FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026

Dayton def. George Washington 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Dayton 91.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Dayton beat visiting George Washington 3-0 (25-19, 25-18, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Sidney Sprada led Dayton with 10 kills; George Washington's Nicanora Clarke had a match-high 11.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
G WASH1918170
DAYTON2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

George Washington never reached 20 in a set against Dayton.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.1 points. George Washington peaked at 9% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Dayton 91% before first serve.

George WashingtonDayton
  • Break %+20.4 pts
    25.545.9

    Points won on own serve: 34 of 74 vs 14 of 55. George Washington sided out 54.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.156
    .118.274

    36 kills, 10 errors vs 35 kills, 23 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Dayton scored 6 straight in the first set to go from 5–5 to an 11–5 lead. The set finished 25–19.

Dayton above 50George Washington belowMax swing 1.1%

George WashingtonDayton

Aces
George Washington 2·Dayton 10
Serve err
George Washington 4·Dayton 6
Blocks
George Washington 4·Dayton 91 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
George Washington 43·Dayton 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Dayton above 50 · George Washington below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.1% G WASHrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.1% to George Washington — set 2, G WASH 9-7 DAYTON. Attack error by Sidney Sprada. DAYTON win probability 94% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

G WASH 10.5%89.5% DAYTON

George Washington wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

Dayton wins

3-0
43.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
G WASH break %
36.6% vs this opp
DAYTON break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sidney SpradaAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Sidney Sprada

    Set 2 · G WASH 9-7 DAYTON · G WASH 6% → 7%

  2. 02
    Evie HuangAce+1.1%

    Ace by Evie Huang on Lily Barry

    Set 2 · G WASH 7-4 DAYTON · G WASH 6% → 8%

  3. 03

    Ace by Sidney Sprada on Alexis Rodriguez

    Set 2 · G WASH 10-10 DAYTON · DAYTON 94% → 95%

  4. 04

    Cayla Cogan stuffed by Abigail Cresse & Gabriela Machin Borges

    Set 1 · G WASH 5-7 DAYTON · DAYTON 92% → 93%

  5. 05

    Kill by Gabriela Machin Borges (set by Cayla Cogan)

    Set 2 · G WASH 7-6 DAYTON · DAYTON 93% → 94%

  6. 06

    Ace by Natalie Harrington on Nicanora Clarke

    Set 1 · G WASH 0-1 DAYTON · DAYTON 91% → 92%

  7. 07

    Cayla Cogan stuffed by Charlotte Vinson & Abigail Cresse

    Set 2 · G WASH 10-11 DAYTON · DAYTON 95% → 96%

  8. 08
    Charlotte VinsonAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Charlotte Vinson

    Set 2 · G WASH 4-2 DAYTON · G WASH 5% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311931.06510072010.511.5
36522.045100100111.57.5
36212.333000010217
3418.375270191010.54.5
3315.400000000003
31212-.083211840002
3000–010000001
3000–000100000
3000–300700000
2000–001000000
12021.00000000010.52.5
12310-.100000010002
1000–100100000
1000–001000000
Team totals3523102.1183524431016454
Daytonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310433.1820408100014
37320.200010600219
36212.33310030031.57.5
34010.40000010052.56.5
3102.500000001223
3002.0001522600002
37115.400000301229
31011.0001411600002
3000–123100002
3000–000200000
3000–300310000
1000–000000000
Team totals361095.27434106392214975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

George Washington vs Dayton

Season series · Dayton leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 G WASH · DAYTON 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 G WASHDAYTON 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 G WASHDAYTON 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 G WASHDAYTON 5

Bars above the line = Dayton leads, below = George Washington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

George Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
13%1/8
2
64%7/11
31%4/13
3
60%6/10
22%2/9
4
43%6/14
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
50%6/12
33%3/9
All
54%40/74
25%14/55

