FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Troy def. Louisiana Tech 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Troy 90.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Troy won at Louisiana Tech 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Troy's Kalina Calvillo led with 12 kills, and Haley Nash added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
TROY2525253
LATECH2316210

Match story · written from the play-by-play

9 aces: Troy served Louisiana Tech off the court.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.9 points, and Louisiana Tech's high was 21% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Troy went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

TroyLouisiana Tech
  • Break %+13.5 pts
    42.529.0

    On serve: 31/73 against 18/62 (Louisiana Tech sideout 57.5%).

  • Hitting+.154
    .344.190

    44 K / 13 E against 29 K / 14 E.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    5 straight Troy points in the first set erased a 3–8 deficit: 8–8. The set finished 25–23.

Louisiana Tech above 50Troy belowMax swing 4.9%

TroyLouisiana Tech

Aces
Troy 9·Louisiana Tech 3
Serve err
Troy 15·Louisiana Tech 7
Blocks
Troy 7·Louisiana Tech 71 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Troy 32·Louisiana Tech 28

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Louisiana Tech above 50 · Troy below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.9% TROYrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.9% to Troy — set 1, TROY 24-23 LATECH. Ace by Josephine Hensley on Megan Cooley. LATECH win probability 13% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TROY 91.6%8.4% LATECH

Troy wins

3-0
47.4%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
12.9%

Louisiana Tech wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.5%
3-2
4.8%
TROY break %
46.5% vs this opp
LATECH break %
36.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Josephine Hensley on Megan Cooley

    Set 1 · TROY 24-23 LATECH · TROY 87% → 91%

  2. 02
    Sophie OcampoBlock+3.8%

    Tyra McKinnie stuffed by Sophie Ocampo

    Set 1 · TROY 25-23 LATECH · TROY 91% → 95%

  3. 03
    Isa RuetherKill+3.6%

    Kill by Isa Ruether (set by Madison Marx)

    Set 1 · TROY 22-22 LATECH · TROY 83% → 87%

  4. 04
    Kalina CalvilloService error+3.4%

    Service error by Kalina Calvillo

    Set 1 · TROY 22-23 LATECH · LATECH 13% → 16%

  5. 05

    Kill by Violet Morrandez (set by Sydnee Carter)

    Set 1 · TROY 19-22 LATECH · LATECH 18% → 21%

  6. 06

    Ace by Sydnee Carter on Haley Nash

    Set 1 · TROY 18-20 LATECH · LATECH 14% → 17%

  7. 07
    Isa RuetherKill+3.0%

    Kill by Isa Ruether (set by Madison Marx)

    Set 1 · TROY 23-23 LATECH · TROY 84% → 87%

  8. 08

    Ace by Kalina Calvillo on Riley Steubing

    Set 1 · TROY 21-22 LATECH · TROY 80% → 83%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Troyaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312628.21401750010.513.5
310417.35301532031.512.5
311216.56300000010.511.5
36012.50010000031.57.5
35111.36402180010.57.5
3001.0002131200003
3005.00000000132.52.5
3000–1611200001
3000–010200001
3000–2001010000
Team totals441390.34440915323112775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35210.300000001649
38419.211000000008
35421.048101310216
36214.286000000006
3419.33300010031.55.5
3103.333232140010.53.5
3011-1.000002810000
3000–002420000
2001.000110820001
1001.000001000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals291479.1902537289112760

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Troy vs Louisiana Tech

Season series · Troy leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TROY · LATECH 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 TROYLATECH 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 TROYLATECH 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 TROYLATECH 4

Bars above the line = Louisiana Tech leads, below = Troy leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Troy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
59%10/17
2
73%8/11
33%4/12
3
100%8/8
27%3/11
4
70%7/10
42%5/12
5
100%6/6
54%7/13
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
71%44/62
42%31/73

