Dayton def. Davidson 3–1
Dayton beat visiting Davidson 3-1 (27-29, 25-15, 25-22, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. Kamryn Hunt led Dayton with 15 kills; Davidson's Ariyana Johnson had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Sep 25
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVID | 29 | 15 | 22 | 16 | 1 |
| DAYTON | 27 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.3% to Davidson — set 1, DAVID 29-27 DAYTON. Davidson ace on Kamryn Hunt. DAYTON win probability 78% → 70%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Davidson wins
Dayton wins
- DAVID break %
- 37.0% vs this opp
- DAYTON break %
- 45.5% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01DavidsonAce+8.3%
Davidson ace on Kamryn Hunt
Set 1 · DAVID 29-27 DAYTON · DAVID 22% → 30%
- 02Meile SongailaKill+6.8%
Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 1 · DAVID 25-24 DAYTON · DAVID 15% → 22%
- 03Elena Garcia-GuerriosKill+6.8%
Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios
Set 1 · DAVID 27-26 DAYTON · DAVID 15% → 22%
- 04
- 05Abigail Cresse&Charlotte VinsonBlock+5.9%
Elena Garcia-Guerrios stuffed by Abigail Cresse & Charlotte Vinson
Set 1 · DAVID 23-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 83% → 89%
- 06
- 07Ariyana JohnsonKill+5.8%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 3 · DAVID 21-21 DAYTON · DAVID 17% → 23%
- 08Melanie TillesKill+5.6%
Kill by Melanie Tilles (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 3 · DAVID 19-17 DAYTON · DAVID 27% → 32%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 2 | 24 | .583 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 35 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 10 | 34 | -.088 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .227 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -.500 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 22 | 143 | .196 | 49 | 4 | 10 | 59 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 82 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 46 | .174 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 15 | 2 | 34 | .382 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 17 | .412 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 25 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 29 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 18 | 148 | .270 | 51 | 8 | 8 | 63 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 102 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Davidson vs Dayton
Season series · Dayton leads 2-0
- Fri, Sep 25, 2026Davidson at Dayton · Dayton won 3-1This match
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Davidson at Dayton · Dayton won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
29-27
Set 2
15-25
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
16-25
Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Davidson
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 77%10/13 | 36%5/14 |
| 2 | 47%9/19 | 52%11/21 |
| 3 | 60%9/15 | 40%6/15 |
| 4 | 45%9/20 | 10%1/10 |
| 5 | 69%9/13 | 25%3/12 |
| 6 | 38%8/21 | 18%2/11 |
| All | 53%54/101 | 34%28/83 |
Dayton
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%11/22 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 44%7/16 |
| 3 | 82%9/11 | 53%10/19 |
| 4 | 75%9/12 | 55%11/20 |
| 5 | 75%9/12 | 31%4/13 |
| 6 | 73%8/11 | 36%5/14 |
| All | 66%55/83 | 47%47/101 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
184 rallies
| # | DAVID-DAYTON | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | DAVID×3 | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Ariyana Johnson, Melanie Tilles | +1.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Kaleigh Meritt | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Brooke Briscoe | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | aced Meile Songaila | +1.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +1.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +0.8 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.6 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.7 |
| 19 | 8-11 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.6 |
| 20 | 9-11 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Ava Liening | set Natalie Harrington | +0.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.9 |
| 23 | 10-13 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +0.9 |
| 24 | 11-13 | DAYTON | DAVID×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Blocked | Kaleigh Meritt | blk Ariyana Johnson, Mia Compas | +1.6 |
| 26 | 13-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Ava Liening | +2.0 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.3 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.5 |
| 29 | 15-14 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.6 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.9 |
| 32 | 17-15 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Kaleigh Meritt | +1.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.8 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +2.4 |
| 37 | 19-18 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.9 |
| 38 | 20-18 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +2.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Ava Liening | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 40 | 21-19 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAVID | DAVID | Ace | Davidson | aced Lily Barry | +3.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +2.8 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Lily Barry | +1.4 |
| 45 | 23-22 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +3.5 |
| 46 | 23-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Bad set | Ylame Dsamou | +5.1 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +5.9 |
| 48 | 24-24 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.0 |
| 49 | 25-24 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Ylame Dsamou | +6.8 |
| 50 | 25-25 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +4.9 |
| 51 | 25-26 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Bad set | Ylame Dsamou | +5.9 | |
| 52 | 26-26 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +4.0 |
| 53 | 27-26 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +6.8 | |
| 54 | 27-27 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +4.9 | |
| 55 | 28-27 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.9 |
| 56 | 29-27 | DAVID | DAVID | Ace | Davidson | aced Kamryn Hunt | +8.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAVID | DAVID | Blocked | Abigail Cresse | blk Melanie Tilles, Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Kaleigh Meritt | +2.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Kinsey Smith | +2.6 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +2.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.8 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +2.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +1.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Meile Songaila | +2.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.6 |
| 13 | 5-8 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Ava Liening, Gabriela Machin Borges | +2.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.7 |
| 17 | 7-10 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DAVID | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +1.2 |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Blocked | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson | +1.4 |
| 20 | 7-13 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +1.0 |
| 21 | 7-14 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Ace | Dayton | aced Ellie Ocampo | +0.7 |
| 22 | 7-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON×5 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Morgan Asleson | +0.4 |
