FinalSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. Davidson 3–0

Dayton beat visiting Davidson 3-0 (25-23, 25-19, 25-12) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Dayton's Kamryn Hunt led with 13 kills, and Kaleigh Meritt added 9 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set123Sets
DAVID2319120
DAYTON2525253

Win probability

Dayton above 50 · Davidson below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.0% DAYTONrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Dayton — set 1, DAVID 23-24 DAYTON. Elena Garcia-Guerrios stuffed by Ava Liening & Gabriela Machin Borges. DAYTON win probability 82% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAVID 13.1%86.9% DAYTON

Davidson wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
7.1%

Dayton wins

3-0
39.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.7%
DAVID break %
37.0% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Elena Garcia-Guerrios stuffed by Ava Liening & Gabriela Machin Borges

    Set 1 · DAVID 23-24 DAYTON · DAYTON 82% → 88%

  2. 02
    Kamryn HuntKill+5.2%

    Kill by Kamryn Hunt (set by Morgan Asleson)

    Set 1 · DAVID 23-23 DAYTON · DAYTON 77% → 82%

  3. 03

    Mia Compas stuffed by Ava Liening & Gabriela Machin Borges

    Set 1 · DAVID 23-25 DAYTON · DAYTON 88% → 93%

  4. 04
    DavidsonAce+3.9%

    Davidson ace

    Set 1 · DAVID 23-20 DAYTON · DAVID 24% → 28%

  5. 05
    Ava LieningKill+3.5%

    Kill by Ava Liening (set by Rylee Sloss)

    Set 1 · DAVID 23-22 DAYTON · DAYTON 74% → 77%

  6. 06

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 1 · DAVID 22-20 DAYTON · DAVID 21% → 24%

  7. 07

    Kill by Charlotte Vinson (set by Morgan Asleson)

    Set 1 · DAVID 20-19 DAYTON · DAYTON 77% → 80%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 1 · DAVID 21-19 DAYTON · DAVID 20% → 23%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312724.20800010010.512.5
36312.25000000052.58.5
37527.07400161010.57.5
3619.556001100217
32214.000012320214
3000–19011000000
33413-.07700000031.54.5
3000–122000002
31011.0001000300001
3000–301700000
2023-.667000210000
Team totals3724103.1263338335014754
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313329.34501181010.514.5
38216.37500020031.59.5
36115.33302090010.58.5
3508.625000000638
32210.000000200213
3102.5001401700001
3000–211100001
3000–1510200001
3000–300400000
2125-.200000100212
21011.000000000001
2000–000000000
1001.000000100211
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals371087.3103453373018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Davidson vs Dayton

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 DAVID · DAYTON 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDDAYTON 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 DAVIDDAYTON 5

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 DAVIDDAYTON 7

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
46%6/13
2
35%7/20
33%4/12
3
33%6/18
22%2/9
4
67%6/9
40%4/10
5
83%5/6
0%0/6
6
83%5/6
17%1/6
All
51%37/73
30%17/56