Dayton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
33%4/12
2
78%7/9
56%9/16
3
78%7/9
30%3/10
4
75%6/8
60%9/15
5
67%6/9
14%1/7
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
75%41/55
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#G WASH-DAYTONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DAYTONDAYTONAceNatalie Harringtonaced Nicanora Clarke+0.9
21-1DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.7
31-2G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Lily Barry+0.7
42-2DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Lydia Zeng+0.7
52-3G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.7
63-3DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.8
73-4G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.7
84-4DAYTONG WASHKillAlexis Rodriguezset Cayla Cogan+0.8
94-5G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.7
105-5DAYTONG WASHBlockedSidney Spradablk Riley Samuel, Abby Markworth+0.8
115-6G WASHDAYTON×6KillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.8
125-7DAYTONDAYTON×6BlockedCayla Coganblk Abigail Cresse, Gabriela Machin Borges+1.0
135-8DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errCayla Cogan+0.8
145-9DAYTONDAYTON×6KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.7
155-10DAYTONDAYTON×6Attack errSimone Assasie+0.5
165-11DAYTONDAYTON×6AceMorgan Asleson+0.4
176-11DAYTONG WASHAttack errKamryn Hunt+0.2
186-12G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Rylee Sloss+0.3
196-13DAYTONDAYTONAttack errNicanora Clarke+0.3
207-13DAYTONG WASHKillYazmyn Billingsset Abby Markworth+0.1
217-14G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.2
227-15DAYTONDAYTONBlockedNicanora Clarkeblk Kamryn Hunt, Abigail Cresse+0.2
238-15DAYTONG WASHKillYazmyn Billingsset Abby Markworth+0.1
248-16G WASHDAYTONKillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington+0.1
258-17DAYTONDAYTONKillAddi Gallentineset Natalie Harrington+0.1
269-17DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth·
2710-17G WASHG WASHKillAbby Markworthset Abby Markworth+0.1
2810-18G WASHDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.1
2910-19DAYTONDAYTON×3Attack errAlexis Rodriguez+0.1
3010-20DAYTONDAYTON×3AceRylee Slossaced Riley Samuel·
3111-20DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth·
3211-21G WASHDAYTONBlockedCayla Coganblk Addi Gallentine, Gabriela Machin Borges·
3312-21DAYTONG WASH×3KillAbby Markworthset Alexis Rodriguez·
3413-21G WASHG WASH×3Attack errSidney Sprada·
3514-21G WASHG WASH×3Attack errGabriela Machin Borges·
3614-22G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss·
3715-22DAYTONG WASHKillAbby Markworthset Alexis Rodriguez·
3815-23G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss·
3916-23DAYTONG WASH×4BlockedSidney Spradablk Yazmyn Billings, Cayla Cogan·
4017-23G WASHG WASH×4Attack errKamryn Hunt·
4118-23G WASHG WASH×4KillAbby Markworthset Lydia Zeng+0.1
4219-23G WASHG WASH×4Attack errNicanora Clarke+0.2
4319-24G WASHDAYTONAttack errNicanora Clarke+0.2
4419-25DAYTONDAYTONAttack errNicanora Clarke+0.1
Set 2
10-1G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.4
21-1DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.5
32-1G WASHG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.8
42-2G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.5
53-2DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.6
64-2G WASHG WASHAttack errCharlotte Vinson+0.9
74-3G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Natalie Harrington+0.6
85-3DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.7
95-4G WASHDAYTONServe errSadee Gedse+0.6
106-4DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.7
117-4G WASHG WASHAceEvie Huangaced Lily Barry+1.1
127-5G WASHDAYTON×3BlockedAlexis Rodriguezblk Gabriela Machin Borges+0.6
137-6DAYTONDAYTON×3KillGabriela Machin Borgesset Cayla Cogan+0.9
147-7DAYTONDAYTON×3KillSidney Spradaset Morgan Asleson+0.9
158-7DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.7
169-7G WASHG WASHAttack errSidney Sprada+1.1
179-8G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.7
1810-8DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.8
1910-9G WASHDAYTON×4Serve errAlexis Rodriguez+0.7
2010-10DAYTONDAYTON×4AceSidney Spradaaced Alexis Rodriguez+1.0
