Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Dayton def. George Washington 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 91.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton beat visiting George Washington 3-2 (25-19, 26-28, 22-25, 25-14, 15-10) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Dayton's Kamryn Hunt led with 20 kills, and Sidney Sprada added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set12345Sets
G WASH19282514102
DAYTON25262225153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kamryn Hunt's 20 kills carried Dayton in five.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Dayton's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ gave Dayton 92% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · George Washington 22–21 Dayton

    George Washington closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–1.

    Dayton 72% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · George Washington 2–3 Dayton

    George Washington scored 3 straight to turn a 2–3 deficit into a 5–3 lead.

    Dayton 78% → 52%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · George Washington 5–3 Dayton

    Dayton scored 3 straight to turn a 3–5 deficit into a 6–5 lead.

    Dayton 52% → 77%

Dayton above 50George Washington belowMax swing 10.5%

George WashingtonDayton

Sideout %
George Washington 60.2·Dayton 70.8
Break %
George Washington 29.2·Dayton 39.8
Hitting
George Washington .219·Dayton .240
Longest run
George Washington 4·Dayton 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Dayton above 50 · George Washington below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.5% G WASHrally 209 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.5% to George Washington — set 5, G WASH 5-3 DAYTON. Kill by Abby Markworth (set by Natalie Harrington). DAYTON win probability 63% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

G WASH 10.5%89.5% DAYTON

George Washington wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

Dayton wins

3-0
43.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
G WASH break %
36.6% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Abby MarkworthKill+10.5%

    Kill by Abby Markworth (set by Natalie Harrington)

    Set 5 · G WASH 5-3 DAYTON · G WASH 37% → 48%

  2. 02
    Alexis RodriguezAttack error+9.3%

    Attack error by Alexis Rodriguez

    Set 5 · G WASH 5-5 DAYTON · DAYTON 59% → 68%

  3. 03

    Charlotte Vinson stuffed by Alexis Rodriguez & Riley Samuel

    Set 5 · G WASH 4-3 DAYTON · G WASH 28% → 37%

  4. 04
    Riley SamuelAttack error+8.7%

    Attack error by Riley Samuel

    Set 5 · G WASH 5-6 DAYTON · DAYTON 68% → 77%

  5. 05
    Nicanora ClarkeAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Nicanora Clarke

    Set 5 · G WASH 6-8 DAYTON · DAYTON 76% → 84%

  6. 06
    Riley SamuelAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Riley Samuel

    Set 5 · G WASH 2-3 DAYTON · DAYTON 70% → 78%

  7. 07
    Riley SamuelKill+6.9%

    Kill by Riley Samuel (set by Abby Markworth)

    Set 3 · G WASH 22-20 DAYTON · G WASH 25% → 32%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alexis Rodriguez (set by Abby Markworth)

    Set 5 · G WASH 6-6 DAYTON · G WASH 23% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515231.419112111031.517.5
513632.2191000106316
513644.159002100010.513.5
56731-.032102162052.58.5
57111.54500000031.58.5
5206.3334404130010.52.5
5000–200300000
5000–002200000
5000–2001200000
4000–000100000
Team totals5622155.219511126880199.596
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520757.22801180010.521.5
515646.19600515100015
511424.29200020010.511.5
510117.52900110111.511.5
58317.29410030132.510.5
5203.6673733500005
5102.50022211200003
5000–011200001
5000–211600001
5000–3001100000
43413-.077000200214
1013-.333000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals7026183.24065813671286113

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

George Washington vs Dayton

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 G WASH · DAYTON 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 G WASHDAYTON 6

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 G WASHDAYTON 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 4 G WASHDAYTON 3

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 4 G WASHDAYTON 6

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 3 G WASHDAYTON 3

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = George Washington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

George Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%14/20
27%4/15
2
80%12/15
13%2/15
3
58%11/19
33%6/18
4
44%11/25
35%6/17
5
65%11/17
42%8/19
6
53%9/17
17%2/12
All
60%68/113
29%28/96

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
76%13/17
45%10/22
2
87%13/15
24%4/17
3
58%11/19
35%6/17
4
55%11/20
56%14/25
5
73%11/15
42%8/19
6
90%9/10
23%3/13
All
71%68/96
40%45/113

