Dayton vs Saint Louis Volleyball: Saint Louis Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 88.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Louis beat visiting Dayton 3-1 (13-25, 25-22, 25-21, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Saint Louis' Ellie Rink led with 24 kills, and Jetta Brenning added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 9:20 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
DAYTON	25	22	21	20	1
ST LOU	13	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.435 on 46 swings: Ellie Rink and Saint Louis edged Dayton.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Saint Louis's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Dayton at 88% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Dayton 21–21 Saint Louis
Saint Louis won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–21 and lead 2–1.
Saint Louis 22% → 47%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Dayton 14–12 Saint Louis
5 straight Saint Louis points turned a 12–14 deficit into a 17–14 lead. The match swung to Saint Louis.
Saint Louis 43% → 75%
Turning point 3: Set 4 · Dayton 20–22 Saint Louis
Up 22–20, Saint Louis scored 3 straight to make it 25–20.
Saint Louis 82% → >99%

Saint Louis above 50Dayton belowMax swing 8.4%

DaytonSaint Louis

Sideout %: Dayton 59.8·Saint Louis 59.6
Break %: Dayton 40.4·Saint Louis 40.2
Hitting: Dayton .201·Saint Louis .234
Longest run: Dayton 10·Saint Louis 5

Ellie Rink
24 kills on .435, 26 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Louis above 50 · Dayton below

Biggest swing: 8.4% to Saint Louis — set 3, DAYTON 21-23 ST LOU. Saint Louis ace on Kamryn Hunt. ST LOU win probability 29% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DAYTON 82.3%17.7% ST LOU

Dayton wins

3-0

34.0%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

17.6%

Saint Louis wins

3-0

2.8%

3-1

5.8%

3-2

9.1%

DAYTON break %: 44.6% vs this opp
ST LOU break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Saint LouisAce+8.4%
Saint Louis ace on Kamryn Hunt
Set 3 · DAYTON 21-23 ST LOU · ST LOU 29% → 38%
02
J'La Sparks&Tamia MaddoxBlock+8.4%
Abigail Cresse stuffed by J'La Sparks & Tamia Maddox
Set 4 · DAYTON 20-23 ST LOU · ST LOU 82% → 90%
03
Tamia MaddoxKill+8.3%
Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 4 · DAYTON 18-22 ST LOU · ST LOU 84% → 92%
04
Ellie RinkKill+8.2%
Kill by Ellie Rink (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 4 · DAYTON 14-17 ST LOU · ST LOU 67% → 75%
05
Charlotte VinsonAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Charlotte Vinson
Set 4 · DAYTON 14-16 ST LOU · ST LOU 59% → 67%
06
Tamia Maddox&J'La SparksBlock+7.5%
Charlotte Vinson stuffed by Tamia Maddox & J'La Sparks
Set 3 · DAYTON 21-22 ST LOU · ST LOU 22% → 29%
07
Tamia MaddoxKill+7.4%
Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 4 · DAYTON 18-21 ST LOU · ST LOU 76% → 84%
08
Abigail CresseAttack error+7.2%
Attack error by Abigail Cresse
Set 4 · DAYTON 20-24 ST LOU · ST LOU 90% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Daytonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kaleigh MerittOH	4	11	1	30	.333	1	2	2	5	1	0	2	1	14
3Abigail CresseMB	4	9	4	20	.250	0	0	0	2	0	1	8	5	14
2Kamryn HuntOH	4	11	5	37	.162	1	0	2	11	2	0	2	1	12
19Charlotte VinsonOH	4	5	6	20	-.050	0	1	1	7	0	0	4	2	8
9Natalie HarringtonS	4	1	0	5	.200	17	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
20Ava LieningMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
16Gabriela Machin BorgesOH	4	6	3	15	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
12Rylee SlossS	4	1	0	3	.333	18	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
8Morgan AslesonL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
31Lily BarryL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
22Sidney SpradaOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	1	0	3	1	0	0	0	2
13Sydney BarrettOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
15Isabel SimmonsMB	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		50	21	144	.201	45	5	7	50	6	1	17	9.5	88

