-0	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	OAK server	aced Jordyn Gove	+2.2
4	3-1	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	OAK server		+1.5
5	3-2	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	VALPO server	aced Kalliann Cook	+2.1
6	4-2	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
7	4-3	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	OAK server		+1.6
8	4-4	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+2.3
9	4-5	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.3
10	5-5	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+1.7
11	5-6	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	OAK server		+1.7
12	5-7	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
13	5-8	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Molly Reck		+2.1
14	6-8	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	+1.5
15	7-8	OAK	OAK	Ace	OAK server	aced Rylee Bumgardner	+2.2
16	7-9	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
17	7-10	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming		+2.2
18	8-10	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+1.5
19	8-11	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
20	8-12	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	VALPO server	aced Kate Vrabel	+2.0
21	9-12	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.3
22	10-12	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+2.1
23	10-13	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
24	11-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Grace Cooney	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
25	11-14	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
26	12-14	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Grace Cooney	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
27	12-15	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
28	13-15	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
29	13-16	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
30	14-16	VALPO	OAK×4	Attack err	Ava Helming	blk Molly Reck, Lillian Frias	+1.7
31	15-16	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	OAK server	aced Danica Goch	+2.9
32	16-16	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+3.4
33	17-16	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	OAK server	aced Rylee Bumgardner	+3.7
34	17-17	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.7
35	18-17	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	blk Delaney Stern, Lillian Frias	+3.0
36	18-18	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	OAK server		+2.9
37	19-18	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+3.2
38	19-19	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.1
39	19-20	VALPO	VALPO	Attack err	Liv Hosford	blk Jessica Pickett, Ava Helming	+4.4
40	20-20	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.3
41	20-21	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+3.6
42	20-22	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+4.6
43	21-22	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.8
44	22-22	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kalliann Cook	+5.5
45	22-23	OAK	VALPO	Attack err	Molly Reck	set Lillian Frias	+4.9
46	23-23	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+4.8
47	23-24	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+6.2
48	24-24	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+6.2
49	24-25	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+6.2
50	25-25	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+6.2
51	26-25	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming		+8.8
52	26-26	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat		+6.6
53	27-26	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+6.6
54	28-26	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+9.3
Set 3
1	0-1	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	OAK server		+2.3
2	0-2	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.1
3	0-3	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.9
4	1-3	VALPO	OAK×4	Kill	Ella Martin	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
5	2-3	OAK	OAK×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.1
6	3-3	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	OAK server	aced Jordyn Gove	+3.3
7	4-3	OAK	OAK×4	Attack err	Ava Helming		+3.5
8	4-4	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Jordyn Gove	+2.6
9	4-5	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Schomer		+3.5
10	4-6	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+3.3
11	4-7	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+3.1
12	5-7	VALPO	OAK×3	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	blk Lillian Frias, Jordyn Gove	+2.2
13	6-7	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+3.3
14	7-7	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	OAK server	aced Danica Goch	+3.7
15	7-8	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
16	7-9	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+3.6
17	7-10	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+3.4
18	7-11	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Lillian Frias	blk Maddie Steele, Jordyn Gove	+3.0
19	8-11	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+2.0
20	8-12	OAK	VALPO	Attack err	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+2.3
21	9-12	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
22	9-13	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.3
23	10-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford		+2.0
24	11-13	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming		+3.3
25	11-14	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat		+2.8
26	12-14	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
27	12-15	OAK	VALPO	Attack err	Ella Schomer	blk Jessica Pickett, Maggie Uhwat	+2.9
28	13-15	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.6
29	13-16	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
30	14-16	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Martin	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
31	14-17	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+3.1
32	14-18	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	+3.4
33	14-19	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Martin		+2.6
34	14-20	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Martin		+1.7
35	15-20	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	VALPO server		+0.7
36	15-21	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+1.1
37	15-22	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Liv Hosford		+0.8
38	15-23	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+0.3
39	15-24	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Molly Reck		+0.1
40	16-24	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+0.0
41	16-25	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
2	1-1	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
3	2-1	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.3
4	2-2	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
5	2-3	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Schomer		+3.0
6	2-4	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.9
7	2-5	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	VALPO server	aced Liv Hosford	+2.7
8	3-5	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
9	3-6	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
10	3-7	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+2.5
11	4-7	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Morgin Parsley	+1.7
12	4-8	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
13	5-8	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Morgin Parsley	+1.7
14	5-9	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+10.1

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.