Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

Oakland def. Robert Morris 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Oakland 66.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oakland won at Robert Morris 3-1 (25-19, 21-25, 25-23, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Oakland's Liv Hosford led with 18 kills, and Kalliann Cook added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
OAK252125253
ROBMOR192523191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Liv Hosford's 18 kills led Oakland past Robert Morris in a tight one.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are Oakland's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Oakland went in as RallyIQ's 66% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Oakland 7–8 Robert Morris

    5 straight Oakland points turned a 7–8 deficit into a 12–8 lead.

    Oakland 59% → 76%

Robert Morris above 50Oakland belowMax swing 8.1%

OaklandRobert Morris

Sideout %
Oakland 62.1·Robert Morris 55.8
Break %
Oakland 44.2·Robert Morris 37.9
Hitting
Oakland .195·Robert Morris .147
Longest run
Oakland 6·Robert Morris 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Robert Morris above 50 · Oakland below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.1% OAKrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.1% to Oakland — set 3, OAK 25-23 ROBMOR. Attack error by Layla Todd. ROBMOR win probability 25% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OAK 64.4%35.6% ROBMOR

Oakland wins

3-0
19.6%
3-1
24.7%
3-2
20.1%

Robert Morris wins

3-0
7.3%
3-1
12.8%
3-2
15.5%
OAK break %
42.0% vs this opp
ROBMOR break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Layla ToddAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Layla Todd

    Set 3 · OAK 25-23 ROBMOR · OAK 75% → 83%

  2. 02

    Ellen Zapp stuffed by Lauren Decker & Keira Hornung

    Set 3 · OAK 20-19 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 26% → 31%

  3. 03
    Lauren DeckerAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Lauren Decker

    Set 3 · OAK 22-19 ROBMOR · OAK 73% → 78%

  4. 04
    Tia SchultzKill+4.9%

    Kill by Tia Schultz (set by Kenlee Barnard)

    Set 3 · OAK 24-23 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 20% → 25%

  5. 05
    Liv HosfordKill+4.4%

    Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Keira Hornung)

    Set 3 · OAK 21-19 ROBMOR · OAK 69% → 73%

  6. 06
    Lauren DeckerAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Lauren Decker

    Set 3 · OAK 9-8 ROBMOR · OAK 62% → 66%

  7. 07
    Delaney SternBad set+3.9%

    Bad set by Delaney Stern

    Set 3 · OAK 6-7 ROBMOR · ROBMOR 37% → 41%

  8. 08
    Liv HosfordKill+3.7%

    Kill by Liv Hosford (set by Delaney Stern)

    Set 3 · OAK 10-8 ROBMOR · OAK 66% → 69%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418752.21200217100018
414759.119002160010.514.5
411223.39100020111.512.5
47328.14301020031.59.5
46027.22200030052.58.5
4106.16748211700003
4000–6312320003
4000–0022100000
3000–012000001
Team totals5719195.195547101014110696
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415851.137016182111.517.5
413549.163010112010.514.5
410434.1760001014313
45116.250100400427
44118.167000200426
4217.14340001100213
41011.0007113900002
4026-.333010830001
4000–000200000
1012-.500000200000
Team totals5023184.14748479872161086

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Oakland vs Robert Morris

Season series · Oakland leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 OAK · ROBMOR 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 6 OAKROBMOR 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 OAKROBMOR 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 OAKROBMOR 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 OAKROBMOR 3

Bars above the line = Robert Morris leads, below = Oakland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oakland

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
44%7/16
2
69%11/16
27%4/15
3
53%8/15
40%6/15
4
62%8/13
27%3/11
5
89%8/9
43%6/14
6
50%8/16
67%16/24
All
62%54/87
44%42/95

