Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Oakland def. Robert Morris 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Oakland 63.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oakland won at Robert Morris 3-2 (25-14, 25-23, 23-25, 22-25, 15-10) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Liv Hosford led Oakland with 17 kills; Robert Morris' Lauren Decker had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set12345Sets
OAK25252322153
ROBMOR14232525102

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Delaney Stern set 54 assists as Oakland outlasted Robert Morris.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Oakland's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Oakland went in as RallyIQ's 64% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Oakland 3–1 Robert Morris

    Down 1–3, Robert Morris scored 3 straight to lead 4–3. The match swung to Robert Morris.

    Oakland 72% → 47%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Oakland 4–5 Robert Morris

    Oakland scored 4 straight to turn a 4–5 deficit into an 8–5 lead. The match swung to Oakland.

    Oakland 46% → 83%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Oakland 11–10 Robert Morris

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Oakland, enough to take the set 15–10 and win the match 3–2.

    Oakland 72% → >99%

Robert Morris above 50Oakland belowMax swing 10.9%

OaklandRobert Morris

Sideout %
Oakland 62.2·Robert Morris 55.0
Break %
Oakland 45.0·Robert Morris 37.8
Hitting
Oakland .176·Robert Morris .107
Longest run
Oakland 5·Robert Morris 5

Molly Reck
4 kills inside the turning points, 13 K and .135 for the match (14 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Robert Morris above 50 · Oakland below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.9% OAKrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.9% to Oakland — set 5, OAK 13-10 ROBMOR. Attack error by Lauren Decker. ROBMOR win probability 18% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OAK 64.4%35.6% ROBMOR

Oakland wins

3-0
19.7%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.1%

Robert Morris wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.8%
3-2
15.5%
OAK break %
42.0% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lauren DeckerAttack error+10.9%

    Attack error by Lauren Decker

    Set 5 · OAK 13-10 ROBMOR · OAK 82% → 93%

  2. 02
    Keira HornungAttack error+10.8%

    Attack error by Keira Hornung

    Set 5 · OAK 6-5 ROBMOR · OAK 53% → 64%

  3. 03
    Molly ReckKill+10.3%

    Kill by Molly Reck

    Set 5 · OAK 7-5 ROBMOR · OAK 64% → 74%

  4. 04
    Ella SchomerAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Ella Schomer

    Set 5 · OAK 3-4 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 43% → 53%

  5. 05
    Ellen ZappKill+10.0%

    Kill by Ellen Zapp (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 5 · OAK 12-10 ROBMOR · OAK 72% → 82%

  6. 06
    Addyson ButtsKill+9.8%

    Kill by Addyson Butts (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 5 · OAK 8-7 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 22% → 31%

  7. 07
    Keira HornungKill+9.4%

    Kill by Keira Hornung (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 5 · OAK 3-3 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 34% → 43%

  8. 08
    Olivia RustKill+9.1%

    Kill by Olivia Rust (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 5 · OAK 11-9 ROBMOR · OAK 70% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517747.213231160111.521.5
513837.13500011102114
58223.26100210073.511.5
59425.2000001002110
5439.11154102100005
48626.0770002004210
5000–112900001
5000–8012430000
38318.278000010219
1013-.333000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6734188.176655685511810110
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5211463.11120314302122
512431.25810016100012
58535.0860001014311
55219.15800100031.56.5
5106.1674621130052.55.5
1000–000110000
55819-.158000201016
5000–2101800001
5001.000100100000
4003.0000201200002
Team totals5233177.1075255785214997

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Oakland vs Robert Morris

Season series · Oakland leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 OAK · ROBMOR 5

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 OAKROBMOR 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 OAKROBMOR 2

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 OAKROBMOR 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 OAKROBMOR 5

Set 5

15-10

Longest run 4 OAKROBMOR 3

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
44%8/18
2
65%11/17
65%22/34
3
77%10/13
35%6/17
4
56%10/18
38%6/16
5
69%9/13
40%6/15
6
44%8/18
11%1/9
All
62%61/98
45%49/109

