Oakland vs Valparaiso Volleyball: Valparaiso Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

1:3

Valparaiso beat visiting Oakland 3-1 on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Valparaiso's Ava Helming led with 24 kills, and Jordyn Gove added 12 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 5

Set	1	2	3	4*	Sets
OAK	20	28	16	5	1
VALPO	25	26	25	9	3

* Set 4: the NCAA play-by-play stops before this set ended, so the score is partial. The set winner comes from the official result.

Win probability

Valparaiso above 50 · Oakland below

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Valparaiso — set 4, OAK 5-9 VALPO. Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Olivia Wagner). VALPO win probability 90% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OAK 36.2%63.8% VALPO

Oakland wins

3-0

7.5%

3-1

13.0%

3-2

15.7%

Valparaiso wins

3-0

19.3%

3-1

24.4%

3-2

20.0%

OAK break %: 41.1% vs this opp
VALPO break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maggie UhwatKill+9.6%
Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 4 · OAK 5-9 VALPO · VALPO 90% → 100%
02
Jordyn GoveAttack error+9.1%
Attack error by Jordyn Gove
Set 2 · OAK 28-26 VALPO · OAK 30% → 39%
03
Ava HelmingAttack error+8.6%
Attack error by Ava Helming
Set 2 · OAK 26-25 VALPO · OAK 21% → 30%
04
Maggie UhwatKill+6.4%
Kill by Maggie Uhwat
Set 2 · OAK 26-26 VALPO · VALPO 70% → 76%
05
ValparaisoService error+6.4%
Valparaiso service error
Set 2 · OAK 27-26 VALPO · OAK 24% → 30%
06
Ava HelmingKill+6.0%
Kill by Ava Helming (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 2 · OAK 23-24 VALPO · VALPO 79% → 85%
07
Molly ReckKill+6.0%
Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)
Set 2 · OAK 24-24 VALPO · OAK 15% → 21%
08
Maddie SteeleKill+6.0%
Kill by Maddie Steele (set by Olivia Wagner)
Set 2 · OAK 24-25 VALPO · VALPO 79% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oaklandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Liv HosfordOH	4	13	3	22	.455	1	1	2	10	1	0	0	14
12Ella SchomerOPP	4	10	5	31	.161	0	1	1	3	0	4	2	13
11Molly ReckOH	4	5	4	24	.042	0	4	0	6	0	1	0.5	9.5
10Lillian FriasMB	4	4	1	19	.158	0	1	2	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
23Grace CooneyMB	4	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
15Delaney SternS	4	0	0	2	.000	29	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Ella MartinOH	4	2	2	13	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2
8Ellen ZappMB	4	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
18Maddie JippingOPP	4	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
7Kalliann CookL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	20	1	0	0	1
2Kate VrabelL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0
9Caroline MooreOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Kamsi IweajunwaMB	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Kiley GallagherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Morgin ParsleyS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Mya KattulaS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Olivia RustOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	123	.179	36	8	7	48	4	12	6	74

Valparaisohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ava HelmingOH	4	24	8	46	.348	0	0	0	11	1	0	2	1	25
4Jordyn GoveOH	4	19	4	41	.366	1	0	2	12	2	0	2	1	20
11Maggie UhwatOH	4	10	5	21	.238	0	2	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
27Jessica PickettMB	4	7	0	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	9.5
12Maddie SteeleMB	4	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	6
2Olivia WagnerS	4	2	0	4	.500	54	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	2
7Mara ThomasS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
31Mia LibertiDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
17Danica GochDS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	8	3	0	0	0	0
3Lindley MartinDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
18Maddie KmetzS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Mia MccallS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Rylee BumgardnerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	8	2	0	0	0	0
21Sarah PippinOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		67	17	136	.368	62	4	10	60	8	1	10	6	94

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 OAK · VALPO 4

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 OAKVALPO 4

Set 4

5-9

Longest run 1 OAKVALPO 4

Bars above the line = Valparaiso leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oakland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%3/4	50%2/4
2	60%3/5	40%2/5
3	60%3/5	25%1/4
4	60%3/5	0%0/3
5	75%3/4	57%4/7
6	75%3/4	25%1/4
All	67%18/27	37%10/27