2110-11DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedCayla Coganblk Charlotte Vinson, Abigail Cresse+0.9
2210-12DAYTONDAYTON×4BlockedRiley Samuelblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson+0.8
2311-12DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.6
2411-13G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.6
2512-13DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.6
2612-14G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Natalie Harrington+0.6
2713-14DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.6
2813-15G WASHDAYTONKillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.6
2914-15DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.7
3014-16G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.7
3114-17DAYTONDAYTONAceMorgan Aslesonaced Nicanora Clarke+0.8
3215-17DAYTONG WASHServe errMorgan Asleson+0.5
3315-18G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.6
3415-19DAYTONDAYTONAceNatalie Harringtonaced Abby Markworth+0.6
3516-19DAYTONG WASHServe errNatalie Harrington+0.3
3616-20G WASHDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.4
3716-21DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced Alexis Rodriguez+0.4
3816-22DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced Alexis Rodriguez+0.2
3917-22DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.1
4017-23G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Charlotte Vinson+0.1
4118-23DAYTONG WASHBlockedCharlotte Vinsonblk Cayla Cogan·
4218-24G WASHDAYTONAttack errCayla Cogan+0.1
4318-25DAYTONDAYTONAttack errNicanora Clarke·
Set 3
11-0DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.3
21-1G WASHDAYTONAttack errAbby Markworth+0.2
32-1DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Abby Markworth+0.3
42-2G WASHDAYTONServe errAbby Markworth+0.2
52-3DAYTONDAYTONBad setAbby Markworth+0.3
63-3DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.2
73-4G WASHDAYTON×5Serve errMarin Harvey+0.2
83-5DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errNicanora Clarke+0.3
93-6DAYTONDAYTON×5KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.2
103-7DAYTONDAYTON×5Attack errPilar Presson+0.2
113-8DAYTONDAYTON×5Bad setAbby Markworth+0.2
124-8DAYTONG WASH×3KillPilar Pressonset Abby Markworth+0.1
135-8G WASHG WASH×3KillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.2
146-8G WASHG WASH×3BlockedKamryn Huntblk Riley Samuel, Nicanora Clarke+0.2
156-9G WASHDAYTONKillRylee Slossset Lily Barry+0.2
166-10DAYTONDAYTONAceKamryn Huntaced Pilar Presson+0.2
177-10DAYTONG WASHKillRiley Samuelset Abby Markworth+0.1
187-11G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.1
198-11DAYTONG WASHServe errMorgan Asleson+0.1
209-11G WASHG WASHAceAlexis Rodriguezaced Sidney Sprada+0.3
219-12G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Rylee Sloss+0.2
229-13DAYTONDAYTONAttack errCayla Cogan+0.2
2310-13DAYTONG WASHKillCayla Coganset Lydia Zeng+0.1
2410-14G WASHDAYTONKillSidney Spradaset Lily Barry+0.2
2511-14DAYTONG WASHKillSimone Assasieset Abby Markworth+0.2
2612-14G WASHG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.3
2712-15G WASHDAYTONKillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.2
2812-16DAYTONDAYTONBlockedNicanora Clarkeblk Addi Gallentine+0.3
2913-16DAYTONG WASHKillNicanora Clarkeset Abby Markworth+0.2
3013-17G WASHDAYTON×3KillCharlotte Vinsonset Natalie Harrington+0.2
3113-18DAYTONDAYTON×3KillKamryn Huntset Rylee Sloss+0.2
3213-19DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedNicanora Clarkeblk Addi Gallentine, Kamryn Hunt+0.1
3314-19DAYTONG WASHServe errRylee Sloss+0.1
3414-20G WASHDAYTONAttack errPilar Presson+0.1
3515-20DAYTONG WASHKillPilar Pressonset Mackenzie Krzus·
3615-21G WASHDAYTONAttack errPilar Presson+0.1
3716-21DAYTONG WASHServe errMorgan Asleson·
3816-22G WASHDAYTONKillGabriela Machin Borgesset Rylee Sloss+0.1
3917-22DAYTONG WASHServe errNatalie Harrington·
4017-23G WASHDAYTON×3KillAbigail Cresseset Natalie Harrington·
4117-24DAYTONDAYTON×3BlockedNicanora Clarkeblk Abigail Cresse, Charlotte Vinson·
4217-25DAYTONDAYTON×3AceSidney Spradaaced Alexis Rodriguez·

Score shown after each rally, George Washington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).