Robert Morris

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%12/29
42%8/19
2
48%12/25
29%5/17
3
53%10/19
33%5/15
4
90%9/10
44%8/18
5
64%9/14
18%2/11
6
67%8/12
50%9/18
All
55%60/109
38%37/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#OAK-ROBMORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
21-1ROBMOROAK×5Serve errAddyson Butts+1.7
32-1OAKOAK×5BlockedLauren Deckerblk Ellen Zapp, Caroline Moore+2.4
43-1OAKOAK×5KillCaroline Mooreset Kalliann Cook+2.3
54-1OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.2
65-1OAKOAK×5Attack errLauren Decker+2.0
75-2OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+1.2
86-2ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.4
97-2OAKOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+1.7
107-3OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
118-3ROBMOROAKKillDelaney Sternset Liv Hosford+1.2
128-4OAKROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+1.0
138-5ROBMORROBMORBlockedMolly Reckblk Tia Schultz+1.8
149-5ROBMOROAK×3BlockedTia Schultzblk Lillian Frias, Molly Reck+1.4
1510-5OAKOAK×3KillDelaney Sternset Liv Hosford+1.8
1611-5OAKOAK×3Attack errLauren Decker+1.4
1711-6OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
1812-6ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.0
1912-7OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
2013-7ROBMOROAKKillDelaney Sternset Kalliann Cook+1.0
2114-7OAKOAKKillCaroline Mooreset Kalliann Cook+1.0
2214-8OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
2315-8ROBMOROAK×5KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.7
2416-8OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
2517-8OAKOAK×5AceLiv Hosfordaced Maddie Siphakongviseth+0.4
2618-8OAKOAK×5KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.2
2719-8OAKOAK×5KillCaroline Mooreset Kalliann Cook+0.1
2819-9OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard·
2919-10ROBMORROBMORAttack errDelaney Stern+0.1
3020-10ROBMOROAKAttack errTia Schultz+0.1
3121-10OAKOAKBlockedLauren Deckerblk Lillian Frias, Caroline Moore+0.1
3221-11OAKROBMORAttack errMolly Reck·
3322-11ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern·
3422-12OAKROBMORAttack errLillian Frias·
3523-12ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern·
3623-13OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard·
3723-14ROBMORROBMORAttack errMolly Reck·
3824-14ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern·
3925-14OAKOAKAttack errLayla Todd·
Set 2
10-1ROBMORROBMORAceKenlee Barnardaced Molly Reck+2.2
20-2ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.2
31-2ROBMOROAK×4KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.5
42-2OAKOAK×4Attack errKeira Hornung+2.2
53-2OAKOAK×4AceLiv Hosfordaced Lauren Decker+2.2
64-2OAKOAK×4AceLiv Hosfordaced Lauren Decker+2.1
74-3OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.4
85-3ROBMOROAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+1.5
95-4OAKROBMORServe errEllen Zapp+1.4
106-4ROBMOROAKAttack errTia Schultz+1.5
116-5OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.5
126-6ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Lauren Decker+2.4
137-6ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.6
147-7OAKROBMORKillKenlee Barnardset Lauren Decker+1.7
157-8ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.6
168-8ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.7
178-9OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+1.9
188-10ROBMORROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+2.8
199-10ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.7
209-11OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+2.0
2110-11ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+1.8
2211-11OAKOAKAttack errLauren Decker+2.8
2311-12OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.1
2412-12ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+2.0
2513-12OAKOAKAttack errLayla Todd+3.0
2613-13OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
2714-13ROBMOROAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.1
2815-13OAKOAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+3.0
2916-13OAKOAK×3AceKiley Gallagheraced Layla Todd+2.6
3016-14OAKROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+1.6
3117-14ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.8
3217-15OAKROBMORAttack errLillian Frias+1.6
3318-15ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.9
3418-16OAKROBMORAttack errDelaney Stern+1.6
3518-17ROBMORROBMORAttack errDelaney Stern+3.1
3619-17ROBMOROAKAttack errKeira Hornung+2.5
3720-17OAKOAKBlockedLauren Deckerblk Ellen Zapp, Caroline Moore+3.1
3820-18OAKROBMORBlockedCaroline Mooreblk Keira Hornung, Lauren Decker+1.6
3920-19ROBMORROBMORAceKenlee Barnardaced Kalliann Cook+3.3
4021-19ROBMOROAKAttack errTia Schultz+2.9
4121-20OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.4
4221-21ROBMORROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+4.9
4322-21ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+3.8
4422-22OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+3.8
4523-22ROBMOROAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+4.5
4623-23OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+4.4
4724-23ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+5.7
4825-23OAKOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+7.8
Set 3
11-0OAKOAK×4KillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+1.2
22-0OAKOAK×4KillDelaney Stern+1.2
33-0OAKOAK×4KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.1
44-0OAKOAK×4AceDelaney Sternaced Lauren Decker+1.0
54-1OAKROBMORBlockedCaroline Mooreblk Lauren Decker, Keira Hornung+0.6
65-1ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.7
76-1OAKOAKBlockedTia Schultzblk Ellen Zapp, Olivia Rust+0.9
86-2OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
96-3ROBMORROBMORAttack errEllen Zapp+0.9
107-3ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+0.7
117-4OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.6
127-5ROBMORROBMORAceNatalie Stepanovichaced Kalliann Cook+1.1
138-5ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.8
148-6OAKROBMORServe errKiley Gallagher+0.8
159-6ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+0.8
169-7OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
1710-7ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+0.9
1810-8OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
1911-8ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.9