Robert Morris

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
57%13/23
2
63%10/16
21%3/14
3
67%8/12
53%10/19
4
57%8/14
0%0/8
5
57%8/14
43%6/14
6
32%8/25
11%1/9
All
56%53/95
38%33/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#OAK-ROBMORSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0OAKOAKAttack errKeira Hornung+2.3
21-1OAKROBMORServe errOakland+1.6
31-2ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+2.5
42-2ROBMOROAKAttack errKeira Hornung+1.7
52-3OAKROBMORServe errOakland+1.8
63-3ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+1.7
73-4OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
84-4ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.7
94-5OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+1.9
105-5ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.8
115-6OAKROBMORServe errOakland+1.9
126-6ROBMOROAK×6KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.8
137-6OAKOAK×6KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.7
148-6OAKOAK×6AceOaklandaced Natalie Stepanovich+2.5
159-6OAKOAK×6KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.3
1610-6OAKOAK×6KillLiv Hosfordset Kalliann Cook+2.0
1711-6OAKOAK×6Attack errNatalie Stepanovich+1.7
1811-7OAKROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.0
1911-8ROBMORROBMOR×3KillAnahi Alvaradoset Tia Schultz+1.8
2011-9ROBMORROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Anahi Alvarado+2.2
2112-9ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.7
2212-10OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.6
2313-10ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+1.8
2414-10OAKOAKAttack errLayla Todd+2.2
2514-11OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+1.3
2615-11ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.5
2716-11OAKOAKAceOaklandaced Lauren Decker+1.7
2816-12OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+0.9
2917-12ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.2
3018-12OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.2
3118-13OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
3218-14ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.2
3319-14ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.2
3420-14OAKOAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+1.1
3520-15OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.4
3621-15ROBMOROAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.7
3722-15OAKOAK×4KillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.5
3823-15OAKOAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.2
3924-15OAKOAK×4Attack errNatalie Stepanovich·
4024-16OAKROBMOR×4KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard·
4124-17ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedLiv Hosfordblk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz·
4224-18ROBMORROBMOR×4KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard·
4324-19ROBMORROBMOR×4Attack errMolly Reck+0.1
4425-19ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.1
Set 2
10-1ROBMORROBMOR×4Attack errLiv Hosford+2.1
20-2ROBMORROBMOR×4KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.2
30-3ROBMORROBMOR×4BlockedEllen Zappblk Keira Hornung+2.2
40-4ROBMORROBMOR×4KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.1
51-4ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+1.3
61-5OAKROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+1.5
72-5ROBMOROAKServe errAnahi Alvarado+1.3
82-6OAKROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.5
92-7ROBMORROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
102-8ROBMORROBMOR×5KillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
112-9ROBMORROBMOR×5KillKenlee Barnardset Anahi Alvarado+1.5
122-10ROBMORROBMOR×5KillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+1.2
133-10ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
143-11OAKROBMORKillAddyson Buttsset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
154-11ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.6
164-12OAKROBMORKillKenlee Barnardset Anahi Alvarado+0.8
174-13ROBMORROBMORAttack errLiv Hosford+0.9
185-13ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.4
195-14OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.6
206-14ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.3
217-14OAKOAKAceDelaney Sternaced Layla Todd+0.7
227-15OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.7
238-15ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.4
249-15OAKOAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+0.9
259-16OAKROBMORServe errLiv Hosford+0.9
2610-16ROBMOROAKBlockedLayla Toddblk Olivia Rust, Ellen Zapp+0.6
2710-17OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.9
2811-17ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+0.5
2911-18OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
3012-18ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.5
3113-18OAKOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.0
3213-19OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.1
3314-19ROBMOROAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.6
3415-19OAKOAK×3Attack errLauren Decker+1.4
3516-19OAKOAK×3AceKalliann Cookaced Natalie Stepanovich+2.0
3616-20OAKROBMORServe errKalliann Cook+2.0
3717-20ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+1.3
3817-21OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
3918-21ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+1.2
4018-22OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+2.0
4118-23ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.6
4219-23ROBMOROAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+0.4
4320-23OAKOAK×3AceKate Vrabelaced Lauren Decker+1.2