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

209 rallies

#G WASH-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0G WASHG WASHAttack errSidney Sprada+1.1
21-1G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
32-1DAYTONG WASHAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.8
42-2G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.7
52-3DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.9
63-3DAYTONG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+0.8
73-4G WASHDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+0.7
84-4DAYTONG WASH×3KillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.8
95-4G WASHG WASH×3Attack errAddi Gallentine+1.2
106-4G WASHG WASH×3AceNicanora Clarkeaced Sidney Sprada+1.4
116-5G WASHDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+0.9
126-6DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+1.2
136-7DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+1.1
147-7DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.9
157-8G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Morgan Asleson+0.8
167-9DAYTONDAYTONAceDayton+1.0
178-9DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Lydia Zeng+0.8
188-10G WASHDAYTON×6KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.7
198-11DAYTONDAYTON×6Bad setSimone Assasie+0.9
208-12DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errCayla Cogan+0.7
218-13DAYTONDAYTON×6AceDaytonaced Alexis Rodriguez+0.5
228-14DAYTONDAYTON×6KillNatalie Harringtonset Addi Gallentine+0.4
238-15DAYTONDAYTON×6BlockedSimone Assasieblk Abigail Cresse+0.2
249-15DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Nicanora Clarke+0.1
2510-15G WASHG WASHBlockedSidney Spradablk Nicanora Clarke, Simone Assasie+0.3
2610-16G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.3
2711-16DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.2
2811-17G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.3
2912-17DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.2
3012-18G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.3
3113-18DAYTONG WASHAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.2
3213-19G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.2
3313-20DAYTONDAYTONAttack errRiley Samuel+0.2
3414-20DAYTONG WASHKillAbby Markworthset Alexis Rodriguez+0.1
3515-20G WASHG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.2
3615-21G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.2
3716-21DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.1
3816-22G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.2
3917-22DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Riley Samuel+0.1
4018-22G WASHG WASHAttack errAbigail Cresse+0.3
4118-23G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.3
4218-24DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.1
4319-24DAYTONG WASHServe errDayton·
4419-25G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington·
Set 2
11-0DAYTONG WASHServe errDayton+0.5
21-1G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.5
32-1DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.6
42-2G WASHDAYTONAttack errAlexis Rodriguez+0.5
53-2DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.6
63-3G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.5
74-3DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.6
84-4G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.5
95-4DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.6
105-5G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.5
116-5DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.6
126-6G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.6
137-6DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Alexis Rodriguez+0.7
147-7G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.6
158-7DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.7
169-7G WASHG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.0
179-8G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.7
1810-8DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.8
1910-9G WASHDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+0.7
2011-9DAYTONG WASH×4Serve errDayton+0.8
2112-9G WASHG WASH×4KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.2
2213-9G WASHG WASH×4BlockedKamryn Huntblk Abby Markworth, Riley Samuel+1.3
2314-9G WASHG WASH×4Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+1.2
2414-10G WASHDAYTON×4Serve errGeorge Washington+0.6
2514-11DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errCayla Cogan+1.0
2614-12DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedCayla Coganblk Gabriela Machin Borges, Addi Gallentine+1.1
2714-13DAYTONDAYTON×4KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+1.2
2815-13DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.0
2915-14G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.9
3016-14DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+1.1
3116-15G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.9
3217-15DAYTONG WASHBlockedSidney Spradablk Simone Assasie, Cayla Cogan+1.2
3317-16G WASHDAYTONKillNatalie Harringtonset Natalie Harrington+1.0
3417-17DAYTONDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.4
3518-17DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+1.2
3618-18G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.0
3719-18DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Lydia Zeng+1.3
3820-18G WASHG WASHBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Alexis Rodriguez, Riley Samuel+1.9
3920-19G WASHDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.1
4020-20DAYTONDAYTON×5AceDayton+1.8
4120-21DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKamryn Hunt+1.7
4220-22DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+1.5
4320-23DAYTONDAYTON×5BlockedRiley Samuelblk Kamryn Hunt, Addi Gallentine+1.0
4421-23DAYTONG WASHBlockedGabriela Machin Borgesblk Riley Samuel, Alexis Rodriguez+0.4
4521-24G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+0.7
4622-24DAYTONG WASH×3Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+0.3
4723-24G WASHG WASH×3Attack errSidney Sprada+1.1
4824-24G WASHG WASH×3KillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+2.9
4924-25G WASHDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+2.2
5025-25DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+2.2
5126-25G WASHG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+3.7
5226-26G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+2.8
5327-26DAYTONG WASHServe errDayton+2.8
5428-26G WASHG WASHBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Nicanora Clarke, Alexis Rodriguez, Simone Assasie+4.7
Set 3
10-1G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.2
21-1DAYTONG WASHServe errDayton+1.4
32-1G WASHG WASHKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.1
42-2G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+1.4
53-2DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+1.7