2011-9OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
2112-9ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+0.9
2213-9OAKOAKKillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+1.1
2313-10OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.7
2414-10ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.8
2515-10OAKOAKKillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+0.9
2615-11OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
2716-11ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.6
2816-12OAKROBMORBlockedOlivia Rustblk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts+0.5
2917-12ROBMOROAK×4KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+0.6
3018-12OAKOAK×4Attack errLauren Decker+0.6
3119-12OAKOAK×4BlockedAddyson Buttsblk Liv Hosford+0.4
3220-12OAKOAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Kalliann Cook+0.2
3320-13OAKROBMOR×3Attack errLillian Frias+0.1
3420-14ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.2
3520-15ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.3
3621-15ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Kiley Gallagher+0.3
3721-16OAKROBMOR×5BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Keira Hornung, Kenlee Barnard+0.2
3821-17ROBMORROBMOR×5BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Keira Hornung, Kenlee Barnard+0.5
3921-18ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errLiv Hosford+0.8
4021-19ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errEllen Zapp+1.3
4121-20ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errMolly Reck+2.0
4222-20ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.8
4322-21OAKROBMOR×3Attack errCaroline Moore+1.4
4422-22ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+3.1
4522-23ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedCaroline Mooreblk Keira Hornung+4.0
4623-23ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+2.6
4723-24OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+3.5
4823-25ROBMORROBMORAceAnahi Alvaradoaced Olivia Rust+5.4
Set 4
11-0ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.0
21-1OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
32-1ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+2.0
42-2OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.1
53-2ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.1
64-2OAKOAKAttack errLayla Todd+2.9
74-3OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
84-4ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+3.1
95-4ROBMOROAKAttack errAddyson Butts+2.2
105-5OAKROBMORBlockedLiv Hosfordblk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts+2.2
116-5ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.2
126-6OAKROBMOR×4Serve errKalliann Cook+2.3
136-7ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLauren Deckerset Layla Todd+3.5
146-8ROBMORROBMOR×4Attack errLiv Hosford+3.6
156-9ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+3.6
167-9ROBMOROAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.2
178-9OAKOAK×3BlockedKeira Hornungblk Ellen Zapp, Liv Hosford+3.5
189-9OAKOAK×3Attack errLauren Decker+3.7
199-10OAKROBMORAttack errCaroline Moore+2.7
2010-10ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.6
2110-11OAKROBMORServe errLiv Hosford+2.8
2211-11ROBMOROAK×3Attack errTia Schultz+2.7
2312-11OAKOAK×3Attack errLayla Todd+4.0
2413-11OAKOAK×3KillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+3.8
2513-12OAKROBMORServe errEllen Zapp+2.5
2613-13ROBMORROBMORAttack errCaroline Moore+4.1
2714-13ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+2.9
2814-14OAKROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+3.0
2914-15ROBMORROBMOR×5AceNatalie Stepanovichaced Kalliann Cook+4.7
3014-16ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errLillian Frias+4.8
3114-17ROBMORROBMOR×5BlockedOlivia Rustblk Addyson Butts, Kenlee Barnard+4.6
3214-18ROBMORROBMOR×5Attack errOlivia Rust+3.9
3315-18ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.0
3415-19OAKROBMORAttack errLiv Hosford+2.8
3516-19ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.9
3616-20OAKROBMORAttack errLiv Hosford+2.8
3716-21ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.8
3817-21ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.0
3917-22OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
4018-22ROBMOROAK×4Serve errKenlee Barnard+0.8
4119-22OAKOAK×4BlockedTia Schultzblk Ellen Zapp, Olivia Rust+2.2
4220-22OAKOAK×4Attack errLauren Decker+3.6
4321-22OAKOAK×4BlockedTia Schultzblk Ellen Zapp, Caroline Moore+5.6
4421-23OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+5.7
4522-23ROBMOROAKKillCaroline Mooreset Delaney Stern+3.9
4622-24OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+6.7
4722-25ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+4.1
Set 5
10-1ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Addison Fowler+9.1
21-1ROBMOROAK×3KillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+6.1
32-1OAKOAK×3BlockedKeira Hornungblk Molly Reck, Ellen Zapp+9.0
43-1OAKOAK×3Attack errLauren Decker+8.6
53-2OAKROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+5.6
63-3ROBMORROBMOR×3KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+9.4
73-4ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errElla Schomer+10.2
84-4ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+6.8
94-5OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+7.4
105-5ROBMOROAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+7.1
116-5OAKOAK×4Attack errKeira Hornung+10.8
127-5OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reck+10.3
138-5OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+9.0
148-6OAKROBMORServe errKiley Gallagher+5.1
158-7ROBMORROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+9.8
169-7ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+7.9
179-8OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+7.1
1810-8ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+8.4
1910-9OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+7.4
2011-9ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+9.1
2111-10OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+7.7
2212-10ROBMOROAK×4KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+10.0
2313-10OAKOAK×4Attack errLauren Decker+10.9
2414-10OAKOAK×4KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+5.7
2515-10OAKOAK×4KillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).