Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Green Bay def. Oakland 3–2

Green Bay beat visiting Oakland 3-2 (25-16, 25-19, 19-25, 18-25, 15-4) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Gillian Koning led Green Bay with 21 kills; Oakland's Molly Reck had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set12345Sets
OAK1619252542
GRNBAY25251918153

Win probability

Green Bay above 50 · Oakland below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.6% GRNBAYrally 191 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Green Bay — set 5, OAK 0-2 GRNBAY. Ella Martin stuffed by Alexa Hernandez & Olivia Neumann. GRNBAY win probability 67% → 75%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OAK 27.9%72.1% GRNBAY

Oakland wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.0%

Green Bay wins

3-0
24.8%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%
OAK break %
40.2% vs this opp
GRNBAY break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ella Martin stuffed by Alexa Hernandez & Olivia Neumann

    Set 5 · OAK 0-2 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 67% → 75%

  2. 02

    Kill by Gillian Koning

    Set 5 · OAK 0-3 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 75% → 82%

  3. 03

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 5 · OAK 0-1 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 61% → 67%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 5 · OAK 1-5 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 82% → 88%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gillian Koning (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 5 · OAK 1-4 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 77% → 82%

  6. 06
    Molly ReckKill+4.6%

    Kill by Molly Reck (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 5 · OAK 1-3 GRNBAY · OAK 18% → 23%

  7. 07
    Molly ReckAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Molly Reck

    Set 5 · OAK 1-6 GRNBAY · GRNBAY 88% → 92%

  8. 08
    Molly ReckKill+3.8%

    Kill by Molly Reck

    Set 4 · OAK 13-11 GRNBAY · OAK 19% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523762.25810213200023
510523.2171115024415
59435.143220130031.512.5
57225.20000020111.58.5
5006.00042111200212
1017-.143000200000
5001.0008023100000
5000–000910000
48533.091002810008
21011.000001310001
Team totals5824193.1765449986310889
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521657.26300030010.521.5
512230.3330202004216
59339.15401015002111
56218.22200020052.58.5
5229.00046142500214
5000–310810001
513227.4070008004215
5000–010810001
5001.0007022000000
2027-.286000100000
1000–000200000
Team totals6319188.23456669440189102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Oakland vs Green Bay

Season series · Green Bay leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 OAK · GRNBAY 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 OAKGRNBAY 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 OAKGRNBAY 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 OAKGRNBAY 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 OAKGRNBAY 3

Set 5

4-15

Longest run 1 OAKGRNBAY 6

Bars above the line = Green Bay leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%5/15
29%2/7
2
42%5/12
38%3/8
3
50%5/10
50%5/10
4
50%5/10
0%0/5
5
50%4/8
0%0/5
6
38%3/8
33%2/6
All
43%27/63
29%12/41

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%6/8
60%6/10
2
56%5/9
58%7/12
3
63%5/8
58%7/12
4
100%5/5
62%8/13
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
60%3/5
67%6/9
All
71%29/41
57%36/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

