FinalThu, Sep 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Denver def. Pacific 3–0

Denver beat visiting Pacific 3-0 (25-20, 29-27, 25-13) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Denver's Kayla Patel led with 15 kills, and Madison Winkler added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 24

Set123Sets
PACIF2027130
DENVER2529253

Win probability

Denver above 50 · Pacific below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.2% PACIFrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Pacific — set 2, PACIF 27-26 DENVER. Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Alessia Couchond). DENVER win probability 95% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PACIF 6.6%93.4% DENVER

Pacific wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
3.9%

Denver wins

3-0
51.3%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
11.4%
PACIF break %
36.3% vs this opp
DENVER break %
47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nicole ZakeKill+3.2%

    Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Alessia Couchond)

    Set 2 · PACIF 27-26 DENVER · PACIF 5% → 8%

  2. 02
    Elise HartKill+2.6%

    Kill by Elise Hart (set by Lily Van Hal)

    Set 2 · PACIF 27-28 DENVER · DENVER 94% → 97%

  3. 03
    Nicole ZakeAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Nicole Zake

    Set 2 · PACIF 27-27 DENVER · DENVER 92% → 94%

  4. 04
    Gracie ArmatoAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Gracie Armato

    Set 2 · PACIF 27-29 DENVER · DENVER 97% → 99%

  5. 05
    Jamia JohnsonAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Jamia Johnson

    Set 2 · PACIF 23-23 DENVER · PACIF 3% → 5%

  6. 06

    Kill by Izabela Molina (set by Jamia Johnson)

    Set 2 · PACIF 23-24 DENVER · DENVER 95% → 97%

  7. 07
    Hanna VorhiesKill+1.8%

    Kill by Hanna Vorhies (set by Chloe Giehtbrock)

    Set 2 · PACIF 24-24 DENVER · PACIF 3% → 5%

  8. 08
    Ilayda ErenKill+1.8%

    Kill by Ilayda Eren (set by Madison Winkler)

    Set 2 · PACIF 24-25 DENVER · DENVER 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37018.3890001014310
39936.000200520009
35010.50000000212.57.5
31419-.158100101223
3102.50017001000212
3000–000400000
34716-.18800151010.54.5
3011-1.000000100000
3000–2001500000
24311.091011100216
2102.500000000001
2000–700300000
1000–200000000
Team totals3224115.07031124634121060
Denverhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315229.448002111010.515.5
39323.26120360111.510.5
36321.14300000052.58.5
36220.20000120052.58.5
35211.273000100427
3112.0002021700003
37419.158100200218
31011.0001901900001
3000–4111300001
2000–000000000
Team totals5017126.26246395111181079

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pacific vs Denver

Season series · Denver leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PACIF · DENVER 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 PACIFDENVER 4

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 3 PACIFDENVER 5

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 5 PACIFDENVER 7

Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pacific

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
53%8/15
2
41%7/17
0%0/7
3
55%6/11
36%4/11
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
46%6/13
33%3/9
6
33%5/15
45%5/11
All
48%37/77
37%23/62