Valparaiso

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	25%1/4
2	75%3/4	40%2/5
3	100%3/3	40%2/5
4	43%3/7	40%2/5
5	75%3/4	25%1/4
6	50%2/4	25%1/4
All	63%17/27	33%9/27

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

154 rallies

#	OAK-VALPO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
2	1-1	VALPO	OAK	Blocked	Maggie Uhwat	blk Grace Cooney, Ella Schomer	+1.7
3	1-2	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
4	2-2	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.8
5	2-3	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
6	3-3	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+1.8
7	3-4	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
8	3-5	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.4
9	4-5	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Liv Hosford	+1.7
10	5-5	OAK	OAK	Ace	Oakland	aced Danica Goch	+2.5
11	5-6	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Olivia Wagner		+1.9
12	6-6	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.9
13	7-6	OAK	OAK	Ace	Oakland	aced Ava Helming	+2.8
14	7-7	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	Oakland		+2.0
15	8-7	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.1
16	8-8	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+2.1
17	8-9	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
18	8-10	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Liv Hosford		+2.7
19	9-10	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+1.9
20	9-11	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
21	9-12	VALPO	VALPO×3	Blocked	Grace Cooney	blk Jessica Pickett	+2.6
22	9-13	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Rylee Bumgardner	+2.2
23	10-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.4
24	10-14	OAK	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
25	10-15	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+1.8
26	10-16	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.4
27	11-16	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+0.7
28	11-17	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.0
29	12-17	VALPO	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias		+0.7
30	13-17		OAK	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.4
31	14-17	OAK	OAK×4	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+1.9
32	15-17	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
33	15-18	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.3
34	16-18	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
35	17-18	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford		+3.4
36	17-19	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.9
37	18-19	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+2.7
38	18-20	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.2
39	18-21	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+3.6
40	19-21	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+2.0
41	19-22	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
42	19-23	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.4
43	20-23	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+0.8
44	20-24	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	Oakland		+1.6
45	20-25	VALPO	VALPO	Blocked	Molly Reck	blk Maddie Steele, Ava Helming	+0.6
Set 2
1	1-0	VALPO	OAK×3	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+1.6
2	2-0	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
3	3-0	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	Oakland	aced Jordyn Gove	+2.2
4	3-1	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	Oakland		+1.5
5	3-2	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	Valparaiso	aced Kalliann Cook	+2.1
6	4-2	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.7
7	4-3	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	Oakland		+1.6
8	4-4	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+2.2
9	4-5	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
10	5-5	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.7
11	5-6	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	Oakland		+1.7
12	5-7	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
13	5-8	VALPO	VALPO×3	Attack err	Molly Reck		+2.0
14	6-8	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	+1.4
15	7-8	OAK	OAK	Ace	Oakland	aced Rylee Bumgardner	+2.2
16	7-9	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
17	7-10	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming		+2.1
18	8-10	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.5
19	8-11	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.6
20	8-12	VALPO	VALPO	Ace	Valparaiso	aced Kate Vrabel	+1.9
21	9-12	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+1.2
22	10-12	OAK	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+2.0
23	10-13	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
24	11-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Grace Cooney	set Delaney Stern	+1.5
25	11-14	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.7
26	12-14	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Grace Cooney	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
27	12-15	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
28	13-15	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.6
29	13-16	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
30	14-16	VALPO	OAK×4	Blocked	Ava Helming	blk Molly Reck, Lillian Frias	+1.6
31	15-16	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	Oakland	aced Danica Goch	+2.8
32	16-16	OAK	OAK×4	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+3.3