Saint Louishome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Ellie RinkOH	4	24	4	46	.435	0	1	2	12	3	0	2	1	26
12Tamia MaddoxOH	4	11	4	31	.226	1	0	3	15	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
6Tea KalajdzicOH	4	8	7	21	.048	0	1	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
16J'La SparksMB	4	5	3	14	.143	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
14Jetta BrenningS	4	2	3	13	-.077	33	3	0	16	0	0	0	0	5
21Kayla JansenMB	4	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	3.5	4.5
15Anna BoatnerMB	4	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Lucy RankinS	4	1	0	2	.500	9	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	1
23Lara ZigicL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	1	2	6	1	0	0	0	1
11Anna AlexanderOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Athena TsalapatanisDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	21	137	.234	49	6	10	56	5	4	16	12	88

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Dayton vs Saint Louis

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 9, 2026Dayton at Saint Louis · Dayton won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Dayton at Saint Louis · Saint Louis won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 DAYTON · ST LOU 5

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 10 DAYTONST LOU 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 2 DAYTONST LOU 2

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 DAYTONST LOU 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 DAYTONST LOU 5

Bars above the line = Saint Louis leads, below = Dayton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Dayton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	10%1/10
2	50%9/18	39%7/18
3	50%9/18	44%7/16
4	73%8/11	43%6/14
5	73%8/11	43%6/14
6	50%7/14	53%9/17
All	60%52/87	40%36/89