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
25%2/8
2
70%7/10
61%11/18
3
58%7/12
53%8/15
4
86%6/7
63%10/16
5
100%6/6
33%3/9
6
63%5/8
29%2/7
All
70%39/56
49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#DAVID-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DAVIDDAVIDBlockedAbigail Cresseblk Melanie Tilles, Meile Songaila+1.5
22-0DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+1.6
32-1DAVIDDAYTONServe errDavidson+1.0
42-2DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.5
53-2DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.1
64-2DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidson+1.7
74-3DAVIDDAYTONServe errDavidson+1.1
84-4DAYTONDAYTONBlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Ava Liening, Kamryn Hunt+1.5
95-4DAYTONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+1.2
105-5DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.1
116-5DAYTONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.2
126-6DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.1
137-6DAYTONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.3
147-7DAVIDDAYTONServe errDavidson+1.2
157-8DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.6
168-8DAYTONDAVIDKillYlame Dsamou+1.2
179-8DAVIDDAVIDAttack errGabriela Machin Borges+1.9
189-9DAVIDDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.2
1910-9DAYTONDAVID×3KillMelanie Tillesset Charlotte Vinson+1.4
2011-9DAVIDDAVID×3KillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+2.2
2112-9DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errCharlotte Vinson+2.3
2212-10DAVIDDAYTONAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+1.4
2313-10DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2414-10DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2514-11DAVIDDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.3
2614-12DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.1
2715-12DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+1.9
2816-12DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Kamryn Hunt+2.5
2916-13DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.3
3017-13DAYTONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.9
3117-14DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.3
3218-14DAYTONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+1.9
3318-15DAVIDDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+1.3
3419-15DAYTONDAVIDBlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Meile Songaila, Mia Compas+2.0
3519-16DAVIDDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+1.3
3620-16DAYTONDAVIDServe errDayton+2.0
3720-17DAVIDDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.2
3820-18DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.4
3920-19DAYTONDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Morgan Asleson+3.0
4021-19DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.9
4121-20DAVIDDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.2
4222-20DAYTONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+3.2
4323-20DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidson+3.9
4423-21DAVIDDAYTON×5Serve errDavidson+1.4
4523-22DAYTONDAYTON×5KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+3.5
4623-23DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+5.2
4723-24DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Ava Liening, Gabriela Machin Borges+6.0
4823-25DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedMia Compasblk Ava Liening, Gabriela Machin Borges+4.8
Set 2
10-1DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMeile Songaila+0.9
20-2DAYTONDAYTONKillNatalie Harringtonset Natalie Harrington+0.8
31-2DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.6
41-3DAVIDDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.6
51-4DAYTONDAYTONAceDaytonaced Meile Songaila+0.7
62-4DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.5
72-5DAVIDDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.5
83-5DAYTONDAVID×3KillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+0.5
94-5DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+0.9
105-5DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Ngodoo Harris, Mia Compas+1.0
115-6DAVIDDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
126-6DAYTONDAVIDBad setRylee Sloss+0.8
136-7DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.7
147-7DAYTONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.8
157-8DAVIDDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.8
167-9DAYTONDAYTONBad setYlame Dsamou+1.0
178-9DAYTONDAVIDServe errDayton+0.7
189-9DAVIDDAVIDAttack errKaleigh Meritt+1.2
199-10DAVIDDAYTONKillKaleigh Merittset Lily Barry+0.8
2010-10DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Brooke Briscoe+0.9
2111-10DAVIDDAVIDBlockedAbigail Cresseblk Melanie Tilles, Ariyana Johnson+1.4
2211-11DAVIDDAYTON×3Serve errDavidson+0.9
2311-12DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+1.3
2411-13DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Ellie Ocampo+1.2
2512-13DAYTONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.8
2612-14DAVIDDAYTON×3Serve errDavidson+0.8
2712-15DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAva Liening+1.0
2812-16DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errMia Compas+0.8
2913-16DAYTONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.5
3014-16DAVIDDAVIDBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Elena Garcia-Guerrios, Mia Compas+0.9
3114-17DAVIDDAYTONAttack errNgodoo Harris+0.7
3215-17DAYTONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
3315-18DAVIDDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.8
3416-18DAYTONDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
3516-19DAVIDDAYTONServe errDavidson+0.8
3617-19DAYTONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou+0.7
3718-19DAVIDDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.5
3818-20DAVIDDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+1.2
3919-20DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.1
4019-21DAVIDDAYTON×5KillKaleigh Merittset Natalie Harrington+1.3
4119-22DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+1.4
4219-23DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.8
4319-24DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+0.3
4419-25DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errAriyana Johnson+0.1
Set 3
10-1DAVIDDAYTONServe errDavidson+0.3
21-1DAYTONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.3
32-1DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Adlee Grissett+0.5
42-2DAVIDDAYTONAttack errAriyana Johnson+0.3
52-3DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.5
63-3DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+0.4
73-4DAVIDDAYTON×7KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.3
83-5DAYTONDAYTON×7BlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Corrie Anderson, Ava Liening+0.4
93-6DAYTONDAYTON×7AceDayton+0.4
103-7DAYTONDAYTON×7KillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss+0.3
113-8DAYTONDAYTON×7KillKamryn Hunt+0.3
123-9DAYTONDAYTON×7KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.2
133-10DAYTONDAYTON×7KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.1
144-10DAYTONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou+0.1
154-11DAVIDDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+0.1
164-12DAYTONDAYTON×3AceDaytonaced Meile Songaila+0.1
174-13DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKaleigh Merittset Rylee Sloss+0.1
185-13DAYTONDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ylame Dsamou·
195-14DAVIDDAYTONKillAva Lieningset Rylee Sloss·
206-14DAYTONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Ylame Dsamou·
216-15DAVIDDAYTONAttack errMeile Songaila·
227-15DAYTONDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith·
237-16DAVIDDAYTONBlockedAriyana Johnsonblk Isabel Simmons, Kaleigh Meritt·
247-17DAYTONDAYTONAttack errMelanie Tilles·
258-17DAYTONDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith·
268-18DAVIDDAYTON×4Attack errEllie Ocampo·
278-19DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errAriyana Johnson·
288-20DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errMia Compas·
298-21DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Charlotte Vinson, Ava Liening·
309-21DAYTONDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith·
319-22DAVIDDAYTONAttack errNgodoo Harris·
3210-22DAYTONDAVIDKillMia Compasset Ylame Dsamou·
3311-22DAVIDDAVIDBlockedKamryn Huntblk Mia Compas, Ngodoo Harris·
3411-23DAVIDDAYTONBlockedEllie Ocampoblk Corrie Anderson, Ava Liening·
3511-24DAYTONDAYTONKillSydney Barrettset Morgan Asleson·
3612-24DAYTONDAVIDServe errDayton·
3712-25DAVIDDAYTONAttack errNgodoo Harris·

Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).