| 23 | 8-15 | DAYTON | DAVID | Bad set | Charlotte Vinson | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 8-16 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +0.3 |
| 25 | 9-16 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 9-17 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +0.3 |
| 27 | 9-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Ava Liening | set Natalie Harrington | +0.2 |
| 28 | 10-18 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Kaleigh Meritt | +0.2 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | DAVID | DAYTON | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | +0.2 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +0.1 |
| 32 | 13-19 | DAVID | DAVID | Blocked | Kamryn Hunt | blk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | DAVID | DAYTON | Blocked | Ellie Ocampo | blk Gabriela Machin Borges, Ava Liening | +0.3 |
| 34 | 14-20 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +0.3 |
| 36 | 15-21 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Kaleigh Meritt | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Serve err | Davidson | +0.2 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Ngodoo Harris | blk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse | +0.1 |
| 39 | 15-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAYTON | DAVID×5 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Bad set | Natalie Harrington | +3.0 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +3.1 |
| 5 | 5-0 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +3.1 |
| 6 | 5-1 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.8 |
| 7 | 6-1 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +2.3 |
| 8 | 6-2 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +1.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.8 |
| 10 | 6-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +2.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Kaleigh Meritt | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +2.2 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Ava Liening | set Rylee Sloss | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Mia Compas | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | DAVID | DAYTON | Blocked | Ngodoo Harris | blk Ava Liening, Kaleigh Meritt | +2.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.4 |
| 20 | 10-10 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +2.2 |
| 21 | 11-10 | DAYTON | DAVID×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.5 |
| 22 | 12-10 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +3.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Ace | Davidson | aced Kaleigh Meritt | +4.0 |
| 24 | 14-10 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Ace | Davidson | +4.0 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +3.6 |
| 27 | 15-12 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +3.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | DAVID | DAYTON | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Abigail Cresse, Kamryn Hunt | +2.5 |
| 29 | 16-13 | DAYTON | DAVID | Serve err | Dayton | +3.3 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | DAVID | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +2.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +4.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Ace | Dayton | aced Brooke Briscoe | +4.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +3.4 |
| 34 | 17-17 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Rylee Sloss | +3.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Mia Compas | +3.7 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Ylame Dsamou | +5.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Rylee Sloss | +3.3 |
| 38 | 19-19 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Bad set | Melanie Tilles | +5.3 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Bad set | Ylame Dsamou | +5.2 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | +4.6 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Ylame Dsamou | +2.8 |
| 42 | 21-21 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +5.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Rylee Sloss | +4.5 |
| 44 | 22-22 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +4.7 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | DAVID | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +5.4 |
| 46 | 22-24 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | +6.5 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON×3 | Kill | Abigail Cresse | +3.0 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.1 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Ace | Dayton | aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +1.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Charlotte Vinson | set Natalie Harrington | +1.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Charlotte Vinson | +1.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.1 |
| 9 | 3-6 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +1.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +1.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +1.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Mia Compas | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | DAVID | DAVID | Blocked | Kaleigh Meritt | blk Mia Compas, Ngodoo Harris | +1.7 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +1.2 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Morgan Asleson | +1.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.0 |
| 17 | 7-10 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Rylee Sloss | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Ace | Dayton | aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +1.3 |
| 19 | 7-12 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kaleigh Meritt | set Natalie Harrington | +1.0 |
| 20 | 7-13 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse | +0.7 |
| 21 | 8-13 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Abigail Cresse | +0.4 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | +0.5 |
| 23 | 9-14 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +0.4 |
| 24 | 10-14 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +0.8 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | DAVID | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.7 |
| 26 | 10-16 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Natalie Harrington | +0.7 |
| 27 | 10-17 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | +0.4 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | DAYTON | DAYTON×4 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +0.2 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Charlotte Vinson | +0.3 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | DAVID | DAYTON | Serve err | Davidson | +0.3 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Mia Compas | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 33 | 13-20 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Kamryn Hunt | set Lily Barry | +0.2 |
| 34 | 13-21 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | DAYTON | DAVID | Attack err | Gabriela Machin Borges | · | |
| 36 | 14-22 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Gabriela Machin Borges | set Rylee Sloss | +0.1 |
| 37 | 15-22 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Mia Compas | set Ylame Dsamou | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | DAVID | DAYTON | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | DAYTON | DAVID | Kill | Myla Young | set Ylame Dsamou | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | DAVID | DAYTON | Kill | Abigail Cresse | set Natalie Harrington | · |
| 41 | 16-25 | DAYTON | DAYTON | Attack err | Meile Songaila | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).