Saint Louis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	50%9/18
2	60%9/15	40%6/15
3	64%9/14	59%13/22
4	53%8/15	31%4/13
5	67%8/12	11%1/9
6	47%8/17	20%2/10
All	60%53/89	40%35/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#	DAYTON-ST LOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DAYTON	DAYTON	Blocked	J'La Sparks	blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson	+1.2
2	1-1	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+0.9
3	2-1	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Natalie Harrington	set Kamryn Hunt	+0.8
4	2-2	DAYTON	ST LOU	Serve err	Dayton		+0.9
5	2-3	ST LOU	ST LOU	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+1.4
6	3-3	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+0.9
7	4-3	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+1.3
8	4-4	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+1.0
9	5-4	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Kill	Ava Liening	set Natalie Harrington	+0.9
10	6-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Morgan Asleson	+1.2
11	7-4	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+1.0
12	7-5	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Lucy Rankin	+0.7
13	8-5	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.7
14	9-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt		+0.9
15	10-5	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Jetta Brenning		+0.7
16	10-6	DAYTON	ST LOU	Serve err	Dayton		+0.4
17	11-6	ST LOU	DAYTON×10	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+0.5
18	12-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.5
19	13-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Attack err	J'La Sparks		+0.3
20	14-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges		+0.2
21	15-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Blocked	Jetta Brenning	blk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse	+0.1
22	16-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+0.1
23	17-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Attack err	Tamia Maddox		·
24	18-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Ace	Dayton	aced Lara Zigic	·
25	19-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Blocked	Jetta Brenning	blk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse	·
26	20-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×10	Blocked	Tamia Maddox	blk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges	·
27	20-7	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Jetta Brenning	·
28	20-8	ST LOU	ST LOU	Blocked	Gabriela Machin Borges	blk Tamia Maddox, J'La Sparks	·
29	21-8	ST LOU	DAYTON	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		·
30	21-9	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Jetta Brenning	·
31	22-9	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	·
32	22-10	DAYTON	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	·
33	22-11	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Kaleigh Meritt		·
34	22-12	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	·
35	23-12	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Lily Barry	·
36	23-13	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	·
37	24-13	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	·
38	25-13	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	Dayton		·
Set 2
1	1-0	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.6
2	1-1	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+0.6
3	1-2	ST LOU	ST LOU	Attack err	Abigail Cresse		+1.0
4	2-2	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.6
5	3-2	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Kaleigh Meritt	+0.9
6	3-3	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+0.7
7	4-3	ST LOU	DAYTON	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+0.6
8	4-4	DAYTON	ST LOU	Serve err	Dayton		+0.7
9	5-4	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.6
10	5-5	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+0.7
11	6-5	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.7
12	6-6	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Lucy Rankin	+0.7
13	7-6	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+0.7
14	7-7	DAYTON	ST LOU	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk J'La Sparks	+0.7
15	8-7	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+0.7
16	8-8	DAYTON	ST LOU	Serve err	Dayton		+0.8
17	8-9	ST LOU	ST LOU	Bad set	Kamryn Hunt		+1.2
18	9-9	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+0.8
19	9-10	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+0.9
20	10-10	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Charlotte Vinson	set Natalie Harrington	+0.8
21	11-10	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+1.1
22	11-11	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+0.9
23	11-12	ST LOU	ST LOU	Blocked	Ava Liening	blk Kayla Jansen	+1.4
24	12-12	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+0.9
25	12-13	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+1.1
26	12-14	ST LOU	ST LOU	Ace	Saint Louis	aced Kaleigh Meritt	+1.6
27	13-14	ST LOU	DAYTON	Bad set	Lucy Rankin		+1.0
28	13-15	DAYTON	ST LOU	Attack err	Gabriela Machin Borges		+1.3
29	14-15	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+1.1
30	14-16	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Lucy Rankin	+1.3
31	14-17	ST LOU	ST LOU	Ace	Saint Louis	aced Lily Barry	+1.9
32	15-17	ST LOU	DAYTON	Blocked	Tea Kalajdzic	blk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse	+1.0
33	15-18	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+1.4
34	16-18	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+1.1
35	16-19	DAYTON	ST LOU	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+1.5
36	16-20	ST LOU	ST LOU	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk Tea Kalajdzic, Kayla Jansen	+1.9
37	17-20	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+0.8
38	17-21	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+1.4
39	18-21	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+0.8
40	18-22	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+1.4
41	19-22	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+0.7
42	19-23	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Boatner	set Lucy Rankin	+1.3
43	20-23	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Lily Barry	+0.6
44	20-24	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Lucy Rankin	+1.2
45	21-24	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+0.3
46	22-24	DAYTON	DAYTON	Ace	Dayton	aced Ellie Rink	+1.0
47	22-25	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+1.9
Set 3
1	0-1	DAYTON	ST LOU	Serve err	Dayton		+1.7
2	0-2	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink		+2.6
3	1-2	ST LOU	DAYTON×4	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Lily Barry	+1.7
4	2-2	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Ava Liening	set Jetta Brenning	+2.3
5	3-2	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+2.2
6	4-2	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Ava Liening	set Rylee Sloss	+1.9