191 rallies

#OAK-GRNBAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
20-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errElla Schomer+1.9
30-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
40-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumann+1.5
51-4GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+1.1
61-5OAKGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.1
71-6GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+1.3
82-6GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+0.9
93-6OAKOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.5
103-7OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+1.2
114-7GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.1
124-8OAKGRNBAY×3Serve errOakland+1.2
134-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
144-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errLillian Frias+1.1
155-10GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+0.7
165-11OAKGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
176-11GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.7
186-12OAKGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
196-13GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errLiv Hosford+0.8
206-14GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
216-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errMolly Reck+0.4
227-15GRNBAYOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.2
238-15OAKOAKAttack errGillian Koning+0.4
248-16OAKGRNBAYAttack errElla Schomerset Kalliann Cook+0.4
259-16GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.3
2610-16OAKOAKBlockedAlexa Hernandezblk Lillian Frias+0.5
2710-17OAKGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
2811-17GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+0.4
2912-17OAKOAKAttack errOlivia Neumann+0.8
3012-18OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
3112-19GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedMolly Reckblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+0.6
3213-19GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.3
3313-20OAKGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+0.4
3413-21GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedLillian Friasblk Kelsey Justman, Diane Pichelman+0.3
3513-22GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errLillian Frias+0.1
3614-22GRNBAYOAKBlockedKelsey Justmanblk Delaney Stern, Lillian Frias·
3714-23OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+0.1
3814-24GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Molly Reck·
3915-24GRNBAYOAKBlockedAlexa Hernandezblk Grace Cooney·
4016-24OAKOAKKillGrace Cooney·
4116-25OAKGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez·
Set 2
11-0OAKOAKBlockedGillian Koningblk Grace Cooney, Ella Schomer+1.8
21-1OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koning+1.3
31-2GRNBAYGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumann+1.7
42-2GRNBAYOAKKillKate Vrabel+1.3
53-2OAKOAKAttack errOlivia Neumann+1.9
63-3OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
73-4GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errMolly Reck+1.8
84-4GRNBAYOAK×4KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.3
95-4OAKOAK×4Attack errKirsten Fish+2.0
106-4OAKOAK×4Attack errGillian Koning+2.1
117-4OAKOAK×4KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.1
127-5OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
137-6GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Kiley Gallagher+2.0
148-6GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.6
158-7OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+1.5
169-7GRNBAYOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.7
179-8OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+1.5
1810-8GRNBAYOAKKillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+1.7
1910-9OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+1.6
2010-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
2111-10GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.8
2211-11OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2311-12GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Molly Reck+2.3
2412-12GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.7
2513-12OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.5
2613-13OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
2714-13GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+2.0
2814-14OAKGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fish+1.9
2914-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×4BlockedElla Martinblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+2.6
3014-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKelsey Justmanset Kalliann Cook+2.4
3114-17GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
3215-17GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.4
3315-18OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.6
3416-18GRNBAYOAKKillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+1.4
3516-19OAKGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+1.7
3616-20GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errElla Martin+1.7
3717-20GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.9
3818-20OAKOAKKillElla Schomerset Kalliann Cook+1.9
3918-21OAKGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Kennedy Schmitz+1.8
4018-22GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
4119-22GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.7
4219-23OAKGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
4319-24GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
4419-25GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGreen Bayaced Kate Vrabel+0.2
Set 3
11-0GRNBAYOAKAttack errGillian Koning+0.7
22-0OAKOAKAceOaklandaced Kennedy Schmitz+1.0
32-1OAKGRNBAYKillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+0.7
43-1GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomer+0.8
54-1OAKOAKKillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+1.0
64-2OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+0.7
74-3GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errElla Schomer+1.0
85-3GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.8
95-4OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+0.7
106-4GRNBAYOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.8
117-4OAK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
128-4OAKOAK×5Attack errKelsey Justman+1.1
139-4OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.0
1410-4OAKOAK×5AceOaklandaced Kendall Schara+0.9
1510-5OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
1611-5GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.7
1711-6OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
1812-6GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.7
1913-6OAKOAKKillGrace Cooney+0.8
2013-7OAKGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
2113-8GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGreen Bayaced Ella Martin+0.7
2214-8GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.7
2314-9OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.5
2414-10GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koning+0.8
2515-10GRNBAYOAKKillElla Martin+0.8
2615-11OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
2716-11GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.8
2816-12OAKGRNBAYKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
2917-12GRNBAYOAKBlockedGillian Koningblk Lillian Frias, Ella Schomer+0.8
3017-13OAKGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
3118-13GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.8
3218-14OAKGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
3318-15GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedMolly Reckblk Kirsten Fish, Diane Pichelman+1.0
3419-15GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.0
3520-15OAKOAKBlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Lillian Frias+1.1
3620-16OAKGRNBAYAttack errElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.5
3721-16GRNBAYOAK×4KillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.8
3822-16OAKOAK×4KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.6
3923-16OAKOAK×4KillElla Martinset Lillian Frias+0.3
4024-16OAKOAK×4KillGrace Cooneyset Delaney Stern+0.1
4124-17OAKGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez·
4224-18GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedGrace Cooneyblk Diane Pichelman, Gillian Koning·
4324-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+0.1
4425-19GRNBAYOAKKillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+0.1
Set 4
11-0OAKOAKAttack errKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.6
21-1OAKGRNBAYKillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.9
32-1GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+2.0
43-1OAKOAKAttack errKelsey Justman+2.8
53-2OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+1.9
64-2GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.2
74-3OAKGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
85-3GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+2.2
95-4OAKGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
105-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+2.8
115-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedElla Martinblk Alexa Hernandez, Olivia Neumann+2.7
126-6GRNBAYOAK×3KillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+2.1
137-6OAKOAK×3Attack errGillian Koning+3.1
148-6OAKOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Molly Reck+3.2
158-7OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
168-8GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Macy Kline+3.1
179-8GRNBAYOAKServe errGreen Bay+2.4
189-9OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.3
1910-9GRNBAYOAKKillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.5
2010-10OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.4
2111-10GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+2.6
2211-11OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.5
2312-11GRNBAYOAK×5KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+2.7
2413-11OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reck+3.8
2514-11OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reck+3.8
2615-11OAKOAK×5AceOakland+3.5
2716-11OAKOAK×5BlockedKayla Birminghamblk Delaney Stern, Lillian Frias+3.1
2816-12OAKGRNBAYAttack errLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.6
2917-12GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.3
3017-13OAKGRNBAYServe errOakland+1.6
3118-13GRNBAYOAK×3KillElla Martinset Delaney Stern+2.3
3219-13OAKOAK×3AceOakland+2.3
3320-13OAK
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
3420-14OAKGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.6
3520-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errGrace Cooney+1.2
3620-16GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandez+1.8
3721-16GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Ella Schomer+2.1
3821-17OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.2
3922-17GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.0
4022-18OAKGRNBAYAttack errMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+1.0
4123-18GRNBAYOAK×3Attack errKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
4224-18OAKOAK×3BlockedDiane Pichelmanblk Ella Schomer, Lillian Frias+1.0
4325-18OAKOAK×3KillElla Schomerset Delaney Stern+0.9
Set 5
10-1OAKGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+5.9
20-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3BlockedElla Martinblk Alexa Hernandez, Olivia Neumann+7.6
30-3GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koning+6.8
41-3GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+4.6
51-4OAKGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+5.1
61-5GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+5.9
71-6GRNBAYGRNBAY×6Attack errMolly Reck+4.5
81-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×6KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+3.3
91-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×6AceGreen Bay+2.1
101-9GRNBAYGRNBAY×6BlockedMolly Reckblk Olivia Neumann, Kirsten Fish+1.2
112-9GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reck+0.5
122-10OAKGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
133-10GRNBAYOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.4
143-11OAKGRNBAYKillKirsten Fish+0.6
153-12GRNBAYGRNBAYBlockedLillian Friasblk Diane Pichelman, Kelsey Justman+0.4
164-12GRNBAYOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.1
174-13OAKGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Macy Kline+0.2
184-14GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKelsey Justmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
194-15GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez·

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).