Louisiana Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
38%5/13
2
67%8/12
40%6/15
3
78%7/9
0%0/8
4
43%6/14
30%3/10
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
58%42/73
29%18/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#TROY-LATECHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LATECHLATECHAceSydnee Carteraced Olivia Kwiatkowski+1.1
20-2LATECHLATECHBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Violet Morrandez, Gabrielle Hairston+1.3
31-2LATECHTROYServe errSydnee Carter+0.8
41-3TROYLATECH×3Serve errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.0
51-4LATECHLATECH×3KillTaylor Woodsset Sydnee Carter+1.5
61-5LATECHLATECH×3BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Violet Morrandez, Taylor Woods+1.6
72-5LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.9
82-6TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+1.2
93-6LATECHTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.9
103-7TROYLATECHKillGabrielle Hairstonset Sydnee Carter+1.2
113-8LATECHLATECHKillTaylor Woodsset Sydnee Carter+1.7
124-8LATECHTROY×5Serve errAbbi Sells+0.9
135-8TROYTROY×5AceBrooke Forkumaced Riley Steubing+1.4
146-8TROYTROY×5Attack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.5
157-8TROYTROY×5BlockedTaylor Woodsblk Sophie Ocampo, Isa Ruether+1.5
168-8TROYTROY×5KillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+1.4
178-9TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter+1.1
189-9LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+1.0
199-10TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter+1.2
209-11LATECHLATECHAttack errKalina Calvillo+1.8
2110-11LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+1.1
2210-12TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter+1.4
2310-13LATECHLATECHKillViolet Morrandezset Brooke Forkum+2.0
2411-13LATECHTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+1.2
2511-14TROYLATECHServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.6
2612-14LATECHTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+1.2
2713-14TROYTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+1.9
2813-15TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+1.6
2914-15LATECHTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+1.3
3014-16TROYLATECHKillGabrielle Hairstonset Sydnee Carter+1.7
3115-16LATECHTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Abbi Sells+1.4
3215-17TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter+1.8
3316-17LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+1.5
3416-18TROYLATECHAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+1.9
3517-18LATECHTROYBlockedKylie Rodriguezblk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Sophie Ocampo+1.6
3618-18TROYTROYAttack errKylie Rodriguez+2.4
3718-19TROYLATECHKillViolet Morrandezset Sydnee Carter+2.0
3818-20LATECHLATECHAceSydnee Carteraced Haley Nash+3.1
3919-20LATECHTROYAttack errGabrielle Hairston+1.8
4019-21TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter+2.5
4119-22LATECHLATECHKillViolet Morrandezset Sydnee Carter+3.2
4220-22LATECHTROY×3Serve errMegan Cooley+1.4
4321-22TROYTROY×3AceKalina Calvilloaced Riley Steubing+2.9
4422-22TROYTROY×3KillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+3.6
4522-23TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+3.4
4623-23LATECHTROY×3KillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+3.0
4724-23TROYTROY×3AceJosephine Hensleyaced Megan Cooley+4.9
4825-23TROYTROY×3BlockedTyra McKinnieblk Sophie Ocampo+3.8
Set 2
11-0TROYTROY×4KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.6
22-0TROYTROY×4AceMadison Marxaced Abbi Sells+0.6
33-0TROYTROY×4AceMadison Marxaced Taylor Woods+0.5
44-0TROYTROY×4KillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.4
54-1TROYLATECHServe errMadison Marx+0.3
64-2LATECHLATECHKillTaylor Woodsset Sydnee Carter+0.5
75-2LATECHTROYAttack errTaylor Woods+0.4
85-3TROYLATECHKillGabrielle Hairstonset Sydnee Carter+0.4
96-3LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.4
106-4TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+0.4
117-4LATECHTROYKillBrooke Forkumset Madison Marx+0.4
127-5TROYLATECHServe errJosephine Hensley+0.4
138-5LATECHTROYServe errTaylor Woods+0.4
148-6TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter+0.4
159-6LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.4
169-7TROYLATECHBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Violet Morrandez+0.4
1710-7LATECHTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.4