4421-23OAKOAK×3Attack errLayla Todd+2.2
4521-24OAKROBMORServe errKate Vrabel+2.9
4621-25ROBMORROBMORKillLayla Todd+1.6
Set 3
10-1OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
21-1ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Kalliann Cook+2.2
32-1OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+3.2
42-2OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Anahi Alvarado+2.3
53-2ROBMOROAK×3Attack errAddyson Butts+2.3
64-2OAKOAK×3KillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+3.2
75-2OAKOAK×3BlockedLayla Toddblk Lillian Frias, Olivia Rust+2.9
85-3OAKROBMORKillLayla Toddset Kenlee Barnard+1.9
96-3ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.0
106-4OAKROBMOR×4Attack errLiv Hosford+2.0
116-5ROBMORROBMOR×4Attack errLillian Frias+3.2
126-6ROBMORROBMOR×4AceLayla Toddaced Kalliann Cook+3.6
136-7ROBMORROBMOR×4Bad setDelaney Stern+3.9
147-7ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+2.6
157-8OAKROBMORServe errMolly Reck+2.8
168-8ROBMOROAK×5Attack errKeira Hornung+2.7
179-8OAKOAK×5Attack errLauren Decker+3.9
1810-8OAKOAK×5KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.7
1911-8OAKOAK×5KillEllen Zappset Lauren Decker+3.4
2012-8OAKOAK×5AceKalliann Cookaced Natalie Stepanovich+2.9
2112-9OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
2213-9ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.0
2313-10OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+1.8
2414-10ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+2.1
2514-11OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Delaney Stern+1.8
2614-12ROBMORROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+3.3
2715-12ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+2.6
2815-13OAKROBMORBlockedMolly Reckblk Tia Schultz, Addyson Butts+2.3
2916-13ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.7
3017-13OAKOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+3.2
3117-14OAKROBMORServe errKiley Gallagher+1.7
3217-15ROBMORROBMORBlockedLillian Friasblk Lauren Decker+3.5
3318-15ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+2.9
3419-15OAKOAKBlockedKenlee Barnardblk Lillian Frias+3.3
3519-16OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.7
3620-16ROBMOROAKAttack errLauren Decker+2.3
3720-17OAKROBMOR×3KillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.6
3820-18ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errLiv Hosford+3.5
3920-19ROBMORROBMOR×3BlockedEllen Zappblk Lauren Decker, Keira Hornung+5.1
4021-19ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Keira Hornung+4.4
4122-19OAKOAKAttack errLauren Decker+5.0
4222-20OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+2.3
4323-20ROBMOROAKKillEllen Zappset Delaney Stern+3.5
4424-20OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+2.7
4524-21OAKROBMOR×3KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.5
4624-22ROBMORROBMOR×3AceAnahi Alvarado+1.9
4724-23ROBMORROBMOR×3KillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+4.9
4825-23ROBMOROAKAttack errLayla Todd+8.1
Set 4
11-0ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+1.9
21-1OAKROBMORBlockedMolly Reckblk Keira Hornung, Tia Schultz+2.0
31-2ROBMORROBMORBad setDelaney Stern+3.0
42-2ROBMOROAKBlockedLayla Toddblk Olivia Rust, Molly Reck+2.0
53-2OAKOAKAttack errTia Schultz+2.9
63-3OAKROBMORBlockedMolly Reckblk Addyson Butts, Tia Schultz+2.1
73-4ROBMORROBMORAceNatalie Stepanovichaced Kalliann Cook+3.2
84-4ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+2.1
94-5OAKROBMORBlockedLillian Friasblk Layla Todd, Addyson Butts+2.3
105-5ROBMOROAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.2
116-5OAKOAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+3.2
127-5OAKOAK×3Bad setKenlee Barnard+3.0
137-6OAKROBMORBlockedLiv Hosfordblk Kenlee Barnard, Addyson Butts+2.0
148-6ROBMOROAK×3KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.1
159-6OAKOAK×3KillDelaney Sternset Kalliann Cook+2.8
1610-6OAKOAK×3Attack errKeira Hornung+2.5
1710-7OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.5
1810-8ROBMORROBMORAttack errMolly Reck+2.7
1911-8ROBMOROAK×4KillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+2.0
2012-8OAKOAK×4BlockedLauren Deckerblk Ellen Zapp, Olivia Rust+2.6
2113-8OAKOAK×4BlockedLauren Deckerblk Olivia Rust, Ellen Zapp+2.1
2214-8OAKOAK×4Attack errNatalie Frost+1.6
2314-9OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
2415-9ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+1.1
2515-10OAKROBMORKillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard+0.8
2616-10ROBMOROAKKillMolly Reckset Kalliann Cook+1.1
2716-11OAKROBMORServe errKate Vrabel+0.8
2816-12ROBMORROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+1.6
2917-12ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+1.4
3018-12OAKOAKKillMolly Reckset Delaney Stern+1.5
3118-13OAKROBMORServe errKiley Gallagher+0.7
3219-13ROBMOROAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.9
3320-13OAKOAKKillLillian Friasset Delaney Stern+0.8
3420-14OAKROBMORKillLauren Deckerset Kenlee Barnard+0.3
3521-14ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.5
3621-15OAKROBMORBlockedLiv Hosfordblk Kenlee Barnard, Keira Hornung+0.2
3722-15ROBMOROAKKillLiv Hosfordset Delaney Stern+0.4
3823-15OAKOAKAceDelaney Sternaced Layla Todd+0.2
3923-16OAKROBMOR×3KillKeira Hornungset Kenlee Barnard·
4023-17ROBMORROBMOR×3Attack errEllen Zapp+0.1
4123-18ROBMORROBMOR×3AceLauren Deckeraced Liv Hosford+0.3
4224-18ROBMOROAKServe errLauren Decker+0.4
4324-19OAKROBMORKillTia Schultzset Kenlee Barnard+0.1
4425-19ROBMOROAKKillOlivia Rustset Delaney Stern+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Oakland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).