7	4-3	DAYTON	ST LOU×3	Serve err	Dayton		+1.4
8	4-4	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Blocked	Gabriela Machin Borges	blk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen	+2.3
9	4-5	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.7
10	5-5	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+1.8
11	5-6	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+2.0
12	6-6	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Serve err	Saint Louis		+1.8
13	7-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+2.5
14	8-6	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Blocked	Ellie Rink	blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson	+2.2
15	8-7	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Lucy Rankin	+1.6
16	9-7	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+1.6
17	10-7	DAYTON	DAYTON	Attack err	Tamia Maddox		+1.9
18	10-8	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Jetta Brenning	set Lucy Rankin	+1.3
19	10-9	ST LOU	ST LOU	Blocked	Abigail Cresse	blk J'La Sparks	+2.3
20	11-9	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+1.7
21	11-10	DAYTON	ST LOU×3	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Lucy Rankin	+1.8
22	11-11	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+3.0
23	11-12	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk Tea Kalajdzic, J'La Sparks	+3.5
24	12-12	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+2.3
25	12-13	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Jetta Brenning	+2.7
26	12-14	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+4.1
27	13-14	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Ava Liening	set Rylee Sloss	+2.5
28	13-15	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+3.2
29	14-15	ST LOU	DAYTON×4	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+2.6
30	15-15	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Blocked	Tea Kalajdzic	blk Kaleigh Meritt, Abigail Cresse	+3.9
31	16-15	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Morgan Asleson	+3.7
32	17-15	DAYTON	DAYTON×4	Kill	Abigail Cresse		+3.3
33	17-16	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+2.3
34	17-17	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+4.1
35	18-17	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Rylee Sloss	+2.9
36	18-18	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Jetta Brenning	set Tamia Maddox	+3.2
37	19-18	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+3.2
38	20-18	DAYTON	DAYTON	Kill	Sidney Sprada	set Natalie Harrington	+4.0
39	20-19	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Lucy Rankin	+2.6
40	20-20	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Lucy Rankin	+5.1
41	21-20	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+3.9
42	21-21	DAYTON	ST LOU×5	Serve err	Dayton		+4.1
43	21-22	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Blocked	Charlotte Vinson	blk Tamia Maddox, J'La Sparks	+7.5
44	21-23	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Ace	Saint Louis	aced Kamryn Hunt	+8.4
45	21-24	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Ace	Saint Louis	aced Sidney Sprada	+6.8
46	21-25	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk J'La Sparks, Tea Kalajdzic	+3.0
Set 4
1	1-0	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Lily Barry	+2.4
2	2-0	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	Dayton	aced Ellie Rink	+3.2
3	3-0	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Ace	Dayton	aced Ellie Rink	+2.7
4	3-1	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	+2.0
5	4-1	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+1.9
6	4-2	DAYTON	ST LOU×4	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.0
7	4-3	ST LOU	ST LOU×4	Blocked	Charlotte Vinson	blk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen	+3.4
8	4-4	ST LOU	ST LOU×4	Attack err	Isabel Simmons		+4.0
9	4-5	ST LOU	ST LOU×4	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Lara Zigic	+4.7
10	5-5	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+3.1
11	5-6	DAYTON	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+3.5
12	5-7	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Ace	Saint Louis	aced Kamryn Hunt	+5.4
13	5-8	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+5.8
14	6-8	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Kill	Rylee Sloss	set Lily Barry	+3.5
15	7-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Isabel Simmons	set Rylee Sloss	+5.1
16	8-8	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Bad set	Lucy Rankin		+5.0
17	8-9	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Lucy Rankin	set Lara Zigic	+3.9
18	9-9	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+3.5
19	9-10	DAYTON	ST LOU	Blocked	Kamryn Hunt	blk Kayla Jansen	+4.1
20	10-10	ST LOU	DAYTON	Blocked	J'La Sparks	blk Abigail Cresse	+3.7
21	10-11	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Lucy Rankin	+4.3
22	11-11	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Natalie Harrington	+3.8
23	11-12	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	+4.5
24	12-12	ST LOU	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+4.0
25	13-12	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Kill	Kamryn Hunt	set Natalie Harrington	+5.5
26	14-12	DAYTON	DAYTON×3	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+4.9
27	14-13	DAYTON	ST LOU×5	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+3.5
28	14-14	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Kill	Kayla Jansen		+6.0
29	14-15	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Ace	Saint Louis		+7.1
30	14-16	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Attack err	Charlotte Vinson		+7.9
31	14-17	ST LOU	ST LOU×5	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+8.2
32	15-17	ST LOU	DAYTON	Serve err	Saint Louis		+4.6
33	15-18	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	+6.3
34	16-18	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Gabriela Machin Borges	set Lily Barry	+4.7
35	16-19	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+6.6
36	17-19	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Rylee Sloss	+4.8
37	17-20	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+7.0
38	18-20	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Abigail Cresse	set Rylee Sloss	+4.9
39	18-21	DAYTON	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+7.4
40	18-22	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+8.3
41	19-22	ST LOU	DAYTON	Kill	Kaleigh Meritt	set Natalie Harrington	+3.1
42	20-22	DAYTON	DAYTON	Blocked	Tamia Maddox	blk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson	+6.9
43	20-23	DAYTON	ST LOU×3	Blocked	Abigail Cresse	blk J'La Sparks, Tamia Maddox	+8.4
44	20-24	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Abigail Cresse		+7.2
45	20-25	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+2.4

Score shown after each rally, Dayton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Saint Louis def. Dayton 3–1

.435 on 46 swings: Ellie Rink and Saint Louis edged Dayton.