1811-7TROYTROY×3KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.5
1912-7TROYTROY×3Attack errKylie Rodriguez+0.4
2012-8TROYLATECHAttack errOlivia Kwiatkowski+0.2
2112-9LATECHLATECHBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Gabrielle Hairston, Violet Morrandez+0.5
2213-9LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.4
2314-9TROYTROYAttack errViolet Morrandez+0.4
2414-10TROYLATECHServe errOlivia Kwiatkowski+0.2
2515-10LATECHTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.3
2615-11TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+0.2
2716-11LATECHTROY×4Serve errLouisiana Tech+0.3
2817-11TROYTROY×4Attack errMegan Cooley+0.3
2918-11TROYTROY×4KillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.2
3019-11TROYTROY×4KillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.1
3119-12TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter·
3220-12LATECHTROY×3KillBrooke Forkumset Josephine Hensley·
3321-12TROYTROY×3KillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley·
3422-12TROYTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley·
3522-13TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter·
3623-13LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley·
3723-14TROYLATECHKillTaylor Woodsset Sydnee Carter·
3824-14LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley·
3924-15TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter·
4024-16LATECHLATECHBlockedOlivia Kwiatkowskiblk Taylor Woods, Violet Morrandez·
4125-16LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx·
Set 3
11-0LATECHTROYKillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.2
21-1TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Taylor Woods+0.2
32-1LATECHTROYServe errLouisiana Tech+0.2
42-2TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+0.3
53-2LATECHTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.2
63-3TROYLATECHAttack errIsa Ruether+0.3
74-3LATECHTROYAttack errTaylor Woods+0.2
84-4TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter+0.3
95-4LATECHTROY×3KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Josephine Hensley+0.2
106-4TROYTROY×3BlockedTyra McKinnieblk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Sophie Ocampo+0.3
117-4TROYTROY×3AceKenzly Footeaced Abbi Sells+0.3
127-5TROYLATECH×4KillKylie Rodriguezset Sydnee Carter+0.2
137-6LATECHLATECH×4BlockedKalina Calvilloblk Violet Morrandez+0.3
147-7LATECHLATECH×4KillGabrielle Hairstonset Josephine Hensley+0.4
157-8LATECHLATECH×4AceRiley Steubingaced Olivia Kwiatkowski+0.5
168-8LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Riley Steubing+0.3
178-9TROYLATECHKillViolet Morrandezset Sydnee Carter+0.4
188-10LATECHLATECHBlockedKalina Calvilloblk Violet Morrandez, Gabrielle Hairston+0.6
199-10LATECHTROYKillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Madison Marx+0.4
209-11TROYLATECHServe errTroy+0.4
2110-11LATECHTROYBlockedTaylor Woodsblk Kalina Calvillo, Ashlynn Axtell+0.4
2210-12TROYLATECHKillViolet Morrandezset Riley Steubing+0.5
2311-12LATECHTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Ashlynn Axtell+0.4
2411-13TROYLATECHKillTyra McKinnieset Sydnee Carter+0.5
2511-14LATECHLATECHAttack errBrooke Forkum+0.7
2612-14LATECHTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.4
2712-15TROYLATECHServe errTroy+0.5
2813-15LATECHTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Josephine Hensley+0.4
2913-16TROYLATECHKillSydnee Carterset Sydnee Carter+0.6
3014-16LATECHTROY×4KillKalina Calvilloset Josephine Hensley+0.4
3115-16TROYTROY×4KillOlivia Kwiatkowskiset Haley Nash+0.7
3216-16TROYTROY×4AceTroy+0.7
3317-16TROYTROY×4BlockedViolet Morrandezblk Olivia Kwiatkowski, Ashlynn Axtell+0.6
3417-17TROYLATECHKillKylie Rodriguezset Abbi Sells+0.5
3518-17LATECHTROY×4KillKalina Calvilloset Haley Nash+0.5
3619-17TROYTROY×4AceTroy+0.6
3720-17TROYTROY×4KillKalina Calvilloset Madison Marx+0.5
3821-17TROYTROY×4BlockedKylie Rodriguezblk Brooke Forkum, Ashlynn Axtell+0.3
3921-18TROYLATECHServe errTroy+0.1
4022-18LATECHTROYKillAshlynn Axtellset Madison Marx+0.2
4122-19TROYLATECHServe errKalina Calvillo+0.1
4223-19LATECHTROYKillIsa Ruetherset Madison Marx+0.2
4323-20TROYLATECHKillTaylor Woodsset Sydnee Carter+0.1
4423-21LATECHLATECHAttack errIsa Ruether+0.3
4524-21LATECHTROYServe errAbbi Sells+0.4
4625-21TROYTROYAceBrooke Forkum+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Troy first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).