33	17-16	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	Oakland	aced Rylee Bumgardner	+3.6
34	17-17	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.6
35	18-17	VALPO	OAK	Blocked	Maggie Uhwat	blk Delaney Stern, Lillian Frias	+2.9
36	18-18	OAK	VALPO	Serve err	Oakland		+2.8
37	19-18	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+3.1
38	19-19	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
39	19-20	VALPO	VALPO	Blocked	Liv Hosford	blk Jessica Pickett, Ava Helming	+4.3
40	20-20	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.2
41	20-21	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jessica Pickett	set Olivia Wagner	+3.5
42	20-22	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+4.5
43	21-22	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.7
44	22-22	OAK	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Kalliann Cook	+5.3
45	22-23	OAK	VALPO	Attack err	Molly Reck	set Lillian Frias	+4.7
46	23-23	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+4.6
47	23-24	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+6.0
48	24-24	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Molly Reck	set Delaney Stern	+6.0
49	24-25	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+6.0
50	25-25	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Delaney Stern	+6.0
51	26-25	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming		+8.6
52	26-26	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat		+6.4
53	27-26	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+6.4
54	28-26	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Jordyn Gove		+9.1
Set 3
1	0-1	OAK	VALPO×3	Serve err	Oakland		+2.3
2	0-2	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
3	0-3	VALPO	VALPO×3	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
4	1-3	VALPO	OAK×4	Kill	Ella Martin	set Delaney Stern	+2.0
5	2-3		OAK	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+3.0
6	3-3	OAK	OAK×4	Ace	Oakland	aced Jordyn Gove	+3.3
7	4-3	OAK	OAK×4	Attack err	Ava Helming		+3.5
8	4-4	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Jordyn Gove	+2.5
9	4-5	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Schomer		+3.4
10	4-6	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Rylee Bumgardner	+3.3
11	4-7	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+3.1
12	5-7	VALPO	OAK×3	Blocked	Maggie Uhwat	blk Lillian Frias, Jordyn Gove	+2.2
13	6-7	OAK	OAK×3	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	+3.3
14	7-7	OAK	OAK×3	Ace	Oakland	aced Danica Goch	+3.7
15	7-8	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.7
16	7-9	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+3.6
17	7-10	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+3.3
18	7-11	VALPO	VALPO×4	Blocked	Lillian Frias	blk Maddie Steele, Jordyn Gove	+2.9
19	8-11	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+1.9
20	8-12	OAK	VALPO	Attack err	Liv Hosford	set Kalliann Cook	+2.2
21	9-12	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+1.9
22	9-13	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
23	10-13	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford		+1.9
24	11-13	OAK	OAK	Attack err	Ava Helming		+3.3
25	11-14	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat		+2.7
26	12-14	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.5
27	12-15	OAK	VALPO	Blocked	Ella Schomer	blk Jessica Pickett, Maggie Uhwat	+2.8
28	13-15	VALPO	OAK	Attack err	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.5
29	13-16	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.9
30	14-16	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Martin	set Delaney Stern	+2.6
31	14-17	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+3.0
32	14-18	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	+3.4
33	14-19	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Martin		+2.5
34	14-20	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Martin		+1.6
35	15-20	VALPO	OAK	Serve err	Valparaiso		+0.7
36	15-21	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Olivia Wagner	+1.1
37	15-22	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Liv Hosford		+0.7
38	15-23	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+0.3
39	15-24	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Molly Reck		+0.1
40	16-24	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Lillian Frias	set Delaney Stern	·
41	16-25	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove	set Danica Goch	·
Set 4
1	1-0	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ellen Zapp	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
2	1-1	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+2.1
3	2-1	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+2.2
4	2-2	OAK	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.2
5	2-3	VALPO	VALPO×4	Attack err	Ella Schomer		+2.9
6	2-4	VALPO	VALPO×4	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.8
7	2-5	VALPO	VALPO×4	Ace	Valparaiso	aced Liv Hosford	+2.6
8	3-5	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Ella Schomer	set Delaney Stern	+1.9
9	3-6	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Ava Helming	set Olivia Wagner	+2.0
10	3-7	VALPO	VALPO	Kill	Jordyn Gove		+2.4
11	4-7	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Maddie Jipping	set Morgin Parsley	+1.6
12	4-8	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maddie Steele	set Olivia Wagner	+1.8
13	5-8	VALPO	OAK	Kill	Liv Hosford	set Morgin Parsley	+1.6
14	5-9	OAK	VALPO	Kill	Maggie Uhwat	set Olivia Wagner	+9.6

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Valparaiso def. Oakland 3–1