63-3G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.5
74-3DAYTONG WASHBlockedCorrie Andersonblk Riley Samuel, Alexis Rodriguez+1.7
84-4G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Lily Barry+1.5
95-4DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.8
105-5G WASHDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.6
116-5DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+1.8
126-6G WASHDAYTONServe errGeorge Washington+1.6
136-7DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Morgan Asleson+2.1
147-7DAYTONG WASHAttack errCharlotte Vinson+1.7
157-8G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+1.6
167-9DAYTONDAYTONAttack errCayla Cogan+1.9
178-9DAYTONG WASHServe errSidney Sprada+1.5
188-10G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+1.4
199-10DAYTONG WASH×4Serve errAbigail Cresse+1.5
2010-10G WASHG WASH×4KillNicanora Clarkeset Evie Huang+2.5
2111-10G WASHG WASH×4Attack errKamryn Hunt+3.0
2212-10G WASHG WASH×4KillAlexis Rodriguez+3.4
2312-11G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+2.2
2412-12DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Morgan Asleson+3.0
2513-12DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+2.5
2613-13G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.2
2714-13DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+2.6
2814-14G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+2.3
2915-14DAYTONG WASHServe errMorgan Asleson+2.8
3015-15G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+2.5
3116-15DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+3.0
3216-16G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.6
3317-16DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+3.2
3417-17G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.8
3518-17DAYTONG WASH×3KillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+3.4
3619-17G WASHG WASH×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Nicanora Clarke, Riley Samuel+5.2
3720-17G WASHG WASH×3KillNicanora Clarkeset Evie Huang+5.3
3820-18G WASHDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.8
3920-19DAYTONDAYTON×3KillRylee Slossset Abby Markworth+4.7
4020-20DAYTONDAYTON×3KillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+5.1
4121-20DAYTONG WASHAttack errSidney Sprada+4.6
4222-20G WASHG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+6.9
4322-21G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+3.8
4423-21DAYTONG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+6.0
4524-21G WASHG WASHAttack errAddi Gallentine+6.7
4624-22G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.8
4725-22DAYTONG WASHAttack errKamryn Hunt+4.9
Set 4
10-1DAYTONDAYTONAceNatalie Harringtonaced Nicanora Clarke+3.3
20-2DAYTONDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+2.9
31-2DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+2.3
41-3G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.1
51-4DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+2.6
62-4DAYTONG WASHServe errSidney Sprada+1.9
72-5G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.9
83-5DAYTONG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+2.0
93-6G WASHDAYTON×6KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+1.9
103-7DAYTONDAYTON×6AceRylee Sloss+2.3
113-8DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+1.8
123-9DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errRiley Samuel+1.3
133-10DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errRiley Samuel+1.0
143-11DAYTONDAYTON×6KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Lily Barry+0.7
154-11DAYTONG WASH×4KillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.4
165-11G WASHG WASH×4KillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+0.8
176-11G WASHG WASH×4Attack errGabriela Machin Borges+1.2
187-11G WASHG WASH×4Attack errAddi Gallentine+1.7
197-12G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+1.4
208-12DAYTONG WASHServe errKamryn Hunt+1.3
218-13G WASHDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Rylee Sloss+1.4
229-13DAYTONG WASHAttack errKamryn Hunt+1.3
239-14G WASHDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+1.4
249-15DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errCayla Cogan+1.4
259-16DAYTONDAYTON×3AceNatalie Harringtonaced Alexis Rodriguez+0.9
2610-16DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.5
2710-17G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.6
2811-17DAYTONG WASHServe errSidney Sprada+0.4
2911-18G WASHDAYTON×4KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.6
3011-19DAYTONDAYTON×4KillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+0.4
3111-20DAYTONDAYTON×4AceEmily Hardenaced Riley Samuel+0.2
3211-21DAYTONDAYTON×4Attack errNicanora Clarke+0.1
3312-21DAYTONG WASHServe errEmily Harden·
3412-22G WASHDAYTONBlockedAlexis Rodriguezblk Addi Gallentine, Charlotte Vinson·
3513-22DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth·
3613-23G WASHDAYTONBlockedAlexis Rodriguezblk Addi Gallentine·
3714-23DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth·
3814-24G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss·
3914-25DAYTONDAYTONBlockedCayla Coganblk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges+1.0
Set 5
11-0DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+6.0
21-1G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+5.4
32-1DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+6.3
42-2G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+5.6
52-3DAYTONDAYTONAttack errRiley Samuel+7.3
63-3DAYTONG WASH×3KillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+5.8
74-3G WASHG WASH×3BlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Alexis Rodriguez, Riley Samuel+9.3
85-3G WASHG WASH×3KillAbby Markworthset Natalie Harrington+10.5
95-4G WASHDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+6.6
105-5DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+9.3
115-6DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errRiley Samuel+8.7
126-6DAYTONG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Abby Markworth+6.9
136-7G WASHDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+6.6
146-8DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errNicanora Clarke+8.1
156-9DAYTONDAYTON×3AceKamryn Hunt+6.4
167-9DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+4.0
177-10G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.8
187-11DAYTONDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+4.5
198-11DAYTONG WASHAttack errSidney Sprada+2.3
208-12G WASHDAYTONServe errAbby Markworth+3.1
219-12DAYTONG WASHServe errNatalie Harrington+2.0
229-13G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+3.0
2310-13DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+1.5
2410-14G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+2.6
2510-15DAYTONDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.9

Score shown after each rally, George Washington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).