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
69%11/16
2
100%7/7
56%9/16
3
54%7/13
36%4/11
4
75%6/8
50%6/12
5
50%6/12
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
54%7/13
All
63%39/62
52%40/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#PACIF-DENVERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PACIFDENVERBlockedJulia Porathblk Elise Hart, Hailey Goebel+0.5
21-1DENVERPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+0.6
31-2PACIFDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.5
41-3DENVERDENVERAttack errJulia Porath+0.7
52-3DENVERPACIF×4KillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.5
63-3PACIFPACIF×4KillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+0.8
74-3PACIFPACIF×4KillVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond+1.0
85-3PACIFPACIF×4BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Alessia Couchond, Hanna Vorhies+1.1
95-4PACIFDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.7
105-5DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+1.0
115-6DENVERDENVER×3KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.9
126-6DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.7
137-6PACIFPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Nicole Zake+1.1
147-7PACIFDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Ilayda Eren+0.7
157-8DENVERDENVERAttack errNicole Zake+0.9
168-8DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.8
179-8PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+1.2
189-9PACIFDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.8
1910-9DENVERPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+1.0
2011-9PACIFPACIFBlockedElise Hartblk Adeline Sirbu+1.5
2111-10PACIFDENVER×4KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.9
2211-11DENVERDENVER×4Attack errNicole Zake+1.3
2311-12DENVERDENVER×4KillKayla Patelset Alicia Thibodeau+1.1
2411-13DENVERDENVER×4AceDenveraced Nicole Zake+1.0
2512-13DENVERPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.7
2613-13PACIFPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+1.3
2713-14PACIFDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Madison Winkler+0.9
2813-15DENVERDENVER×3BlockedNicole Zakeblk Elise Hart, Hailey Goebel+1.1
2913-16DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.9
3014-16DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.6
3114-17PACIFDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.6
3214-18DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.7
3315-18DENVERPACIFKillVanessa Zussinoset Julia Porath+0.4
3416-18PACIFPACIFBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Hanna Vorhies, Julia Porath+0.8
3516-19PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+0.7
3616-20DENVERDENVERBlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Izabela Molina, Jamia Johnson+0.7
3717-20DENVERPACIFBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Hanna Vorhies, Vanessa Zussino+0.4
3817-21PACIFDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.5
3917-22DENVERDENVERKillKayla Patel+0.4
4018-22DENVERPACIFKillOlga Gergaczset Gwendolyn Hansen+0.2
4119-22PACIFPACIFBlockedIzabela Molinablk Hanna Vorhies+0.4
4219-23PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.5
4320-23DENVERPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Gwendolyn Hansen+0.2
4420-24PACIFDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.4
4520-25DENVERDENVERKillKayla Patelset Gwendolyn Hansen+0.1
Set 2
11-0DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.4
21-1PACIFDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Madison Winkler+0.4
32-1DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.4
42-2PACIFDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.4
53-2DENVERPACIFKillJulia Porathset Alessia Couchond+0.5
63-3PACIFDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.4
74-3DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.5
84-4PACIFDENVERServe errPacific+0.4
95-4DENVERPACIF×3Serve errDenver+0.5
106-4PACIFPACIF×3KillNicole Zakeset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.8
117-4PACIFPACIF×3AceEllie Prindlaced Kayla Patel+0.9
127-5PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.5
137-6DENVERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+0.7
148-6DENVERPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.6
158-7PACIFDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.5
169-7DENVERPACIFAttack errHailey Goebel+0.7
179-8PACIFDENVER×5KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.5
189-9DENVERDENVER×5KillHailey Goebel+0.7
199-10DENVERDENVER×5BlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Izabela Molina, Hailey Goebel+0.7
209-11DENVERDENVER×5BlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Izabela Molina, Hailey Goebel+0.6
219-12DENVERDENVER×5Attack errJulia Porath+0.5
2210-12DENVERPACIFBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Julia Porath, Adeline Sirbu+0.3
2310-13PACIFDENVERAttack errEllie Prindl+0.3
2411-13DENVERPACIFKillEllie Prindlset Alessia Couchond+0.4
2511-14PACIFDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.4
2611-15DENVERDENVERBlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Izabela Molina, Kayla Patel+0.4
2712-15DENVERPACIFServe errDenver+0.3
2813-15PACIFPACIFBlockedKayla Patelblk Hanna Vorhies, Ellie Prindl+0.5
2913-16PACIFDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.4
3013-17DENVERDENVERKillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.4
3114-17DENVERPACIF×3KillEllie Prindlset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.3
3215-17PACIFPACIF×3Attack errJamia Johnson+0.5
3316-17PACIFPACIF×3Attack errJamia Johnson+0.8
3416-18PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.6
3517-18DENVERPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.6
3618-18PACIFPACIFBlockedHailey Goebelblk Julia Porath+1.1
3718-19PACIFDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+0.8
3819-19DENVERPACIFBad setAlicia Thibodeau+0.9
3919-20PACIFDENVER×3BlockedJulia Porathblk Elise Hart, Alicia Thibodeau+0.9
4019-21DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.1
4119-22DENVERDENVER×3Attack errVanessa Zussino+0.8
4220-22DENVERPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Alessia Couchond+0.4
4320-23PACIFDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van Hal+0.6
4421-23DENVERPACIF×3KillEllie Prindlset Alessia Couchond+0.4
4522-23PACIFPACIF×3Attack errIzabela Molina+1.0
4623-23PACIFPACIF×3Attack errJamia Johnson+1.9
4723-24PACIFDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Jamia Johnson+1.8
4824-24DENVERPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.8
4924-25PACIFDENVERKillIlayda Erenset Madison Winkler+1.8
5025-25DENVERPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.8
5125-26PACIFDENVERServe errPacific+1.8
5226-26DENVERPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Chloe Giehtbrock+1.8
5327-26PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond+3.2
5427-27PACIFDENVER×3Attack errNicole Zake+2.4
5527-28DENVERDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+2.6
5627-29DENVERDENVER×3Attack errGracie Armato+2.0
Set 3
11-0PACIFPACIF×5Attack errHailey Goebel+0.3
22-0PACIFPACIF×5KillNicole Zakeset Isabella Gutierrez+0.3
33-0PACIFPACIF×5KillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond+0.4
44-0PACIFPACIF×5BlockedElise Hartblk Adeline Sirbu+0.4
55-0PACIFPACIF×5KillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond+0.4
65-1PACIFDENVERKillLily Van Halset Alicia Thibodeau+0.2
75-2DENVERDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Madison Winkler+0.3
86-2DENVERPACIFAttack errLily Van Hal+0.3
96-3PACIFDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+0.2
106-4DENVERDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van Hal+0.3
117-4DENVERPACIFKillAlessia Couchondset Nicole Zake+0.3
127-5PACIFDENVER×3BlockedEllie Prindlblk Alicia Thibodeau+0.2
137-6DENVERDENVER×3Attack errVanessa Zussino+0.3
147-7DENVERDENVER×3Attack errEllie Prindl+0.3
158-7DENVERPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond+0.3
168-8PACIFDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.2
179-8DENVERPACIFKillEllie Prindlset Chloe Giehtbrock+0.3
189-9PACIFDENVER×7KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.2
199-10DENVERDENVER×7KillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+0.3
209-11DENVERDENVER×7KillKayla Patelset Madison Winkler+0.3
219-12DENVERDENVER×7Attack errNicole Zake+0.2
229-13DENVERDENVER×7KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.2
239-14DENVERDENVER×7BlockedNicole Zakeblk Elise Hart, Jamia Johnson+0.1
249-15DENVERDENVER×7AceDenveraced Vanessa Zussino+0.1
2510-15DENVERPACIFBlockedKayla Patelblk Alessia Couchond, Ellie Prindl+0.1
2610-16PACIFDENVER×6KillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren+0.1
2710-17DENVERDENVER×6Attack errNicole Zake+0.1
2810-18DENVERDENVER×6KillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal·
2910-19DENVERDENVER×6AceDenveraced Nicole Zake·
3010-20DENVERDENVER×6Attack errNicole Zake·
3110-21DENVERDENVER×6BlockedNicole Zakeblk Hailey Goebel, Elise Hart·
3211-21DENVERPACIFServe errDenver·
3311-22PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal·
3412-22DENVERPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond·
3512-23PACIFDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal·
3612-24DENVERDENVERAttack errVanessa Zussino·
3713-24DENVERPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond·
3813-25PACIFDENVERKillIzabela Molinaset Lily Van Hal·

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).